Shone_Trader39

Khi đam mê meme lấy đi tất cả!
Mình viết những dòng này không phải để than vãn, cũng không để xin thương hại, mà chỉ là một lời tâm sự thật lòng muốn chia sẻ với mọi người.

Đã có lúc, trong tài khoản của mình là vài chục nghìn đô. Với nhiều người đó là cả một gia tài, với mình khi ấy là sự tự tin, là cảm giác “mình đang đi đúng hướng”. Nhưng rồi… mình đốt sạch số tiền đó vì một thứ gọi là đam mê meme coin.
Ban đầu chỉ là tò mò. Sau là hưng phấn. Rồi là FOMO. Thắng vài kèo nhỏ khiến mình chủ quan, nghĩ rằng mình hiểu thị trường, nghĩ rằng vận may sẽ đứng về phía mình. Nhưng crypto, đặc biệt là meme, không vận hành bằng cảm xúc. Và khi cảm xúc dẫn đường, cái giá phải trả thường rất đắt.
Mỗi lần vào lệnh là một lần hy vọng.
Mỗi lần chart đỏ là một lần tự trấn an: “Rồi nó sẽ lên”.
Cho đến khi nhìn lại… tài khoản chỉ còn là những con số lạnh lùng.

Mất tiền đau thật. Nhưng cái đau hơn là mất đi sự tỉnh táo, mất đi kỷ luật, mất đi chính mình trong một khoảng thời gian dài. Có những ngày mình không dám mở app, không dám nhìn lại quá khứ. Cảm giác thất bại nó không ồn ào, nhưng nó âm ỉ và rất nặng.

Mình viết bài này để nhắc bản thân – và nếu có thể, nhắc cả bạn:

Meme coin có thể đổi đời, nhưng cũng có thể lấy đi tất cả

Đừng dùng hy vọng để thay cho quản lý rủi ro

Và quan trọng nhất: tiền có thể kiếm lại, nhưng bài học thì phải nhớ suốt đời nhưng ít nhất mình đã học được cách tôn trọng thị trường và tôn trọng chính mình.
Cảm ơn mọi người đã đọc đến đây.
Chúc anh em vững tâm, tỉnh táo và còn ở lại thật lâu với thị trường này.

🔍 ANALYSIS – LINEA/USDT
❗Summary of the trend: In the distribution phase → prolonged decline → touching the liquidity bottom area
1️⃣ Market Structure
• The chart is clearly in a Downtrend:
• Subsequent highs are lower than previous highs (Lower High)
• Subsequent lows are lower than previous lows (Lower Low)
• The decline started from the 0.029–0.03 area → dropped sharply to 0.0054 → weak rebound → continued to move sideways down.
=> This is a standard CMC bearish structure, sellers control everything.
2️⃣ Liquidity
• Below the 0.010 area, there is a very thick liquidity bottom, as retail often places stop-loss orders below the bottom.
• The current price 0.01035 still has the potential:
→ To sweep the bottom (liquidity sweep) down to 0.0095–0.0098 before bouncing back up.
=> Large capital often creates a bottom sweep before a short-term reversal.
3️⃣ MA – Weak momentum
• MA7 < MA34 and both are sloping down
• Indicates:
→ No new buying power
→ Technical rebound is just a pullback in a downtrend.
4️⃣ RSI – Slight divergence signal but not strong enough
• RSI(14) ≈ 35 → close to the oversold area
• Hidden divergence appears, but the divergence strength is weak, not creating a certain reversal.
=> It may rebound but there is no confirmation of a trend reversal.
5️⃣ MACD – Sign of a short-term bottom
• MACD is approaching the 0 line
• Histogram changes from red → green
→ Indicates that sellers are gradually weakening.
=> There is a possibility of a slight recovery, but not enough to reverse the major trend.
🎯 CONCLUSION
=> There is a potential for recovery, short-term trading because if BTC is bad, it will affect the entire market leading to higher risks.

$BTC Góc nhìn lạc quan.
Theo góc nhìn của mình hiện tại nếu trendline không bị thủng thì BTC có thể về lại mức giá 11X trước khi về vùng 7X.Cá mập cũng cần ăn tết mà phải không anh em.

$SOMI Prepare for the break, everything is gradually heading in the right direction. With the same idea, we walk together. This is not investment advice.

