etheriumsuperz

$BTC masih akan stagnan karena kekhawatiran pasar terutama sejak pengumuman Kevin warsh ,, hold stablecoin atau beli dengan cara DCA adalah cara paling efektive untuk saat ini

still hold stablecoin for now ,or use DCA strategy for save your portfolio

In general, Warsh is viewed as a "Hawk turned Dove by Circumstance." While known for his fiscal discipline, he currently supports interest rate cuts to align with Donald Trump’s economic growth agenda.
​1. Stock Market: "Growth with Discipline"
​Warsh holds a unique view that Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a powerful disinflationary force. This creates a positive narrative for the equity market:
​Lower Interest Rates: He is predicted to support more aggressive rate cuts than Jerome Powell, which typically acts as "fuel" for rising stock prices (especially for small-cap and tech stocks).
​Banking Deregulation: As a former Morgan Stanley banker, he tends to favor easing banking regulations, which could trigger a rally in the financial sector.
​"Tough Love" Risk: Unlike Powell, Warsh is not fond of "coddling" the markets. He intends to reduce the Fed’s balance sheet. This means if the stock market drops due to pure speculation, he may not rush to provide a bailout or liquidity injection.
​2. Crypto Market: "Digital Gold vs. Tight Liquidity"
​The reaction in the crypto market (as of January 2026) is mixed, but there is long-term optimism:
​Pro-Bitcoin Stance: Warsh has publicly stated that Bitcoin could become a "sustainable store of value like gold." This is a significant shift from Powell’s more skeptical stance.
​Short-Term Sentiment: Following his appointment, Bitcoin corrected to the $81,000 - $84,000 range. This is due to market concerns regarding his plans to reduce global liquidity through Quantitative Tightening (QT), which usually pressures high-risk assets.
​"Market Discipline" Narrative: Warsh views crypto as a signal that the traditional monetary system is facing issues. This provides institutional legitimacy for crypto as an alternative asset class.
​3. Precious Metals (Gold & Silver)
​Gold faced immediate pressure following the news of his appointment:
​Strong Dollar: Warsh’s appointment caused the US Dollar (USD) to strengthen, as markets view him as a credible and independent figure. $BTC

$BTC 1. Kondisi Harga & Grafik (Technical)
Harga Saat Ini: Berada di kisaran $83.046 (turun drastis sekitar 5,62% - 5,7% dalam 24 jam terakhir).

Rentang 1 Jam: Harga bergerak antara $82.684 hingga $83.308. Terlihat ada upaya perlawanan dari pembeli, namun tren masih cenderung turun.

Indikator Moving Average: Garis MA5 (kuning) berada di bawah MA10 dan MA30, yang menunjukkan tren jangka pendek masih sangat bearish (menurun).

Bias Perdagangan: Data menunjukkan dominasi "Sell" (jual) yang cukup tinggi dari pengguna, yakni hanya sekitar 14,46% pengguna yang melakukan pembelian dalam satu jam terakhir.

2. Analisis Sentimen (News Feed)
Berdasarkan berita (feed) ada beberapa faktor negatif yang memicu penurunan ini:

Panic Selling: Ada laporan tentang Whale (pemegang besar) yang melakukan panic-sell sebanyak 200 BTC dan mengalami kerugian sebesar $8 juta. Aksi ini seringkali memicu kepanikan di kalangan investor ritel.

Stagnasi vs Aset Lain: Saat Bitcoin tertekan, aset tradisional seperti Emas dan Perak justru mencetak rekor harga tertinggi baru (ATH).
Ini menunjukkan investor sedang mengalihkan dana mereka ke aset yang dianggap lebih aman (low-risk assets).
Dominasi Terpukul: Ada sinyal bahwa dominasi Bitcoin mulai menembus garis tren (trendline), yang bisa berarti aliran dana sedang keluar dari Bitcoin menuju aset lain atau uang tunai.

Kesimpulan

Bitcoin sedang dalam fase koreksi tajam. Jika harga tidak mampu bertahan di atas level psikologis $82.000, ada kemungkinan penurunan bisa berlanjut lebih dalam. Namun, bagi sebagian trader, kondisi "merah" ini sering dianggap sebagai peluang buy the dip, meski risikonya sangat tinggi saat ini.

Cerita Flash Back perjalananku didunia Crypto

Berawal dari tahun 2011 pertama kali aku baca sebuah artikel tentang bitcoin ,tapi masih aku abaikan waktu itu ,, 2017 aku kembali membaca artikel tentang airdrop erc-20 dan lagi2 masih aku abaikan ,hingga pada tahun 2018 aku kembali melihat tutorial mendapatkan airdrop ,oke disitu aku ikut terlibat ,mulai dari bikin wallet pertamaku di @imTokenOfficial ,bikin akun telegram dan akun X ( yg sekarang aku pakai ini ) task sangat gampang waktu itu rata2 semua airdrop di jaringan ERC-20 , @ethereum masih sangat murah ,gas dijaringan #Ethereum masih sangat bersahabat ,task airdrop cuma ikut channel telegram dan follow ,retweet akun twitter ( waktu itu belum jadi X ) dan kurang dari sebulan token airdrop pertama mendarat di wallet ku ( aku lupa token apa ) sampai aku sangat rajin ikut #Airdrop ,dan mulai ada hasil (kisaran 50k - 500k ) sampai akhirnya bisa merasakan JP pertama waktu itu nama tokennya "HYDRO" dapet 88,888,888 Hydro dengan estimasi rupiah sekitar 7jt ,, rentang antara 2018-2020 pokoknya jadi "SURGA AIRDROP HUNTER " ,, sampai pada september / november 2020 " AIRDROP TOKEN @Uniswap Diluncurkan dan yahhh walletku eligible 400 $UNI (dengan rata2 harga UNI sekitar $4/$3 waktu itu ) allhamdulliah JP kedua 20.000.000 rupiah ,namun itulah awal dari kemunduranku didunia airdrop ,, 2020-2022 hampir semua airdrop besar ( $ARB , $BERA , $NOT , $VANA dll ) missed semua aku frustasi sampai akhirnya aku vakum dari dunia airdrop 2023-2025 ,, dan kembali lagi pada akhir 2025 (sekitar bulan september 2025) dan BOOM 💣 Semua airdrop sudah sangat berbeda jauh ,, konsistensi , effort lebih , task macam2 (#Galxe #taskon dll) swap setiap hari , sybil detect , dll yang makin rumit + belum ada jaminan #Token bakal ada harganya .Dari situ aku mulai bergeser ke #Giveaway Hunter walaupun juga masih ikut Airdrop cuma banyak pilih2 sekarang mau ngerjain apa , riset sendiri dan banyak dapet info dari channel telegram @Airdropfinds yang adminya Suhu @setyamickala .

