AZ crypto hold

I'm saying this might sound crazy, but if I can do it, you can too. However, I went very slowly, taking about 5 years, and in each 6-month cycle, I only placed 20 trades. My win rate met the requirements; sometimes I even completed it before the cycle ended. I know there are day traders here, and they can achieve this much sooner than me. Be careful, because the stop-loss order will get higher and higher, leading to immense psychological pressure. I won't use any technical jargon so everyone can understand. Please read the following and plan accordingly for the future. If you understand it, please comment below so I know how many people understand this. Sooner or later, you will succeed.

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Robinhood, nền tảng giao dịch lớn, đã công bố kế hoạch xây dựng một mạng layer-2 trên Ethereum với mục tiêu tận dụng bảo mật của Ethereum trong khi cải thiện hiệu suất và giảm phí. Thông tin này được Robinhood trao đổi trong cuộc phỏng vấn với CoinDesk hôm nay, cho thấy dự án đang tiến triển và có thể sớm thu hút hoạt động on-chain từ cộng đồng người dùng của họ.

Tại sao điều này quan trọng:

— Một mạng layer-2 mới do một nền tảng tài chính lớn phát triển có thể tăng sức cạnh tranh trong không gian Ethereum scaling, thu hút dòng tiền on-chain, và tạo thêm tính thanh khoản.

— Việc mở rộng layer-2 có thể giảm bớt tắc nghẽn và chi phí giao dịch, ảnh hưởng đến trải nghiệm người dùng DeFi và NFT.

— Cơ sở hạ tầng như vậy thường thúc đẩy tăng trưởng hoạt động mạng, khiến các công cụ và dự án liên quan (ví dụ các bridge, DEX) sôi động hơn.

Bối cảnh thị trường hiện tại:

Bitcoin vẫn dao động quanh ~$90,000 với thanh khoản thấp và biến động nhẹ, phản ánh tâm lý thận trọng rộng rãi trên thị trường tổng thể.

Tóm lại:

Việc Robinhood đầu tư vào layer-2 không chỉ là một dự án riêng lẻ — nó là dấu hiệu tiếp tục của xu hướng mở rộng cơ sở hạ tầng Ethereum, có thể ảnh hưởng đến hoạt động on-chain và hệ sinh thái DeFi dài hạn.

Bitcoin’s volatility is compressed tighter than it’s been in the last cycle, trading in a narrow range with realized swings at historic lows — a rare setup where calm itself becomes tension, not comfort.

This compression around the $90k–$94k zone leaves a decision unresolved — neither clear expansion nor breakdown has yet taken hold. The market is coiled, waiting.

Under such conditions, hesitation carries its own cost: not reacting now still means being in a position when it finally moves.

What happened

Bitcoin is stalled around the $90,000 level after the latest U.S. jobs report showed weaker-than-expected hiring for December, adding only 50,000 jobs and reducing expectations for a near-term Federal Reserve rate cut. This has tempered optimism in risk assets including cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin’s price showed only minor gains and remained subdued around $90,000, while Ethereum and other top coins traded largely flat.

Meanwhile, broader market signals remain cautious. Investors are also watching macroeconomic and legal developments outside crypto — including potential Supreme Court decisions on global economic policy — that could influence risk sentiment.

Recent data also showed net outflows from major Bitcoin spot ETFs, especially from large funds such as BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC, indicating some short-term capital rotation out of crypto products.

Why it matters

• Macro drivers: Crypto markets continue to be sensitive to U.S. economic data and interest rate expectations, with slower job growth weakening the case for imminent rate cuts — typically bullish for risk assets.

• ETF flows: Outflows from flagship Bitcoin ETFs can affect liquidity and market breadth, especially when prices hover near key technical levels.

• Sentiment & risk appetite: With mixed signals from macro and regulatory fronts, risk tolerance remains cautious and volatility persists in the near term.

Market snapshot

• Bitcoin: ~$90k

• Ethereum: ~$3k–3.1k

• Altcoins: Mixed performance

Uncertainty remains around macro policy and ETF flows, which are major determinants of near-term crypto sentiment.

Tin chính hôm nay:

Quỹ ETF liên quan đến XRP đã ghi nhận dòng vốn rút ra lần đầu sau chuỗi tuần đầy inflows, với gần $40 triệu USD bị rút khỏi các sản phẩm ETF, chấm dứt chuỗi dòng vốn dương kéo dài gần 2 tháng. Điều này diễn ra bất chấp dữ liệu trước đó cho thấy XRP vượt trội so với Bitcoin và Ether trong đầu năm 2026.

