asiftahsin

XRPは明確に定義された下降チャネル内にあり、$3.25～$3.66のマクロ供給ゾーン（0.786～1.00フィボナッチ）での急激な反発後に、広範な修正構造を示している。その反発は分配トップを示し、その後、持続的な売り継続が続いている。

最近の価格行動は下位チャネル境界からの反発を示しており、短期的な回復랠리の兆しはあるが、全体的なトレンドはまだ構造的に逆転していない。

EMA構造（売り傾向、短期回復）

20 EMA: $2.059
50 EMA: $2.075

マクロ需要ゾーンからの強力な反発を見せているビットコインだが、価格は今や複数のテクニカル要因が重なる重要なレジスタンスクラスターに近づいている。全体的な構造はまだ修正局面のままだが、短期的なモメンタムは明らかに改善している。

市場構造 & トレンド

BTCは以前、$116k–$126kのマクロ供給ゾーン（0.786–1フィボナッチ）で急激な反発を受けており、分配トップを確認した。その後、$109k（0.618フィボナッチ）を下回ったことで、$88k–$90kの需要領域へと加速した売りが発生し、買い手が価格を守りきった。

Solana remains within a broader corrective structure after facing strong rejection from the $224–$253 macro supply zone, where price topped near the 0.786–1.0 Fibonacci levels. This rejection marked a clear distribution phase, ending the prior bullish impulse and initiating a prolonged downside move.

The selloff accelerated once SOL lost the $201–$185 region (0.618–0.5 Fib), confirming a bearish structural shift and turning this area into a major overhead resistance zone.

EMA Structure (Bearish With Early Stabilization)

20 EMA – $134.10
50 EMA – $136.85
100 EMA – $148.98
200 EMA – $160.50

SOL is still trading below all major EMAs, keeping the broader trend bearish. However, price has reclaimed the 20 & 50 EMA, signaling short-term recovery momentum. The $149–$161 zone, aligned with the 100 & 200 EMA, remains a critical dynamic resistance area.

Fibonacci & Price Structure

1 Fib: $253.47
0.786 Fib: $224.22
0.618 Fib: $201.25
0.5 Fib: $185.12
0.382 Fib: $168.99
0.236 Fib: $149.03
Fib 0: $116.77

SOL is consolidating above the $125–$135 major demand zone, aligned closely with the Fib 0 level, where strong buying interest previously emerged. Recent price action shows higher lows, suggesting a base formation and increasing probability of a relief rally.

A sustained move above $149 (0.236 Fib) opens upside toward $169–$185, where heavy Fibonacci and EMA confluence resistance exists. A meaningful structural shift would require acceptance above $185 (0.5 Fib).

RSI Momentum

RSI (14): 58

RSI has recovered above neutral territory, reflecting improving bullish momentum and growing buyer participation. While this supports further upside attempts, RSI also suggests SOL is approaching local resistance conditions, making short-term consolidation likely near overhead resistance zones.

📊 Key Levels

Resistance

$149 (0.236 Fib)
$169 (0.382 Fib)
$185 (0.5 Fib)
$201 (0.618 Fib)

Support

$135–$130 (short-term support)
$125 (major demand zone)
$116 (Fib 0 / extended downside support)

📌 Summary

Solana is showing early recovery signs after defending a major long-term demand zone. While short-term momentum has turned constructive, the broader structure remains corrective unless SOL can reclaim the $169–$185 resistance zone with strength. Failure to hold above $130–$125 would place SOL back under downside pressure toward the $116 major demand level.

$SOL

Ethereum continues to trade within a corrective consolidation after failing to sustain above the $3,780–$4,060 supply zone (0.5–0.618 Fibonacci). The rejection from this region and subsequent breakdown below the rising trend structure shifted ETH into a neutral-to-bearish medium-term bias.

Price is now stabilizing around the $3,050–$3,120 region, attempting to form a short-term base after the sharp decline from the $4,900+ highs. This area represents a key decision zone for the next directional move.

