TeamJiX

December 16 Has Passed — What’s Next for the Market?

Let’s first revisit why December 16 was identified as a period of choppiness rather than a major trend phase.

Following the last FOMC meeting, Chair Powell clearly stated that there were no concrete signals for a January rate cut, emphasizing that future decisions would remain strictly data-dependent.

The next key catalyst after FOMC was the Jobs Data released on December 16.

What was the outcome?
The data came in mixed, providing no decisive macro direction. As a result, the market once again failed to establish a strong trend.

At present, market pricing reflects:

- 74.5% probability of no rate cut in January

For a meaningful bullish expansion, we need to see:

- A clear deterioration in economic data
- An increase in rate-cut odds

Until that happens, upside momentum remains limited.

---

What’s the Next Major Catalyst?

Tomorrow evening.

- CPI
- Jobs Data

Until these releases, expectations remain for:

- Consolidation
- Or a mild risk-off environment, rather than a sustained trend

---

Technical Outlook

From a technical perspective:

- BTC is currently sitting at its last major support (86.7K)
- A breakdown below this level opens the door toward 83.7K
- If price holds this structure, a recovery toward 90–92K remains likely

The next directional move will be highly dependent on upcoming macro data and news flow.

---

Final Thoughts

This phase is not only one of the most difficult, but also the most uncertain—where the market typically shakes out impatient participants.

Despite everything:

- $BTC is still down ~8% YoY from January’s close
- If you are still positioned positively, that in itself is an achievement

Survive. Stay patient. Discipline matters most here.

Stay tuned.

Today at 5 PM Pakistan Time, all eyes are on a trio of high-impact U.S. economic indicators:
- Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
- Unemployment Rate
- Average Hourly Earnings

These metrics are more than just numbers—they’re macro catalysts that can shake up the crypto markets in real time. For traders like TeamJiX and others tuned into sentiment and scalping strategies, understanding the implications is essential.

🧠 How Jobs Data Impacts Crypto

The logic is rooted in macroeconomics and monetary policy. Strong labor data often signals inflationary pressure, which can delay interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. That strengthens the U.S. dollar—and historically, a stronger dollar tends to suppress crypto prices.

Let’s break it down:

🔻 Bearish for Crypto
If the data comes in hotter than expected, it’s likely to be bearish:
- NFP > forecast → More jobs added = stronger economy = inflation risk
- Wages > forecast → Higher earnings = more spending = inflation risk
- Unemployment < forecast → Fewer unemployed = tighter labor market = inflation risk

All of this points to delayed rate cuts, a stronger dollar, and weaker crypto.

🚀 Bullish for Crypto
On the flip side, cooler-than-expected data could ignite a rally:
- NFP < forecast → Fewer jobs added = economic slowdown
- Wages cool down → Less wage pressure = lower inflation
- Unemployment rises → More unemployed = softer labor market

This scenario supports rate cuts, weakens the dollar, and gives crypto room to pump.

🧩 The Irony of Macro Trading
In short, for crypto bulls today:
You want fewer jobs, lower wages, and more unemployment.
It’s counterintuitive—but that’s the paradox of macro trading.

So if you’re in this market, you need to understand these dynamics. They’re not just numbers—they’re signals. Stay tuned, stay sharp, and let the data guide your next move.

TeamJiX signing off 🤌🏻
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#USNonFarmPayrollReport #BinanceHODLerOPEN #MarketPullback

🚨 BREAKING: A DEBT STORM IS FORMING$BTC

2026 IS THE REAL PROBLEM.
TRILLIONS IN U.S. DEBT COME DUE AND IT MUST BE REFINANCED AT MUCH HIGHER RATES.
$ETH
CHEAP MONEY ERA IS OVER → INTEREST COSTS EXPLODE → SOMETHING BREAKS.
STOCKS, BONDS, HOUSING, CRYPTO — NO ONE IS SAFE FROM A DEBT WALL THIS BIG.
$SOL
THIS DOESN’T HIT TODAY…
BUT WHEN IT HITS, IT HITS EVERYTHING.

MOST PEOPLE WILL SEE IT AFTER PRICE MOVE
Follow for more details
#BTC90kChristmas #StrategyBTCPurchase

🌐 Globālie / Galvenie kripto atjauninājumi

1. Kripto tirgus badi girawat mein
Bitcoin un Ethereum abi ir redzējuši kritumu zem savām galvenajām atbalsta līnijām, kas rada skeptisku noskaņu.
Tirgū kopumā ir likvidētas daudzas sviras pozīcijas — 24 stundu laikā ziņots par vairāk nekā ~ $19 miljardu aktīvu iznīcināšanu.
2. G20 / FSB ne regulatīvo trūkumus brīdinājuši
Finanšu stabilitātes padome ir teikusi, ka šobrīd kripto regulējumi visā pasaulē ir fragmentēti, un ir daudz trūkumu, ko var izmantot.

Top 5 kriptovalūtu ziņas:
🔹 Bitcoin cena samazinās zem $110,000 tirgus krituma laikā: Kopējā kriptovalūtu tirgus kapitāla vērtība samazinājās par vairāk nekā 2% līdz $3.85 triljoniem, ar Bitcoin, kas cīnās, lai saglabātu virs $109,000, sakrīt ar pieaugošām bailēm tirgū.

🔹 Tas atspoguļo plašāku svārstīgumu, jo investori reaģē uz nesenajām izplūdēm un ekonomiskajiem spiedieniem. Tether mērķē uz $20B finansējuma kārtu ar interesi no SoftBank un Ark: Stabilā monēta izdevējs Tether, iespējams, meklē milzīgu kapitāla palielinājumu, novērtējot to par pusi triljons dolāru, ar lielām spēlēm, piemēram, SoftBank un Ark, kas vēlas pievienoties, gatavojoties potenciālai IPO.