Garrett Jin (BitcoinOG1011short) has started buying back $ETH 👀 He just withdrew 80,000 $ETH (~$167.8M) from Binance. Is this the bottom signal? Watch the price reaction closely.
📌 **Macro Range (Most Realistic):** **$55K – $200K** for this cycle
**Current Phase (Confirmation Zone):** • BTC is in a **slow uptrend with pullbacks** • Strong support holding above **$65K** • High-probability range: **$85K – $105K**
**What’s next? 🚀** As liquidity improves and rate-cut expectations grow, BTC is setting up for a **strong expansion phase**.
🎯 **Bull Market Target (Most Likely):** **$160K – $180K** Balanced upside — not hype, aligned with macro + liquidity models.
⚠️ **Stay alert near the top:** When macro data peaks & retail hype explodes, volatility wi ll spike.
🚨 $BTC Officially Enters a Downtrend? Bitcoin has shown clear signs of trend reversal after topping near $126K.
In my opinion, the 4-year Bitcoin cycle is still valid and repeating once again.
📉 Current Price: $76,509 (-2.91%) 🔁 Why the 4-Year Cycle Still Matters:
Bitcoin’s cycle is driven by the Halving event, which reduces new supply and creates scarcity. History shows a clear pattern: • 2012 Halving → 2013 Peak → 2014 Downtrend • 2016 Halving → 2017 Peak → 2018 Downtrend • 2020 Halving → 2021 Peak → 2022 Downtrend
📌 Now: • 2024 Halving → 2025 Peak at ~$126K • 2026: BTC has broken its previous uptrend and is declining strongly Many believe ETFs have invalidated the 4-year cycle, but I disagree. The cycle may not crash as hard as previous ones, but the downtrend phase still exists.
⚠️ My View:
The downtrend seems confirmed in 2026, something I had already anticipated by the end of 2025. This is not the time to chase buys during short-term recoveries — price may still move much lower before proper accumulation for the next cycle.
🤔 What’s your take?
Has Bitcoin already entered a long-term downtrend? Drop your thoughts below 👇