Chính sách & quy định:

Chính phủ Colombia và Pháp đang mở rộng quy định thuế đối với crypto, buộc cả sàn giao dịch và ví tự quản lý phải báo cáo dữ liệu người dùng và hoạt động để truy quét trốn thuế. Đây là dấu hiệu gia tăng giám sát đối với tiền điện tử ở cả Nam Mỹ và châu Âu.

Tâm lý thị trường & rủi ro vĩ mô:

Bitcoin và Ethereum đang dao động quanh các mức được gọi là “max pain” khi hơn $2.2 tỷ USD hợp đồng quyền chọn sắp hết hạn, tạo ngưỡng áp lực giá khi các vị thế lớn cần được thanh lý hoặc đóng.

Công nghệ & sản phẩm mới:

Trump Media xác nhận sẽ phân phối token kỹ thuật số cho cổ đông như một phần mở rộng hệ sinh thái blockchain và tiện ích trên nền tảng Truth Social.

Tại sao điều này quan trọng

Tâm lý dòng vốn: Dòng vốn ETF rút khỏi XRP phản ánh sự thận trọng của nhà đầu tư tổ chức tại một thị trường từng tăng trưởng mạnh.Rủi ro pháp lý & thuế: Siết quy định thuế có thể tạo thêm chi phí tuân thủ cho tổ chức lớn, ảnh hưởng tới hoạt động giao dịch xuyên biên giới.Cấu trúc quyền chọn: Quyền chọn hết hạn lớn thường dẫn tới biến động giá ngắn hạn nhờ cơ chế pinning quanh mức quan trọng.

The broader cryptocurrency market extended its positive momentum on Monday, January 5, with many major tokens trading higher and overall market capitalization rising. This rally reflects strengthening investor sentiment early in the year. Bitcoin and most altcoins were notably stronger, supporting an uplift in total market value.

This broad-based strength comes amid supportive developments in regulatory and institutional narratives — including pressure toward more constructive policy frameworks as a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission commissioner’s departure reignites hope for clearer digital asset rules.

Additionally, XRP-specific catalysts such as Senate progress on crypto legislation and strong spot ETF inflows are contributing to localized positive sentiment within parts of the market.

The modest uptrend follows recent modest gains in market capitalization and suggests that risk appetite among traders has improved compared with recent weeks.

Why it matters

A broad market rally signals renewed confidence in digital assets, potentially drawing fresh participation from both institutional and retail segments. Even modest price improvements across major tokens can influence sentiment, liquidity flows, and short-term risk perceptions. However, such rallies are often sensitive to macroeconomic signals and regulatory clarity.

Market Overview:
Bitcoin and most of the cryptocurrency market are recording slight gains in the first trading session of the week and the new year. Total crypto market capitalization increased by approximately 1.4% in the last 24 hours, reflecting a recovery after a quiet trading period during the year-end holidays.
BTC Price Volatility:
Bitcoin is fluctuating around the $89,000 – $90,000 range, bouncing back from lower levels and showing recovery momentum, although still within a narrow range. The money flow remains quite weak, and Bitcoin has not yet broken out of the upper limit, indicating that the market remains cautious after the volatility at the end of 2025.
Altcoins and Market Sentiment:
Ethereum and many other altcoins also recorded slight gains alongside a broader market recovery. Total market capitalization is somewhat supported by buying demand after the correction.

Other Key Events:
Ripple began unlocking approximately 1 billion XRP at the start of the new year — a notable supply event but not considered a shock to the overall market compared to initial expectations.
Why this matters:
Risk Sentiment: The rebound in Bitcoin and altcoins at the start of the new year reflects improved risk sentiment after the holiday period and low liquidity.
Market Lack of Clear Direction: Despite the recovery, BTC is still trading within a narrow range; this suggests investors are cautious and waiting for clearer signals to decide on the next trend.
XRP Supply Event: The unlocking of the asset's signal could affect selling pressure, but the impact is currently considered limited.