🔥 AVNT – Amid the market-wide downturn, still maintaining a good price
Observing the AVNT/USDT chart on the 1D timeframe, we see a very notable point:
👉 While the entire market is going down, AVNT maintains a very stable price around the range of 0.50 – 0.53.
⭐ 1. CMC: Large capital is anchoring the price
Price is moving sideways – Volume is gradually decreasing → Accumulation by Smart Money
While altcoins are in a deep red, AVNT maintains a very solid price base.
This is the CMC model: Sideway Accumulation.
⭐ 2. MA7 closely follows the price – selling pressure is weakening
• Price continuously holds above/around MA7, meaning the selling side is weakening.
• MA34 is positioned above → the larger trend is still downward, but the slope is flattening, signaling the end of the downtrend.
→ Familiar CMC setup before entering the reaccumulation phase.
⭐ 3. RSI(14) maintains a neutral zone → No panic selling
• RSI holds around ~43–46: not overbought, not deeply corrected — confirms the model of active price holding.
⭐ 4. MACD is narrowing – a new momentum is imminent
• MACD approaches the 0 line, histogram is shrinking → selling pressure is weak.
• If MACD crosses upward, that will be an activation signal for a short-term increase.
🎯 Conclusion
AVNT is demonstrating a typical pattern of a token being held at price by smart money during a panic market phase.
It’s not yet the time for a strong pump, but this is a healthy price base, with low breakdown risk, and is an ideal observation zone. If the overall market rebounds slightly, AVNT has the potential to bounce back soon.
#AVNT #Altcoin #BinanceSquare

🔥 HOW MUCH WILL THE FED CUT INTEREST RATES IN 2025?
BTC IS FALLING, BUT WHAT IMPORTANT DATA DOES POLYMARKET SHOW?
The crypto market this morning is in turmoil — BTC is adjusting, altcoins are plummeting.
But amidst this volatility, data from Polymarket reveals investors' expectations about FED policy in 2025:
• 75 basis points (3 cuts): 52%
• 50 basis points (2 cuts): 45%
• Stronger scenarios: almost zero
This indicates that the market expects the FED to cut rates but not too aggressively, maintaining a cautious approach to control inflation.
🧠 MEANING IN THE CONTEXT OF BTC FALLING
1️⃣ The current decline is short-term, mainly driven by sentiment and profit-taking,
not a signal that the FED is changing policy.
2️⃣ Expectations for rate cuts remain stable, which is very important as monetary policy affects the larger cycle.
3️⃣ Rate cuts in 2025 lay the groundwork for capital to return to risky markets,
but this index reflects long-term trends, not this week's price movements.
4️⃣ The adjustment of BTC while FED expectations remain dovish indicates:
👉 The market is undergoing a short-term shake-out, rather than a major trend change.

#CryptoNews #BTC #FED #InterestRates #Polymarket #BinanceSquare

🔥 99% CHANCE THE US GOVERNMENT WILL REOPEN!
According to the latest data from Polymarket, the likelihood that the US government will officially reopen before 16/11 has reached 99% — a nearly certain figure! 📈
This marks a huge turning point after weeks of political instability that left the financial and crypto markets 'holding their breath'. When the government reopens:
✅ Financial agencies like SEC, CFTC… will return to normal operations.
✅ Many ETF applications, stablecoins, and pending regulations may be expedited.
✅ Market sentiment improves — capital may flow back into riskier assets, with Crypto being the focal point!
📊 While traditional markets are gradually stabilizing, Crypto may be the first and strongest to react to this information.
#CryptoNews #Bitcoin #Polymarket #USGovernment #BTC #CryptoMarket #Bullish #ETF #BinanceSquare

$BTC It's true that we take the stairs up but take the elevator down. Tonight there is news from the US government, hopefully the market will have an upward trend.
#BTC☀

🚨 BREAKING NEWS CRYPTO ALERT 🚨
The U.S. House of Representatives will vote to reopen the government on Wednesday, 13/11 at 4:00 PM EST! (4:00AM-14.11) This is extremely hot news — if the vote passes, the crypto market could explode, the momentum of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and altcoins will be strongly restored! 💥
Traders and hodlers, all eyes are on this vote. This could be a significant boost for the market.
#CryptoNews #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Altcoins #BreakingNews

