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Day35 Market Analysis

You should have felt the market movements these past few days: suddenly appearing to break through, then pretending to break below. This kind of candlestick pattern with long upper and lower shadows easily confuses traders.

In trading, 80% of the time is consolidation, while only 20% is trend. Many people lose money not because they misread a strong trend, but because they frequently enter and exit during consolidation phases.

The current market remains range-bound between 3125 and 3076, a classic accumulation zone. The market is compressing— the longer it compresses, the stronger the breakout will be. When you don't understand the market, waiting is also a form of trading. Instead of being whipsawed in a narrow range, it's better to patiently wait for a genuine breakout at key levels.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Path If the consolidation range breaks upward,
the first target will be the 3147 ~ 3177 range for testing.
If bullish momentum continues, the next resistance levels will further
challenge 3191 and 3218.

🟢 Bearish Reversal Risk If the key support at 3076 breaks,
prices are likely to retest the 3047 ~ 3010 range.
If the decline continues, the next target will be 2977,
with special attention needed at 3030 along the way.

Better to miss an opportunity than to make a mistake.

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Day34 Market Analysis

The current market continues to consolidate within the 3125 ~ 3076 range, with market participants actively exchanging positions and building momentum. The next move will depend on whether the market can break out of this consolidation zone. Today's outlook remains unchanged from yesterday.

🔴 Bullish Attack Path If the consolidation range breaks upward,
the first target will be the 3147 ~ 3177 range for testing.
If bullish momentum continues, the next resistance levels will further challenge
3191 and 3218.

🟢 Bearish Retracement Risk If the key support at 3076 is breached,
prices are likely to drop sharply into the 3047 ~ 3010 range for consolidation.
If the decline continues, the next target will be 2977,
with special attention needed on the reaction at 3030.

In my personal view, the chance of an upward move is quite high.

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Day33 Market Analysis
The current market is consolidating within the 3125 ~ 3076 range, with market participants actively exchanging positions and building momentum. The next move depends on whether the market can break out of this consolidation zone. Today's view remains unchanged from yesterday.

🔴 Bullish Attack Path If the consolidation zone breaks upward,
the first target will be the 3147 ~ 3177 range for testing.
If bullish momentum continues, the next resistance levels will further challenge
3191 and 3218.

🟢 Bearish Correction Risk If the key support at 3076 is broken,
prices are likely to drop sharply to the 3047 ~ 3010 range for consolidation,
and if the decline continues, the next target will be 2977,
with special attention needed on the reaction at 3030.

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Day32 Market Analysis

The current market is consolidating within the 3125 ~ 3076 range, with market participants actively exchanging positions and building momentum. The next direction will depend on whether the market can break out of this consolidation range.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Path If the consolidation range breaks upward,
the first target will be the 3147 ~ 3177 range for testing.
If bullish momentum continues, the next resistance levels will further
challenge 3191 and 3218.

🟢 Bearish Reversal Risk If the key support at 3076 is broken,
prices are likely to decline to the 3047 ~ 3010 range for consolidation,
and if the downtrend continues, the next target will be 2977,
with special attention needed on the reaction at 3030.

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Day31 Market Analysis

The current market is consolidating within the range of 3125 ~ 3092. This level serves as a short-term accumulation zone, and future trading strategies should focus on observing the sustainability of momentum after price breaks out of this range.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Strategy If the upper boundary of the consolidation range is effectively breached,

the first target will be the 3141 ~ 3177 range.

If momentum continues, the next resistance levels will be 3191 and 3218.

🟢 Bearish Retracement Risk If the lower boundary of the 3092 range is broken,

the market may turn weak. The next support zone could be 3047 ~ 3010.

(Observe the reaction at 3076 during the process).

If selling pressure continues, after breaking the range, the market may seek support at 2977, with attention needed at the key level of 3030 along the way.

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Day 30 Market Analysis

The market has reached a critical turning point, and the current price level is extremely important. Traders must closely monitor the battle around key levels. If support cannot be held, a multi-stage retracement test is likely.

