Shezada Noman

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Entry: $0.04-$0.05
TP1: $0.08
TP2: $0.11
TP3: $0.15
Stop Loss: $0.02
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$PIPPIN Confirm Bull Run... SPOT SIGNAL
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$PIPPIN Long Trade Signal 🚨
Entry: $0.3325-$0.3345
TP1: $0.3440
TP2: $0.3550
TP3: $0.3680
Stop Loss: $0.3290
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$ARC Confirm Bull Run... SPOT SIGNAL
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$ARC Long Trade Signal 🚨
Entry: $0.048-$0.049
TP1: $0.052
TP2: $0.055
TP3: $0.058
Stop Loss: $0.046
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Research suggests that government pressure, compliance mandates, and enforcement actions are indeed the primary drivers behind most debanking cases in the US. A report by the Cato Institute found that governmental debanking, whether direct or indirect, is the leading cause of account closures, rather than banks' own policies or biases.

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*Types of Debanking:*

- *Government Debanking*: Government pressure or directives lead to account closures.
- *Operational Debanking*: Banks choose to close accounts due to business decisions or risk assessments.
- *Political/Religious Debanking*: Accounts closed due to political or religious affiliations.

The Cato Institute report highlights that government actions, such as letters or court orders, can effectively force banks to terminate accounts. Crypto firms have been particularly affected, with regulators using regulatory risk to discourage banks from serving the sector.

The US is witnessing a major power struggle between the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has revealed that the Department of Justice (DOJ) has subpoenaed the central bank and threatened him with criminal indictment over his testimony about the Fed's $2.5 billion building renovation project. This move is seen as a response to Powell's refusal to comply with President Trump's interest-rate demands.

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Powell has framed this as an attack on the Fed's independence, stating that the threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Fed setting interest rates based on economic conditions rather than political pressure. The Trump administration, however, has denied any wrongdoing, with Trump claiming he wasn't aware of the investigation.

This development has sent shockwaves through the markets, with the US dollar weakening and gold prices hitting record highs. The situation raises concerns about the Fed's ability to make decisions without political interference, which could have far-reaching implications for the US economy and global financial markets.

Europe is indeed shifting its energy landscape, with the US emerging as its second-largest gas supplier, shipping 82.9 billion cubic meters of LNG in 2025, a 61% surge. Norway remains the top supplier with 97.1 bcm, while Russia's share has declined to 38 bcm. This shift reflects Europe's efforts to diversify its energy sources and reduce dependence on Russian gas.

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*Key Implications:*

- *Energy Security*: Europe is prioritizing security, stability, and leverage in its energy partnerships.
- *Market Shift*: Energy shifts often lead to market shifts, with capital flowing into ecosystems supporting the transition.
- *Geopolitical Dynamics*: The US is strengthening its position as a key energy supplier, potentially influencing global markets and geopolitics.

As Europe leans into US supply dominance, it's likely to impact various markets, including cryptocurrencies. Some coins worth monitoring include :
- *Energy-focused cryptocurrencies*: Those linked to energy production, trading, or innovation.
- *Geopolitically sensitive assets*: Cryptocurrencies influenced by shifts in global power dynamics.

The US economy is looking strong, with a 4.3% annualized growth rate in Q3 2025, driven by consumer spending and exports. This is the fastest pace in about two years, beating expectations of 3.3%.

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*Key Highlights:*

- *Consumer Spending*: Increased 3.5%, led by goods and services, especially health care and international travel.
- *Exports*: Rebounded sharply, contributing 0.92 percentage points to GDP growth.
- *Government Spending*: Provided a lift, mostly on defense.

*Market Reactions:*

- Volatility rose due to Powell-related headlines and policy uncertainty.
- Investors are weighing economic data against political risks.

*Looking Ahead:*

- Next official GDP release is expected soon, providing Q4 2025 results.
- Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model predicts 5.1% growth for Q4.

The Trump administration is denying involvement in the DOJ's criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, amid allegations of false statements about the $2.5 billion headquarters renovation. Powell claims the probe is linked to pressure over interest rate policy, while Trump says it's unrelated and criticizes Powell's leadership.

