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🚨 FED CHAIR JEROME POWELL IS FACING BIG CHALLENGES
He is stuck, and here's why: • Recently, the US CPI was released exactly as expected at 2.7%, while Core CPI came in below expectations at 2.6%. • This is nearly identical to the previous CPI release, meaning inflation is no longer "hot." • This is a major issue for Powell.
Powell maintains high interest rates because the Fed fears inflation could rise. However, in reality, CPI and Core CPI are approaching the Fed's target.
Additionally, Truflation, a real-time CPI tracking tool, reports that current US inflation is below 1.8%.
This means the Fed has been slow to cut rates, while the economy faces pressure from high interest rates. The Fed remains firm despite inflation data showing a decline.
Historical comparison: • Before the 2024 election, the Fed cut rates by 50 bps, despite market expectations of 25 bps, when Core CPI was 3.3% and unemployment was 4.1%. • Currently, Core CPI is 2.6%, unemployment has risen to 4.4%, yet the Fed maintains a tightening stance.
It is highly likely that the Trump administration had prior knowledge of this CPI data, which may explain their focus on Powell.
No matter what Powell says, the reality is that the Fed is behind the curve on necessary rate cuts. Markets need more rate cuts, and the Fed will have to act in 2026.$XMR $DASH $ZEC
🚨 $BTC Update: BTC is at $91,911, just touched the 5D MACD bullish cross, last time it triggered a 30% increase. If repeated, potential target could reach $100K, but low volume, buyers need to break $92,475 to build momentum. Shorts are increasing, possibly pressuring the price, but macro liquidity is limited, major investors remain neutral. Losing $91,700 → breaks the pattern. Monitor tomorrow's Retail Sales & PPI for the next catalyst.$DASH $XMR 🚀
🚨 $BTC BTC Update: Large investors are accumulating strongly, as shown by a sudden surge in balance changes, while small retail investors are selling out. The price is currently stable between $91,700 and $92,500. The CPI reading on January 15 is a key hurdle that must be overcome for the price to break through. The current setup indicates an upward trend, but with 25x leverage, volatility is imminent. Any strategy is invalid if BTC drops below $87,000. 🚀$XMR $DASH
🚨 $ZEC / Zcash Update: Price continues to reject the $410–$420 zone and is now testing support at $395. Bulls are holding strong above $370, absorbing selling pressure, but flat Volume Delta indicates weakening buying momentum above ~$400. As price rises, many short positions are being added, reflecting the market's continued bias toward shorting with Long & Short Delta = -14M. Bulls need to maintain $390–$400; if this zone is lost, price could quickly drop to test lows, liquidating long positions. The chart will only turn neutral if price reclaims $420 with acceptable volume.$DASH $XMR
🔥 VanEck warns: The 4-year BTC cycle may have already ended by 2025
VanEck's CEO believes the familiar 4-year Bitcoin cycle is no longer functioning as before. Instead of expecting a repeat of the previous upward cycle, the next 3–6 months should prioritize defense, focusing on preserving capital rather than taking risks to seek profits.
📊 Looking ahead to 2026, the macro picture will become clearer, but current capital flows are not in crypto. Instead, they are flowing strongly into:
- AI – technology driving growth - Private Credit – attractive private lending channels - Gold – traditional safe-haven asset
📌 According to VanEck, crypto will only attract capital again when these other channels cool down and enter a correction phase.
😬 Notably, VanEck is one of the few major institutions bold enough to state openly: the crypto cycle may have "broken," and the market is facing a completely different operating model compared to the past.
❓If the old cycle no longer holds, how should crypto investors adapt in the coming period?
$ETH has already surged to the $3,170 level and adjusted back.
Compared to BTC, the current structure shows Ethereum demonstrating relatively stronger performance.
Nevertheless, I maintain a bearish outlook, targeting the weak monthly open area around ~$2,970.
This week, I am monitoring a few setups and will only enter trades when the correct activation signals appear.
Fundamentally, I prioritize short positions until the price decisively breaks above the monthly high at ~$3,309, as this would completely invalidate my bearish scenario.
Potential short scenarios:
Scenario 1: The price sweeps liquidity above the peak at ~$3,184. After a clear market structure break occurs, I will look for a short entry point.
Scenario 2: The price continues to sweep higher liquidity, moving above the ~$3,263 zone, then reverses. Similarly, I will enter only when a high-quality market structure appears.$XMR $ZEC
HOT NEWS: 🇦🇪 Dubai officially bans privacy-focused tokens and tightens regulations on stablecoins as part of a comprehensive overhaul of the cryptocurrency legal framework.$XMR $ZEC $RIVER
Open interest (OI) has returned to the level of October, but this time the risk-taking investors may find themselves in a bearish position. $ETH at $3.111 is facing strong resistance near $3.200. The funding rate has stabilized at 0.003%, so this is not a buying frenzy. It's a balanced position with a downward trend.
The leverage of the whales is extremely high, at 17 times. In this trend, it looks like a trap. If the support level of $3,124 is broken, expect the price to quickly drop to $2,967. The bulls must reclaim the $3,200 level to reverse the trend. Keep an eye on price movements.$XMR $BTC
On the 4H timeframe, price has formed a higher low after rebounding from the break below the $90,500 zone. Short-term bullish momentum is quite clear; although there may be times when the market could drop further, buying pressure continues to appear and keeps the price stable.
After a sharp correction of about 30% from the peak, Bitcoin is showing signs of accumulation and stabilizing again. If price breaks above $91,500, BTC has a strong chance to move toward testing the resistance/breakout zone at $94,500.
However, the fact that price is currently trading close to the $90.5K level is quite sensitive, as this is a key support zone. If this level is lost, the price structure will deteriorate significantly and could easily lead to a deeper downward move.$RIVER $XMR
LATEST NEWS: 🇺🇲 Standard Chartered is preparing to launch prime brokerage services for Bitcoin and cryptocurrency trading, marking a major step by a traditional bank into the crypto market.$ETH $XMR $RIVER
The Bitcoin buy/sell ratio on Bybit has just surged to 30.33, indicating extremely strong buying pressure.
The overwhelming dominance of buyers reflects that large long positions are being opened, and active buyers are fully in control of the market.$BTC $ETH $SOL
For an entire generation, credit card companies have drained the middle class with interest rates of 20–30%, while people have become increasingly exhausted.
And today, that gamble has hit a wall.
President Trump has officially called for a cap on credit card interest rates at 10%, effective January 20.
The approximately $100 billion in interest savings is essentially a structural liquidation of the "hidden tax" that has quietly sustained the banking system for many years.
High-interest lenders have just been kicked out of the game. The people are the winners$BTC $ETH $SOL