Ini Hanya cerita pengalaman pribadi , salam JP

1. Latest Technical Analysis (January 18, 2026)
​The chart shows a significant price surge over the last few hours:
​Current Price: BNB is trading around $946.72, up approximately +0.88% in the last 24 hours.
​New Peak (High): The price briefly touched $959.52, marking a new multi-day high.
​Moving Average (MA) Structure:
​MA(7) is at $949.97.
​MA(25) is at $944.09.
​MA(99) is at $938.97.
​The current price sits above the MA(25) and MA(99) but slightly below the MA(7), indicating a reasonable correction after the surge to $959.
​Momentum Indicators:
​RSI(6): Dropped to 41.09. This suggests that buying pressure has temporarily cooled after hitting the overbought zone at $959, providing a consolidation opportunity before the next leg up.
​MACD: Shows a slight negative value (-0.45) with a small red histogram, confirming a short-term "cooling down" phase.

​2. Today's Price Prediction Analysis
​Bullish Scenario (Upside): If the price can stay above the $BNB
940 - $944 range (MA25 area), BNB has the potential to retest the resistance at $959. A breakout above $960 would accelerate the move toward the $980 - $1,000 target.

​Bearish Scenario (Correction): If selling pressure continues, strong support is found at $938 (MA99). As long as the price does not break below $923 (previous low), the medium-term uptrend is still considered very healthy.
#MarketRebound #dyor

​1. Latest Technical Analysis (Data: January 17, 2026)
​The latest chart indicates a recovery effort following yesterday's consolidation phase:
​Current Price: BNB is trading around $937.96 (a slight increase of +0.10%).
​MA Structure: The price is currently positioned above all three major moving average lines: MA(7) at $937.63, MA(25) at $935.09, and MA(99) at $934.65. This serves as a strong Bullish indicator, where these lines now function as support floors.
​Momentum (RSI): The RSI(6) is at 57.77. This shows the market possesses stable positive momentum without excessive selling pressure.
​MACD: The MACD value sits at a positive 0.21 with a green histogram that is beginning to thicken. This signifies that new buying pressure is currently forming.
​2. Fundamental & On-Chain Developments
​Impact of the 34th Burn: The BNB Foundation has confirmed the burning of 1.37 million tokens. This reduction in supply is gradually starting to boost institutional investor confidence.
​Network Activity: On-chain data shows a surge in transaction activity reaching 18.6 million transactions in the last day, driven by the DeFi ecosystem and increasing RWA (Real World Asset) adoption on the BNB Chain.
​ETF Sentiment: News regarding Grayscale filing for a BNB ETF adds to the optimism that BNB will soon break new price records.
​3. Price Prediction for Today (January 17, 2026)
​Primary Scenario (Bullish): If the price manages to hold above $935, BNB is predicted to attempt a breakout above the immediate resistance at $945. A successful breakout at this level would pave the way toward psychological targets of $980 - $1,000 in the near future.
​Correction Scenario (Support): If weakness occurs, the first support lies at $934 (MA99). The critical lower boundary for today is at the previous low of $923.69. As long as it does not drop below this level, the uptrend remains valid.
​
​Disclaimer: Crypto investments are highly volatile. Always ensure you use proper risk management.

Final Conclusion
​Overall, the outlook for BNB remains positive but is currently in a healthy consolidation phase following the burn announcement. Today's minor decline is a normal part of market dynamics.

​Strategic Advice:
​Hold: Maintaining the asset is a reasonable choice for medium-term investors, given that the supply reduction fundamentals have just taken effect.

​Buy on Weakness: The area around $925 - $930 can be considered a relatively safe entry zone with measured risk, as long as the price does not break the bottom of the uptrend.

pasar sedang mengalami konsolidasi sangat ketat ,dan pergerakan sangat lambat , sudah lebih dari 5 jam stagnan ,saya ambil contoh dari candle #ARB ,5 jam lebih tidak mampu menembus resistensi $0.2300 dan tidak juga mencapai harga support ,, sekarang support terkuat berada dilevel $0.2180-$0.2190 ,mungkin para investor masih menunggu announce the fed terkait rate cut terbaru yg rencana nya akan diumumkan hari ini 10 desember 2025 sekitar pukul 02.00 wib dini hari besok
$ARB

bookmark and tag me on Q1 2026 ..

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nice event