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🚨 MACRO ALERT: FED RATE CUT EXPECTATIONS SHIFT — IMPACT ON CRYPTO & BTC 🚨
According to BlockBeats (Jan 17), CME FedWatch data shows traders are reducing expectations for two U.S. interest rate cuts in 2026. This shift follows political uncertainty after U.S. President Donald Trump suggested he may nominate someone other than Kevin Hassett to succeed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Trump later said, “I want him to remain in his current position, and we will see,” signaling that another candidate could be under consideration and keeping markets cautious about future Fed policy.
📈 UPDATED 2026 RATE CUT PROBABILITIES
Markets now price an 11.8% chance of no rate cuts, a 30.3% probability of a single 25 bps cut, and a 32.1% likelihood of a total 50 bps reduction, showing a clear pullback from aggressive easing expectations.
🧠 WHY THIS MATTERS FOR CRYPTO
Fewer or delayed rate cuts usually mean tighter liquidity and a stronger U.S. dollar, which can pressure risk assets. For crypto, this may slow upside momentum in the short term, especially for altcoins, while Bitcoin remains sensitive to macro headlines.
📉 MARKET IMPACT
Short term, BTC could face resistance near key levels and volatility may increase around Fed-related news. Medium to long term, political pressure on the Fed and policy uncertainty historically support Bitcoin’s hedge narrative.
⚡ BOTTOM LINE
Reduced rate cut expectations signal short-term caution, but rising macro and political uncertainty can still create long-term opportunities for crypto traders.
#marketrebound #FedWatch #Macro #InterestRates #CryptoMarket

🚨 Peringatan Sinyal Makro: Harga Telur Jatuh 95% — Apa Artinya untuk Crypto

Harga telur, bahan makanan pokok global, telah jatuh hampir 95% dari puncaknya tahun lalu, menandai salah satu pembalikan komoditas paling tajam dalam ingatan baru-baru ini. Lonjakan sebelumnya yang didorong oleh flu burung, gangguan pasokan, dan permintaan panik telah sepenuhnya mereda seiring dengan lonjakan produksi, pemulihan kawanan, dan inventaris memenuhi rak ritel. Perubahan cepat ini menyoroti siklus disinflasi khas, di mana kelebihan pasokan bertemu permintaan yang dinormalisasi dan harga direset secara agresif.

Mengapa ini penting untuk pasar: Turunnya biaya makanan meredakan tekanan CPI, melunakkan ekspektasi inflasi, dan meningkatkan fleksibilitas kebijakan — kondisi yang secara historis meningkatkan selera risiko. Saat komoditas tradisional mereda, likuiditas sering kali berputar menuju aset beta lebih tinggi, termasuk crypto, di mana narasi beralih dari pelestarian modal ke peluang pertumbuhan.

Intinya: Ini adalah disinflasi yang berlangsung secara nyata. Tekanan makro sedang mendingin, dinamika likuiditas sedang berkembang, dan aset berisiko cenderung bereaksi lebih awal ketika ketakutan inflasi memudar.

#Macro #Inflation #Disinflation #CryptoMarket

#btc100knext? | Bitcoin Reclaims $95K – Is $100K the Next Target?

Bitcoin has officially reclaimed the $95,000 level, gaining strong bullish momentum after cooling inflation (CPI) data boosted expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts. BTC surged over 3.5% in 24 hours, signaling renewed risk-on sentiment across crypto markets.

Market Analysis (Technical + Macro):

BTC is currently pressing into a critical resistance zone between $95,000–$97,000, an area that has capped upside since late November. A clean breakout and daily close above $97K could open the door for a fast move toward the psychological $100,000 level. Momentum indicators remain bullish, volume is expanding, and higher lows suggest strong buyer control.

Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $92,500 → $90,000
Resistance: $97,000 → $100,000
Breakout Confirmation: Daily close above $97K with volume
Rejection Risk: Failure to hold $95K may lead to short-term consolidation

Macro Drivers Fueling the Rally:

• Softer CPI data reduces inflation pressure

• Rising probability of Fed rate cuts in upcoming meetings

• Increased demand for Bitcoin as a macro hedge

• Growing institutional interest near all-time highs

What Happens Next?

If bulls maintain control above $95K, Bitcoin could attempt a decisive breakout toward six-figure territory. However, rejection at resistance may lead to sideways consolidation before the next major move. Volatility is expected to remain high.

Market Sentiment: Bullish with caution
Trend: Higher highs & higher lows
Bias: Breakout-focused

📊 Live chart analysis shows BTC coiling just below resistance, suggesting a volatility expansion is near.

