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According to Foresight News, Bitcoin has fallen below 91,000 USDT, with current trading figures at 91,150.46 USDT. The cryptocurrency has experienced a daily decrease of 0.05%.

On Jan 12, 2026, 08:36 AM(UTC). According to Binance Market Data, Bitcoin has dropped below 91,000 USDT and is now trading at 90,927.453125 USDT, with a narrowed narrowed 0.17% increase in 24 hours.

According to Foresight News, economist and gold advocate Peter Schiff has criticized a prediction made by VanEck analysts regarding Bitcoin's future value. The analysts forecast that Bitcoin's price could surpass $2.9 million by 2050. Schiff dismissed the prediction as nonsense, asserting that those making such forecasts are hired to promote Bitcoin and that their analysis holds no value.

According to BlockBeats, on January 12, Hyperinsight monitoring revealed that the trader known as 'Baisheng War God' (0x4331c) is currently shorting 49.95 BTC with 40x leverage, at an average entry price of $92,081.6, resulting in an unrealized loss of $6,500. Previously, this address completed 152 trades, with only four resulting in a total loss of $5,191.12. The remaining 148 trades were closed with profits, accumulating a total account profit of $293,700.

According to Binance Market Data, Bitcoin (BTC) crossed the 92,000 USDT benchmark and is now trading at 92,000 USDT, with 1.44% increase in 24 hours.

According to PANews, Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart commented on the timeframe for the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to process Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF application. Seyffart stated that the earliest possible decision could be expected 75 days from the date of submission, which would be around March 23.

On Jan 12, 2026, 00:03 AM(UTC). According to Binance Market Data, Bitcoin has crossed the 91,000 USDT benchmark and is now trading at 91,022.367188 USDT, with a narrowed 0.59% increase in 24 hours.

On Jan 11, 2026, 14:31 PM(UTC). According to Binance Market Data, Bitcoin has crossed the 91,000 USDT benchmark and is now trading at 91,022.4375 USDT, with a narrowed 0.46% increase in 24 hours.

According to PANews, Japan plans to classify Bitcoin as a financial product this year, a move that could incentivize Japanese citizens to invest in the cryptocurrency. Crypto analyst Willy Woo commented that this classification would result in Bitcoin earnings or transactions being taxed at a rate of 20%, rather than the marginal income tax rate, which ranges from 43% to 55% for annual incomes exceeding $57,000. This change could diminish Metaplanet's tax arbitrage advantage compared to self-custody of Bitcoin. Additionally, approximately 110 other cryptocurrencies will be included in this classification, with staking earnings subject to marginal tax rates.

Key TakeawaysBitcoin ETF outflows total $681 million in the first full week of 2026Spot Ether ETFs see $68.6 million weekly net redemptionsMacro uncertainty and delayed rate-cut expectations drive risk-off positioningSource: SoSoValueSpot Bitcoin ETFs See Four Days of RedemptionsSpot Bitcoin ETFs recorded four consecutive days of net outflows from Tuesday to Friday, according to SoSoValue data. The largest single-day withdrawal hit $486 million on Wednesday, followed by $398.9 million on Thursday and $249.9 million on Friday.These redemptions erased earlier gains, after ETFs attracted $471.1 million on Jan. 2 and $697.2 million on Jan. 5. The reversal marked a sharp shift in near-term Bitcoin ETF flows. Ether ETFs Mirror Bitcoin WeaknessSpot Ether ETFs followed a similar path, posting approximately $68.6 million in weekly net outflows. Total net assets across Ether products stood near $18.7 billion at week’s end.The parallel decline suggests broader caution across digital asset ETFs, not isolated Bitcoin news. Correlated flows reflect shared exposure to macro-driven risk sentiment. Macro Uncertainty Drives Risk-Off PositioningAnalysts have attributed the pullback to shifting expectations around monetary policy.  Investors are also closely watching Federal Reserve guidance and upcoming U.S. CPI data. Until clearer signals emerge, buying pressure may remain limited. Institutional Interest Remains Intact Despite OutflowsDespite short-term ETF weakness, broader institutional interest continues to build. Morgan Stanley filed with the SEC to launch spot Bitcoin and Solana ETFs, becoming the first major U.S. bank to pursue such products.Meanwhile, Bank of America authorized advisers to recommend select Bitcoin ETFs to clients. These moves signal long-term confidence in blockchain-based investment products, even amid volatility. Bitcoin Outlook: Tactical Shift, Not Structural ExitWhile weekly outflows reached $952 million, month-to-date ETF flows remained positive at $588 million in late December. In 2025, crypto ETPs attracted $46.7 billion, underscoring durable demand.The current pullback appears to reflect tactical repositioning rather than a loss of conviction. For now, the Bitcoin outlook hinges on macroeconomic data, policy clarity, and whether renewed bullish momentum can return to ETF flows.

