COIN STACK

Ultimamente, o mercado de criptomoedas parece decepcionante. No gráfico de 4 horas, o Bitcoin está mostrando sinais de baixa, e com base em dados passados, há uma alta chance de que ele possa cair para preencher sua lacuna CME em torno de 88,2k. Além disso, o tão comentado projeto de lei sobre a estrutura do mercado de criptomoedas, que muitos acreditavam que traria bilhões para as altcoins, foi adiado novamente. Esse atraso já prejudicou o sentimento, com as ações da Coinbase e da Robinhood caindo em torno de 6–7%. Olhando para trás, também é decepcionante que, em vez de progresso real, as grandes manchetes de um ano atrás eram lançamentos de moedas meme como Trump e Melania. No geral, o mercado parece preso em um ciclo de hype, atrasos e frustrações repetidas.

Many people enter crypto without understanding the difference between spot trading and futures trading, and this mistake often leads to heavy losses. Both are tools, but they are meant for very different types of users.
What Is Spot Trading?
Spot trading means you buy the actual crypto asset and own it. If you buy Bitcoin on spot, it stays in your wallet until you sell it. There is no expiry, no liquidation, and no pressure to act fast.
For example, if you bought Bitcoin at $20,000 on spot, you can hold it even if the price drops to $15,000 or $10,000. Nothing forces you to sell. This makes spot trading safer and more suitable for beginners and long-term investors.
What Is Futures Trading?
Futures trading means you don’t own the coin. You are only betting on price movement using leverage. Leverage allows you to trade with more money than you actually have, which increases both profits and losses.
For example, using 10x leverage, a small price move against you can wipe out your entire position through liquidation. This is why many beginners lose money quickly in futures.
Why Futures Is Risky for Beginners
Futures trading requires strong discipline, risk management, and emotional control. The market can move suddenly due to news or volatility, and leverage magnifies every mistake. Many new traders enter futures hoping for quick profits, but end up losing capital faster than expected.
+Spot vs Futures: Simple Comparison
+Spot: Own the asset, lower risk, no liquidation
+Futures: No ownership, high risk, liquidation possible
+Spot: Best for learning and long-term growth
+Futures: Suitable only for experienced traders
*Final Thought*
Spot trading helps you survive and learn in the crypto market, while futures trading can destroy capital if used without experience. Beginners should focus on understanding the market through spot before even thinking about leverage. In crypto, protecting your capital is more important than chasing fast profits.
$BTC $ETH $BNB

A estratégia de Michael Saylor parece complexa, mas, no fundo, é na verdade muito simples.
Primeiro, a MSTR arrecada dinheiro vendendo produtos de renda fixa (como títulos). Esses títulos pagam aos investidores um retorno fixo de cerca de 11% ao ano. Por exemplo, se a MSTR arrecadar 1 bilhão de dólares, promete pagar cerca de 110 milhões de dólares a cada ano. Ao longo de 10 anos, o custo total de juros chega a aproximadamente 1,1 bilhão de dólares.
Agora vem a parte importante.
Em vez de manter esse dinheiro ocioso, a MSTR usa os 1 bilhão de dólares para comprar Bitcoin.
O Bitcoin não paga juros fixos, mas seu valor cresce ao longo do tempo. Mesmo assumindo uma taxa de crescimento conservadora de 15% ao ano, esse valor de 1 bilhão de dólares em Bitcoin pode crescer significativamente devido ao efeito de juros compostos. Após 10 anos, esse Bitcoin valeria em torno de 4 bilhões de dólares.

