Web3 Daily Research

中国は経済に数兆ドルを注入した。
コロナ禍以来最大の流動性注入だ。
金は1万ドル、銀は150ドルまで急騰する可能性がある。
この動きは、私たちの生涯で最大の商品逼迫を引き起こす可能性がある。
その理由は：
左のチャート（M2マネーサプライ）を見てください。
中国は現在、コロナ危機を除いて、史上最大の貨幣拡大を実行している。
中国のM2マネーサプライは急上昇し、現在48兆ドル（米ドル換算）を上回っている。
参考までに、これは米国のM2マネーサプライの2倍以上に相当する。

🚨I predicted this WAR
Step 1: Bomb Venezuela
Step 2: Abduct President
Step 3: Steal 303B Barrels of oil
Here’s Trump's secret plan and what's next👇🧵

Before we start...
I was once with $0 in my pocket.
That’s why I give 0.01 $BTC ($1,000) to one person every day, to those who support me and engage with my threads.
To enter: jn my tg, follow, like, repost, and leave a comment under this article.
Results in 24h

➠ 1
◈ The US carried out strikes on targets inside Venezuela overnight
◈ Trump publicly claimed Maduro and his wife were captured
◈ Full confirmation across all institutions is still unfolding
◈ Markets will react to power signals before legal clarity
➠ 2
◈ The real driver here is not democracy or drug enforcement
◈ Venezuela holds the largest proven oil reserves on the planet
◈ Energy control equals leverage over inflation and geopolitics
◈ Oil is the fastest strategic asset to seize in a global slowdown
➠ 3
◈ The official narrative will focus on narco - terror and security
◈ That framing creates legal cover for intervention and seizures
◈ The strategic outcome is energy influence, not moral victory
◈ When oil is the objective, messaging becomes secondary
➠ 4
◈ China has been the primary buyer of Venezuelan crude for years
◈ Any forced regime shift rewires global export flows immediately
◈ Losing discounted supply forces China into higher - cost markets
◈ That tightens marginal supply and lifts global risk premiums
➠ 5
◈ Regime change is never a clean one - night operation
◈ Retaliation, sabotage risk, and shipping disruption follow
◈ Insurance costs and logistics friction stay elevated
◈ Even intact production trades with a persistent risk premium
➠ 6
◈ Rising oil prices act as a tax on growth
◈ Inflation fears resurface before central banks are ready
◈ Risk assets sell first, and crypto is treated as high beta
◈ Initial reactions are fear driven, not ideological
➠ 7
◈ The second - order effect is more important than the first
◈ Open intervention accelerates distrust in global power rules
◈ Capital starts looking for non - sovereign value storage
◈ Gold reacts first, Bitcoin follows if distrust persists
➠ 8
◈ The dollar reaction is not linear
◈ Short term crises can strengthen USD via flight to safety
◈ Medium term coercion erodes confidence in the system
◈ Confidence erosion is slow, then sudden, and irreversible
➠ 9
◈ Ignore social media certainty and focus on real signals
◈ Watch oil, credit spreads, and emerging market FX stress
◈ Then track real yields and rate expectations
◈ Crypto follows liquidity conditions with a delay
➠ 10
◈ If oil pushes inflation expectations higher, cuts get harder
◈ Tighter policy extends restrictive financial conditions
◈ Liquidity thins and altcoin bids disappear quickly
◈ Bitcoin holds better because survival is now its core feature
➠ 11
◈ If headlines reverse, expect violent mean reversion
◈ If confirmation stacks, volatility persists for weeks
◈ This is where overtrading narratives destroys accounts
◈ Smaller size and discipline matter more than conviction
➠ 12
◈ Base case if escalation continues
◈ Short term pressure on risk assets and illiquid alts
◈ Medium term BTC strength versus everything else
◈ Long term another structural push toward onchain systems
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2025年の暗号通貨フィッシング攻撃による報告された損失は83%減少し、前年の約4億9400万ドルから約8400万ドルに落ち込みました。
Web3セキュリティ会社Scam Snifferの新しい年次報告書によると、「署名フィッシング」の事件は減少しているようです。しかし、同社はこの目に見える減少がより洗練された行為者のより暗い根本的現実を覆い隠していると警告しました。
データはフィッシング損失が暗号市場のサイクルを追跡していることを示しています。年次報告書は、詐欺と市場のボラティリティの間に強い相関関係があることを明らかにしています。フィッシング活動は第3四半期にピークに達し、3100万ドルの損失をもたらしました。