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Bitcoin may be headed for its worst first quarter in eight years, with data showing Bitcoin is already down 22.3% since the start of the year.
The asset began the year trading around $87,700 and has declined by around $20,000 to current lows of around $68,000, putting it on track for its worst first quarter since the 2018 bear market — which fell almost 50%, according to CoinGlass.
Bitcoin has declined in seven of the past thirteen Q1s, with the most recent being 2025 when it lost 11.8%, 2020 when it shed 10.8%, and the largest ever, 2018, when it dumped 49.7% in just three months.
“The first quarter of the year is known for its volatile nature,” observed analyst Daan Trades Crypto on Sunday.
“So it’s safe to say, whatever happens in Q1 does not generally translate over further down the line, according to the historical price action,” he added.
Bitcoin on track for its worst Q1 since 2018. Source: CoinGlass
First-ever red Jan and Feb?
BTC has only ever seen two consecutive first quarters of losses in the bear market years of 2018 and 2022.
Comparatively, Ether has only seen red in three of the past nine first quarters, with the current period shaping up to be its third-worst historically, with 34.3% losses so far.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin is also on track to see its first-ever consecutive January and February in the red. The asset lost 10.2% in January and is down 13.4% so far this month. It needs to reclaim $80,000 to prevent a red February.
Bitcoin is in a correctional phase
Nick Ruck, the director of LVRG Research, told Cointelegraph that the ongoing decline in BTC price amid persistent global economic uncertainty “reflects a regular correctional phase rather than a structural breakdown in the asset’s long-term trajectory.”
“While short-term pressures could intensify if macroeconomic headwinds persist, historical patterns show Bitcoin’s resilience often leads to strong recoveries in later months, particularly as institutional adoption and halving cycle dynamics continue to strengthen its potential,” he added.

Meanwhile, $BTC has entered its fifth consecutive week of losses, falling back 2.3% over the past 24 hours to trade at $68,670 at the time of writing, according to CoinGecko.

Sometimes the most interesting opportunities in crypto are not the loudest ones, but the ones quietly building momentum underneath the surface. After reviewing the VANRY ecosystem and its positioning within the VANAR network, the numbers suggested an interesting asymmetry between risk and potential upside.

The core thesis is simple. Early positioning in a growing ecosystem can allow smaller allocations to compound through incentives, staking mechanisms, and participation rewards. Unlike traditional investments that rely purely on price appreciation, ecosystem tokens often reward engagement, holding, and long-term alignment.

Positioning into VANRY allows participants to benefit from multiple value drivers simultaneously. Exposure to the token itself provides price upside potential, while staking or ecosystem participation can create additional yield layers over time. Because these rewards accumulate continuously, timing becomes a critical factor. Earlier entry provides more time for compounding to work in the participant’s favor.

Execution itself is straightforward. First, obtain exposure to VANRY. Second, hold or stake within the ecosystem where applicable. Third, remain consistent and avoid short-term reactions that interrupt compounding. In many crypto ecosystems, conviction tends to outperform frequent repositioning, particularly when rewards are tied to duration rather than activity.

Beyond token mechanics, the VANAR network positions itself as infrastructure designed for high-performance blockchain applications. Its focus on speed, scalability, and ecosystem expansion suggests that VANRY’s value may ultimately be driven not only by market cycles, but by network adoption and utility growth.

As with any opportunity in this space, timing, discipline, and perspective matter more than capital size. Small allocations placed early in expanding ecosystems have historically produced the most asymmetric returns. Whether VANRY follows that trajectory will depend on execution, adoption, and market conditions — but the structural setup makes it an opportunity worth monitoring closely.

In crypto, the difference between noise and opportunity often comes down to positioning before the crowd notices. For those tracking the VANAR ecosystem, this may be one of those moments.
#VANAR $VANRY @Vanar