EMA Structure (Bearish to Neutral Bias)

20 EMA: $3,085

50 EMA: $3,125

100 EMA: $3,286

200 EMA: $3,339

ETH is trading below the 100 & 200 EMA, while the 20 & 50 EMA are acting as immediate overhead resistance. The EMA alignment remains bearish, indicating sellers still control the broader structure. Any upside attempt is likely to face selling pressure between $3,170–$3,350 unless reclaimed decisively.

Fibonacci & Market Structure

0.786 Fib: $4,456 (major rejection zone)

0.618 Fib: $4,064 (key breakdown level)

0.5 Fib: $3,789 (trend-defining resistance)

0.382 Fib: $3,514

0.236 Fib: $3,174

Fib 0: $2,623

ETH failed to hold above the 0.382–0.5 Fib cluster, confirming continuation of the corrective phase. Current price action is hovering just below the 0.236 Fib ($3,174), which has acted as firm short-term resistance. Buyers continue to defend the $3,000–$3,080 demand zone.

A loss of this base would expose ETH toward $2,700–$2,620, a major higher-timeframe accumulation area.

RSI Momentum

RSI (14): 55

RSI has recovered above neutral, signaling improving momentum from oversold conditions. However, it remains below strong bullish territory, suggesting stabilization rather than trend reversal.

📊 Key Levels

Resistance

$3,170–$3,200 (0.236 Fib)

$3,300–$3,350 (100 & 200 EMA cluster)

$3,510 (0.382 Fib)

$3,780 (0.5 Fib)

$4,060 (0.618 Fib)

Support

$3,080–$3,000 (major demand zone)

$2,700–$2,620 (structural support)

RSI

54–55 — neutral with mild bullish recovery

📌 Summary

Ethereum is consolidating after an extended corrective decline, holding above a critical demand zone near $3,000. While downside momentum has slowed and RSI continues to recover, the broader structure remains bearish below $3,300–$3,350.

A sustained recovery requires ETH to reclaim $3,170, followed by strength above $3,300–$3,500. Failure to hold $3,000 would likely trigger another downside leg toward $2,620.

$ETH

XRPは、$2.70〜$2.95のレジスタンスゾーンを維持できなかった後、修正的なコンソリデーション局面に留まっています。これは0.5〜0.618のフィボナッチリトラクション領域と一致しています。この地域からの反発と下降トレンドチャネルへの継続的な尊重は、XRPが依然として中長期的に中立的から売り圧力のある構造内で取引されていることを確認しています。

価格は最近、$1.90〜$2.00の需要ゾーンから反発し、$3.60以上の高値からの長期的な下落後、安定化を試みています。このエリアは今や買い手にとって重要な短期的な底値となっています。

ビットコインは、116,000ドル～126,000ドルのマクロ供給ゾーンで強い反発を受けた後、修正構造内を取引している。価格は0.786～1.0フィボナッチレベル付近でピークに達した。このエリアは明確な供給フェーズを示しており、前の上昇展開を終了させ、急激な下落を引き起こした。

BTCが108,000ドル～103,000ドルの領域（0.618～0.5フィボナッチ）を失ったことで、下落が加速した。このゾーンは主要な抵抗帯に転換し、売り圧力の構造的シフトを確認した。

EMA構造（短期安定化を伴う売り圧力）

Solanaは、$224〜$253のマクロ供給ゾーンで強い反発を受けた後、広範な下落修正構造内にとどまっています。価格は0.786〜1.0のフィボナッチレベル付近で頂点を形成しました。この領域は明確な供給フェーズを示しており、前の上昇サイクルを終了させ、急激な複数レッグの下落を開始しました。

SOLが$201〜$185の領域（0.618〜0.5のフィボナッチ）を失った後、下落モメンタムが加速しました。このエリアは主要な抵抗帯に転換され、構造的なトレンド反転が下向きに確認されました。

Ethereum remains within a broader corrective structure after facing repeated rejection from the $4,450–$4,950 macro supply zone, where price peaked near the 0.786–1.0 Fibonacci levels. This area marked a clear distribution phase, ending the previous bullish expansion and initiating a sustained multi-month decline.

The bearish move accelerated once ETH lost the $4,065–$3,790 region (0.618–0.5 Fib), flipping this zone into a major resistance area and confirming a bearish structural shift.

