Web3 Daily Research

China tocmai a injectat trilioane în economia sa.
Cel mai mare injectare de lichidități de la criza COVID.
Aurul ar putea crește până la 10.000 de dolari, iar argintul până la 150 de dolari.
Această mișcare ar putea declanșa cea mai mare criză a materiilor prime din viața noastră.
Iată de ce:
Uită-te la graficul de pe stânga (Oferta de bani M2).
China este în prezent în desfășurarea celei mai mari expansiuni monetare din istoria sa, în afara crizei COVID.
Oferta de bani M2 a Chinei a crescut brusc, fiind acum la nord de 48 de TRILIOANE USD (echivalent în dolari).
Pentru a avea o perspectivă, este mai mult de dublul ofertei de bani M2 din SUA.

🚨I predicted this WAR
Step 1: Bomb Venezuela
Step 2: Abduct President
Step 3: Steal 303B Barrels of oil
Here’s Trump's secret plan and what's next👇🧵

Before we start...
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Results in 24h

➠ 1
◈ The US carried out strikes on targets inside Venezuela overnight
◈ Trump publicly claimed Maduro and his wife were captured
◈ Full confirmation across all institutions is still unfolding
◈ Markets will react to power signals before legal clarity
➠ 2
◈ The real driver here is not democracy or drug enforcement
◈ Venezuela holds the largest proven oil reserves on the planet
◈ Energy control equals leverage over inflation and geopolitics
◈ Oil is the fastest strategic asset to seize in a global slowdown
➠ 3
◈ The official narrative will focus on narco - terror and security
◈ That framing creates legal cover for intervention and seizures
◈ The strategic outcome is energy influence, not moral victory
◈ When oil is the objective, messaging becomes secondary
➠ 4
◈ China has been the primary buyer of Venezuelan crude for years
◈ Any forced regime shift rewires global export flows immediately
◈ Losing discounted supply forces China into higher - cost markets
◈ That tightens marginal supply and lifts global risk premiums
➠ 5
◈ Regime change is never a clean one - night operation
◈ Retaliation, sabotage risk, and shipping disruption follow
◈ Insurance costs and logistics friction stay elevated
◈ Even intact production trades with a persistent risk premium
➠ 6
◈ Rising oil prices act as a tax on growth
◈ Inflation fears resurface before central banks are ready
◈ Risk assets sell first, and crypto is treated as high beta
◈ Initial reactions are fear driven, not ideological
➠ 7
◈ The second - order effect is more important than the first
◈ Open intervention accelerates distrust in global power rules
◈ Capital starts looking for non - sovereign value storage
◈ Gold reacts first, Bitcoin follows if distrust persists
➠ 8
◈ The dollar reaction is not linear
◈ Short term crises can strengthen USD via flight to safety
◈ Medium term coercion erodes confidence in the system
◈ Confidence erosion is slow, then sudden, and irreversible
➠ 9
◈ Ignore social media certainty and focus on real signals
◈ Watch oil, credit spreads, and emerging market FX stress
◈ Then track real yields and rate expectations
◈ Crypto follows liquidity conditions with a delay
➠ 10
◈ If oil pushes inflation expectations higher, cuts get harder
◈ Tighter policy extends restrictive financial conditions
◈ Liquidity thins and altcoin bids disappear quickly
◈ Bitcoin holds better because survival is now its core feature
➠ 11
◈ If headlines reverse, expect violent mean reversion
◈ If confirmation stacks, volatility persists for weeks
◈ This is where overtrading narratives destroys accounts
◈ Smaller size and discipline matter more than conviction
➠ 12
◈ Base case if escalation continues
◈ Short term pressure on risk assets and illiquid alts
◈ Medium term BTC strength versus everything else
◈ Long term another structural push toward onchain systems
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Pierderile raportate din atacurile de phishing criptomonedă au scăzut cu 83% în 2025, ajungând la aproximativ 84 de milioane de dolari de la aproape 494 de milioane de dolari în anul precedent.
Conform unui nou raport anual al firmei de securitate Web3 Scam Sniffer, incidentele de 'phishing prin semnătură' par să scadă. Cu toate acestea, firma a avertizat că această scădere vizibilă ascunde o realitate mai întunecată a unor actori mai sofisticați.
Datele arată că pierderile din phishing urmăresc ciclurile pieței cripto. Raportul anual relevă o corelație puternică între fraudă și volatilitatea pieței. Activitatea de phishing a atins un vârf în al treilea trimestru, rezultând în pierderi de 31 de milioane de dolari.