🔥 The Crypto market continues to bleed
In the past 24 hours, the market has evaporated nearly 200 billion USD, equivalent to ~5% of the total capitalization.
Bitcoin has once again "vanished" more than 5,000 USD, despite no significant negative news.
On the contrary, good news about the US Government's impending return to action after the House vote has left many confused: Good news yet the price still drops.
Data from Coinglass shows that total liquidations across the market are only around 500 million USD, a rather "light" figure compared to previous major crashes.
This indicates that Market Makers (MM) seem to be very calm – there has not been a strong "kill" move, just a warning to weak-handed investors.
What do you think – are you ready for a big wave or still waiting for confirmation signals? 💭
#CryptoNews #Altcoin #MarketAnalysis #BinanceSquare #PhanTichCrypto #DowntrendHayDieuChinh #HoldHayThoat #CryptoVN #TinTucCrypto #BitcoinVietnam

🔥 HOT: The US government is about to reopen after 40 days of freezing!
Global liquidity signals are beginning to unlock.
Confidence is returning – fear is fading.
The largest financial machine in the world is about to operate again!
When the US budget is approved, macro pressure will decrease significantly – "risk-on" money could explode.
Bitcoin is the first to sense this: rising up, leading the wave, reigniting market hope.
The momentum is still there.
Strength meets strength.
The bull is no longer waiting.
$BTC $ETH $TRUMP $ON – the big wind has risen, who dares to ride the wave? 🌪️
#CryptoNews #Bitcoin #BTC #Ethereum #ETH #TRUMP #BinanceSquare

$TRUMP $TRUMP $TRUMP 9$.Do you choose the same as I do?

$BAT is exactly as expected, my analysis is correct

🔍 1. BTCDOM/USDT - Next week's trend
BTCDOM is currently around the 4.480 – 4.500 range, after creating a local peak at the 4.830 (4H) and 5.380 (1D) levels.
This is a liquidity re-distribution area after a strong price push – breaking the bullish structure (BOS) in the short term.
When BTCDOM rises, money tends to flow out of altcoins and back to BTC or stablecoins ⇒ The altcoin market is weak.
🕊 2. Analysis according to the 1D frame (medium-term trend)
The Daily structure has shifted from bearish to slightly bullish, with BOS at the 4.000 level, but is currently at the supply zone of 4.800 – 5.000.
EMA 34 and 89 are preparing for a golden cross (bullish cross), but need a sweep down to the 4.200 – 4.300 range to gather liquidity before a real upward impulse.
📈 3. Predictions for next week's trend
Priority scenario (60%) – Pullback to the discount zone then rise again:
Prices may pull liquidity down to the 4.200 – 4.300 range, then bounce back to the 4.800 – 5.000 zone.
→ This is the setup “liquidity sweep + BOS + retest” standard CMC.
Alternative scenario (40%) – Continuing sideways around 4.400 – 4.600:
If volume remains low and there is no clear BOS, BTCDOM may accumulate sideways, causing altcoins to gently rebound for a few days.
?

$RLC In-depth analysis, is it an opportunity for us.
• RLC is in the accumulation phase after a long-term strong downtrend.
• The price previously peaked at around 4.79 USD, then sharply dropped to 0.72 USD — equivalent to over 80% of its value.
• The current market structure shows that the break of the downtrend has stopped, with signs of a short-term bottom forming around the 0.72–0.75 USD range.
💡 2. Signs of large capital flow
• OBV has recently increased significantly while the price has not increased correspondingly → indicating that capital is silently accumulating from institutions or whales.
• Last week's candle had unusually high volume, showing a potential "spring" – shaking off the bottom according to the Wyckoff method.
📈 3. Important price zones (Liquidity & POI)
• The low liquidity area is around 0.72–0.80 USD, where many stop-losses have been triggered.
⚙️ 4. Supporting technical indicators
• MA7 (0.954) is crossing above MA34 (1.077) → a sign of early trend reversal.
• RSI(14) ~44 is bouncing up from the oversold area, confirming the rebound strength.
• MACD is creating a slight positive divergence → signaling weak upward momentum but could explode if it confirms a break above 1.00 USD.
🎯 5. Action scenarios according to CMC
• Bullish scenario (Smart Money Buy Setup):
If the price holds above 0.90 and strongly breaks the 1.00–1.05 area, it confirms that smart money is pushing a new markup phase.
👉 Short-term target: 1.40 – 1.60 USD
👉 Medium-term target: 2.30 USD (the nearest structural peak)
• Bearish scenario (Fakeout):
If the price fails to hold 0.90 and breaks below 0.80 → the accumulation trend extends, testing the bottom at 0.72 before recovering.
🧭 Strategy summary
RLC is in the accumulation zone of Smart Money, with signs of large capital silently gathering.
The 1.00 USD level is a key level that will determine the trend for the next 2–4 weeks.

