Saif-06

People often says when they book huge losses in market as 'they paid this as fees to market'

NO.

Fees to market is when u lose while learning with risk management, developing conviction and setups not while trading blindly with huge quantities, averaging down every loss.

Learn the difference!
$BTC
#TradeCryptosOnX #OpenClawFounderJoinsOpenAI #PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking

*First Capital Research | Earnings Update | 13 Feb 2026*

*LB FINANCE PLC | MAINTAIN BUY*

_FY26E: LKR 175.0 [+7%]_
_FY27E: LKR 230.0 [+41%]_

*“CAPITAL AND PORTFOLIO DISCIPLINE DRIVE 3QFY26 EARNINGS”*

LFIN recorded a noteworthy performance in 2QFY26, with earnings rising 28.2% to LKR 3.2Bn. The earnings expansion was underpinned by a 21.0%YoY increase in net interest income to LKR 7.9Bn, complemented by a strong 87.7%YoY growth in fee-based income to LKR 2.0Bn. Looking ahead, FCR projects LFIN’s loan book to expand by 14.0% YoY in FY27E, driven by a more balanced portfolio mix. Gold loans are expected to grow 21.1%YoY, increasing its contribution to 45.0% of the total loan book from 41.5% in FY25, as vehicle imports gradually normalize. The deposit base is forecast to grow 19.0%YoY in FY27E, supported by sustained investor confidence and competitive deposit offerings. Deposits are expected to account for c.57.5% of total funding by FY27E, broadly in line with historical levels, while borrowings are projected to remain stable at around 16.5%. Our earnings forecasts remain unchanged, with LFIN expected to generate LKR 14.4Bn in FY26E and LKR 18.7Bn in FY27E, implying 33.2% YoY growth. Accordingly, ROE is anticipated to improve to 24.9% in FY26E and 27.8% in FY27E. We expect LFIN to trade at a PER of 7.0x both in FY26E and FY27E, with PBVs of 1.6x and 1.8x, respectively. Consequently, our target prices remain unchanged at LKR 175.0 per share for FY26E and LKR 230.0 per share for FY27E. We reiterate our BUY recommendation, reflecting an expected annualized return of 41.0% for FY27E, comfortably above our minimum return thresholds. MAINTAIN BUY. *_MAINTAIN BUY_*
$BTC

BTC remains bearish 📉 inside a descending channel; rallies into 67.4K–67.9K supply ⚠️ are sell-preferred while price holds below 68.4K invalidation 🚫.

Downside targets sit at 66K → 65K → 64.4K 🎯, while only a confirmed 2H reclaim above 68.4K shifts bias bullish 🚀.$BTC

*First Capital Research | Daily Equity Watch | 13-Feb-26*

*“Indices advance as HNW activity lifts market turnover”*

The Colombo Bourse posted modest gains over the session, with both major indices climbing steadily after a softer start and accelerating into the afternoon. ASPI rose about 57 points to 23,710, while S&P SL20 advanced 19 points to 6,619. Top positive contributors to the ASPI were HNB, RICH, CTEA, COMB and AEL. Market breadth was evenly split, with 113 stocks declining and 113 advancing, reflecting a balanced session. HNW participation was robust during the session. LKR 1.2Bn worth of TKYO shares were traded, representing 14.0% of total market turnover through crossings. Followed by TJL with LKR 671Mn (7.9%) and SAMP with LKR 367Mn (4.3%). Daily turnover stood at LKR 8.5Bn, marking an increase of 26.5% over the monthly average of LKR 6.7Bn. Materials sector led the daily turnover with a share of 37%, followed by the Banking, and Capital Goods sectors collectively contributing 28%. Foreign investors remained net sellers, posting a net outflow of LKR 986.2Mn.

