Web3 Daily Research

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🚨I predicted this WAR
Step 1: Bomb Venezuela
Step 2: Abduct President
Step 3: Steal 303B Barrels of oil
Here’s Trump's secret plan and what's next👇🧵

Before we start...
I was once with $0 in my pocket.
That’s why I give 0.01 $BTC ($1,000) to one person every day, to those who support me and engage with my threads.
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Results in 24h

➠ 1
◈ The US carried out strikes on targets inside Venezuela overnight
◈ Trump publicly claimed Maduro and his wife were captured
◈ Full confirmation across all institutions is still unfolding
◈ Markets will react to power signals before legal clarity
➠ 2
◈ The real driver here is not democracy or drug enforcement
◈ Venezuela holds the largest proven oil reserves on the planet
◈ Energy control equals leverage over inflation and geopolitics
◈ Oil is the fastest strategic asset to seize in a global slowdown
➠ 3
◈ The official narrative will focus on narco - terror and security
◈ That framing creates legal cover for intervention and seizures
◈ The strategic outcome is energy influence, not moral victory
◈ When oil is the objective, messaging becomes secondary
➠ 4
◈ China has been the primary buyer of Venezuelan crude for years
◈ Any forced regime shift rewires global export flows immediately
◈ Losing discounted supply forces China into higher - cost markets
◈ That tightens marginal supply and lifts global risk premiums
➠ 5
◈ Regime change is never a clean one - night operation
◈ Retaliation, sabotage risk, and shipping disruption follow
◈ Insurance costs and logistics friction stay elevated
◈ Even intact production trades with a persistent risk premium
➠ 6
◈ Rising oil prices act as a tax on growth
◈ Inflation fears resurface before central banks are ready
◈ Risk assets sell first, and crypto is treated as high beta
◈ Initial reactions are fear driven, not ideological
➠ 7
◈ The second - order effect is more important than the first
◈ Open intervention accelerates distrust in global power rules
◈ Capital starts looking for non - sovereign value storage
◈ Gold reacts first, Bitcoin follows if distrust persists
➠ 8
◈ The dollar reaction is not linear
◈ Short term crises can strengthen USD via flight to safety
◈ Medium term coercion erodes confidence in the system
◈ Confidence erosion is slow, then sudden, and irreversible
➠ 9
◈ Ignore social media certainty and focus on real signals
◈ Watch oil, credit spreads, and emerging market FX stress
◈ Then track real yields and rate expectations
◈ Crypto follows liquidity conditions with a delay
➠ 10
◈ If oil pushes inflation expectations higher, cuts get harder
◈ Tighter policy extends restrictive financial conditions
◈ Liquidity thins and altcoin bids disappear quickly
◈ Bitcoin holds better because survival is now its core feature
➠ 11
◈ If headlines reverse, expect violent mean reversion
◈ If confirmation stacks, volatility persists for weeks
◈ This is where overtrading narratives destroys accounts
◈ Smaller size and discipline matter more than conviction
➠ 12
◈ Base case if escalation continues
◈ Short term pressure on risk assets and illiquid alts
◈ Medium term BTC strength versus everything else
◈ Long term another structural push toward onchain systems
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Ziņotie zaudējumi no kriptovalūtu makšķerēšanas uzbrukumiem samazinājās par 83% 2025. gadā, nokrītot līdz aptuveni 84 miljoniem USD no gandrīz 494 miljoniem USD iepriekšējā gadā.
Saskaņā ar jauno gada pārskatu, ko sagatavojusi Web3 drošības firma Scam Sniffer, incidents ar "paraksta makšķerēšanu" šķiet samazinās. Tomēr firma brīdināja, ka šis redzamais kritums slēpj tumšāku pamatrealitāti ar sarežģītākiem spēlētājiem.
Dati rāda, ka makšķerēšanas zaudējumi seko kriptovalūtu tirgus cikliem. Gada pārskats atklāj spēcīgu saistību starp krāpšanu un tirgus svārstīgumu. Makšķerēšanas aktivitāte sasniedza maksimumu trešajā ceturksnī, izraisot 31 miljonu USD zaudējumus.