COIN STACK

Dernièrement, le marché de la crypto semble décevant. Sur le graphique de 4 heures, le Bitcoin montre des signes baissiers, et basé sur les données passées, il y a une forte chance qu'il puisse descendre pour combler son écart CME autour de 88,2k. De plus, le projet de loi sur la structure du marché crypto tant médiatisé, que beaucoup croyaient apporterait des milliards dans les altcoins, a été encore retardé. Ce retard a déjà nui au sentiment, avec les actions de Coinbase et Robinhood chutant d'environ 6 à 7 %. En regardant en arrière, il est également décevant que, au lieu de réels progrès, les gros titres d'il y a un an étaient des lancements de pièces meme comme Trump et Melania. Dans l'ensemble, le marché semble coincé dans un cycle de battage, de retards et de frustrations répétées.

Many people enter crypto without understanding the difference between spot trading and futures trading, and this mistake often leads to heavy losses. Both are tools, but they are meant for very different types of users.
What Is Spot Trading?
Spot trading means you buy the actual crypto asset and own it. If you buy Bitcoin on spot, it stays in your wallet until you sell it. There is no expiry, no liquidation, and no pressure to act fast.
For example, if you bought Bitcoin at $20,000 on spot, you can hold it even if the price drops to $15,000 or $10,000. Nothing forces you to sell. This makes spot trading safer and more suitable for beginners and long-term investors.
What Is Futures Trading?
Futures trading means you don’t own the coin. You are only betting on price movement using leverage. Leverage allows you to trade with more money than you actually have, which increases both profits and losses.
For example, using 10x leverage, a small price move against you can wipe out your entire position through liquidation. This is why many beginners lose money quickly in futures.
Why Futures Is Risky for Beginners
Futures trading requires strong discipline, risk management, and emotional control. The market can move suddenly due to news or volatility, and leverage magnifies every mistake. Many new traders enter futures hoping for quick profits, but end up losing capital faster than expected.
+Spot vs Futures: Simple Comparison
+Spot: Own the asset, lower risk, no liquidation
+Futures: No ownership, high risk, liquidation possible
+Spot: Best for learning and long-term growth
+Futures: Suitable only for experienced traders
*Final Thought*
Spot trading helps you survive and learn in the crypto market, while futures trading can destroy capital if used without experience. Beginners should focus on understanding the market through spot before even thinking about leverage. In crypto, protecting your capital is more important than chasing fast profits.
$BTC $ETH $BNB

La stratégie de Michael Saylor semble complexe, mais au fond, elle est en réalité très simple.
Premièrement, MSTR collecte des fonds en vendant des produits à revenu fixe (comme des obligations). Ces obligations versent aux investisseurs un rendement fixe d'environ 11 % par an. Par exemple, si MSTR collecte 1 milliard de dollars, elle s'engage à payer environ 110 millions de dollars chaque année. Sur 10 ans, le coût total des intérêts s'élève à environ 1,1 milliard de dollars.
C'est maintenant la partie importante.
Au lieu de laisser cet argent inactif, MSTR utilise les 1 milliard de dollars pour acheter du Bitcoin.
Bitcoin ne paie pas d'intérêts fixes, mais sa valeur augmente au fil du temps. Même si nous supposons un taux de croissance modéré de 15 % par an, cette somme de 1 milliard de dollars en Bitcoin peut croître considérablement grâce à l'intérêt composé. Après 10 ans, cette valeur en Bitcoin serait d'environ 4 milliards de dollars.

