📊 MicroStrategy Continues to Accumulate Bitcoin MicroStrategy has purchased an additional 2,932 BTC, with a total value of approximately $264.1 million, at an average price of around $90,061 per BTC.
Following this acquisition, MicroStrategy now holds a total of 712,647 BTC, with an average purchase price of approximately $76,037 per BTC, further solidifying its position as the largest institutional Bitcoin holder.
🔥 The “DCA king” remains firmly committed to its long-term accumulation strategy, regardless of short-term market volatility.
🔒 This Week’s Token Unlocks: Total Value Exceeds $464 Million This week, the crypto market will see token unlocks with a total value of over $464 million, which may lead to notable fluctuations in liquidity and short-term supply pressure across several major projects.
🟢 Large-scale unlocks (over $5 million) These include notable projects such as $SUI, $SIGN, $EIGEN, along with several others. Given the size of these unlocks, investors are advised to closely monitor potential impacts on price action and market sentiment. 🟢 Linear token unlocks this week Ongoing linear unlocks are scheduled for several large-cap projects, including $SOL, $WLD, $DOGE, $TRUMP, and more. While these unlocks are distributed gradually, they can still contribute to sustained selling pressure over time.
⚠️ Token unlocks increase circulating supply and may affect short-term price movements. Investors should manage risk carefully, avoid FOMO, and closely observe market behavior around unlock periods.
MACRO RISK ANALYSIS: U.S. SUPREME COURT RULING ON TRUMP-ERA TARIFFS
Within the next 24 hours, the U.S. Supreme Court is expected to issue a ruling on the legality of trade tariffs implemented during the Trump administration. While this is a legal decision on the surface, its potential consequences are fiscal, liquidity-driven, and systemic in nature—and are currently underpriced by the market.
1. Core Risk: An Unexpected Fiscal Shock
If the tariffs are ruled unlawful: - The federal government could lose over USD 600 billion in revenue in a short period - Retroactive tax refunds, legal disputes, and contract adjustments may be triggered - The Treasury could be forced to increase debt issuance or deploy emergency financing measures - This is not a typical cyclical risk, but a legal-triggered fiscal shock with immediate budgetary implications.
2. Spillover Effects on Financial Markets
- Such a fiscal disruption could rapidly evolve into a system-wide liquidity stress event: - A sharp increase in U.S. Treasury issuance, putting upward pressure on yields - Financial systems simultaneously absorbing refunds, budget reallocations, and rapid risk repricing - Abrupt policy reversals undermining market confidence and forward guidance
Critically, in this scenario, liquidity does not rotate—it exits the system.
3. Asset-Class Implications
As liquidity tightens, cross-asset correlations tend to converge toward one: - Equities face liquidation pressure as capital is freed up - Bonds experience heightened volatility due to supply and yield risks - Higher-risk assets such as cryptocurrencies fail to act as hedges and instead become sources of liquidity - This is the classic mechanism of a deleveraging phase—fast, broad, and forced.
4. Positioning and Risk Management
In such an environment: - Institutional capital typically reduces exposure and raises cash buffers in advance -Highly leveraged positions are most vulnerable to rapid liquidation - Volatility is driven not by economic data, but by a systemic legal event
Despite maintaining a strict ban on cryptocurrency activities domestically, China is now very close to becoming the world’s largest government holder of Bitcoin. According to public estimates, the amount of Bitcoin controlled by the Chinese government is only about 4,012 BTC behind that of the United States.
Most of these holdings did not come from strategic investment, but rather from assets seized in criminal cases involving fraud, money laundering, and illegal cryptocurrency exchanges. This creates a striking paradox:
1. On the surface: China enforces a hardline stance against crypto, banning trading and mining. 2. In reality: the state has quietly become one of the world’s largest Bitcoin “whales.”
If China surpasses the U.S., it would rank first globally in terms of Bitcoin held by a government, despite not recognizing Bitcoin as a legal asset within its financial system. This raises several important questions:
1. Will China continue to hold, gradually sell, or eventually use Bitcoin as a strategic asset? 2. How might such large holdings impact monetary policy, state asset management, and geopolitical positioning?
As Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a strategic reserve asset by various countries, China’s silence and its approach to managing these holdings may ultimately prove more significant than its past public statements banning cryptocurrencies.
Macro Analysis: Central Banks Restructure Reserves – Gold Returns to the Core
Data from the World Gold Council indicates that 95% of central banks expect to continue purchasing gold, signaling a structural reallocation within the global reserve system.
At the same time, IMF data confirms that the U.S. dollar’s share of global foreign exchange reserves has fallen below 60%, the lowest level in decades. Against the backdrop of expanding U.S. public debt, persistent fiscal deficits, and heightened real interest rate volatility, gold is increasingly viewed as a more resilient reserve asset than U.S. Treasury bonds.
At its core, this shift reflects a strategic preference for tangible assets free from sovereign credit risk, aimed at reducing reliance on a single dominant reserve currency.
The key implication is not an imminent collapse of the U.S. dollar, but rather a gradual transition toward a more multipolar monetary order, in which the dollar’s absolute dominance continues to erode.
⚠️ This content is for analytical purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
🔍🔍🔍 Bitcoin Is Starting to See Stop-Loss Pressure 🚨
For the first time since October 2023, Net Realized Profit has turned negative, indicating that investors have begun selling BTC at a loss.
In just over one month, an estimated 69,000 BTC has been sold at prices below their cost basis.
Notably, realized profits have been weakening since early 2024, consistently forming lower highs, even while spot prices previously remained at elevated levels.
➡️ This suggests that buying pressure is no longer strong enough to sustain the uptrend ‼️ #BTC