Flamnozi

29. dienā uzmanība tiek pievērsta portfeļa pārvaldībai. Lai nodrošinātu, ka jūsu stratēģijas darbojas nevainojami, jums aktīvi jāuzrauga risks jūsu portfelī. Atslēga uz to ir korelācijas izpratne un diversifikācijas īstenošana.
📉 Korelācijas izpratne
Korelācija mēra, cik iespējams, ka divi aktīvi (piemēram, BTC un ETH) pārvietojas kopā cenu izteiksmē. Vērtība svārstās no -1.0 līdz +1.0.

Svarīga atziņa: Kriptovalūtu tirgū lielākajai daļai altkoīnu ir augsta pozitīva korelācija ar BTC. Tas nozīmē, ka, ja BTC sabrūk, gandrīz visi jūsu altkoīni arī sabruks.

We conclude our deep dive into Technical Analysis by focusing on Reversal Candlestick Patterns. These patterns are the most immediate form of price action and provide crucial signals that the current trend (up or down) is about to change.
​Mastering these signals, combined with key S/R levels (Day 18) or Order Blocks (Day 24), offers some of the highest-probability trading opportunities.
​🎯 Three Powerful Reversal Pattern
​We will focus on the most reliable patterns that clearly show the market's conviction is shifting.
​1. Engulfing Pattern (Strongest Signal)
What it is: A two-candle pattern where the body of the second candle completely engulfs the body of the first candle.
​Bullish Engulfing: Occurs after a downtrend. The second (green/bullish) candle's body is much larger than, and covers, the first (red/bearish) candle's body. Signals a strong shift to buying pressure.​Bearish Engulfing: Occurs after an uptrend. The second (red/bearish) candle's body covers the first (green/bullish) candle's body. Signals a strong shift to selling pressure.
​2. Hammer/Inverted Hammer (Pin Bar)

​What it is: A single candlestick with a small body and a very long wick (shadow) that is at least twice the length of the body.

​Bullish Hammer: Occurs at the bottom of a downtrend. The long lower wick shows sellers attempted to push the price down but buyers rejected the move and pushed the price back up before the close. Signals Support rejection.​Inverted Hammer: Occurs at the bottom of a downtrend (or top of an uptrend, called a Shooting Star). The long upper wick shows buyers attempted to push the price up but sellers rejected the move.
​3. Morning Star / Evening Star (Triple Threat)
​What it is: A powerful three-candle pattern showing a transitional period of indecision followed by conviction.
​Morning Star (Bullish): A large bearish candle, followed by a small indecision candle (Doji/Spinning Top), followed by a large bullish candle. Signals reversal from bearish to bullish.​Evening Star (Bearish): A large bullish candle, followed by a small indecision candle, followed by a large bearish candle. Signals reversal from bullish to bearish.
​📈 Trading Confirmation

​Always use these patterns in conjunction with other tools:
​Context is Key: A Bullish Engulfing candle is only a high-probability trade if it occurs at a strong Support level (SMC Order Block, Fibonacci 0.618, etc.).​Volume: Confirmation is stronger if the reversal candle (the second or third candle in the pattern) closes with higher than average volume.
​Pro Tip: Focus on patterns forming on the 4-hour (4H) or Daily (1D) charts. Reversal signals on lower timeframes (like the 5-minute chart) are often unreliable noise.​Question: Which reversal candlestick pattern do you find easiest to spot and most reliable for taking a high-conviction trade? Share your favorite pattern in the comments!#candlestick_patterns #ReversalPatterns #priceaction #techinicalanalysis $BNB $XRP $SOL

Mēs esam nonākuši pie mūsu 25 dienu tirdzniecības sērijas noslēguma! Šo 25 dienu laikā esam apskatījuši visu, sākot no tirgus pamatiem un EMA krustojumiem līdz MACD novirzēm, SMC un kritiskai riska pārvaldībai.
Šodien mēs apkopsim, kā integrēt visas šīs mācības praktiskā, rīcībspējīgā tirdzniecības plānā. Strukturēts plāns ir vienīgais veids, kā nodrošināt, ka jūsu darījumi ir emocionāli neitrāli un sistemātiski.
📝 Veiksmīgas tirdzniecības plāna 4 pīlāri
1. Tirgus analīze (Iestatījums)
Laika posma novirze (Diena 17, 18, 24): Sāciet ar augstākiem laika posmiem (4H/1D), lai noteiktu kopējo tendences virzienu (bullish/bearish). (piemēram, "4H rāda apstiprinātu bullish tendenci.")

