Bit_boy

Dezvoltarea calculului cuantic ar putea distruge rețeaua Bitcoin
Am cercetat toate datele și am învățat totul despre ele.
/➮ Recent, BlackRock ne-a avertizat despre riscurile potențiale pentru rețeaua Bitcoin
🕷 Totul datorită progresului rapid în domeniul calculului cuantic.
🕷 Voi adăuga raportul lor la final - dar pentru acum, să descompunem ce înseamnă de fapt asta.
/➮ Securitatea Bitcoin se bazează pe algoritmi criptografici, în principal ECDSA
🕷 Protejează cheile private și asigură integritatea tranzacției

Modelele de lumânări sunt un instrument puternic în analiza tehnică, oferind informații despre sentimentul pieței și potențialele mișcări ale prețurilor. Prin recunoașterea și interpretarea acestor modele, comercianții pot lua decizii informate și își pot crește șansele de succes. În acest articol, vom explora 20 de modele esențiale de sfeșnic, oferind un ghid cuprinzător pentru a vă ajuta să vă îmbunătățiți strategia de tranzacționare și să câștigați potențial 1000 USD pe lună.
Înțelegerea modelelor de sfeșnice
Înainte de a vă scufunda în tipare, este esențial să înțelegeți elementele de bază ale diagramelor cu lumânări. Fiecare lumânare reprezintă un interval de timp specific, afișând prețurile de deschidere, ridicată, scăzută și de închidere. Corpul lumânării arată mișcarea prețului, în timp ce fitilurile indică prețurile ridicate și scăzute.

O lungă perioadă de timp, am crezut în ideea că IA era „suficient de bună.”
Scrie e-mailurile noastre, ajută medicii să analizeze scanările, semnalează fraude, dirijează livrările, chiar îi ajută pe oameni să creeze artă și cod. Oriunde m-am uitat, IA era tratată ca această stratificare de încredere, neobosită, care rulează în tăcere lumea.
Dar cu cât l-am folosit mai serios, cu atât mai multe fisuri am început să observ.
Nu greșeli mici - ci unele fundamentale.
Am văzut IA răspunzând întrebărilor cu totală încredere și fiind complet greșită. Am văzut-o inventând fapte, interpretând greșit contextul și, uneori, producând sfaturi care ar putea, de fapt, să rănească pe cineva dacă le-ar urma fără ezitare. Halucinațiile, prejudecățile, cazurile ciudate - nu sunt buguri rare. Sunt integrate în modul în care funcționează aceste sisteme.

Cei mai mulți oameni cu care vorbesc despre Fogo Official se concentrează imediat pe un singur lucru: viteza. Blocuri mai rapide, latență mai mică, execuție mai lină. Și da, acea parte este impresionantă. Dar cu cât petrec mai mult timp citind documentele și gândindu-mă la design, cu atât simt că viteza nu este, de fapt, punctul.
Ceea ce iese cu adevărat în evidență pentru mine este că FOGO pare să experimenteze cu ceva mai profund — aproape ca un model politic diferit pentru modul în care ar trebui să funcționeze lanțurile de blocuri.
Pe măsură ce am parcurs documentele tehnice și specificațiile, tot reveneam la o întrebare incomodă pe care majoritatea lanțurilor par să o evite: unde se termină responsabilitatea protocolului și unde începe a mea ca utilizator? FOGO nu o ocolește. Răspunde direct, uneori brutal.

Key takeaways:
Bitcoin buyers still need roughly a 9% move higher to gain control ahead of Friday’s $10.5B options expiry.
Bitcoin continues to trade in step with the Nasdaq 100, meaning tech market sentiment remains a key driver of confidence.
Bitcoin climbed to an eight-day peak on Wednesday, carving out a clear double bottom around $62,500. Even with the rebound, price is still down 21% over the past month, leaving bulls at a disadvantage into the large monthly options expiry. A late surge could shift momentum, but the outcome remains uncertain.
Deribit remains the dominant leader with a 76% market share, totaling $4.5 billion in call (buy) options and $3.4 billion in put (sell) instruments. OKX follows in second place with $610 million in calls and $385 million in puts, representing 10% of the aggregate total. CME rounded out the top three with $255 million in calls and $287 million in puts, accounting for a 5% market share.
Put options are better positioned despite having less open interest
At first glance, the aggregate put options open interest appears 25% lower than equivalent call options. However, a more granular view reveals that neutral-to-bullish strategies were caught off guard by Bitcoin’s sharp decline below $75,000 in early February. 88% of call options on Deribit will expire worthless if the Bitcoin price remains below $70,000 on Friday.
Even after excluding call options aimed at $105,000 and above — often tied to multi-leg setups with cheaper premiums — just 37% of the remaining positions are placed below $75,000. This leaves the effective call open interest on Deribit near $780 million. Under these conditions, it raises the question of whether bearish traders may have pushed their bets too far.
$1.44 billion in put options open interest on Deribit targets Bitcoin prices below $60,000, although it is unlikely that bets at $40,000 and $45,000 effectively aimed for those specific levels. Calendar strategies and ratio spreads are typically associated with extreme price targets, as they do not require a price crash to achieve profitability.
Put options at $72,000 and above total $1.15 billion in open interest on Deribit, which is more than enough to offset existing call options. Although Bitcoin’s decline toward $60,000 was likely not tied to macroeconomic trend, the relevance of Nvidia’s (NVDA US) earnings outcome after the US market close on Wednesday should not be understated.
The success of the artificial intelligence sector, particularly the sustainable operational margins of the world’s largest companies, remains decisive for every risk market. History suggests that Bitcoin’s correlation with the stock market seldom lasts long, but the fate of Friday’s $10.5 billion options expiry could be decided by stock market performance.
The current 90% correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 Index is clear evidence that the tech play is the leading driver of trader confidence, but as long as Bitcoin price remains below $75,000, the advantage continues to favor put options.
Below are three probable outcomes for Friday’s BTC options expiry at Deribit based on current price trends:
From $65,000 to $69,000: The net result favors the put (sell) instruments by $1.15 billion.From $69,001 to $71,000: The net result favors the put (sell) instruments by $845 million.From $71,001 to $74,000: The net result favors the put (sell) instruments by $470 million.
Ultimately, Bitcoin bulls need a 9% rally from the present $68,800 level to flip the tables on the February options expiry.
$BTC

