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🧐 Market snapshot

Bitcoin (BTC) recently touched highs around ~$125,000, then pulled back more than 20% to trade around the ~$100,000 level.

The total crypto market cap has fallen significantly from its early-October peak, erasing nearly all of 2025’s gains.

Sentiment indicators are flashing caution: the “Fear & Greed” index is down to very low levels, signalling heightened fear among investors.



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🔍 What are the key drivers?

Macro headwinds: Higher interest rates, tighter liquidity and global economic uncertainty are weighing on risk assets — including crypto.

Technical/structural weakness: Bitcoin broke below key support (~$100,000) and large leveraged long positions were liquidated, accelerating the pullback.

Institutional flows lagging: While institutions remain interested, momentum is slowing and new inflows are muted relative to previous rallies.



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✅ What to watch & potential paths

If Bitcoin can hold above ~$100,000 and bounce, it could stabilise and set up for a recovery.

If it closes decisively below support (e.g., ~$90,000 or lower), the risk of a deeper drop increases.

For altcoins: With Bitcoin under pressure, many altcoins are even more vulnerable — so strength in Bitcoin will likely be a prerequisite for broader altcoin rallies.

Catalysts to watch: Any change in monetary policy (e.g., interest-rate cuts), major regulatory developments, or renewed large-scale institutional buying could shift sentiment.