We introduce Smart Money Concepts (SMC), a framework professional traders use. SMC aims to track the actions of market creators (Banks, Institutions, and Whales) and enter trades where their Order Blocks reside.
​The core principle of SMC is that after Liquidity has been swept (cleared out), the price often returns to the areas where the Whales' actual Buy/Sell orders were initially placed.
​🧱 Key Components of SMC
​1. Liquidity Sweep (Liquidity Grab)
​What it means: This is the Stop-Loss Hunt we discussed on Day 23.​Significance: This action signals that the market has gathered the necessary fuel (orders) before making a sustained directional move.
​2. Order Block (OB)
​What it means: The last large candle that caused the sharp impulsive move before the Liquidity Sweep or the major trend change.​Significance: This candle represents the zone where the Whales' remaining Buy/Sell orders (known as unfilled orders) are resting.
​3. Fair Value Gap (FVG) / Imbalance
​What it means: A price gap left between three consecutive candles due to an aggressive, impulsive move.​Significance: The market often has a tendency to return and "fill" this inefficiency or gap.
​🎯 How to Trade with SMC (Bullish Entry)
​Wait for the Liquidity Sweep: Observe the price pierce below a previous Support with a long wick, clearing out Stop-Losses.​Identify the Order Block (OB): Mark the last bearish candle (red candle) that occurred just before the market aggressively moved up from the Sweep.​Wait for Entry: After the price sweeps and moves up, wait for the price to drop back to Retest the identified OB area.
​Entry/SL/TP:​Entry: Enter at the start or mid-point of the OB.​Stop-Loss (SL): Place the SL just below the bottom of the OB.​Take Profit (TP): Target the previous Highs (Liquidity) that were formed before the price drop.Crucial Tip: SMC works best on Higher Timeframes (4H, 1D) and should be used to establish your Directional Bias before looking for a precise entry.​Question: Out of the three SMC components (Liquidity Sweep, OB, FVG), which one do you find provides the best confirmation for your trade entry? Discuss your preference in the comments!​#smc #SmartMoneyConcepts #orderblock #liquidity #BinanceABCs $BNB $ETH $BTC

mēs pārvietojamies ārpus pamata Tehniskās analīzes (TA), lai apspriestu spēcīgo spēku, kas stāv aiz tirgus kustībām: likviditāte. Likviditāte attiecas uz pieejamo pircēju un pārdevēju skaitu konkrētā cenu punktā.
Vaļi (lieli tirgus dalībnieki) aktīvi meklē un izmanto likviditāti, lai viegli un efektīvi piepildītu savus lielos rīkojumus, neizdarot nopietnu spiedienu uz tirgu pret sevi pirms laika.
🐳Kur uzkrājas likviditāte?
Likviditāte parasti uzkrājas līmeņos, kur lielākā daļa mazumtirdzniecības tirgotāju ievieto savus Stop-Loss (SL) rīkojumus vai savus Limit Orders (rīkojumus pirkt/pārdot par noteiktu cenu).

We are moving into advanced technical tools today with Fibonacci Retracement. This tool is essential for finding the most likely areas where the price will pull back to before continuing its original trend. It helps you pinpoint high-probability entry points with precision.
​📐 What is Fibonacci Retracement?
​The Fibonacci sequence is a mathematical relationship found in nature and markets. When applied to trading, it provides horizontal lines that represent key support and resistance levels.
🎯 How to Draw and Trade with Fibonacci

​Identify the Trend: Wait for a clear, established trend (either up or down).​Draw the Tool (Uptrend): For a Long Trade (buying the dip), draw the Fibonacci tool from the Swing Low (0%) to the most recent Swing High (100%).​Find Entry: Look for the price to fall into the Golden Pocket (0.618 to 0.5) zone. This zone offers the best balance of risk and reward for buying.​Confirm Entry: Do not buy just because the line is hit. Wait for a confirmation signal (like a MACD Bullish Crossover or a bullish engulfing candle) at the 0.618 or 0.5 level.
​Risk Management Tip: When buying the 0.618 level, your Stop-Loss should be placed just below the next major support, often the 0.786 or the original swing low.​Question: Do you rely more on the 0.618 (Deep Entry) or the 0.382 (Shallow Entry) for your high-probability trades? Why? Share your Fibonacci preference in the comments!
​#Fibonacci #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldenRatio #PrecisionTrading $ZEC $IRYS $FHE

