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A investigação criminal contra Powell gera incerteza no Fed, o Bitcoin permanece firme
Jerome Powell
POWELL
2026
2026
Bitcoin
BTC
Ouro
OURO
Reserva
RSRV
CoinRank_io
Por CoinRank_io
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A investigação criminal contra Powell gera incerteza no Fed, o Bitcoin permanece firme
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CONTEXTO DA INVESTIGAÇÃO CRIMINAL CONTRA POWELL E A INDEPENDÊNCIA DO BANCO CENTRAL
PRESSÃO POLÍTICA, TRUMP E A TRANSIÇÃO DE LIDERANÇA DO BANCO CENTRAL
EXPECTATIVAS DE CORTE DE TAXA DO BANCO CENTRAL E INCERTEZA POLÍTICA EM 2026

O histórico mostra que os raros anos de queda do Bitcoin foram seguidos por recuperações de três dígitos, mantendo 2026 firmemente na lista de acompanhamento dos traders.
Bitcoin
BTC
$90.965
encerrou 2025 ligeiramente no vermelho, com um retorno de -6,36% após um forte início no ano. Embora a perda anual pareça modesta, os padrões históricos sugerem que anos de queda muitas vezes precederam algumas das maiores alavancadas do Bitcoin.

Principais conclusões:

Historicamente, o Bitcoin teve ganhos médios próximos de 100% no ano seguinte a um ano de queda.

Modelos de longo prazo projetam uma meta substancial próxima de $300.000 se as condições de liquidez se tornarem favoráveis.

Bitcoin 'not likely' to make new all-time high in 2026, says new research
Bitcoin long-term short signals from trading tools led analysis to conclude that no new BTC price all-time high would come this year.

BTC$91,261
faces a new “battle” for control before bulls trigger the next round of BTC price gains, but the long-term outlook is grim.
KEY POINTS:
Bitcoin short-term and long-term perspectives contrast as bears stay in control on high timeframes.A golden cross on the day chart does not cancel out short signals for the rest of the year.A new all-time high is “not likely” as a result.
$87,500 retest next stop for BTC price
In his latest X analysis on Wednesday, KEITH ALAN, cofounder of trading resource Material Indicators, forecast a retest of the 2026 yearly open.
Bitcoin price action is now caught in a tussle between buyers and sellers, but a return to $87,500 is “not a matter of if, but when,” Alan said.

“FireCharts shows a realtime battle unfolding in the $BTC order book,” he said.
“Bulls are trying to defend support at the 2026-01-05 Timescape Level, but Whales appear to be looking for a support test closer to the Yearly Open before a Golden Cross forms on the D chart to trigger the next rally.”

That cross involves the 21-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The former crossing above the latter would indicate renewed strength on lower timeframes.
Before that, however, a support retest of the yearly open is on the wall.
“The battle for it is happening right now,” Alan said, adding:
“If it doesn't happen in the next 24 hours, I expect it will happen after the Death Cross forms on the Weekly chart, around the middle of the month.”

Bitcoin, Ether at “critical inflection points”
Zooming out, other findings had little inspiration for Bitcoin optimists on multimonth timeframes and further out.
Multiple “short” signals, trading tools showed, mean that BTC/USD is unlikely to make new all-time highs before 2027.
“A lot can happen in 6 months that could invalidate it, but at the moment, it’s easy to build a case for price to drop after this current pump loses momentum,” Alan wrote about the six-month chart.
The research held similar conclusions about largest altcoin Ether ETH$3,154, describing both coins as being “at critical inflection points.”
For a true turnaround, one-week relative strength index (RSI) values above 41/100, along with weekly closes above the 50-week SMA at $101,500, are needed.