EMA Structure (Bearish With Early Recovery Signs)

20 EMA – $3,083
50 EMA – $3,126
100 EMA – $3,290
200 EMA – $3,342

ETH continues to trade below the 100 & 200 EMA, keeping the broader trend bearish. However, price has reclaimed the 20 & 50 EMA, signaling short-term recovery momentum. The $3,290–$3,340 zone remains a critical dynamic resistance area, reinforced by EMA and horizontal structure confluence.

Fibonacci & Price Structure

1 Fib: $4,956
0.786 Fib: $4,456
0.618 Fib: $4,065
0.5 Fib: $3,790
0.382 Fib: $3,514
0.236 Fib: $3,174
Fib 0: $2,623

ETH is consolidating above the $2,900–$3,050 demand zone, following a strong defense of the $2,623 Fib 0 level, where buyers previously stepped in aggressively. Recent price action shows higher lows, suggesting a base-building process and increasing probability of a relief rally.

A sustained move above $3,175 (0.236 Fib) opens upside toward $3,500–$3,790, where heavy Fibonacci and EMA confluence resistance exists. A meaningful structural shift would require acceptance above $3,790 (0.5 Fib).

RSI Momentum

RSI (14): 53

RSI has reclaimed the neutral zone, indicating improving momentum and increasing buyer participation. While this supports further upside attempts, RSI also suggests ETH is approaching near-term resistance zones, where consolidation is likely.

📊 Key Levels

Resistance

$3,175 (0.236 Fib)
$3,290–$3,340 (100 & 200 EMA)
$3,514 (0.382 Fib)
$3,790 (0.5 Fib)

Support

$3,050–$2,950 (short-term support)
$2,900–$2,750 (major demand zone)
$2,623 (Fib 0)

📌 Summary

Ethereum is showing early recovery signs after defending a key long-term demand zone. While short-term momentum has turned positive, the broader structure remains corrective unless ETH can reclaim the $3,500–$3,790 resistance zone with strength. Failure to hold above the $3,050–$2,900 region would expose ETH to renewed downside pressure toward the $2,623 level.

$ETH

XRP is trading within a broader corrective structure, following a strong rejection from the $3.25–$3.66 macro supply zone, where price topped near the 0.786–1.0 Fibonacci levels. This rejection marked a clear distribution phase, ending the prior bullish expansion and initiating a prolonged downside move within a descending channel.

The selloff accelerated once XRP lost the $2.94–$2.72 region (0.618–0.5 Fib), turning this zone into a major resistance area and confirming a bearish structural shift.

EMA Structure (Bearish With Early Recovery Signs)

20 EMA – $2.05
50 EMA – $2.07
100 EMA – $2.22
200 EMA – $2.34

XRP remains below the 100 & 200 EMA, keeping the broader trend bearish. However, price has reclaimed the 20 & 50 EMA, signaling short-term recovery momentum. The $2.22–$2.34 zone remains a critical dynamic resistance area, reinforced by EMA and channel confluence.

Fibonacci & Price Structure

1 Fib: $3.66
0.786 Fib: $3.26
0.618 Fib: $2.94
0.5 Fib: $2.72
0.382 Fib: $2.49
0.236 Fib: $2.22
Fib 0: $1.77

XRP is consolidating above the $1.95–$2.05 major demand zone, aligned closely with the Fib 0 region, where buyers previously defended aggressively. Recent price action shows higher lows, suggesting a base-building process and increasing probability of a relief rally.

A sustained move above $2.22 (0.236 Fib) opens upside toward $2.49–$2.72, where strong Fibonacci, EMA, and descending-channel resistance exists. A meaningful structural shift would require acceptance above $2.72 (0.5 Fib).

RSI Momentum

RSI (14): 54

RSI has reclaimed the neutral level, indicating improving momentum and increasing buyer participation. While this supports further upside attempts, RSI also suggests XRP is approaching near-term resistance, where consolidation is likely.