We conclude our three-week challenge on Day 21 with Trading Psychology. Remember: Strategy accounts for only 20% of your success; the remaining 80% is emotional control and discipline.
​Let's look at how professional traders manage their emotions to stay consistently profitable.
🔑 Discipline for Long-Term Succes
​Do Not Move Your Stop-Loss: If your Stop-Loss is hit, accept it. Never move your Stop-Loss further away to avoid realizing a loss; this leads to catastrophic outcomes.​Keep a Trade Journal: Write down your successes and your mistakes. This shifts your focus from emotions to lessons learned, fostering data-driven trading.​Set Personal Rules: Create strict rules for yourself, such as limiting the number of trades per day or stopping trading after two consecutive losses.
​The Main Point: You cannot control the market. What you can control are your decisions. Trade strictly by your rules, not your feelings.​Question: What is your most effective method for maintaining trading psychology and calmness (e.g., meditation, physical exercise, journaling) during high-volatility periods? Share your tip in the comments!​#TradingPsychology #Discipline #FOMO #RiskManagement #mindset

Day 20 is dedicated to the most crucial aspect of trading: Risk Management. No matter how good your strategy is, you cannot profit consistently in the long run without mastering the Risk/Reward (R/R) Ratio.
​The R/R Ratio measures the relationship between the money you risk and the profit you aim to make on a single trade.
​📐 Calculating the Risk/Reward (R/R) Ratio
​There are three main steps to calculate your R/R Ratio:
​Step 1: Define Your Risk (R)
​Risk (R) = Entry Price - Stop-Loss Price​Example: If you buy at $15.00 and place your Stop-Loss at $14.50, your Risk (R) is $0.50.
​Step 2: Define Your Reward (R)
​Reward (R) = Take Profit Price - Entry Price​Example: If you buy at $15.00 and place your Take Profit at $17.00, your Reward (R) is $2.00.
​Step 3: Calculate the R/R Ratio
​R/R Ratio = Reward / Risk​Calculation: $2.00 / $0.50 = 4.0​Meaning: This trade is 1:4. This means you are aiming to make $4 for every $1 you risk.​The Golden Rule: You should only enter trades with an R/R Ratio of 1:2 or higher. A lower R/R ratio means your probability of winning must be unrealistically high to make money.​💡 Calculating Trade Size Using R/​Professional traders follow the 1% to 2% Rule, risking only 1% to 2% of their total portfolio capital per trade. (E.g., If your portfolio is $10,000, you only risk $100 or $200).​Capital Risk (Dollar Amount): 1% of $10,000 = $100​Price Risk: $0.50 (From Step 1)​Trade Size (Number of Coins to Buy): Capital Risk / Price Risk​Calculation: $100 / $0.50 = 200 Coins​Result: If your Stop-Loss hits, you lose exactly $100. If your Take Profit hits, you gain $2.00 x 200 = $400, achieving that 1:4 ratio.​Critical Tip: Your Stop-Loss is the key determinant of your R/R Ratio. Ensure it is placed at a technically sound location (e.g., just below a major Support Level) and not just based on where you want to risk $100.​Question: What is the minimum acceptable R/R Ratio you allow yourself to trade with (e.g., 1:2, 1:3, 1:4), and why? Share your risk discipline in the comments!#RiskManagement #RiskReward #TradeSize #CryptoEducation💡🚀 $ZEC $INJ

Mēs pielietojam Atbalsta un Pretestības (S/R) Līmeņus, kurus mācījāmies vakar, uz Pārkāpumu Tirdzniecības Stratēģiju. Pārkāpums notiek, kad cena šķērso svarīgu Pretestības vai Atbalsta līmeni, norādot uz jaunas momentum fāzes sākumu.
Tirdzniecība ar pārkāpumiem piedāvā augstu peļņas potenciālu, tomēr pastāv nemitīgs risks iekrist Viltus Pārkāpumā (vai 'viltus izlaušanās').
🛠️ Pretestības Pārkāpuma Stratēģijas 3 Soļi
Mēs koncentrēsimies uz tirdzniecību ar Pretestības Pārkāpumu (Ilgā Ieguldījuma) lai noķertu augšupejošā tendence turpināšanos.