When I look at Fogo, I don’t see another chain trying to be everything for everyone. I don’t get the feeling it’s chasing NFTs, gaming, social apps, and every new trend all at once. What I notice instead is how narrow the focus is.
And honestly, I kind of respect that.
To me, it feels like Fogo is saying, “Let’s just do one thing really well.” That one thing is markets.
I keep coming back to this idea that in trading environments, timing isn’t a nice-to-have. It’s the whole game. A few milliseconds can change whether you get filled or slipped, whether you’re safe or liquidated. So when a blockchain says it’s built for finance, I think less about TPS charts and more about consistency. Does it behave the same way when things get messy?
That’s where Fogo’s approach clicks for me. It doesn’t feel obsessed with expansion. It feels obsessed with execution.
I see the influence of Solana in the design philosophy, especially around performance, but it doesn’t feel like a copy. It feels more like taking those ideas and tightening them up. Bringing in a validator framework inspired by Firedancer tells me they care about reliability at the lowest level, not just flashy numbers on a dashboard.
Because I’ve learned the hard way that theoretical throughput doesn’t mean much when the network is stressed. Everything looks fast in perfect conditions. What matters is whether it still behaves cleanly when volume spikes and everyone rushes at once.
That’s usually where chains start acting weird.
Another thing I like is the decision to support the Solana Virtual Machine. From my perspective, that’s just practical. Developers don’t want to rewrite everything from scratch just to try a new chain. If I already have something that works, I want to plug it in and focus on improving it, not rebuilding the foundation.
So instead of reinventing the wheel, Fogo seems to be saying, “Bring what you’ve built. We’ll just make it run better.”
In DeFi especially, delays aren’t harmless. I’ve seen how small lags turn into real costs. Orders fill worse than expected. Slippage creeps in. Liquidations cascade because the system reacts too slowly. And sometimes it feels like the fastest actors extract value simply because the infrastructure can’t keep up.
That kind of friction adds up.
What I think Fogo is trying to do is shave down those tiny inefficiencies that most people ignore. Faster confirmations, tighter timing, more predictable behavior. Not just speed for the sake of marketing, but stability you can actually rely on.
And when execution gets cleaner, a lot of things suddenly become possible. Fully on-chain order books start to make sense. Liquidation systems can be more precise instead of chaotic. Auctions can price assets more fairly. Even MEV opportunities shrink because there’s less timing slack to exploit.
To me, that’s what “performance” really means — fewer weird edge cases.
While a lot of Layer-1s compete with big narratives or incentives, Fogo feels more like it’s competing on engineering. Less hype, more structure. It’s almost positioning itself like infrastructure for serious capital rather than a playground for experiments.
I find that mindset refreshing.
If DeFi actually wants to stand next to traditional finance someday, we can’t just rely on vibes and growth hacks. We need systems that behave predictably under pressure. Systems where timing is tight and execution feels deterministic.
That’s how I interpret Fogo. Not as another general-purpose chain, but as a bet that the future of DeFi will belong to whoever executes best, not whoever shouts the loudest.
@Fogo Official
$FOGO
#fogo

Am privit în multe așa-numite blockchain-uri de mare viteză în ultimii câțiva ani și, sincer, majoritatea sună la fel la început. Comisioane mici, numere enorme de TPS, finalitate aproape instantanee — totul arată grozav pe hârtie. Dar am învățat că acești metrici spun doar o parte din poveste. Ceea ce contează cu adevărat este cum se comportă o rețea atunci când bani reali și cerere reală o ating.
Întotdeauna îmi pun o întrebare simplă: ce se întâmplă când lucrurile devin aglomerate? Se simte rețeaua în continuare fluidă sau începe să încetinească exact când contează cel mai mult?

