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Dont_Do_It

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30 Sekotāji
20 Patika
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Viss saturs
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Tulkot
Backtested a popular strategy break and retest on Binance Futures BTCUSDT. Data 12 months of 2025. Here's the results Baseline: - Trades: 227 - Win rate: 60.35% Return (%) - Avg per trade: 17.40% of 1R - Total PnL: 39.5R - Max drawdown: -10.0R Exit mix (% of trades): - TP2: 61 = 26.87% - BE: 76 = 33.48% - SL: 90 = 39.65% Improved it a bit: - Trades: 204 (less trades now) - Win rate: 64.71% (improved win rate) Return (%): - Avg per trade: 1R - Total PnL: 54.0R - Max drawdown: -6.5R Exit mix (% of trades): - TP2: 60 = 29.41% - BE: 72 = 35.29% - SL: 72 = 35.29% in plain English for some folks: If you put in 500 USDT as starting balance, you'd make about $1,185 in profit overall, which is about +237% total on paper. BUT it also had a worst drop of about $300 along the way, which is about -60% from the 500 (meaning at some point the balance could have fallen to around 200 before recovering), so it can look very profitable while still being scary to hold through because the “big dip” can be more than half of what you started with. The backtest accounted in slippage, funding rate, and fees. AND trades are limited to ONLY 1 trade per day. Given the 2025 macroeconomic conditions and what's coming in 2026, I believe this strategy will continue to play out well. I've turned this into a Telegram signal bot. Over the past few days, it has given 6 signals. 4 of which were TP2, 1 was TP1 (50%) and exited at break even, 1 was stopped out. I've been working on a trading bot that will take the signal and turn it into a trade setup (with live order placement API endpoints). Will be sharing trades for your pleasure!
Backtested a popular strategy break and retest on Binance Futures BTCUSDT. Data 12 months of 2025. Here's the results

Baseline:
- Trades: 227
- Win rate: 60.35%

Return (%)
- Avg per trade: 17.40% of 1R
- Total PnL: 39.5R
- Max drawdown: -10.0R

Exit mix (% of trades):
- TP2: 61 = 26.87%
- BE: 76 = 33.48%
- SL: 90 = 39.65%

Improved it a bit:
- Trades: 204 (less trades now)
- Win rate: 64.71% (improved win rate)

Return (%):
- Avg per trade: 1R
- Total PnL: 54.0R
- Max drawdown: -6.5R

Exit mix (% of trades):
- TP2: 60 = 29.41%
- BE: 72 = 35.29%
- SL: 72 = 35.29%

in plain English for some folks:

If you put in 500 USDT as starting balance, you'd make about $1,185 in profit overall, which is about +237% total on paper.

BUT it also had a worst drop of about $300 along the way, which is about -60% from the 500 (meaning at some point the balance could have fallen to around 200 before recovering), so it can look very profitable while still being scary to hold through because the “big dip” can be more than half of what you started with.

The backtest accounted in slippage, funding rate, and fees. AND trades are limited to ONLY 1 trade per day.

Given the 2025 macroeconomic conditions and what's coming in 2026, I believe this strategy will continue to play out well.

I've turned this into a Telegram signal bot. Over the past few days, it has given 6 signals. 4 of which were TP2, 1 was TP1 (50%) and exited at break even, 1 was stopped out.

I've been working on a trading bot that will take the signal and turn it into a trade setup (with live order placement API endpoints). Will be sharing trades for your pleasure!
Tulkot
My partner who knows nothing about bitcoin bought $500 worth of BTC when it was 69k. Promised to hodl for 12 years ending up selling at 110K. Psychology is a bi*ch lol
My partner who knows nothing about bitcoin bought $500 worth of BTC when it was 69k. Promised to hodl for 12 years ending up selling at 110K. Psychology is a bi*ch lol
davut1karabulut
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Pozitīvs
“Ja tu būtu ieguldījis $100 Bitcoin 2010. gadā, tu šodien būtu miljardieris.”

Nav tādas pasaules.

Jo, lai tur nokļūtu, tev būtu jāņem šie $100 un jāpārdzīvo šis ceļojums, neko nedarot:

$100 pārvēršas par $1,000 → tava roka virzās uz pārdošanas pogu, bet tu to nespiež.

Tā kļūst par $100,000 → tu saki “mans dzīvesveids ir mainījies,” un joprojām nepārdod.

Tā sasniedz $1.7 miljonus → tava prāts ir šokēts, tomēr tu joprojām to nesataisi.

Pēc tam tā sabrūk līdz $170,000 → tu nesaki “viss ir beidzies.”