📊 Key Levels

Resistance

$2.22 (0.236 Fib)
$2.22–$2.34 (100 & 200 EMA)
$2.49 (0.382 Fib)
$2.72 (0.5 Fib)

Support

$2.05–$1.95 (short-term support)
$1.95–$1.85 (major demand zone)
$1.77 (Fib 0)

📌 Summary

XRP is showing early recovery signs after defending a key long-term demand zone. While short-term momentum has turned positive, the broader structure remains corrective unless XRP can reclaim the $2.49–$2.72 resistance zone with strength. Failure to hold above the $2.05–$1.95 region would expose XRP to renewed downside pressure toward the $1.77 level.

$XRP

イーサリアムは、3,780ドル～4,060ドルの供給ゾーンを上回り続けることができず、修正的な安定化局面に留まっています。これは0.5～0.618のフィボナッチ補正領域と一致しています。この地域での反発により急激な下落が発生し、ETHは中長期的に中立的から売り気配の構造へと移行しました。

価格は現在、3,080ドル～3,150ドルのレンジで安定化しており、12月の安値付近に形成された下限需要ゾーンを防御した後、短期的な底堅さを築こうとしています。

EMA構造とトレンドバイアス

Solanaは、185～200ドルの抵抗帯を維持できなかった後、修正局面にあり、これは0.5～0.618のフィボナッチ補正ゾーンと一致している。この供給帯からの反発失敗と、その後の下降トレンドライン下抜ける動きにより、上昇構造から中長期的に中立的・下向きのバイアスへのシフトが確認された。

価格は、240ドルを超える高値から長期にわたる下落の後に、130～136ドルの領域で consolidation しており、短期的な底値を形成している。この領域は、次なる方向性の動きに関する重要な意思決定エリアとして機能している。

ビットコインは、$116k–$126kのマクロ供給ゾーンからの強い反発を受けて、より広範な修正構造内を取引している。これは0.786–1.0のフィボナッチレベルと一致している。この反発は明確な供給フェーズを示し、前の上昇展開を終了させ、急激な下落動きを引き起こした。

BTCが$109k–$103k地域（0.618–0.5フィボナッチ）を失ったことで、売りの勢いが加速した。このゾーンは主要な抵抗帯に転換され、売りの構造的シフトを確認した。

EMA構造（売り圧力あり、初期安定化中）

XRP is trading within a well-defined descending channel after facing strong rejection from the $3.25–$3.66 macro supply zone, where price topped near the 0.786–1.0 Fibonacci levels. This rejection marked a clear distribution phase, ending the prior bullish impulse and triggering a sustained multi-month decline.

The bearish move accelerated once XRP lost the $2.94–$2.71 region (0.618–0.5 Fib), flipping this zone into a major resistance area and confirming a bearish structural shift.

EMA Structure (Bearish With Early Recovery Signs)

20 EMA – $2.035
50 EMA – $2.071
100 EMA – $2.223
200 EMA – $2.343

XRP remains below the 100 & 200 EMA, keeping the broader trend bearish. However, price has reclaimed the 20 & 50 EMA, signaling short-term recovery momentum. The $2.22–$2.35 zone remains a critical dynamic resistance area, closely aligned with the descending channel resistance.

Fibonacci & Price Structure

1 Fib: $3.661
0.786 Fib: $3.256
0.618 Fib: $2.938
0.5 Fib: $2.715
0.382 Fib: $2.492
0.236 Fib: $2.216
Fib 0: $1.770

XRP is consolidating above the $1.95–$2.05 major demand zone, aligned with the lower boundary of the descending channel and close to the Fib 0 level, where buyers previously defended aggressively. Recent price action shows higher lows, suggesting a base-building process and increasing probability of a relief rally.

A sustained move above $2.22 (0.236 Fib) opens upside toward $2.49–$2.72, where strong Fibonacci, EMA, and channel confluence resistance exists. A meaningful structural shift would require acceptance above $2.71 (0.5 Fib).

RSI Momentum

RSI (14): 56

RSI has pushed back above neutral, reflecting improving momentum and rising buyer participation. While this supports further upside attempts, RSI also suggests XRP is approaching near-term resistance zones, where consolidation or pullbacks may occur.

