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Tulkot
Bitcoin to $32k in January? the 4-Year Cycle Argument That Has Traders Nervous Bitcoin has tested patience throughout 2025. Instead of a clean continuation higher, the year delivered long periods of sideways action, sharp pullbacks, and failed breakouts that wore down both bulls and bears. Momentum never fully disappeared, but conviction did. For altcoins, the experience was even more painful. Most spent the year underperforming Bitcoin, with rallies fading quickly and liquidity rotating back into majors or stablecoins. That exhaustion is the backdrop for trader Chiefy’s warning. In a recent post, he argued that if the 4-year cycle model still holds, Bitcoin could fall as low as $32,000 in January 2026. It is a bold call, but one rooted in structural comparison rather than short-term news or sentiment. Chiefy’s chart compares the 2021–2022 cycle with the current 2024–2025 structure. In the earlier cycle, Bitcoin traded inside a rising channel and topped near $65,000 and $69,000. Each push above the upper trendline failed, and once the channel broke, price unraveled quickly. Support levels that looked strong on the way up offered little protection on the way down, eventually leading to a deep bear market. On the right side of the chart, the same framework is applied to the current cycle. Bitcoin again moved within a rising channel, posting two major highs near $115,000 and $126,000. Price failed to hold above the upper boundary, and the recent sell-off is framed as the early stage of a larger breakdown rather than a completed correction. From that perspective, the current weakness is not just consolidation, but the beginning of a broader corrective phase.
Bitcoin to $32k in January? the 4-Year Cycle Argument That Has Traders Nervous

Bitcoin has tested patience throughout 2025. Instead of a clean continuation higher, the year delivered long periods of sideways action, sharp pullbacks, and failed breakouts that wore down both bulls and bears. Momentum never fully disappeared, but conviction did. For altcoins, the experience was even more painful. Most spent the year underperforming Bitcoin, with rallies fading quickly and liquidity rotating back into majors or stablecoins.

That exhaustion is the backdrop for trader Chiefy’s warning. In a recent post, he argued that if the 4-year cycle model still holds, Bitcoin could fall as low as $32,000 in January 2026. It is a bold call, but one rooted in structural comparison rather than short-term news or sentiment.

Chiefy’s chart compares the 2021–2022 cycle with the current 2024–2025 structure. In the earlier cycle, Bitcoin traded inside a rising channel and topped near $65,000 and $69,000. Each push above the upper trendline failed, and once the channel broke, price unraveled quickly. Support levels that looked strong on the way up offered little protection on the way down, eventually leading to a deep bear market.

On the right side of the chart, the same framework is applied to the current cycle. Bitcoin again moved within a rising channel, posting two major highs near $115,000 and $126,000. Price failed to hold above the upper boundary, and the recent sell-off is framed as the early stage of a larger breakdown rather than a completed correction. From that perspective, the current weakness is not just consolidation, but the beginning of a broader corrective phase.
Tulkot
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#2025withBinance Start your crypto story with the @Binance Year in Review and share your highlights! #2025withBinance.