Tā atkal pieaug līdz $110 miljoniem → neviens dolārs nav pārdots.

Tā izkūst līdz $18 miljoniem → nav panikas.

Tā uzkāpj līdz $390 miljoniem → joprojām nav nekādas rīcības.

Tā atkal nokrīt līdz $85 miljoniem → tu turpini teikt “hodl.”

Tā pieaug līdz $1.6 miljardiem → nulle pārdošanas atkal.

Tā atkal nokrīt līdz $390 miljoniem → tava psiholoģija nesabrūk.

Un visbeidzot, tā uzkāpj līdz $2.8 miljardiem...

Un tikai tad - dīvaini - tu izdari savu pirmo soli.

Jā, varbūt tad tu vēl joprojām būtu šie nauda šodien.

Bet patiesā stāsts ir ļoti atšķirīgs:

99% cilvēku pārdod pie $1,000.
0.9% bēg, kad redz $100,000.
0.09% saka “tas man ir pietiekami” pie $1 miljonu.
Atlikusī 0.01% kļūst par leģendām.

Tātad problēma nav agri pirkt.
Problēma ir spēja noturēt neskatoties uz cilvēka dabu.

Šajā stāstā bagātība netiek radīta pēc diagrammām,
bet ar neiznīcināmu psiholoģiju.

#BTC #bitcoin
Tulkot
How could anyone succeed 24 daily trades in a row? Unless u got 10k & don’t care about deep draw backs, probability is virtually ZERO! And 10k to get this is just pure stupidity!
How could anyone succeed 24 daily trades in a row? Unless u got 10k & don’t care about deep draw backs, probability is virtually ZERO! And 10k to get this is just pure stupidity!
Jessica Elizabeth
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Pozitīvs
$ZEC
Ievēro plānu stingri🔥🔥🔥
$GIGGLE
Tulkot
3 years and 10M then proceeds to post 1 month screenshot 😂 it’s so easy to make people believe
3 years and 10M then proceeds to post 1 month screenshot 😂 it’s so easy to make people believe
Helena Rosebury
--
Pozitīvs
Es maksāju savus rēķinus pats! Nepieciešams atkaroties no kāda ✨

Tas ir mans ikmēneša PNL💸🚀

MANAS 3 GADOS KRIPTOVALŪTĀS 🤔
KĀDA IR MANA PIEREDZE ???
Tas viss ir par naudas pārvaldību 🚀

👇 ES IEGUVU VIRS 10 MILJONIEM $ $ETH
$ZEC $TRB 🤑🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀
{future}(TRBUSDT)

{future}(ETHUSDT)

{future}(ZECUSDT)
Tulkot
Quantum computers make for scary headlines. But the first commercial machines are nowhere near breaking Bitcoin. To threaten Bitcoin’s signatures, an attacker would need a fault-tolerant quantum computer with thousands of reliable, error-corrected qubits and long, stable circuits. Today’s devices manage only dozens of logical qubits in carefully controlled labs. They are good for small experiments, not for tearing apart 256-bit cryptography on demand. Even if such a powerful machine appears, an attack has to win a race. Most coins only reveal a public key when you spend them. From that moment, an attacker has roughly one block interval, about ten minutes, to run Shor’s algorithm, extract your key, and get a forged transaction confirmed first. Current and near-term machines are nowhere close to that kind of speed and reliability. Hashing is even safer. Grover’s algorithm can, in theory, speed up brute forcing SHA-256, but it still leaves an effective security level around 128 bits. That is a huge search space, even for a future quantum computer. Finally, Bitcoin is not stuck with its current cryptography. Developers can add quantum-safe signatures and new address types, and give users years to move coins to stronger protection. For quantum to “break Bitcoin” outright, we would need both a surprisingly fast leap in hardware and a long period of human neglect. The threat is real over decades if nobody prepares. From the first generations of commercial quantum computers, it is extremely unlikely.
Quantum computers make for scary headlines.
But the first commercial machines are nowhere near breaking Bitcoin.

To threaten Bitcoin’s signatures, an attacker would need a fault-tolerant quantum computer with thousands of reliable, error-corrected qubits and long, stable circuits. Today’s devices manage only dozens of logical qubits in carefully controlled labs. They are good for small experiments, not for tearing apart 256-bit cryptography on demand.

Even if such a powerful machine appears, an attack has to win a race. Most coins only reveal a public key when you spend them. From that moment, an attacker has roughly one block interval, about ten minutes, to run Shor’s algorithm, extract your key, and get a forged transaction confirmed first. Current and near-term machines are nowhere close to that kind of speed and reliability.