$BTC
$ETH
$XRP

*“Yield curve eases as T-bond auction concludes”*

The secondary market yields declined across the curve, while buying interest persisted amidst large trading volumes. The PDMO concluded the T-bond auction, with the offers fully subscribed. Over 2029 segment, 15.06.2029, 15.09.2029, 15.10.2029 and 15.12.2029 maturities traded in the range of 9.34%-9.45%. Moving ahead, 01.03.2030, 15.05.2030 and 01.07.2030 traded within the band of 9.55%-9.50%. Further towards mid-term maturities, 15.03.2031, 01.10.2032, 01.06.2033 and 15.09.2034 changed hands at 9.70%, 10.10%, 10.38% and 10.60% respectively. Around the long tenor, 15.06.2035, 01.07.2037 and 15.08.2039 traded at 10.73%, 10.85% and 10.90% respectively. At the T-bond auction, PDMO accepted its initial offer in full, totaling to LKR 51.0Bn. Acceptances on 01.03.2030 and 15.08.2036 maturities were LKR 21.0Bn and LKR 30.0Bn while the weighted average yields stood at 9.52% and 10.73% respectively. On the external front, the LKR appreciated against the USD, closing at LKR 309.39/USD compared to LKR 309.46/USD recorded the previous day. Overnight liquidity in the banking system marginally expanded to LKR 296.71Bn from LKR 296.45Bn recorded previously.
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #XRPHACKED #ETFvsBTC

We have these 2 levels for buying in Gold look for bullish candle confirmation on a level then entry
if you have small Capital try to take entry from Major Level it would be Safe
$ETH
#ETHETFsApproved

*Pirmajā kapitāla pētījums | Ikdienas akciju uzraudzība | 12-Feb-26*

*“Kolombo biržas indeksi nedaudz samazinājās”*

Kolombo birža parādīja mierīgu un nedaudz negatīvu sniegumu sesijas laikā, abiem indeksi tirgojoties sarkanā krāsā. Neskatoties uz agrīno uzbrukumu, abi indeksi nedaudz samazinājās, jo ASPI samazinājās par 3 punktiem līdz 23,653, kamēr S&P SL20 samazinājās par 12 punktiem līdz 6,600. Galvenie negatīvie ieguldītāji ASPI bija RICH, CFIN, JKH, RIL un AEL. Akciju cenas 125 uzņēmumiem samazinājās sesijas laikā, kamēr tikai 106 uzrādīja pozitīvas ieguldījumu. HNW līdzdalība bija ierobežota, un mazumtirdzniecības investoru dalība arī palika mierīga. Ikdienas apgrozījums bija LKR 4.8Bn, kas ir samazinājums par 29.8% salīdzinājumā ar mēneša vidējo rādītāju LKR 6.9Bn. Banku sektors vadīja ikdienas apgrozījumu ar 30% daļu, kam sekoja pārtikas, dzērienu un tabakas, kā arī kapitāla preču sektori, kas kopīgi veidoja 31%. Ārvalstu investori palika tīrie pārdevēji, uzrādot tīru izplūdi LKR 42.8Mn.

*Pirmajā kapitāla izpēte | Ikdienas FI & UT novērojums | 11-Feb-26*

*“Īsā gala ienesīguma līkne redz pirkšanas interesi”*

Valsts parāda pārvaldības birojs noslēdza savu iknedēļas T-bilžu izsoli, kurā tika savākti LKR 90.0Bn, pieņemot pilnībā piedāvāto summu. Svarīgā vidējā ienesīguma līkne nedaudz samazinājās visās termiņos, 3M bilžu ienesīgums samazinājās par 8bps, sasniedzot 7.72%, bet 6M un 12M termiņu ienesīgums samazinājās par 10bps un 2bps, sasniedzot attiecīgi 8.07% un 8.31%. Otrā tirgus ienesīguma līkne novēroja pirkšanas interesi īsajos termiņos, lai gan ar mēreniem apjomiem un ierobežotu kopējo aktivitāti. Ienesīgumi nedaudz samazinājās visā ienesīguma līknē salīdzinājumā ar iepriekšējo nedēļu. Starp tirgotajām dzēšanām 15.10.2028 obligācija tika tirgota ar 9.05%, bet 15.06.2029, 15.07.2029, 15.10.2029 un 15.12.2029 tika tirgoti 9.35%–9.50% diapazonā. Turpinot gar līkni, 01.03.2030, 01.07.2030 un 15.10.2030 tika tirgoti 9.60%–9.65% diapazonā. 15.03.2031 un 15.12.2032 dzēšanas termiņi tika citēti ar 9.80% un 10.15%, attiecīgi. Turklāt 01.06.2033 un 01.11.2033 tika tirgoti ap 10.45%–10.50%, bet 15.06.2034 dzēšanas termiņš mainīja rokas ar 10.65% likmi. Ārējā frontē LKR devalvējās pret USD, noslēdzoties ar LKR 309.46/USD salīdzinājumā ar LKR 309.45/USD, kas tika fiksēts iepriekšējā dienā.

