Afiarosnews25

GLOBAL MARKET COLLAPSE STARTS THIS WEEK 🚨
Most people won’t understand what’s happening until it’s too late.
By then, money is already gone.
This is not normal market movement.
This is a system-level funding problem building quietly.
The Fed just released new macro data — and trust me,
it’s much worse than the headlines.
If you’re holding assets right now without understanding this risk,
you probably won’t like what comes next.
🔍 What’s Really Happening
The Fed has already stepped in because banks needed cash:
• Balance sheet ↑ ~$105B
• Standing Repo Facility ↑ $74.6B
• Mortgage-Backed Securities ↑ $43.1B
• Treasuries only ↑ $31.5B
Let me be clear:
❌ This is NOT QE
❌ This is NOT stimulus
👉 This is emergency liquidity because funding conditions broke.
When the Fed accepts more MBS than Treasuries,
it means lower-quality collateral is being used.
That only happens under stress.
🌍 This Is Global — Not Just U.S.
At the same time:
China injected 1.02 TRILLION yuan in just one week
via 7-day reverse repos.
Different country.
Same problem.
When both U.S. and China inject liquidity together,
it’s not coordination —
it’s the global financial system starting to clog.
⚠️ Crypto Logic Square
⬜ People think liquidity = bullish
⬛ Reality: Liquidity comes when something breaks
⬜ Balance sheet up = risk-on
⬛ Reality: It means stress in the system
⬜ Central banks in control
⬛ Reality: They’re reacting, not leading
👉 When funding breaks, everything becomes a trap.
📊 The Signal Most Are Ignoring
Look where smart money is going:
🟡 Gold — All-Time High
⚪ Silver — All-Time High
Same pattern happened before:
📉 2000 → Dot-com crash
📉 2007 → Financial crisis
📉 2019 → Repo market freeze
Every time, a recession followed.
🧠 Final Thought
This isn’t bullish liquidity — it’s system stress.
Survive first, profit later. Position smart for 2026.
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Table of Contents
Market Musing-g
Powell Criminal Investigation Sparks Fed Uncertainty, Bitcoin Holds Firm
Jerome Powell
POWELL
2026
2026
Bitcoin
BTC
Gold
GOLD
Reserve
RSRV
CoinRank_io
By CoinRank_io
39 minutes ago
•
8 mins read
Powell Criminal Investigation Sparks Fed Uncertainty, Bitcoin Holds Firm
Table of Contents
BACKGROUND OF THE POWELL CRIMINAL INVESTIGATION AND FEDERAL RESERVE INDEPENDENCE
POLITICAL PRESSURE, TRUMP, AND THE FEDERAL RESERVE LEADERSHIP TRANSITION
FEDERAL RESERVE RATE CUT EXPECTATIONS AND POLICY UNCERTAINTY IN 2026
BITCOIN PRICE REACTION AND DECOUPLING FROM TRADITIONAL RISK ASSETS
BITCOIN TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND DERIVATIVES MARKET SIGNALS
CRYPTO MARKET SENTIMENT, FED POLITICIZATION, AND BITCOIN NARRATIVES
CONCLUSION: POWELL INVESTIGATION, FED POLICY RISK, AND BITCOIN’S STRATEGIC ROLE
Powell’s criminal investigation has increased Federal Reserve policy uncertainty, reinforcing concerns over politicization and weakening confidence in traditional monetary governance structures.
Rate-cut expectations for 2026 have dropped sharply to 51 basis points, yet Bitcoin has shown resilience as equities declined.
Bitcoin’s stable price action amid macro turmoil strengthens its narrative as a hedge against fiat policy risk and institutional instability.
Powell’s criminal investigation reshapes Federal Reserve policy risk as rate-cut expectations fall. Bitcoin shows signs of decoupling as a hedge against political uncertainty.

On January 9, 2026, the U.S. Department of Justice launched a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, an action Powell described as politically motivated pressure. As rate-cut expectations cooled sharply—markets now pricing only 51 basis points of easing in 2026—Bitcoin showed early signs of decoupling from traditional risk assets. While U.S. equity futures declined 0.4–0.7%, Bitcoin remained stable and even gained 0.7%. Many analysts argue that growing concerns over Federal Reserve politicization are strengthening Bitcoin’s role as a hedge against inflation and fiat policy risk.

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BACKGROUND OF THE POWELL CRIMINAL INVESTIGATION AND FEDERAL RESERVE INDEPENDENCE

The criminal investigation into Jerome Powell represents one of the most extraordinary developments in modern U.S. monetary history. According to the disclosed timeline, the probe was approved in November 2025 by U.S. prosecutor Jeanine Pirro, with a grand jury subpoena formally issued to the Federal Reserve on January 9, 2026. Two days later, on January 11, Powell released a video statement via the Federal Reserve’s official website, characterizing the investigation as an unprecedented attempt to exert political pressure on monetary policy rather than a legitimate inquiry into misconduct.

