btcminingdifficultyincrease

⬆️ The chart you're sharing captures the classic Bitcoin cycle pattern that has repeated across multiple halvings

From the $20K bottom in the 2022 bear market, we saw the explosive climb past the previous all-time high of ~$69K, peaking around $120K+ in the recent bull run (as marked on your graph)

Now, in early 2026, Bitcoin trades around $67,000–$68,000 after a notable -13.8% monthly drop, sitting in what many view as a consolidation or correction phase post-peak

This setup mirrors historical "history repeats" behavior in prior cycles:

Post-2017 peak (~$20K cycle top) → deep bear → accumulation → 2020–2021 bull to $69K

Post-2021 peak → 2022 bear to ~$16K–$20K → 2024–2025 bull to $120K+ territory

The green trendline and arrows suggest we're potentially entering (or already in) the buildup toward the next major leg up, fueled by the upcoming 2028 halving (expected around March–April 2028, reducing block rewards to 1.5625 BTC)

Halvings historically catalyze supply shocks that — combined with growing demand from institutions, ETFs, potential nation-state adoption, and macro tailwinds — drive parabolic moves

Are you ready for another run?

Absolutely — if the cycle thesis holds

Bitcoin has never failed to deliver a new all-time high cycle after each halving

The current dip from $120K highs looks like a healthy reset (similar to mid-cycle corrections in 2017 or 2021), not a cycle-ender

Volume remains solid, on-chain metrics show accumulation by long-term holders, and macro factors (like persistent inflation concerns and fiat debasement) continue favoring hard assets like BTC. The question isn't if another major run comes — it's when and how explosive

Many analysts expect the real fireworks in 2027–2028 leading into and after the halving, with diminishing but still significant returns compared to early cycles

What do I think BTC price could be in 2028?

Predictions vary wildly because cycles get more mature and volatile as market cap grows, but here's a realistic range based on patterns and forecasts:Conservative scenario (~2–3x from current levels): $150,000–$250,000

This assumes tempered gains, regulatory headwinds, or macro slowdowns — still a strong outcome

Base/moderate case (historical cycle average adjusted for maturity): $300,000–$500,000

Aligns with many post-halving targets, power-law models, and continued institutional inflow.
Bullish/outlier views (echoing voices like Arthur Hayes): $750,000–$1,000,000+. Hayes has repeatedly called $1M by 2028, tied to aggressive monetary policy, potential U.S. strategic reserves, and fiat system pressures

Extreme stock-to-flow extensions even float higher, but $1M would require perfect storm conditions.

My personal lean?

Somewhere between $350,000–$600,000 by end of 2028 feels plausible if the halving ignites another strong bull phase and adoption accelerates (especially politically). We're likely midway through this supercycle — the "?" on your chart could resolve much higher than $120K before the next bear

The key: stay disciplined, manage risk, and remember Bitcoin rewards patience through volatility. History hasn't broken yet — are you positioned for the next leg?

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