Hashing is even safer. Grover’s algorithm can, in theory, speed up brute forcing SHA-256, but it still leaves an effective security level around 128 bits. That is a huge search space, even for a future quantum computer.

Finally, Bitcoin is not stuck with its current cryptography. Developers can add quantum-safe signatures and new address types, and give users years to move coins to stronger protection. For quantum to “break Bitcoin” outright, we would need both a surprisingly fast leap in hardware and a long period of human neglect.

The threat is real over decades if nobody prepares.
From the first generations of commercial quantum computers, it is extremely unlikely.
Tulkot
Going long in a bear market is just nuts lol
Going long in a bear market is just nuts lol
Nolan RR
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Pozitīvs
Es tev teicu savā iepriekšējā ierakstā, ka $ZEC sasniegs $700 šodien, tagad paskaties uz grafiku 📈
Es to saku vēlreiz: $ZEC sasniegs $1000 pirms dienas beigām.
Neklausies tikai… vaļi krāj. Vienmēr ILGI $ZEC .🐳🔥
Tulkot
The market is no longer the same. The cycle is broken. Price action is confusing. The smart thing to do is to sit and watch. Keep your money on the side.
The market is no longer the same. The cycle is broken. Price action is confusing. The smart thing to do is to sit and watch. Keep your money on the side.
Crypto Yapper
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4 gadu cikls, iespējams, ir beidzies


Tas nozīmē, ka mēs pašlaik veidojam MASIVU lāča slazdu


Pēc tam mēs redzēsim īsto Bullmarket ralliju


Ko tu domā ?
Tulkot
So a 100% winrate and a minimum 25% daily gain? You’re lengendary! 😂😂😂
So a 100% winrate and a minimum 25% daily gain? You’re lengendary! 😂😂😂
Dua_BNB
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Tā ir veids, kā viegli pārvērst 10$ par 8000$🚀💥
$XRP
Tulkot
right 😂
right 😂
Diana James
--
Pozitīvs
Tikai 20 000 $OM tokens varētu padarīt jūs par miljonāru, ja tas sasniegs savu iepriekšējo visu laiku augstāko līmeni!
💰💸💰🚀
$OM kādreiz tirgojās ap $9 par monētu — ja tagad iegādājaties 20k un tas atkal paaugstinās līdz šai cenai, jūs sēdētu uz miljonu dolāru.

#OM #CryptoPotential #ATHGoals
Tulkot
YOUR DAILY MACRO SUMMARYYesterday’s ETF net flow (July 16 2025): • US spot‑BTC ETFs logged $403 million in inflows, led by BlackRock’s IBIT—extending a nine-day streak Largest whale transfer in the past 24 hours: • A dormant “Satoshi-era” whale moved 40,010 BTC (~$4.7 billion) to Galaxy Digital’s OTC desk

YOUR DAILY MACRO SUMMARY

Yesterday’s ETF net flow (July 16 2025):
• US spot‑BTC ETFs logged $403 million in inflows, led by BlackRock’s IBIT—extending a nine-day streak
Largest whale transfer in the past 24 hours:
• A dormant “Satoshi-era” whale moved 40,010 BTC (~$4.7 billion) to Galaxy Digital’s OTC desk
Tulkot
YOUR DAILY MACRO SUMMARYYesterday’s ETF net flow (July 15 2025): • US spot‑BTC ETFs had –$13.2 million net outflows, driven by outflows from Fidelity’s FBTC and Grayscale’s GBTC Largest whale transfer in last 24 hours: • A dormant “Satoshi‑era” whale moved 7,843 BTC (~$920 million) to Galaxy Digital, part of a larger 40k BTC reallocation

YOUR DAILY MACRO SUMMARY

Yesterday’s ETF net flow (July 15 2025):
• US spot‑BTC ETFs had –$13.2 million net outflows, driven by outflows from Fidelity’s FBTC and Grayscale’s GBTC
Largest whale transfer in last 24 hours:
• A dormant “Satoshi‑era” whale moved 7,843 BTC (~$920 million) to Galaxy Digital, part of a larger 40k BTC reallocation
Tulkot
YOUR DAILY MACRO SUMMARY Yesterday’s ETF net flow (July 11): +$1.176 billion into US spot‑BTC ETFs Largest whale transfer in past 24h: • 17,283 BTC ($2.0 billion) moved by a once-dormant whale, plus an internal shift of 9,000 BTC ($977m).
YOUR DAILY MACRO SUMMARY