Nem todo cripto beneficiará o que está por vir. Em 6 de outubro de 2025, o mercado de cripto perdeu quase 1 trilhão de dólares, com cerca de 50 bilhões de dólares liquidados. De acordo com Raoul Pal, as exchanges tiveram que intervir e comprar ativos que normalmente não comprariam, e agora essas posições estão sendo vendidas lentamente. É uma das razões pelas quais o mercado está enfrentando forte volatilidade. Dados de longo prazo compartilhados por Benjamin Cowen também destacam tendências anuais importantes a ter em mente.
De uma perspectiva mais ampla, nem todas as moedas são esperadas para se mover em direção positiva. Infelizmente, as tensões geopolíticas globais estão aumentando, o que está adicionando mais incerteza aos mercados. Estamos vendo uma maior envolvimento e pressão dos EUA em diferentes regiões, incluindo Irã, Groenlândia e Cuba. Esses desenvolvimentos não são favoráveis ao mercado e geralmente geram medo e instabilidade. Em tempos de incerteza como este, os mercados normalmente fazem uma das duas coisas: movem-se lateralmente e consolidam, ou tendem a cair. Por causa disso, torna-se importante identificar níveis-chave e entender para onde o Bitcoin poderia ir a seguir.

There is some important news for people interested in crypto. Former President Trump recently shared some statements that could strongly impact Bitcoin in 2026.
New unemployment data has been released and it is better than expected, meaning fewer people are without jobs. At the same time, inflation data shows prices are rising slowly and are likely below 2%. When unemployment goes down and inflation stays low, it shows the economy is strong and stable. This gives the central bank confidence that the economy is healthy. Because of these conditions, markets like Bitcoin can benefit, as investors expect more supportive economic policies ahead.
The economy looks healthy, which helped Bitcoin rise a little recently. However, there is still an open price gap near $88,200, so it's not very positive about Bitcoin in the short term and expects some weakness. In the long term, though, the situation is important because inflation and employment goals are already being met. Since the economy is stable, the central bank does not need to cut interest rates or print more money right now. Doing that could increase inflation again, which is a risk. Overall, short-term caution remains, but long-term conditions are changing in a meaningful way.
When banks are given more money, people borrow more and start spending, which allows businesses to raise prices and causes inflation. Because of this risk, the central bank prefers to keep things as they are instead of adding more money to the system. However, Trump has a different plan. He needs to refinance about $9.5 trillion in debt within a short time period, mostly between January and June. To do this, the government must issue new bonds, and this situation could push policymakers to change their approach to interest rates and liquidity.
With interest rates around 4%, the U.S. government has to pay hundreds of billions of dollars just in interest, which is a big waste of money. If rates were reduced closer to 1%, the savings would be huge and that money could be used for other important needs. Trump understands this problem and believes interest costs matter a lot. Because of this, he plans to appoint a new Federal Reserve chair soon. The leading choices are Kevin Walsh and Kevin Hassett, and both support lower interest rates and policies that make borrowing cheaper.
While the central bank focuses on its goals, the government still needs to reduce how much it pays in interest. The two possible new Federal Reserve leaders are supportive of crypto and lower interest rates. Trump is pushing his own form of money support by increasing military spending from $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion. He said this extra cost would be covered by tariff income, but so far the money collected is much less than expected. There is also a chance that some of this tariff money may have to be returned if the courts rule the tariffs illegal. If that happens, the government may need to create hundreds of billions of dollars more, which could increase money supply and impact markets like crypto.
The extra money needed will likely be created by printing new money. Around $200 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities may be bought by institutions, which is a form of quantitative easing. This puts fresh cash into banks, increases available capital, and reduces financial stress, especially for smaller banks. If interest rates are also lowered under new leadership at the Federal Reserve, borrowing becomes cheaper. Together, more money in the system and lower rates mean higher liquidity, which can strongly impact markets like crypto.
The government is shifting toward a loose monetary policy that essentially forces "quantitative easing" on the economy. By printing money to fund major projects—like the proposed acquisition of Greenland—and implementing the 2025 tax cuts on tips and general income, the administration is bypassing traditional Federal Reserve controls. These massive liquidity injections, overseen by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, are expected to create an inflationary "tailwind" starting in February. While this may cause a period of market consolidation rather than a severe crash, the full impact of this high-risk liquidity won't be truly visible until 2027.making this year a key time to accumulate.$BTC $BTC
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