According to PANews, crypto analyst Willy Woo has expressed optimism about Bitcoin's performance from late January to February, while maintaining a bearish outlook for 2026.Woo stated that an internal investor capital flow model predicts Bitcoin hit its bottom on December 24 and has been steadily strengthening since. Typically, it takes 2-3 weeks for such trends to reflect in prices, which appears to be happening now, albeit restrained by short-term technical indicators showing overbought conditions. Another positive factor is the recovery of fiat liquidity in the futures market after months of stagnation, similar to mid-2021, which led to the second peak of the previous cycle. Therefore, the resistance level of $98,000 to $100,000 needs to hold. If this resistance is breached, attention should turn to the resistance at the all-time high (ATH).However, Woo remains bearish for 2026, citing a broader perspective where liquidity relative to price momentum has been weakening since January 2025. Currently, the market is in a hotspot phase lacking sufficient liquidity support for momentum. Woo's outlook would change only if substantial spot (long-term) liquidity enters the market in the coming months, breaking the downward trend. It is noteworthy that a bear market has not yet been confirmed, which would be indicated by sustained outflows of Bitcoin funds, a lagging indicator of a cycle peak.

According to Cointelegraph, the Bitcoin (BTC) network mining difficulty, which measures the computational challenge of adding a new block to the blockchain, slightly decreased to 146.4 trillion on Thursday. This marks the first difficulty adjustment of 2026. The next adjustment is anticipated to occur on January 22, 2026, at 04:08:12 AM UTC, with an expected increase in difficulty from 146.47 trillion to 148.20 trillion, as reported by CoinWarz. Currently, average block times are at 9.88 minutes, slightly below the 10-minute target, indicating a forthcoming increase in difficulty to better align with the target block time.In 2025, Bitcoin mining difficulty reached new all-time highs, with the final adjustment of the year slightly increasing the difficulty level. Despite this increase, the difficulty remained below the record high of 155.9 trillion observed in November. The rising difficulty signifies heightened competition for mining blocks, posing additional challenges to the mining industry, which faced macroeconomic, regulatory, and financial obstacles throughout 2025. The year was marked by a challenging margin environment for Bitcoin miners, exacerbated by the April 2024 halving that reduced the block subsidy by 50% and various macroeconomic factors.The downturn in the crypto market, which began in November, further pressured miners and mining companies. Miner hash price, a crucial metric for profitability that tracks expected revenue per unit of computing power, fell below breakeven levels in November 2025. This metric dropped to a multi-year low of below $35 per petahash-second per day, forcing miners to reconsider whether to continue operations. Additionally, tariffs imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump added strain to Bitcoin miners, raising concerns about supply chain shortages.A sharp decline in the crypto market, triggered by a flash crash in October, led to a 30% drop in BTC prices in November, with Bitcoin reaching a low just above $80,000. Although Bitcoin prices have since rebounded, they remain significantly below the all-time high of over $125,000 achieved in October.

According to Odaily, the widow of the late early Bitcoin contributor Hal Finney marked the 17th anniversary of his first tweet mentioning Bitcoin, "Running bitcoin," through her X account, formerly known as Twitter. She also announced the launch of the fifth 'Running Bitcoin Challenge' event. Hal Finney was the recipient of the first Bitcoin transaction from Satoshi Nakamoto and played a crucial role in the development and operation of early Bitcoin versions. He passed away due to amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS).