#RLC/USDT #BinanceSquare

$BAT Opportunity And Potential
🧭 1. Market Structure
• Weekly Frame (1W):
BAT is in the accumulation – redistribution phase. After forming a bottom at 0.0939 → 0.1078, the price creates a Higher Low in this area and begins to break up through the MA89 = 0.1938 → signaling a break in the long-term downtrend structure.
→ Signs of whales have accumulated in the bottom area, and the market is shifting to a medium-term uptrend.
• Daily Frame (1D):
The structure is clearer: a series of Higher Highs – Higher Lows formed from the area 0.1082 → 0.2448 → currently, the price is retesting the range 0.19 – 0.21.
→ This is the “retest of the order block” phase of the buyers.
💰 2. Money Flow Behavior
• Main OB (Order Block): area 0.19 – 0.205, where the last bearish candle appeared before the strong push up to 0.24.
→ If the price holds this area and a confirming bullish candle appears (FVG fill + wick rejection), there is a high probability of another push up to the liquidity area 0.26 – 0.28.
• Liquidity:
• Below: 0.19 – 0.185 → potential liquidity trap.
• Above: 0.24 – 0.26 → next price attraction zone.
📊 3. Technical Indicators
• RSI (14D): ~65 → trending up, not in the overbought area → still room for increase.
• MACD: histogram crosses above 0 → confirming the new uptrend has just begun.
• MA(7,34,89): the golden MA model (7) crosses above the purple MA (34) and the long-term MA (89) → confirming the bullish crossover trend.
🔍 4. Conclusion according to CMC
• Current phase: the market has shaken off, Smart Money is pushing the price according to the new uptrend.
• CMC Strategy:
• Entry: 0.19 – 0.205 (buy OB area on D1).
• Short-term target: 0.26 → 0.28 (Equal High).
• Medium-term target: 0.34 – 0.38 (weekly frame peak).
• Stoploss: below 0.18.
🧠$BAT beautiful buy zone around 0.19 – 0.205.
This is not investment advice.
#BAT/USDT #BinanceSquare

• $TRUMP Probability of retesting the range 9.0–10.0: >70%
Current price: 8.11 USDT (+14.9%)
24h trading volume: ~15.9M TRUMP — signs of large capital flow returning after a period of accumulation.
🧭 CMC Analysis (Smart Money Concept)
1. Market context
• On the weekly frame, the price has broken the bearish structure (BOS) by closing candles above the range 7.0 – 7.2.
• The main short-term trend is shifting from bearish to accumulation – a bullish reversal.
• The price level of 1.5 USDT creates the "extreme liquidity" bottom (Liquidity Grab) → Smart Money sweeps the bottom to collect assets.
2. Important areas (Key Levels & Liquidity Zone)
• Strong support zone: 6.8 – 7.2 (old money supply zone, Smart Money entry zone).
• Short-term resistance: 8.6 – 9.0 (most recent liquidity peak zone).
• When the price exceeds 9.0 with high volume, it may trigger a markup phase (strong upward momentum).
3. Volume & momentum
• Volume spiked in the most recent green candle → confirms Smart Money participation.
• RSI (1D): 65 → The upward momentum is strong but not overbought yet.
• MACD is positive and the DIF line crosses above the DEA → confirms the short-term bullish trend.
4. MA signals
• On the daily frame, MA7 (7.67) has crossed above MA34 (6.81) → a clear bullish reversal signal.
• MA89 (7.83) is being pierced upward → if the price closes above this level, it confirms the medium-term bullish trend.
💡 CMC strategy suggestion
StageActionTargetStop-lossEntry 1Buy around 7.0–7.3 (discount zone - Smart Entry)8.8–9.5Below 6.8Entry 2If breaking 9.0 strongly, may buy the breakout10.5–12.0Below 8.0
⚠️ Expert opinion
• The TRUMP token is forming a bullish reversal structure like "Spring – Break – Retest"
📊 Trend summary
• Daily frame: Short-term bullish (Bullish Reversal)
• Weekly frame: Starting to recover from the bottom (Accumulation Phase)