📊 Key Levels

Resistance

$2.22 (0.236 Fib)
$2.22–$2.35 (100 & 200 EMA + channel resistance)
$2.49 (0.382 Fib)
$2.71 (0.5 Fib)

Support

$2.05–$2.00 (short-term support)
$1.95–$2.05 (major demand zone)
$1.77 (Fib 0)

📌 Summary

XRP is showing early recovery signs after defending a major long-term demand zone at the base of its descending channel. While short-term momentum has turned positive, the broader structure remains corrective unless XRP can reclaim the $2.49–$2.71 resistance zone with strength. Failure to hold above $2.05–$1.95 would place XRP back under downside pressure toward the $1.77 area.

$XRP

Ethereum is trading within a broader corrective structure after facing strong rejection from the $4,450–$4,950 macro supply zone, where price topped near the 0.786–1.0 Fibonacci levels. This rejection marked a clear distribution phase, ending the previous bullish cycle and initiating a sharp downside move.

The bearish momentum accelerated once ETH lost the $4,060–$3,790 region (0.618–0.5 Fib), flipping this zone into a major supply area and confirming a bearish structural shift.

EMA Structure (Bearish With Early Stabilization)

20 EMA – $3,079
50 EMA – $3,129
100 EMA – $3,302
200 EMA – $3,349

ETH remains below all major EMAs, keeping the broader trend bearish. The EMA cluster between $3,080–$3,350 acts as a heavy dynamic resistance zone. Price is currently attempting to reclaim the 20 & 50 EMA, which suggests early recovery momentum, but no confirmed trend reversal yet.

Fibonacci & Price Structure

1 Fib: $4,956
0.786 Fib: $4,456
0.618 Fib: $4,064
0.5 Fib: $3,789
0.382 Fib: $3,514
0.236 Fib: $3,173
Fib 0: $2,623

ETH has successfully defended the $2,620–$2,700 major demand zone, aligned with the Fib 0 level, where buyers previously absorbed selling pressure. Recent price action shows higher lows, indicating a base-building phase and a potential relief rally.

A sustained move above $3,173 (0.236 Fib) opens upside toward $3,514–$3,790, where strong Fibonacci and EMA confluence resistance exists. A meaningful structural shift would require acceptance above $3,789 (0.5 Fib).

RSI Momentum

RSI (14): 53

RSI has recovered above the neutral level, signaling improving momentum and increasing buyer participation. While this supports further upside attempts, RSI also suggests ETH is approaching key resistance zones, where consolidation or rejection remains possible.

📊 Key Levels

Resistance

$3,173 (0.236 Fib)
$3,080–$3,350 (EMA cluster)
$3,514 (0.382 Fib)
$3,789 (0.5 Fib)

Support

$3,050 (short-term support)
$2,620–$2,700 (major demand zone)
$2,623 (Fib 0)

📌 Summary

Ethereum is showing early stabilization signs after defending a major long-term demand zone. While short-term momentum is improving, the broader structure remains corrective unless ETH can reclaim the $3,500–$3,790 resistance zone decisively. Failure to hold above $3,050 would expose ETH back toward the $2,620 demand area.

$ETH

Solana is trading within a broader corrective structure after facing strong rejection from the $220–$253 macro supply zone, where price topped near the 0.786–1.0 Fibonacci levels. This rejection marked a clear distribution phase, ending the previous bullish expansion and triggering a sharp multi-month decline.

The downside move accelerated once SOL lost the $201–$185 region (0.618–0.5 Fib), flipping this zone into a strong resistance area and confirming a bearish structural shift.

EMA Structure (Bearish With Early Recovery Signs)

20 EMA – $130.88
50 EMA – $136.55
100 EMA – $150.39
200 EMA – $161.90

SOL is still trading below the 100 & 200 EMA, keeping the broader trend bearish. However, price has reclaimed the 20 & 50 EMA, signaling short-term recovery momentum. The $150–$162 zone remains a critical dynamic resistance area.

Fibonacci & Price Structure

1 Fib: $253.47
0.786 Fib: $224.22
0.618 Fib: $201.25
0.5 Fib: $185.12
0.382 Fib: $168.99
0.236 Fib: $149.03
Fib 0: $116.77

SOL is consolidating above the $120–$130 major demand zone, aligned with the Fib 0 level, where buyers previously stepped in aggressively. Recent price action shows higher lows, suggesting a base-building process and increasing probability of a relief rally.