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*Key Developments:*

- *Investigation*: The DOJ has issued subpoenas to the Fed, with Powell facing potential criminal indictment over testimony about renovation costs.
- *Trump's Stance*: Trump denies directing the investigation, calling Powell "not very good at the Fed" and criticizing his interest rate decisions.
- *Market Impact*: The situation has sparked concerns about Fed independence, with markets reacting cautiously.

The investigation's outcome is uncertain, but it may have significant implications for US monetary policy and global financial stability.

Trump's proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10% starting January 20, 2026, is shaking up the financial market. This move could save Americans around $100 billion annually, but it's also sparking concerns about reduced credit availability and tighter lending standards.

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*Key Implications:*

- *Consumer Relief*: Lower interest burden and increased monthly cash flow could boost consumer spending and confidence.
- *Banking Industry Impact*: Reduced margins might lead to stricter lending standards, reduced credit limits, and fewer approvals.
- *Market Volatility*: The proposal's uncertainty is causing market fluctuations, with financial stocks taking a hit.

The proposal has bipartisan support, but faces opposition from the banking industry, citing concerns about reduced credit access for high-risk borrowers.

Trump's move to buy 50 million barrels of Venezuelan oil is a strategic play to secure energy resources and limit rival nations' influence. The deal, valued at $4.2 billion, involves the US buying the oil directly, with warnings against Russia or China trying to acquire it. This move could reshape energy flows, increase US dominance in the Western Hemisphere, and impact global oil markets.

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The agreement is part of Trump's "America First" energy doctrine, aiming to restore Venezuelan output under US corporate leadership and potentially weaken OPEC+ influence. US companies like Chevron, Exxon, and Valero are poised to benefit from the deal, with some expressing caution due to Venezuela's "uninvestable" status and outstanding debts.

Gold has just hit a new all-time high, surpassing $4,600 per troy ounce! This milestone reflects a significant shift in investor sentiment and global economic conditions, driven by factors like geopolitical tensions, monetary policy expectations, and inflation concerns.

*Key Drivers Behind the Rally:*

- *Geopolitical Tensions*: Escalating unrest in Iran and Eastern Europe is fueling demand for safe-haven assets.
- *Monetary Policy*: Shifting expectations from major central banks are impacting currency valuations.
- *Inflation Concerns*: Investors are turning to gold to preserve wealth amid inflationary pressures.

Experts predict gold could reach $5,500-$6,000 or even $7,000 in the near future, given the current macroeconomic landscape.

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The Federal Reserve's independence is facing a significant challenge as federal prosecutors, led by Trump-appointed prosecutor Jeanine Pirro, have opened a criminal investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The probe centers around alleged false statements about a $2.5 billion headquarters renovation, which has seen cost overruns of $600 million. Powell has called the investigation "weaponized law" and a form of political pressure, while markets are interpreting it as a threat to the Fed's independence.

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The investigation has sparked concerns about the influence of politics on monetary policy decisions, with some fearing it could undermine the Fed's credibility and impact global markets. The US dollar has weakened, and gold prices have surged to record highs in response to the news.

*Key Implications:*

- *Fed Independence*: The investigation raises questions about the Fed's ability to set interest rates based on economic data rather than political pressure.
- *Market Volatility*: The uncertainty surrounding the Fed's independence has led to market volatility, with potential impacts on bonds, stocks, and the dollar.
- *Global Trust*: The situation may erode global trust in the US financial system.

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Japan's government bond market is experiencing significant changes, with the supply of Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) increasing by 8% to ¥65 trillion ($415 billion). The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is reducing its bond purchases, which will lead to a decrease in its holdings by ¥46.5 trillion. This shift has pushed the 10-year JGB yield to 2.13%, the highest level since 1999. As a result, JGBs have fallen 6% last year, making them the worst-performing among major markets.

*Key Factors Contributing to Volatility:*

- *Increased Supply*: Higher JGB supply is putting pressure on the market
- *Reduced BOJ Support*: BOJ's decreased bond purchases are reducing demand
- *Higher Borrowing Costs*: Rising yields are increasing borrowing costs for the government
- *Inflation Concerns*: Tokyo's inflation rate is being closely watched by policymakers.

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