Turkmenistan, one of the world’s most isolated economies, has officially legalised cryptocurrency mining and crypto exchanges under new legislation signed by President Serdar Berdimuhamedov, effective early January 2026. The law establishes a licensing framework for virtual asset service providers and places oversight under the country’s central bank, though crypto is not recognised as legal tender or payment. Implementation could allow the nation to leverage surplus energy for mining operations and diversify its economy beyond natural gas exports.
Why it matters
This marks an unusual regulatory shift from a traditionally restrictive state and could open new mining capacity in Central Asia. Policy developments that legitimise infrastructure and trading platforms can enhance mining confidence and institutional participation regionally. Legal frameworks also tend to reduce perceived operational risk for miners and service providers when compared with jurisdictions lacking clear regulatory treatment.
Broader perspective
Historically, policy clarity—even from smaller markets—can shape capital allocation decisions among mining and exchange operators considering global footprint expansion. It introduces a form of regulated market entry and may signal growing acceptance of crypto business models beyond traditional hubs.

Comfort creates permission. When uncertainty fades, risk feels justified — even if the opportunity is already gone. Markets understand this behavior and routinely delay clarity to exhaust patience.

Fear pushes traders to wait. Relief pushes them to act. Neither state is neutral.

The danger isn’t emotion itself, but timing decisions around emotional comfort. By the time confidence appears, the decision has usually become crowded.

Professional behavior isn’t about eliminating emotion. It’s about recognizing when emotions are being used as a signal — and when they are being exploited.

Ripple to Unlock 1 Billion XRP in Early 2026
Ripple is expected to unlock approximately 1 billion XRP from its escrow fund on January 1, 2026, marking the first release of the new year as previously announced. Historical data shows that the majority of XRP is usually relocked, limiting the impact on the actual circulating supply.

Trump Media Announces New Token Release Plan
Trump Media & Technology Group (associated with President Donald Trump's family) announced it will issue a new digital token to shareholders, built on the Cronos blockchain and expected to launch in 2026, expanding the company's involvement in the cryptocurrency sector.

Increased Interest from Large Family Offices
Global family offices continue to increase their exposure to cryptocurrencies, considering BTC and ETH as part of their multi-asset portfolios, but remain concerned about high market volatility as the new year begins.

WHY IS THIS IMPORTANT?
Supply and Liquidity:
Token unlocks like XRP's can create a cautious sentiment in the early part of the year if supply increases in the market — even if much is locked back afterward.
Institutional & Policy Signals:
The involvement of large institutions (family offices) and corporate/shareholder-linked token projects like Trump Media shows that cryptocurrencies remain a topic of interest at both institutional and traditional levels.
Market Sentiment:
Entering the new year, investor sentiment may be dominated by supply-demand news (token unlocks), institutional positioning, and regulatory and market pressure developments.

As 2025 closes, several developments are shaping the cryptocurrency landscape:

Major on-chain activity hints at strategic repositioning. Large movements attributed to major institutions — including reports of BlackRock reducing some crypto exposure while Michael Saylor’s Strategy buys — indicate shifting allocations among big holders.

Bitcoin steadies near key levels. Bitcoin traded around the mid-$80,000s, with early sessions showing a modest uptick amid renewed ETF inflows, suggesting some institutional interest as the year ends.

Market sentiment is cautious. Broader crypto sentiment indicators point toward fear and stagnation rather than strong bullish conviction, reflecting thin liquidity and year-end consolidation.

Holiday trading volumes remain low. Trading activity for many tokens, including major altcoins, has declined significantly in recent days, a typical pattern for holiday periods but one that limits short-term price discovery.

Why it matters:

These developments underscore a transition phase for the market. Large holders adjusting positions can influence liquidity and volatility, especially in a low-volume environment. Bitcoin’s rangebound behavior and subdued sentiment reflect broader uncertainty as institutions reassess risk exposures and await macro clarity in early 2026.

What happened

A major development in the crypto industry: six leading crypto companies, including Kraken, Consensys, and BitGo, are planning IPO (initial public offerings) in 2026, signaling increased institutional ambitions and potential mainstream financial integration.
Why it matters

IPOs from well-known crypto firms represent a significant shift toward traditional financial markets. If these listings occur:

They could increase institutional investor participation in digital assets.
Public market scrutiny might boost transparency and governance standards.
It may legitimize crypto businesses for a broader audience beyond crypto-native traders.
This comes as the market shows mixed price signals — with Bitcoin down and traders warning of possible steep corrections — highlighting ongoing uncertainty.
Context

2025 has been a volatile year for crypto prices, but structural developments like institutional moves and upcoming IPOs could influence sentiment and capital flows heading into 2026, a pivotal year historically tied to new market cycles.