A sustained move above $149 (0.236 Fib) opens upside toward $169–$185, where strong Fibonacci and EMA confluence resistance exists. A structural shift would require acceptance above $185 (0.5 Fib).

RSI Momentum

RSI (14): 58

RSI has moved back above neutral, reflecting improving momentum and increasing buyer participation. While this supports further upside, RSI also suggests SOL is approaching near-term resistance zones, where consolidation may occur.

📊 Key Levels

Resistance

$149 (0.236 Fib)
$150–$162 (100 & 200 EMA)
$169 (0.382 Fib)
$185 (0.5 Fib)

Support

$136–$130 (short-term support)
$120–$130 (major demand)
$116.8 (Fib 0)

📌 Summary

Solana is showing early recovery signs after defending a major long-term demand zone. While short-term momentum has turned positive, the broader structure remains corrective unless SOL can reclaim the $169–$185 resistance zone with strength. Failure to hold above $130–$120 would place SOL back under downside pressure toward the $116.8 area.

$SOL

Bitcoin is trading within a broader corrective structure after facing strong rejection from the $115,000–$126,000 macro supply zone, where price topped near the 0.786–1.0 Fibonacci levels. This rejection marked a distribution phase, ending the prior bullish trend and triggering a sharp downside move.

The decline accelerated once BTC lost the $109,000–$103,400 region (0.618–0.5 Fib), flipping this zone into major overhead resistance and confirming a bearish structural shift.

EMA Structure (Bearish With Stabilization Signs)

20 EMA – $89,986
50 EMA – $91,716
100 EMA – $96,549
200 EMA – $100,114

BTC is currently trading below all major EMAs, keeping the broader trend bearish. However, price is attempting to stabilize near the 20 & 50 EMA, suggesting selling pressure is slowing. The $96,500–$100,000 zone remains a critical dynamic resistance area.

Fibonacci & Price Structure

1 Fib: $126,123
0.786 Fib: $116,400
0.618 Fib: $108,766
0.5 Fib: $103,405
0.382 Fib: $98,043
0.236 Fib: $91,410
Fib 0: $80,687

BTC is consolidating above the $88,500–$90,000 demand zone, where downside momentum stalled and buyers defended aggressively. Recent price action shows range-bound consolidation, indicating a potential base-building phase.

A sustained move above $91,400 (0.236 Fib) opens upside toward $98,000–$103,400, where strong Fibonacci and EMA confluence resistance exists. A structural shift would require acceptance above $103,400 (0.5 Fib).

RSI Momentum

RSI (14): 54

RSI is holding slightly above neutral, reflecting stabilizing momentum rather than strong bullish strength. This supports continued consolidation while BTC attempts to build a base.

📊 Key Levels

Resistance

$91,400 (0.236 Fib)
$96,500–$100,000 (100 & 200 EMA)
$103,400 (0.5 Fib)
$108,700 (0.618 Fib)

Support

$90,000–$88,500 (range support)
$85,000 (intermediate support)
$80,700 (Fib 0 / major demand)

📌 Summary

Bitcoin is consolidating after a sharp corrective move, holding above a key long-term demand zone. While downside momentum has slowed, the broader structure remains corrective unless BTC can reclaim the $98,000–$103,400 resistance zone with strength. Failure to hold above $88,500–$90,000 would reopen downside risk toward the $80,700 area.

$BTC

XRP has spent several months trading inside a well-defined descending channel, following a sharp rejection from the $3.40–$3.65 macro supply zone, where price topped near the 1.0 Fibonacci level. This rejection marked a clear trend reversal, ending the prior bullish impulse and initiating a sustained corrective phase.

Selling pressure persisted as price respected the descending channel resistance, producing lower highs throughout the decline. The corrective move began to lose momentum once XRP reached the $1.77 major demand zone (Fib 0), where buyers stepped in aggressively.

EMA Structure (Bearish With Improving Momentum)

20 EMA – $2.009
50 EMA – $2.064
100 EMA – $2.226
200 EMA – $2.347

XRP has reclaimed the 20 & 50 EMA, signaling a short-term momentum shift in favor of buyers. However, price remains below the 100 & 200 EMA, keeping the broader trend corrective. The $2.22–$2.35 region represents a key dynamic resistance zone that must be reclaimed to confirm further upside.