we tackle the most fundamental and critical concept in Technical Analysis (TA): accurately defining Support (S) and Resistance (R) levels.
S​/R levels are the starting point for all trading, as they highlight areas where the price is likely to pause, reverse, or accelerate its trend.
​📐 How to Define Support & Resistance (S/R)
​1. Support (S)
​Definition: Connect the previous Low points where the price was declining but then reversed and moved up (Bounced).​Function: This is the area where buying pressure is expected to absorb selling pressure, often considered the "Waiting Area for Buyers."
​2. Resistance (R)
​Definition: Connect the previous High points where the price was rising but then reversed and moved down (Rejected).​Function: This is the area where selling pressure is expected to overwhelm buying pressure, often considered the "Waiting Area for Profit-Takers."
​The strength and reliability of an S/R level can be determined by the following factors:​Frequency of Contact: The more times the price touches and respects a level, the stronger that level becomes. (e.g., A level respected 3 times is stronger than one respected once.)​Timeframe: S/R levels identified on Higher Timeframes like the Daily (1D) or Weekly (1W) charts are significantly more reliable than those on a 1-Hour chart.​Role Reversal (Flip): A strong Resistance level, once broken and passed, often returns to act as a strong new Support level (known as an S/R Flip).💡 Measuring the Strength of S/R LevelThe strength and reliability of an S/R level can be determined by the following factors:​Frequency of Contact: The more times the price touches and respects a level, the stronger that level becomes. (e.g., A level respected 3 times is stronger than one respected once.)​Timeframe: S/R levels identified on Higher Timeframes like the Daily (1D) or Weekly (1W) charts are significantly more reliable than those on a 1-Hour chart.​Role Reversal (Flip): A strong Resistance level, once broken and passed, often returns to act as a strong new Support level (known as an S/R Flip).
​Trading Tip: Always think of S/R as a Zone or Area rather than a single, thin line. The price may not touch the exact line but reverse from the general vicinity.​Question: In your trading, what is the single strongest factor that defines a powerful Support or Resistance level for you (e.g., All-Time High, Round Number, the 200 MA)? Share your criterion in the comments!#supportandresistance #techinicalanalysis #SRFlip #TradingFoundation $ZEC $KITE $INJ

Mēs iedziļināmies visjaudīgākajā signālā, ko ģenerē MACD indikators: novirze. Novirze bieži ir agrākais brīdinājuma signāls, ka tendences apgriešana ir neizbēgama, dažreiz notiek pirms cena pat parāda būtiskas izmaiņas.
🎯 Ieejas punktu meklēšana ar novirzi (3 soļi)
Identificēt: Salīdziniet cenu zemākās/augstākās vērtības ar MACD zemākajām/augstākajām vērtībām, lai pamanītu pretēju kustību (novirze).Apstiprināt: Nemēģiniet tirgoties uzreiz pēc novirzes pamanīšanas. Gaidiet apstiprinājumu, piemēram, MACD šķērsojot savu signāla līniju (šķērsošana) vai cenu pārkāpjot svarīgu tendences līniju.

Sveiki, sekotāji! 👋
mēs pētot MACD (vidējā kustīgā konverģences divergences) indikatoru, kas ir būtisks rīks, kas papildina EMA krustošanās stratēģiju, ko mēs mācījāmies vakar. Tas tiek izmantots, lai izmērītu tendences virzienu un momentu (spēku).
MACD ir būtisks, lai apstiprinātu optimālos ieejas punktus, jo tas parāda spēku, kas slēpjas cenu kustībā.
📊 MACD indikatora galvenie komponenti
MACD sastāv no trim galvenajiem elementiem, kas parasti tiek attēloti zem galvenā cenu diagrammas:
MACD līnija (ātrā līnija): Parāda atšķirību starp 12 dienu EMA un 26 dienu EMA. (Ātri reaģē uz cenu.)