Honestly, I donโt see any reason why $BTC should go up from here.
$BTC canโt even hold 91k, very weak look.
Saylor bought +$1B over the weekend and price barely moved.
Just a few minutes ago, the news came out about what JPMorgan expects regarding rate cuts.
I donโt see a single signal that makes me think we could move up. The only thing weโve had is strong blind bid during last week, but nothing else. The moment that bid slows down or stops, I think weโll drop hard.
The only thing that could make us at least retest 94k would be a continuation of this blind $BTC bid, but I donโt see that as very likely. If it happens for whatever reason, I will reassess my positions.
The DOJ just filed criminal charges against Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
This is the most consequential shift in American monetary governance since 1913.
Most people wonโt realize what changed this week until months from now.
Powell says the DOJ probe is a direct consequence of not cutting rates when Trump wanted.
This is an open war now. And it's very bad for risk assets.
For 113 years, Fed Chairs could defy presidents without facing prosecution. That era ended on January 9, 2026.
Powellโs words were unambiguous: The DOJ probe โthreatens the Fedโs independenceโ and is directly linked to his refusal to follow Trumpโs rate demands.
This is not interpretation. Not inference. His EXACT words.
Hereโs how it goes down: โ Dec 18, 2025: FOMC holds rates, defying Trump โ Jan 9, 2026: DOJ serves subpoenas โ Jan 28, 2026: Fed expected to PAUSE cuts again โ May 2026: Powellโs term ends
21 days from rate defiance to criminal threat. Four months until the deadline.
The renovation probe? Thatโs the cover story.
The real objective is rate control. The enforcement tool is prosecution.
If Powell caves: Rates get cut to whatever the White House wants - and every future Fed Chair gets the message.
If Powell resists: Prosecution, removal, replacement with someone who complies.
Either way, the outcome is the same. Trump wants to fully control the rates. And market understood this instantly.
S&P futures dumped. The dollar weakened. Gold exploded higher.
Why? Because markets are now pricing political rates instead of data-driven policy.
That means: โ Higher term premiums โ Massive bond volatility โ Stress across every asset class
Risk assets might ignore this for a bit. BUT THEY WONโT IGNORE IT FOREVER.
A hit to U.S. monetary policy is rocket fuel for hard assets - and poison for financial stability.
Watch the long end (10s/30s) when cash Treasuries reopen.
Venezuela Just Proved the Bitcoin Bull Case, And No One Is Paying Attention
Maduro used Tether to move 80% of Venezuela's oil revenue. Billions in sanctions evasion, settled on Tron since 2020.
Then the US made a phone call.
Tether froze the wallets.
Game over.
Everyone's focused on the arrest. The real story is the lesson every finance minister on earth just learned in real time: Stable coins are a leash, not an escape.
If someone can freeze it, it isn't money. It doesn't solve sovereignty.
First principles: USDT is dollar plumbing without SWIFT. Faster. Cheaper. Still has a CEO. Still has a compliance department. Still picks up when Washington calls.
This is why USDT adoption exploded, 71-year-old grandmothers in Caracas pay their HOA fees in tether now. But useful โ sovereign.
The entire value proposition for sanctions evasion just got publicly falsified.
Now do the game theory: You're Iran. Russia. Any country hedging against dollar weaponization. You just watched Venezuela's "crypto solution" get shut off like a light switch.
Where do you put reserves now? USDT? Compromised. Yuan? Political strings. Gold? Try settling $500M across borders in 10 minutes. CBDCs? Same kill switch, government branding.
There's exactly one asset that clears final settlement without asking permission from anyone.
21 million units. No CEO. No freeze function. No phone number.
This is the ad Bitcoin never had to buy. The most desperate, highest-stakes capital on earth just learned there's only one door.
๐จBREAKING: Russell 2000 Index has broken above 2600 for the first time ever.
This is the biggest sign yet that liquidity is returning and risk appetite is back.
The Russell 2000 tracks small-cap US companies. These are the highest-risk part of traditional markets. They only lead when money is flowing back into the system and investors are willing to take risk again.
Now connect this with what is happening on the liquidity side:
โข The Fed is already buying back T-bills โ That adds liquidity to the system.
โข Trump has ordered $200B in mortgage bond purchases โ That injects more liquidity through the housing market.
โข The Treasury is still releasing funds from the TGA โ More money is entering financial markets.
โข Trump is talking about tariff dividends โ Direct cash into households.
โข Trump is talking about tax cuts and tax refunds โ More disposable income.
All of this is liquidity and Russell 2000 moving first is normal.
Historically, whenever the Russell 2000 entered a strong uptrend, ETH and altcoins followed in the months after.
Because money flows from: Small caps โ high risk โ even higher risk โ crypto.
Now look at whatโs happening in crypto:
โข Crypto has been in a downtrend for 3 months โข The October 10th crash flushed leverage and confidence โข Order books are thinner โข Most weak hands are already gone
At the same time, Q1 2026 brings the CLARITY Act, which will lead to less manipulation, better regulations, and more institutional interest.
Even Binanceโs CZ is talking about a possible super cycle.
Not just because of hype, but because liquidity + structure + risk appetite are aligning.
So when the Russell 2000 breaks 2600, it is not just a normal thing, it's a sign of what's coming next for crypto in 2026. $BTC $BNB