💰 $67K target successfully achieved.
$BTC

However, if price fails to reclaim and hold above this level, the next downside target lies in the $60K-$63K range.
#USRetailSalesMissForecast #WhaleDeRiskETH #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund

Why Win Rate Doesn’t Matter

✔️ It’s all about risk–reward
A trade with 1:5 R:R can make more than five small winners combined.

✔️ Low win rate ≠ losing trader
Even 30% winners can grow your account if your R:R is strong.

✔️ Example

30% winners × 5:1 R:R → ~166% net return
You lose often, but winners dominate growth.

✔️ Focus on big wins, not every win
Don’t chase perfection. Let your edge produce asymmetric gains.

✔️ Stop letting loss frequency scare you
Frequent small losses are normal; big wins are the engine of profits.

✔️ Discipline + R:R > win rate
The market rewards proper planning, sizing, and patience—not guessing right.

✔️ Mindset tip
Think probabilities, not outcomes. Accept losses and let winners carry the account.

Key takeaway:
A 30% win rate can outperform a 70% win rate if R:R is managed properly. Focus on edges, risk, and disciplinenot counting wins.

$SOL
💰 Solana’s been stuck under the $90 resistance for four days straight, with heavy sell pressure keeping it pinned down.

Bulls can’t push through, looks clearly bearish.
#sol #USTechFundFlows

$ETH
$BNB
$XRP

we can see this move in gold for sale side if candle closes below the level
#USTechFundFlows #GoldenOpportunity #WhaleDeRiskETH

💰 #BTC sideways for 3–4 weeks in yellow box before dropping into the red box.
$BTC
#BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #WhenWillBTCRebound

*First Capital Research | Daily FI & UT Watch | 9-Feb-26*

*“Sustained buying interest nudges mid and long tenor yields down”*

The week began with sustained buying interest in the secondary market, amidst moderate trading volumes. Along with this backdrop, some mid and long tenor maturities saw yields edge down. In the short-term segment, 15.02.2028 traded at 9.00%, while both 01.05.2028 and 01.07.2028 traded in the range of 9.03%-9.06%. Additionally, 15.10.2028 traded at 9.14%. Moving along, 15.12.2029 changed hands at 9.55%. Further in the mid-term cluster, 01.03.2030, 01.03.2031, 15.12.2032, 01.06.2033 and 15.06.2034 traded at 9.65%, 9.88%, 10.18%, 10.50% and 10.70% respectively. Over the long-term maturities, 15.06.2035, 01.07.2037 and 15.08.2039 traded at 10.80%, 10.98% and 11.02% respectively. On the external front, the LKR appreciated against the USD, closing at LKR 309.38/USD compared to LKR 309.46/USD recorded the previous day. Overnight liquidity in the banking system slightly expanded to LKR 278.20Bn from LKR 275.19Bn recorded previously.

*-First Capital Research-*

President Trump reiterates his 100,000 target for the Dow Jones.

5 & 10 EMA — Unique Lesson (Short Points)

5 EMA = immediate pressure

10 EMA = short-term control

EMAs are context, not entry signals

Trend is strong when price stays on one side of both

Chop when candles cut through 5 & 10 repeatedly

Best pullbacks happen into the 5–10 EMA zone

Shallow pullbacks = trend health

Deep pullbacks past 10 EMA = weak momentum

First trend warning: closes on wrong side of both EMAs

Flattening EMAs = momentum leakage

Use on 5m–15m (execution), 1h (pressure)

Avoid during low-volume / ranging sessions

EMAs tell you when to stay aggressive, not when to enter

$BTC

In 2011, someone bought 10,000 Bitcoin for $7,805 at $0.78 and 14 years later sold it for $1.09 billion at $109,246.

That’s a 140,000x return on investment.
#BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #RiskAssetsMarketShock #WhaleDeRiskETH

🇺🇸 ATJAUNINĀJUMS: ASV stratēģiskā Bitcoin rezerves summa ir samazinājusies par gandrīz 5 miljardiem dolāru kopš tās dibināšanas, jo $BTC ir samazinājies par 45% no tā augstākā punkta.