Tous les cryptos ne bénéficieront pas de ce qui va se produire ensuite. Le 6 octobre 2025, le marché des cryptomonnaies a perdu près de 1 billion de dollars, avec environ 50 milliards de dollars liquidés. Selon Raoul Pal, les échanges ont dû intervenir pour acheter des actifs qu'ils n'auraient normalement pas pris, et ces positions sont maintenant progressivement revendues. C'est une des raisons pour lesquelles le marché connaît une forte volatilité. Les données à long terme partagées par Benjamin Cowen mettent également en évidence des tendances annuelles importantes à garder à l'esprit.
Du point de vue plus large, tous les coins ne sont pas censés évoluer dans une direction positive. Malheureusement, les tensions géopolitiques mondiales s'intensifient, ce qui ajoute davantage d'incertitude aux marchés. Nous observons une implication accrue et une pression de la part des États-Unis dans différentes régions, notamment en Iran, au Groenland et à Cuba. Ces évolutions ne sont pas favorables et créent généralement de la peur et de l'instabilité. Pendant des périodes d'incertitude comme celle-ci, les marchés ont habituellement tendance à faire l'un des deux : rester stables et se stabiliser, ou bien baisser en tendance. En raison de cela, il devient important d'identifier des niveaux clés et de comprendre où le Bitcoin pourrait éventuellement se diriger ensuite.

There is some important news for people interested in crypto. Former President Trump recently shared some statements that could strongly impact Bitcoin in 2026.
New unemployment data has been released and it is better than expected, meaning fewer people are without jobs. At the same time, inflation data shows prices are rising slowly and are likely below 2%. When unemployment goes down and inflation stays low, it shows the economy is strong and stable. This gives the central bank confidence that the economy is healthy. Because of these conditions, markets like Bitcoin can benefit, as investors expect more supportive economic policies ahead.
The economy looks healthy, which helped Bitcoin rise a little recently. However, there is still an open price gap near $88,200, so it's not very positive about Bitcoin in the short term and expects some weakness. In the long term, though, the situation is important because inflation and employment goals are already being met. Since the economy is stable, the central bank does not need to cut interest rates or print more money right now. Doing that could increase inflation again, which is a risk. Overall, short-term caution remains, but long-term conditions are changing in a meaningful way.
When banks are given more money, people borrow more and start spending, which allows businesses to raise prices and causes inflation. Because of this risk, the central bank prefers to keep things as they are instead of adding more money to the system. However, Trump has a different plan. He needs to refinance about $9.5 trillion in debt within a short time period, mostly between January and June. To do this, the government must issue new bonds, and this situation could push policymakers to change their approach to interest rates and liquidity.
With interest rates around 4%, the U.S. government has to pay hundreds of billions of dollars just in interest, which is a big waste of money. If rates were reduced closer to 1%, the savings would be huge and that money could be used for other important needs. Trump understands this problem and believes interest costs matter a lot. Because of this, he plans to appoint a new Federal Reserve chair soon. The leading choices are Kevin Walsh and Kevin Hassett, and both support lower interest rates and policies that make borrowing cheaper.
While the central bank focuses on its goals, the government still needs to reduce how much it pays in interest. The two possible new Federal Reserve leaders are supportive of crypto and lower interest rates. Trump is pushing his own form of money support by increasing military spending from $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion. He said this extra cost would be covered by tariff income, but so far the money collected is much less than expected. There is also a chance that some of this tariff money may have to be returned if the courts rule the tariffs illegal. If that happens, the government may need to create hundreds of billions of dollars more, which could increase money supply and impact markets like crypto.
The extra money needed will likely be created by printing new money. Around $200 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities may be bought by institutions, which is a form of quantitative easing. This puts fresh cash into banks, increases available capital, and reduces financial stress, especially for smaller banks. If interest rates are also lowered under new leadership at the Federal Reserve, borrowing becomes cheaper. Together, more money in the system and lower rates mean higher liquidity, which can strongly impact markets like crypto.
The government is shifting toward a loose monetary policy that essentially forces "quantitative easing" on the economy. By printing money to fund major projects—like the proposed acquisition of Greenland—and implementing the 2025 tax cuts on tips and general income, the administration is bypassing traditional Federal Reserve controls. These massive liquidity injections, overseen by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, are expected to create an inflationary "tailwind" starting in February. While this may cause a period of market consolidation rather than a severe crash, the full impact of this high-risk liquidity won't be truly visible until 2027.making this year a key time to accumulate.$BTC $BTC
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