The investigation centers on Powell’s June 2025 congressional testimony regarding a $2.5 billion Federal Reserve headquarters renovation project. The project, initiated in 2022 and scheduled for completion in 2027, has exceeded its original budget by approximately $700 million. The Department of Justice stated that its priority is examining potential misuse of taxpayer funds and the accuracy of Powell’s testimony before Congress. Powell has strongly rejected this framing, arguing that the renovation issue is being leveraged as a political instrument to undermine Federal Reserve independence.

POLITICAL PRESSURE, TRUMP, AND THE FEDERAL RESERVE LEADERSHIP TRANSITION

The Powell investigation cannot be separated from the broader political context surrounding U.S. monetary policy. Tensions between Powell and Donald Trump have persisted for years, particularly over disagreements regarding the timing and scale of interest rate cuts. Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair is set to expire in May 2026, and Trump has indicated plans to announce a successor in the near future.

Compounding uncertainty, Senator Thom Tillis has publicly opposed confirming any new Federal Reserve nominee until the investigation is resolved, raising concerns about judicial overreach and the erosion of institutional independence. As a result, investors are increasingly forced to account not only for macroeconomic data, but also for the growing risk that monetary policy decisions may be shaped by political dynamics rather than economic fundamentals.
@powel_chrasher

History shows Bitcoin’s rare down years have been followed by triple-digit rebounds, keeping 2026 firmly on traders’ watchlists.
Bitcoin
BTC
$90,965
ended 2025 slightly in the red with a -6.36% return after a strong start earlier in the year. While the annual loss appears modest, historical patterns suggest that down years have often preceded some of Bitcoin’s strongest rallies.

Key takeaways:

Bitcoin has historically averaged close to 100% gains in the year following a down year.

Long-term models project a substantial target near $300,000 if liquidity conditions turn supportive.

Bitcoin history hints at upside after rare red years
According to Jesse Myers, Bitcoin Strategy Head at Smarter Web Company, Bitcoin has shown a consistent tendency to recover sharply after negative annual closes. Data from the past decade highlighted four down years: 2014, 2018, 2022, and, most recently, 2025.
#WriteToEarnUpgrade #Article4 #FYp

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Adoption, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Investment 101
Bitcoin's performance after a down year. Source: Jesse Myers/ X
The years immediately following those drawdowns delivered gains of 35%, 95%, and 156% respectively. Averaged together, these recoveries approach 95%, rounded to a 100% historical benchmark. While past performance does not guarantee future results, the repetition of this pattern continues to shape expectations for 2026.

Adding to the longer-term bullish case, Bitcoin researcher Sminston With noted that Bitcoin’s base-case valuation for 2026 sits between $200,000 and $300,000. With’s Bitcoin Decay Channel model uses quantile regression on historical price data to account for diminishing volatility across cycles.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Adoption, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Investment 101
Bitcoin Decay Channel. Source: Sminston With/X
With explained that the model’s oscillator remains near 20%, a level historically associated with early expansion phases. The projected 2026 target zone contrasts with Bitcoin’s stagnation near $88,000 at the end of 2025, which With attributed to delayed liquidity cycles rather than a definitive cycle peak.

Bitcoin 'not likely' to make new all-time high in 2026, says new research
Bitcoin long-term short signals from trading tools led analysis to conclude that no new BTC price all-time high would come this year.

BTC$91,261
faces a new “battle” for control before bulls trigger the next round of BTC price gains, but the long-term outlook is grim.
KEY POINTS:
Bitcoin short-term and long-term perspectives contrast as bears stay in control on high timeframes.A golden cross on the day chart does not cancel out short signals for the rest of the year.A new all-time high is “not likely” as a result.
$87,500 retest next stop for BTC price
In his latest X analysis on Wednesday, KEITH ALAN, cofounder of trading resource Material Indicators, forecast a retest of the 2026 yearly open.
Bitcoin price action is now caught in a tussle between buyers and sellers, but a return to $87,500 is “not a matter of if, but when,” Alan said.

“FireCharts shows a realtime battle unfolding in the $BTC order book,” he said.
“Bulls are trying to defend support at the 2026-01-05 Timescape Level, but Whales appear to be looking for a support test closer to the Yearly Open before a Golden Cross forms on the D chart to trigger the next rally.”

That cross involves the 21-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The former crossing above the latter would indicate renewed strength on lower timeframes.
Before that, however, a support retest of the yearly open is on the wall.
“The battle for it is happening right now,” Alan said, adding:
“If it doesn't happen in the next 24 hours, I expect it will happen after the Death Cross forms on the Weekly chart, around the middle of the month.”

Bitcoin, Ether at “critical inflection points”
Zooming out, other findings had little inspiration for Bitcoin optimists on multimonth timeframes and further out.
Multiple “short” signals, trading tools showed, mean that BTC/USD is unlikely to make new all-time highs before 2027.
“A lot can happen in 6 months that could invalidate it, but at the moment, it’s easy to build a case for price to drop after this current pump loses momentum,” Alan wrote about the six-month chart.
The research held similar conclusions about largest altcoin Ether ETH$3,154, describing both coins as being “at critical inflection points.”
For a true turnaround, one-week relative strength index (RSI) values above 41/100, along with weekly closes above the 50-week SMA at $101,500, are needed.