According to Odaily, Onchain Lens monitoring reveals that a well-known Bitcoin OG is experiencing substantial floating losses exceeding $9 million on their long positions as the market continues to decline. Additionally, the cumulative loss in funding fees amounts to approximately $5.56 million.Specifically, the Bitcoin OG's long positions in BTC and ETH are currently in a loss, while the SOL long position remains profitable.

According to BlockBeats, data from Coinglass on January 10 indicates that after recent fluctuations in the crypto market, funding rates on major centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized exchanges (DEX) suggest a neutral sentiment towards Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). The funding rates on mainstream platforms have returned to neutral, although altcoins continue to experience significant negative rates.BlockBeats notes that funding rates are set by cryptocurrency trading platforms to maintain balance between contract prices and the prices of underlying assets, typically applied to perpetual contracts. This mechanism involves the exchange of funds between long and short traders, and the platform does not charge this fee. It is used to adjust the cost or profit of holding contracts, ensuring that contract prices remain close to the asset prices.A funding rate of 0.01% indicates a baseline rate. When the funding rate exceeds 0.01%, it reflects a generally bullish market sentiment. Conversely, a rate below 0.005% suggests a bearish outlook.

According to BlockBeats, on January 10, monitoring by Farside Investors revealed a net outflow of $250 million from U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs the previous day. The breakdown of the outflows includes BlackRock's IBIT, which saw a decrease of $252 million, while Fidelity's FBTC experienced an inflow of $7.9 million. Bitwise's BITB recorded an outflow of $5.9 million.

According to Foresight News, official announcements reveal that cryptocurrency mining company Cango produced 114.5 bitcoins this week. The company's total bitcoin holdings have now reached 7,642.8 BTC.

According to ChainCatcher, data from Arkham indicates that at 06:10, 50 BTC were transferred from Cumberland DRW to Bullish.com. Following this, Cumberland DRW moved the remaining 19.99988732 BTC to another address starting with bc1q8s3h3.

According to ChainCatcher, data from Arkham indicates that at 02:18, a total of 108.92 BTC was transferred from an anonymous address, beginning with 12YGEm, to Jump Crypto.

Fidelity Investments Global Macro Director Jurrien Timmer said Bitcoin’s long-term price trajectory increasingly resembles the S-curve adoption pattern of the internet, rather than a strict power-law model, while cautioning against claims that Bitcoin has entered a permanently bullish, cycle-free phase.According to remarks cited by BlockBeats on Jan. 10, Timmer said he remains skeptical of the growing narrative among Bitcoin proponents that the traditional four-year market cycle has ended and that future bear markets are unlikely.Halving impact fading, but cycles still matterTimmer said he does not dispute the idea that Bitcoin’s halving cycle is having a diminishing marginal impact as the asset matures. However, he pushed back on the conclusion that this structural shift eliminates the possibility of future drawdowns.He warned that market cycles and consolidation phases are still a natural part of asset adoption, even as Bitcoin moves deeper into institutional portfolios.S-curve vs power-law: two different baselinesTimmer outlined two different frameworks for assessing Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory:S-curve adoption model: Suggests Bitcoin is following a path similar to transformative technologies like the internet, where growth accelerates, plateaus, and then stabilizes as adoption matures.Power-law model: Implies a lower long-term baseline and more aggressive mean reversion.Under current conditions:Bitcoin’s baseline price is around $65,000, corresponding to its previous cycle peakThe power-law trend line sits closer to $45,000, implying a wider downside range if mean reversion occursConsolidation could redefine critical levelsTimmer noted that if Bitcoin enters a consolidation phase over the next year, the power-law trend line could gradually rise toward the $65,000 level. If that occurs, the former cycle high could evolve into a key long-term support threshold.However, he emphasized that this outcome is not guaranteed, and may not materialize within the next year — or at all.Outlook: structural growth, not linear upsideTimmer’s view suggests Bitcoin is transitioning from a purely speculative asset into one driven more by adoption curves and macro integration, but not without volatility.While the long-term trajectory remains constructive, he cautioned that expecting uninterrupted upside ignores historical market behavior, even for transformative technologies.