👉 Sign up with my link and get 100 USD rewards! https://www.generallink.top/year-in-review/2025-with-binance?ref=852255619
Tulkot
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🏎️ 𝑳𝒆𝒕’𝒔 𝒈𝒐!🚀🎁
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Jūs varat nopelnīt $5–$15 Binance, neieguldot nekādu naudu, izmantojot šos vienkāršos veidus: Pirmkārt #like #share #Comment $BTC $ETH $BNB Binance Square (Rakstiet un iesaistieties): Publicējiet īsus kriptovalūtu atjauninājumus, viedokļus vai ziņas. Patīk un komentējiet citu ierakstus. Aktīvi lietotāji saņem balvas. Ikdienas uzdevumi un balvu centrs: Binance piedāvā nelielus uzdevumus, piemēram, reģistrēšanos, viktorīnas vai mācību aktivitātes. Izpildiet tos, lai nopelnītu balvas. Ieteikumu programma: Kopīgojiet savu ieteikuma saiti. Kad draugi piesakās un tirgojas, jūs saņemat komisiju. Airdropi un kampaņas: Pievienojieties Binance pasākumiem un akcijām. Daudzi piedāvā bezmaksas tokenus tikai par dalību. Nav tirdzniecības. Nav ieguldījumu. Tikai laiks un konsekvence. Ja jūs paliekat aktīvs katru dienu, nopelnīt $5–$15 ir reāli.
Jūs varat nopelnīt $5–$15 Binance, neieguldot nekādu naudu, izmantojot šos vienkāršos veidus:
Pirmkārt
#like #share #Comment $BTC $ETH $BNB
Binance Square (Rakstiet un iesaistieties):
Publicējiet īsus kriptovalūtu atjauninājumus, viedokļus vai ziņas. Patīk un komentējiet citu ierakstus. Aktīvi lietotāji saņem balvas.
Ikdienas uzdevumi un balvu centrs:
Binance piedāvā nelielus uzdevumus, piemēram, reģistrēšanos, viktorīnas vai mācību aktivitātes. Izpildiet tos, lai nopelnītu balvas.
Ieteikumu programma:
Kopīgojiet savu ieteikuma saiti. Kad draugi piesakās un tirgojas, jūs saņemat komisiju.
Airdropi un kampaņas:
Pievienojieties Binance pasākumiem un akcijām. Daudzi piedāvā bezmaksas tokenus tikai par dalību.
Nav tirdzniecības. Nav ieguldījumu. Tikai laiks un konsekvence.
Ja jūs paliekat aktīvs katru dienu, nopelnīt $5–$15 ir reāli.
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Tulkot
Tulkot
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njs-btc
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Pēdējā atlīdzība atbloķēta Binance Cryptomas pasākumā Kalendārs 🗓 1M+ atlīdzības
BINANCE CRYPTOMAS
Tulkot
What does it mean to obtain SquarePages by using bots to get codes from channels without permission?
What does it mean to obtain SquarePages by using bots to get codes from channels without permission?
njs-btc
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Tulkot
yes
yes
Devil9
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Kas ir tirdzniecības pāri un kā tie darbojas Binance?

Tirdzniecības pāri Binance parāda, kā viens aktīvs tiek apmainīts pret citu, piemēram, BTC/USDT vai ETH/BNB. Pirmais aktīvs ir tas, ko jūs pērkat vai pārdodat, un otrais aktīvs ir tas, ko jūs izmantojat maksāšanai vai saņemšanai. Cenas mainās, pamatojoties uz piedāvājumu un pieprasījumu starp šiem diviem aktīviem, palīdzot tirgotājiem mainīt vērtību bez konvertēšanas uz skaidru naudu.
Tulkot
ETH
ETH
The Crypto PROFESSOR_-
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Tulkot
angel's
angel's
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ADA代币可以投资吗(币圈科普)
ADA 当前价格约为 0.37-0.38 USD(根据 CoinMarketCap 和 CoinGecko 数据),较2024年底高点(约1.32 USD)大幅下跌,处于熊市低位。
24小时交易量约5-6亿美元,市值排名前10。市场情绪偏熊市(Fear & Greed Index 约25,极度恐惧),但鲸鱼近期有买入迹象(例如11月鲸鱼买入约2亿美元ADA)。生态系统活跃:Midnight隐私侧链的NIGHT代币交易量激增(达50-80亿美元),DeFi TVL小幅增长,治理和升级(如Ouroboros Leios)正在推进。
短期(2025年底至2026年初)展望
多数预测显示ADA在2025年底可能在 0.36-0.42 USD 区间震荡,甚至可能跌至0.30以下(如果比特币继续承压)。短期内难以大幅反弹,除非有重大催化剂(如ETF批准或宏观宽松)。
中长期(2026及以后)潜力
许多分析机构看好Cardano的长期价值:2026年预测:最低0.44 USD,最高可达2-3 USD(如果升级成功、DeFi/NFT采用增加)。2030年预测:部分乐观者认为可达5-10 USD(基于历史周期、市场份额增长)。优势:学术研究驱动、节能PoS(Ouroboros)、强社区和治理。潜在催化剂:Hydra/Midnight主网、机构合作、可能的美加密储备包括ADA。质押回报:约4-5%年化,适合HODL者。风险:开发速度较慢(被批评“慢条斯理”),DeFi/NFT生态落后于Solana/Ethereum。高度依赖比特币/整体加密市场(相关性0.22-0.5)。监管、地缘政治、量子计算等不确定因素。
总结:适合谁?
适合:长期看好区块链技术、愿意承受波动、计划质押赚取被动收益的投资者。当前低位可能是买入机会(“dip”),但建议分批买入(DCA)。不适合:追求短期暴利、无法承受50%以上回撤、或需要快速流动资金的人。
加密货币投资有极高风险,可能血本无归。这不是投资建议,请自行研究(DYOR),并根据个人财务状况决定。建议分散投资,只用闲钱参与。
Tulkot
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