Yesterday’s ETF net flow (July 11):
+$1.176 billion into US spot‑BTC ETFs

Largest whale transfer in past 24h:
• 17,283 BTC ($2.0 billion) moved by a once-dormant whale, plus an internal shift of 9,000 BTC ($977m).
Tulkot
YOUR DAILY MACRO SUMMARYYesterday’s ETF net flow: • $218 million net inflow into US spot‑BTC ETFs on July 9 Largest whale transfer (last 24 h): • Whales moved 8,603 BTC (~$930 million) in a few hours, including transfers to Binance and Coinbase Institutional

YOUR DAILY MACRO SUMMARY

Yesterday’s ETF net flow:
• $218 million net inflow into US spot‑BTC ETFs on July 9
Largest whale transfer (last 24 h):
• Whales moved 8,603 BTC (~$930 million) in a few hours, including transfers to Binance and Coinbase Institutional
Tulkot
MEMES UPDATEDaily Meme-Coin Alert – 10 Jul 2025, 10:00 AM ICT Market check Altcoin Season Index: 29 BTC dominance: ≈ 64.3 % Meme-tag volume: 7-day average remains under 2× 30-day average Action Buy? No. Conditions not met. Keep cash Exit? No holdings triggered exit rules (2× monthly close, EMA cross, or cycle window). New memes? No token passed all five filters (cap, volume, holders, CEX listing, social growth) Summary Meme market still risk-off. BTC holds dominance. Volume stays muted across top meme coins. Wait for signals to turn green. HOLD.

MEMES UPDATE

Daily Meme-Coin Alert – 10 Jul 2025, 10:00 AM ICT
Market check
Altcoin Season Index: 29
BTC dominance: ≈ 64.3 %
Meme-tag volume: 7-day average remains under 2× 30-day average
Action
Buy? No. Conditions not met. Keep cash
Exit? No holdings triggered exit rules (2× monthly close, EMA cross, or cycle window).
New memes? No token passed all five filters (cap, volume, holders, CEX listing, social growth)
Summary
Meme market still risk-off. BTC holds dominance. Volume stays muted across top meme coins. Wait for signals to turn green. HOLD.
Tulkot
YOUR DAILY MACRO SUMMARYYesterday’s ETF net flow: • US spot‑BTC ETFs saw ≈ $217 million of net inflows on July 7. * BlackRock’s IBIT led with $165 M * Fidelity’s FBTC added $66 M Largest whale transfer in last 24 hours: • Dormant wallets moved 80,000 BTC ($8.6 billion) in eight batches (\~10k BTC each) on July 4 this was likely a transfer, not a sell-off

YOUR DAILY MACRO SUMMARY

Yesterday’s ETF net flow:
• US spot‑BTC ETFs saw ≈ $217 million of net inflows on July 7.
* BlackRock’s IBIT led with $165 M
* Fidelity’s FBTC added $66 M
Largest whale transfer in last 24 hours:
• Dormant wallets moved 80,000 BTC ($8.6 billion) in eight batches (\~10k BTC each) on July 4
this was likely a transfer, not a sell-off
Tulkot
YOUR MORNING MACRO SUMMARYOpening price: $109,558 Overnight % change: +0.46 % (≈ +$501) Yesterday’s ETF net flow: US spot-BTC ETFs saw $407.8 million net inflows on July 2, then $342.2 million net outflows on July 1, marking a cooling after a 15‑day inflow streak Largest whale transfer in the last 24 hours: A dormant whale moved 7,499 BTC (~$816.5 million) to a new wallet about 3 hours ago {spot}(BTCUSDT)

YOUR MORNING MACRO SUMMARY

Opening price: $109,558
Overnight % change: +0.46 % (≈ +$501)
Yesterday’s ETF net flow:
US spot-BTC ETFs saw $407.8 million net inflows on July 2, then $342.2 million net outflows on July 1, marking a cooling after a 15‑day inflow streak
Largest whale transfer in the last 24 hours:
A dormant whale moved 7,499 BTC (~$816.5 million) to a new wallet about 3 hours ago
Tulkot
YOUR DAILY MACRO SUMMARYOpening price: $110,292 Overnight change: Notable 24‑hour swing; latest range suggests ~–1 % to +2 %. Yesterday’s ETF net flow: No clear single-day inflow/outflow figure found today. Latest trends show multi-day fluctuations. Largest whale transfer (last 24 h): 1,519 BTC (~$104 M) moved into Kraken within past 24 hours {spot}(BTCUSDT)

