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La investigación criminal contra Powell genera incertidumbre en la Reserva Federal, el Bitcoin se mantiene firme
Jerome Powell
POWELL
2026
2026
Bitcoin
BTC
Oro
ORO
Reserva
RSRV
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La investigación criminal contra Powell genera incertidumbre en la Reserva Federal, el Bitcoin se mantiene firme
Índice
ANTecedentes de la investigación criminal contra Powell y la independencia de la Reserva Federal
Presión política, Trump y la transición en la dirección de la Reserva Federal
Expectativas de corte de tasas de la Reserva Federal y la incertidumbre política en 2026

La historia muestra que los raros años de caída de Bitcoin han sido seguidos por rebotes de tres dígitos, manteniendo 2026 firmemente en las listas de seguimiento de los traders.
Bitcoin
BTC
$90,965
terminó 2025 ligeramente en rojo con un retorno de -6.36% después de un fuerte inicio a principios de año. Aunque la pérdida anual parece modesta, los patrones históricos sugieren que los años de caída a menudo han precedido algunos de los rallies más fuertes de Bitcoin.

Conclusiones clave:

Históricamente, Bitcoin ha promediado cerca del 100% de ganancias en el año siguiente a un año de caída.

Los modelos a largo plazo proyectan un objetivo sustancial cerca de $300,000 si las condiciones de liquidez se vuelven favorables.

Bitcoin 'not likely' to make new all-time high in 2026, says new research
Bitcoin long-term short signals from trading tools led analysis to conclude that no new BTC price all-time high would come this year.

BTC$91,261
faces a new “battle” for control before bulls trigger the next round of BTC price gains, but the long-term outlook is grim.
KEY POINTS:
Bitcoin short-term and long-term perspectives contrast as bears stay in control on high timeframes.A golden cross on the day chart does not cancel out short signals for the rest of the year.A new all-time high is “not likely” as a result.
$87,500 retest next stop for BTC price
In his latest X analysis on Wednesday, KEITH ALAN, cofounder of trading resource Material Indicators, forecast a retest of the 2026 yearly open.
Bitcoin price action is now caught in a tussle between buyers and sellers, but a return to $87,500 is “not a matter of if, but when,” Alan said.

“FireCharts shows a realtime battle unfolding in the $BTC order book,” he said.
“Bulls are trying to defend support at the 2026-01-05 Timescape Level, but Whales appear to be looking for a support test closer to the Yearly Open before a Golden Cross forms on the D chart to trigger the next rally.”

That cross involves the 21-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The former crossing above the latter would indicate renewed strength on lower timeframes.
Before that, however, a support retest of the yearly open is on the wall.
“The battle for it is happening right now,” Alan said, adding:
“If it doesn't happen in the next 24 hours, I expect it will happen after the Death Cross forms on the Weekly chart, around the middle of the month.”

Bitcoin, Ether at “critical inflection points”
Zooming out, other findings had little inspiration for Bitcoin optimists on multimonth timeframes and further out.
Multiple “short” signals, trading tools showed, mean that BTC/USD is unlikely to make new all-time highs before 2027.
“A lot can happen in 6 months that could invalidate it, but at the moment, it’s easy to build a case for price to drop after this current pump loses momentum,” Alan wrote about the six-month chart.
The research held similar conclusions about largest altcoin Ether ETH$3,154, describing both coins as being “at critical inflection points.”
For a true turnaround, one-week relative strength index (RSI) values above 41/100, along with weekly closes above the 50-week SMA at $101,500, are needed.