$XPL at Compression Lows: VMC, RSI & Stablecoin Flows Signal Asymmetric Setup
$XPL is currently trading inside a long compression zone, and the technical structure suggests downside risk is becoming increasingly defined while upside asymmetry is building. Using VuManChu Cipher (VMC), momentum remains in negative territory but is curling upward, a classic signal of sell-pressure exhaustion. This usually appears when late sellers are absorbed rather than when trends are accelerating downward. On RSI, price has been drifting sideways while RSI fails to print new lows, forming a bullish divergence. This indicates weakening bearish momentum and often precedes range expansion rather than breakdown. The Gaussian Channel shows price hugging the lower band with the Gaussian curve flattening — a clear sign of volatility compression. A reclaim of the mid-band would strongly favor trend continuation instead of a short-lived bounce. From a fundamental flow perspective, DeFiLlama data shows stablecoin dominance increasing during risk-off periods, with transfer volume consistently flowing toward lowest-fee settlement layers. TRC20 historically dominates due to cost efficiency, but fee spikes during congestion cycles expose fragility. If @Plasma delivers sustainable near-zero-fee stablecoin rails, Plasma becomes a real contender for transactional volume, not just speculative liquidity. Key price levels (framework, not financial advice): Current range: ~$0.125TP1: $0.150–0.155 (local structure reclaim, +20–24%)TP2: $0.180–0.195 (Gaussian expansion, +45–55%)TP3 (optional): $0.245–0.250 (prior supply zone)SL: $0.108–0.110 (below base support, VMC invalidation) Risk is clearly defined, volatility is compressed, and fundamentals align with on-chain stablecoin trends. $XPL isn’t a momentum trade yet — but those are often the ones worth watching earliest. $XPL #Plasma
Retail stablecoin rails are still dominated by TRC20 because fees + liquidity are “good enough” — but TRON fees have spiked in past cycles. If @plasma truly delivers zero-fee USDt, high throughput, EVM tooling + payment UX (card/on-ramps), $XPL can compete for that flow. TP1 +20% / TP2 +45%, SL -12% below support (invalidation). #plasma
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With Aster Chain testnet launching end of December 2025 – bringing next-gen privacy-focused L1, shielded trading, faster/cheaper txns, and real DeFi utility ASTER at ~$0.71 looks primed for upside.
Old guard ZEC(~$440) has had its run but facing narrative fatigue, regulatory headwinds, and slower tech vs. modern challengers.
Erik Voorhees-Linked Wallet Reactivates After Nine Years
According to ChainCatcher, a wallet suspected to be associated with Erik Voorhees has become active after nine years of dormancy. The wallet, identified as 0x03b5, has recently exchanged 4,619 ETH for 24,950 BCH over the past two weeks.
Day 4: #NoSmokeAllGains – Keep Stacking Through the Dip 🚀
Just grabbed another $1 each in $BTC, $ASTER, and $BNB. Market’s volatile – BTC ~$88K after recent swings, alts correcting. Prime time to accumulate more at lower prices
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