Fibonacci & Price Structure

1 Fib: $3.661
0.786 Fib: $3.256
0.618 Fib: $2.938
0.5 Fib: $2.715
0.382 Fib: $2.492
0.236 Fib: $2.216
Fib 0: $1.770

XRP is trading above the $1.95–$1.77 major demand zone, aligned with the Fib 0 level, where downside momentum stalled. Recent price action shows higher lows, indicating base formation and increasing probability of a relief rally.

A sustained move above $2.22 (0.236 Fib) opens the door toward $2.49–$2.71, where strong Fibonacci and EMA confluence resistance exists. A structural shift would require acceptance above $2.71 (0.5 Fib).

RSI Momentum

RSI (14): 68

RSI has moved into bullish momentum territory, confirming increasing buying pressure following the channel breakout. While momentum supports continuation, RSI levels also suggest near-term consolidation is possible around resistance zones.

📊 Key Levels

Resistance

$2.22 (0.236 Fib)
$2.35 (200 EMA)
$2.49 (0.382 Fib)
$2.71 (0.5 Fib)

Support

$2.05–$2.00 (20 & 50 EMA)
$1.95 (breakout retest)
$1.77 (Fib 0 / major demand)

📌 Summary

XRP is showing early recovery signs after defending a long-term demand zone and breaking out from a prolonged descending channel. While short-term momentum has turned bullish, the broader structure remains corrective unless price can reclaim the $2.49–$2.71 resistance zone with strength. Failure to hold above $2.00–$1.95 would place XRP back under downside pressure.

$XRP

Ethereum is trading within a broader corrective structure after facing strong rejection from the $4,450–$4,950 macro supply zone, where price topped near the 0.786–1.0 Fibonacci levels. This rejection marked a clear distribution phase, ending the previous bullish impulse and triggering a sharp multi-month decline.

The selloff intensified once ETH lost the $4,065–$3,790 region (0.618–0.5 Fib), flipping this area into a strong resistance zone and confirming a bearish structural shift.

EMA Structure (Bearish With Early Recovery Signs)

20 EMA – $3,064

50 EMA – $3,128

100 EMA – $3,309

200 EMA – $3,353

ETH is still trading below the 100 & 200 EMA, keeping the broader trend bearish. However, price has reclaimed the 20 & 50 EMA, signaling short-term strength and recovery momentum. The $3,300–$3,350 zone remains a critical dynamic resistance area.

Fibonacci & Price Structure

1 Fib: $4,956

0.786 Fib: $4,456

0.618 Fib: $4,065

0.5 Fib: $3,789

0.382 Fib: $3,514

0.236 Fib: $3,174

Fib 0: $2,623

ETH is consolidating above the $2,600–$2,750 major demand zone, aligned with the Fib 0 level, where strong buying interest has emerged. Recent price action shows higher lows, suggesting a base formation and increasing probability of a relief rally.

A sustained move above $3,175 (0.236 Fib) opens upside toward $3,500–$3,790, where heavy Fibonacci and EMA confluence resistance exists. A structural shift would require acceptance above $3,790 (0.5 Fib).

RSI Momentum

RSI (14): 68

RSI has pushed into bullish momentum territory, indicating strong short-term buying pressure. While this supports further upside, RSI also suggests ETH is approaching local resistance conditions, making consolidation likely near resistance zones.

📊 Key Levels

Resistance

$3,175 (0.236 Fib)

$3,300–$3,350 (100 & 200 EMA)

$3,514 (0.382 Fib)

$3,789 (0.5 Fib)

Support

$2,950–$3,050 (short-term support)

$2,623 (Fib 0 / major demand)

$2,400 (extended downside support)

📌 Summary

ETH is showing early recovery signs after defending a major long-term demand zone. While momentum has shifted bullish in the short term, the broader structure remains corrective unless Ethereum can reclaim the $3,500–$3,790 resistance zone with strength. Failure to hold above $2,950–$2,620 would put ETH back under downside pressure.

$ETH
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