YOUR DAILY MACRO SUMMARY

Opening price: $110,292
Overnight change: Notable 24‑hour swing; latest range suggests ~–1 % to +2 %.
Yesterday’s ETF net flow:
No clear single-day inflow/outflow figure found today. Latest trends show multi-day fluctuations.
Largest whale transfer (last 24 h):
1,519 BTC (~$104 M) moved into Kraken within past 24 hours
Tulkot
YOUR DAILY MACRO SUMMARY(GMT+7) Opening price: $107,268 Overnight change: –0.012 % (≈ –$13) ETF net flow: US spot-BTC ETFs saw continued inflows.Fidelity’s FBTC led with +$166M yesterday Largest whale activity (last 24h): Addresses holding 1,000–10,000 BTC sold over 40,000 BTC this week (≈$4.3B) $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)

YOUR DAILY MACRO SUMMARY

(GMT+7)
Opening price: $107,268
Overnight change: –0.012 % (≈ –$13)
ETF net flow:
US spot-BTC ETFs saw continued inflows.Fidelity’s FBTC led with +$166M yesterday
Largest whale activity (last 24h):
Addresses holding 1,000–10,000 BTC sold over 40,000 BTC this week (≈$4.3B)

$BTC
Skatīt oriģinālu
Es esmu pārliecināts, ka 10 no 10 vismaz pusi no tiem 170 zaudēs 🤣🤣🤣
Es esmu pārliecināts, ka 10 no 10 vismaz pusi no tiem 170 zaudēs 🤣🤣🤣
Rasheed bhutta
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Kā pārvērst $170 par $1,700 3 dienās, izmantojot Pandatraders Binance Pārvērst $170 par $1,700
Pārvērst $170 par $1,700 tikai trīs dienu laikā ir ļoti ambiciozs mērķis, kas prasa agresīvas tirdzniecības stratēģijas un ir saistīts ar būtisku risku. Lai gan Pandatraders var dot jums konkurences priekšrocības, panākumi ir atkarīgi no tirgus apstākļiem, disciplīnas un precīzas izpildes. Šeit ir soli pa solim ceļvedis, lai palīdzētu jums maksimāli palielināt savas izredzes:
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🌀 Soļi, ko sekot
1. Izmantojiet Pandatraders rīkus
Uzlaboti tirdzniecības signāli: Izmantojiet Pandatraders reāllaika signālus, lai identificētu augstas varbūtības darījumus. Koncentrējieties uz aktīviem ar izlaušanās modeļiem vai spēcīgu augšupejošu impulsu.
Skatīt oriģinālu
vai nu klikšķu vilinājums, vai arī tu smēķē kaut ko, kas uz Zemes neeksistē
vai nu klikšķu vilinājums, vai arī tu smēķē kaut ko, kas uz Zemes neeksistē
Vectoria Empair Trading
--
Pozitīvs
$XRP
{spot}(XRPUSDT)
$SHIB
{spot}(SHIBUSDT)
$PEPE
{spot}(PEPEUSDT)
Šeit ir mani paredzējumi par kriptovalūtu vērtībām 2024. gadā:

Shiba Inu: $50

Pepe: $39

XRP: $200

LUNA: $732

Dogecoin: $2502

Sociālie mediji ir pilni ar videoklipiem, kas paredz, ka šīs kriptovalūtas sasniegs šīs cenas 2024. gadā. Šie videoklipi bieži tiek veidoti cilvēku, kuriem ir pamatzināšanas, un šķiet, ka viņi tikai sāk iepazīties ar tirgu.

Jauniem investoriem vajadzētu būt uzmanīgiem attiecībā uz šiem pārlieku optimistiskajiem paredzējumiem. Ir ļoti maz ticams, ka šīs kriptovalūtas sasniegs tik augstas vērtības līdz 2024. gadam. Vienmēr veltiet laiku rūpīgai izpētei pirms ieguldīšanas.

Daudzi iesācēji beidzot iegulda monētās, kas nav aktīvas, un tad paļaujas uz kopienas viedokļiem, bieži vien tāpēc, ka viņi pilnībā nesaprot tirgu. Ir svarīgi labi mācīties un pētniecību veikt pirms ienākšanas kriptovalūtās.

Balstoties uz manu pieredzi, es vēlos dalīties šajā padomā, lai palīdzētu jauniem investoriem izvairīties no kļūdām, ko es izdarīju. Ja esat redzējuši līdzīgus paredzējumus, droši dalieties savās domās.

#writetowin #Write2Earn! #PepeCoinToTheMoon #shiba⚡ #XRPcryptowolf
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