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Réflexions du marché-g
L'enquête pénale contre Powell suscite une incertitude au sein de la Réserve fédérale, le bitcoin reste stable
Jerome Powell
POWELL
2026
2026
Bitcoin
BTC
Or
OR
Réserve
RSRV
CoinRank_io
Par CoinRank_io
Il y a 39 minutes
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8 minutes de lecture
L'enquête pénale contre Powell suscite une incertitude au sein de la Réserve fédérale, le bitcoin reste stable
Table des matières
CONTEXTE DE L'ENQUÊTE PÉNALE CONTRE POWELL ET L'INDÉPENDANCE DE LA RÉSERVE FÉDÉRALE
PRESSIONS POLITIQUES, TRUMP ET LE TRANSFERT DE POUVOIR À LA RÉSERVE FÉDÉRALE
ESPÉRANCES DE BAISSE DES TAUX DE LA RÉSERVE FÉDÉRALE ET INCERTITUDE POLITIQUE EN 2026

L’histoire montre que les rares années de baisse du Bitcoin ont été suivies de rebonds triplés, maintenant 2026 fermement sur les listes de surveillance des traders.
Bitcoin
BTC
$90 965
a terminé 2025 légèrement en rouge avec un rendement de -6,36 % après un début fort au cours de l'année. Bien que la perte annuelle paraisse modeste, les schémas historiques suggèrent que les années de baisse ont souvent précédé certaines des plus fortes percées du Bitcoin.

Points clés :

Historiquement, le Bitcoin a en moyenne atteint des gains d'environ 100 % l'année suivant une année de baisse.

Les modèles à long terme prévoient une cible importante proche de 300 000 $ si les conditions de liquidité deviennent favorables.

Bitcoin 'not likely' to make new all-time high in 2026, says new research
Bitcoin long-term short signals from trading tools led analysis to conclude that no new BTC price all-time high would come this year.

BTC$91,261
faces a new “battle” for control before bulls trigger the next round of BTC price gains, but the long-term outlook is grim.
KEY POINTS:
Bitcoin short-term and long-term perspectives contrast as bears stay in control on high timeframes.A golden cross on the day chart does not cancel out short signals for the rest of the year.A new all-time high is “not likely” as a result.
$87,500 retest next stop for BTC price
In his latest X analysis on Wednesday, KEITH ALAN, cofounder of trading resource Material Indicators, forecast a retest of the 2026 yearly open.
Bitcoin price action is now caught in a tussle between buyers and sellers, but a return to $87,500 is “not a matter of if, but when,” Alan said.

“FireCharts shows a realtime battle unfolding in the $BTC order book,” he said.
“Bulls are trying to defend support at the 2026-01-05 Timescape Level, but Whales appear to be looking for a support test closer to the Yearly Open before a Golden Cross forms on the D chart to trigger the next rally.”

That cross involves the 21-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The former crossing above the latter would indicate renewed strength on lower timeframes.
Before that, however, a support retest of the yearly open is on the wall.
“The battle for it is happening right now,” Alan said, adding:
“If it doesn't happen in the next 24 hours, I expect it will happen after the Death Cross forms on the Weekly chart, around the middle of the month.”

Bitcoin, Ether at “critical inflection points”
Zooming out, other findings had little inspiration for Bitcoin optimists on multimonth timeframes and further out.
Multiple “short” signals, trading tools showed, mean that BTC/USD is unlikely to make new all-time highs before 2027.
“A lot can happen in 6 months that could invalidate it, but at the moment, it’s easy to build a case for price to drop after this current pump loses momentum,” Alan wrote about the six-month chart.
The research held similar conclusions about largest altcoin Ether ETH$3,154, describing both coins as being “at critical inflection points.”
For a true turnaround, one-week relative strength index (RSI) values above 41/100, along with weekly closes above the 50-week SMA at $101,500, are needed.