Key takeaways:
Past cycles show Bitcoin tends to recover and outperform during trade tensions and liquidity support, even if fear dominates early on.
Steady mining activity and growing net long exposure on Chicago Mercantile Exchange futures indicate professional traders are quietly buying the pullback.
Bitcoin traders are growing uneasy after nearly three weeks below $75,000, with sentiment worsening following a drop to $64,200 as global equities weakened. Fresh uncertainty emerged after Donald Trump raised baseline import tariffs to 15%, pushing investors toward a more cautious, risk-off approach.
Still, similar macro stress in the past has often set the stage for Bitcoin strength. Miner stability remains intact, and institutional players appear to be using the dip to accumulate rather than exit.
While these events appear negative at first glance, Bitcoin has a history of outperforming during bearish macroeconomic shifts. More importantly, risk perception is gradually improving; Bitcoin miners have shown resilience, and professional traders used the recent dip to add exposure.
On April 2, 2025, the Trump administration signed an executive order imposing sweeping "reciprocal tariffs" on nearly every trading partner. The situation escalated on April 9, 2025, as additional tariffs were applied to 75 countries, including a 34% rate for China. This move coincided with Bitcoin hitting a five-month low at $74,600, which was followed by a 38% rally over the next month.
Traders choose cash over Bitcoin during periods of uncertainty
The natural instinct for traders during periods of uncertainty is to seek shelter in cash and government bonds. Despite its unique benefits, Bitcoin is not yet considered a safe haven by most investors. However, once the market realizes that governments may be forced to inject liquidity to stimulate the economy, Bitcoin tends to outperform.
The Federal Reserve provides short-term cash loans against Treasury collateral to keep funding markets and settlements functioning smoothly. While this isn’t considered a direct liquidity injection, it often reflects temporary balance sheet stress. Still, extreme spikes in this metric — including the $100 billion surge on March 16, 2020 — have historically aligned with turning points in Bitcoin’s price.
Following the 2020 pandemic-driven crash, Bitcoin began a sustained recovery, climbing from $4,400 to $42,000 over the next several months. At the time, many doubted its long term outlook while it traded 55% below its previous $19,900 high between May and July, but that skepticism proved misplaced. A comparable setup could emerge in 2026 if liquidity pressures intensify again.
Nvidia (NVDA US) is scheduled to report quarterly earnings after the US stock market closes on Wednesday. Results from the chipmaker will likely set the investor mood, particularly as concerns regarding rising tech sector debt mount. Notably, shares of Coreweave (CRWV US) and Oracle (ORCL US) have already plunged over 50% from their previous all-time highs.
While conditions for companies supporting the artificial intelligence sector weaken, the exodus of investment from Bitcoin miners represents less of a risk now that the network hashrate has fully recovered from a 25% dip in January. More importantly, ASIC miners released in 2024 and early 2025 remain profitable even at an electricity cost of $0.07 per kilowatt-hour.
The de-escalation of "miner death spiral" fears may have helped instill bullishness among professional fund managers. Large speculators, including hedge funds, have shifted from a net short to a net long position on CME Bitcoin futures, according to a CFTC report published last week. Analyst Tom McClellan noted that two similar historical shifts preceded significant Bitcoin price bottoms.
While no single reversal indicator can confirm if the $60,200 level on Feb. 6 marked the cycle low, the combination of liquidity concerns, fears of excessive AI sector valuations, and resilience in the mining sector could push Bitcoin’s price back toward $75,000 in the near term.
$BTC

M-am gândit mult la cum s-a schimbat piața crypto de-a lungul anilor. În primele zile, părea că orice cu o idee mare ar putea atrage atenția. Apoi a venit faza de creștere, unde ecosistemele și ciclurile de hype au condus totul. Acum, se simte diferit. Spațiul se maturizează, iar performanța nu mai este doar un bonus — este baza.
Aceasta este lentila prin care privesc atunci când mă gândesc la Fogo.
Pentru mine, nu pare să fie o altă rețea care încearcă să fie cea mai zgomotoasă sau să promită cele mai mari cifre. Se simte mai mult ca o echipă concentrată în liniște pe un singur lucru: execuția. Și, sincer, acea concentrare are mai mult sens astăzi decât oricând.

Bitcoin pare să fi format un minim după ce traderii de futures de pe Bursa Mercantile din Chicago au trecut la o poziție net bullish în aprilie 2025. Acum, o schimbare similară de poziționare apare din nou în 2026, crescând șansele unei reveniri BTC pe termen scurt.
Puncte cheie:
• Banii inteligenți au redus expunerea bearish în ultima lună.
• O schimbare comparabilă a sentimentului a dus anterior la o creștere de 70% în 2025 și o creștere de 190% în 2023.

Poziționarea pe futures și semnalele grafice sugerează ambele o posibilă mișcare către $85,000.