What’s still uncertain

Actual IPO timelines, regulatory approvals, and market reception remain key variables. These announcements signal intent — not guaranteed outcomes — and may shift as macroeconomic conditions evolve.

Several noteworthy news items from the crypto market today highlight the shifting dynamics in DeFi and the fragile market sentiment:
1) Real-World Assets (RWA) DeFi experiences strong growth
Real-world asset protocols (RWA) have exploded and surpassed decentralized exchanges (DEXs) to become the 5th largest DeFi category by total value locked (TVL), reflecting a shift in capital flows from pure crypto assets to real-world products.
2) Net outflows from digital investment products continue
Crypto investment products recorded a net outflow of $446 million last week, indicating that investor sentiment remains cautious after the recent downturn.
3) Whales active in the ETH market
Technical reports show whales have bought a large amount of ETH this week, with long-term selling significantly reduced — a sign of increasing holding sentiment among some large investor groups.
4) Incident Affecting Individual Tokens (FLOW)
The FLOW token dropped more than 10% due to a security breach affecting investor confidence, illustrating that market risks remain.
Why this matters
RWA is one of the fastest-growing segments of DeFi, attracting new capital and expanding the DeFi landscape beyond pure digital assets.
Net outflows and weak sentiment could impact price volatility and liquidity in the short term.
ETH whale activity and the token security incident show that the market remains polarized between large investors and technical risks.

$ETH

Not dramatic. Not calm. Just compressed.

After recent narrative shifts, ETH hasn’t resolved the reaction yet. Price keeps revisiting the same zone, rejecting momentum in both directions. That’s where decisions quietly form.

Most traders mistake this for “nothing happening.” But compression is still information.

Doing nothing here isn’t neutral.

It’s a choice to let the market decide for you.
$ETH

The cryptocurrency market has moved lower in recent sessions, erasing much of the gains accumulated earlier in the year. After reaching new highs during the first half of 2025, major digital assets have seen broad-based declines, with total market capitalization falling as risk appetite softened across global markets. The pullback comes amid tighter financial conditions and fading momentum following earlier optimism around regulatory clarity and institutional participation.

Why it matters — Crypto markets remain highly sensitive to macroeconomic conditions and liquidity trends. When broader risk assets face pressure, digital assets often experience amplified moves due to their volatility and speculative positioning. Historically, similar late-cycle pullbacks have led to increased caution from institutional investors and reduced leverage across the market. This environment introduces uncertainty around short-term confidence, even as longer-term structural narratives remain under evaluation.

The current situation underscores the importance of monitoring macro signals and capital flows, rather than short-term price movements, as market participants reassess risk exposure.

Today, the cryptocurrency market saw Bitcoin rise above $90,000, along with Ethereum recovering above $3,000, reflecting a significant increase in total crypto market capitalization. Data shows that BTC is experiencing broader bullish momentum across multiple digital asset classes, coinciding with the breakout of major altcoins.
At the same time, whales (wallets holding 1,000–10,000 BTC) continue to be the main buying force around this price level, indicating that large capital flows remain in the market amidst increased volatility.
Meanwhile, altcoins like Flow (FLOW) experienced sharp declines following negative events related to hacking and affected market confidence—illustrating a clear divergence between BTC/ETH and some smaller tokens.
Additionally, there are reports that Japan's largest Bitcoin holding company has begun issuing dividend-paying shares, a new step in how large institutions approach crypto asset ownership.
Finally, the crypto IPO market is also predicted to be more vibrant in 2026 as companies that raised large amounts of capital in 2025 prepare to expand their operations.
Why is this important?
The recovery to $90K shows improving investor sentiment after weeks of volatility, with large capital inflows and momentum from BTC driving the broader market. At the same time, the divergence between asset classes reflects the concentrated risk in smaller projects, while BTC/ETH continues to attract greater liquidity.

$BTC $ETH $BNB

They act when emotions feel manageable.

Markets exploit this by offering comfort at the wrong time and discomfort when clarity is actually forming. Familiar patterns feel safe, even when conditions have changed underneath them.

The danger isn’t fear—it’s relief. Relief lowers questioning, shortens patience, and reduces preparation.

Experienced traders still fall into this trap because the brain prefers emotional stability over analytical accuracy. Understanding this doesn’t remove the bias, but it helps you notice when “feels right” isn’t the same as “is understood.”

$BTC $ETH $BNB