Is Bitcoin ready to print $100K, or will it stall again below resistance? Share your view.
#Bitcoin #BTC100K #BTC100KNEXT #CryptoNews

📈 #MarketRebound | Momentum is returning to crypto. Bitcoin has reclaimed the $95K zone, showing strong demand as dips continue to get bought. Ethereum is holding above $3.3K, signaling steady accumulation and improved market confidence. Higher highs on BTC and a stable uptrend on ETH suggest bullish momentum remains intact. Cooling inflation, easing macro pressure, and improving regulatory clarity are supporting risk appetite across digital assets. Key levels to watch: BTC support $92K–$94K, resistance $98K–$100K; ETH support $3.25K, resistance $3.6K+. If momentum holds, this rebound could be setting up the next leg higher. Charts attached for trend visualization. #BTC #ETH #Ethereum #CryptoMarket #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare #Bullish

📌 ETH Market Brief — Live Update

Ethereum (ETH) Price: ~$3,279

ETH continues to trade in a tight range with notable volatility. Key support remains around $3.1K, while resistance near $3.95K–$4.1K stands as a pivot zone for breakout traders. Institutional flows and whale accumulation signal continued confidence, but short-term resistance challenges could keep price action choppy.

Bullish scenario: Break above $3.95K → upside headway toward $4.4K+

Bearish scenario: Drop below $3.1K → possible re-test of $2.9K

As always, trade with risk management and keep an eye on macro flows alongside on-chain metrics.

#Ethereum #ETH #ETHPrice #EthereumPrice #ETHUpdate

📍 BTC Live: Perdagangan dekat kisaran $95K–$97K dengan volatilitas yang terus berlanjut. Penarikan jangka pendek terlihat setelah pengujian resistensi baru-baru ini.

Penggerak Kunci:

➡️ Ketidakpastian regulasi di AS membebani aksi harga.

➡️ Zona dukungan dekat $89K–$90K tetap krusial — perhatikan untuk penurunan atau pantulan.

➡️ Bull menunjukkan kekuatan dengan reli singkat di atas $97K, tetapi sentimen yang lebih luas tetap berhati-hati.

Apa yang Harus Diperhatikan Trader:

🔹 Break dan bertahan di atas $97K–$98K untuk mengonfirmasi momentum bullish jangka pendek.

🔹 Penurunan di bawah $89K dapat mengundang penjualan yang lebih dalam.

🔹 Berita makro dan perkembangan regulasi tetap menjadi katalis kunci.

Perdagangkan dengan cerdas, gunakan manajemen risiko, dan ikuti data pasar yang terverifikasi. 📊📌

Bitcoin holds firm near the mid‑$90K range as market sentiment swings with regulatory news and institutional flows. Recent U.S. regulatory bill delays briefly pressured prices, but resilience and on‑chain strength helped BTC reclaim ~$97K highs this week. Institutional adoption remains a key driver, with major banks and ETF inflows supporting long‑term bullish narratives while macro trends (inflation & policy) influence near‑term volatility. Overall, BTC’s position in portfolios and macro risk assets could set the tone for broader cycle continuation .

#Bitcoin
#BTC #Crypto #MarketUpdate #InstitutionalAdoption

Bitcoin (BTC) dari perspektif struktur pasar dan fundamental, cocok untuk wawasan trading atau investasi:

1. Struktur Pasar & Wawasan Teknikal:
Tren: Bitcoin telah menunjukkan ayunan bullish dan bearish siklikal. Zona konsolidasi jangka pendek menunjukkan akumulasi sebelum potensi breakout.

Dukungan & Perlawanan: Tingkat dukungan kunci sering berkumpul di dekat titik tertinggi sebelumnya yang menjadi zona permintaan; zona perlawanan terbentuk di dekat titik tertinggi ayunan sebelumnya. Perhatikan untuk pelanggaran struktur (BOS) atau perubahan karakter (CHoCH) untuk mengidentifikasi pembalikan tren.

Likuiditas & Blok Pesanan: BTC sering menargetkan likuiditas di sekitar stop-hunts dan titik tertinggi/rendah sebelumnya. Blok pesanan di sekitar $25k–$28k (dukungan) dan $35k–$38k (perlawanan) sangat penting.

2. Fundamental & Prospek Jangka Panjang:
Adopsi Bitcoin terus berkembang melalui minat institusional, ETF, dan pembayaran global. Pasokan terbatasnya (21 juta koin) mendukung narasi bullish jangka panjang.
Siklus pasar tetap signifikan: pembagian sebelumnya menunjukkan tren bullish selama 12–18 bulan setelah acara tersebut.

3. Skenario Bullish:
Pelanggaran di atas zona perlawanan kunci dapat memicu dorongan naik dengan probabilitas tinggi. Fundamental makro yang kuat dan berita adopsi dapat mempercepat keuntungan.

4. Skenario Hati-Hati:
Kegagalan untuk mempertahankan zona dukungan utama dapat menyebabkan penyapu likuiditas dan koreksi jangka pendek. Volatilitas tetap tinggi, jadi manajemen risiko sangat penting.

5. Pengambilan untuk Pemula:
Bitcoin cenderung bergerak dalam gelombang: beli di dekat dukungan kuat, jual di dekat perlawanan, dan selalu tentukan risiko Anda. Kesabaran dan konfirmasi tren adalah kunci.