🔴 Bullish Reversal Opportunity: The key lies in whether a valid breakout above 3176 can be achieved.

If successful, the market could rebound to 3191 ~ 3227,

followed by consolidation to build momentum for a potential further rise to 3245.

🟢 Downward Risk Warning: If below 3147 is broken,

it indicates short-term support has failed, and a high probability of entering a range of 3147 ~ 3092 for consolidation. If the decline continues,

the next target will be 3076 ~ 3030 to seek support.

Once even this range is breached, the next levels to test will be 3010 / 2977 / 2921 in sequence.

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Day 29 Market Analysis

The market has entered a consolidation phase, with bulls and bears currently engaging in a battle at specific levels. Today's trading strategy should focus on managing volatility, while keeping an eye on actual breakouts or breakdowns at key levels. Current market scenarios are divided into three possible situations:

Consolidation Range: It is highly likely that today's price will oscillate within the 3245 ~ 3205 range. Until a breakout from this range occurs, it is recommended to adopt a range-trading approach, waiting patiently for a directional signal.

🔴 Bullish Breakout Conditions: To break above the 3245 resistance,

a simple price pass-through is insufficient. The key is to firmly hold the 3253 level.

Only when support is confirmed effective can momentum continue,

allowing for a potential challenge toward the 3330 ~ 3296 range.

🟢 Bearish Pullback Risk: If the price breaks below 3205,

it indicates weakening support, and a high probability of consolidation in the 3205 ~ 3165 range.

If 3165 is also breached, deeper support levels at 3146 ~ 3092 should be monitored.

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Day 28 Market Analysis

As the market evolves, the current price structure has been reformed. To sustain bullish momentum, testing the upper resistance will be crucial; if momentum proves insufficient, be alert to potential pullback risks. Current trading strategies are divided into three scenarios:

🔴 Conditions for Sustained Bullish Momentum

The key lies in a valid breakout above 3275. If successfully achieved,
the upside potential will open up to the 3296 ~ 3330 range for turnover.

🟢 Pullback Risk Warning

The key support level to watch is 3227.

If this level is breached, it indicates short-term weakening,
and prices may retreat to the 3205 ~ 3165 range for support.

Range-bound Consolidation If neither bulls nor bears show strong initiative, the market will consolidate within the narrow range of 3275 ~ 3227, awaiting the next wave of volume guidance.

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Day 27 Market Analysis

After the weekend's consolidation, the current consolidation is nearing its end. From a structural perspective, tomorrow's U.S. trading session will be a critical time window. We have outlined two clear scenarios:

🔴 Bullish Scenario

The key focus is the valid breakout above 3147.

If the bulls push through with volume, the first target is to test resistance at 3165-3205.

If this zone is successfully held, the next major target will be 3245.

🟢 Bearish Scenario

Special attention must be paid to downside risks. If the price breaks below 3092 decisively.

The first target is 3076.

Short-term support lies between 3047-3010,

If selling pressure emerges, further testing of 2977 will occur.

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Day 26 Market Analysis

Current Market Situation: The market is currently in holiday mode. It is expected that if there is no effective breakout next week, there is a high probability that it will oscillate within the range of 3147 ~ 3076. However, looking at tomorrow, it should be in the range of 3125 ~ 3076.

Oscillation Scenario: Looking for smooth opportunities.

🔴 Bullish Scenario (Breakout) If the bulls want to continue their attack, they must break out with volume.

Observation Focus: Effective breakout at 3147.

Upper Path: After the breakout, first look at the oscillation area of 3205 ~ 3165,
if it can stabilize, the next target is 3245.

🟢 Bearish Scenario (Major Smooth Warning) Special attention is required here; if the defense below fails, it may trigger a sliding mode.

First Checkpoint: Effective breakdown at 3076.

Short-term Support: First look at the oscillation of 3047 ~ 3010, then down to 2977.

⚠️ Extreme Market Conditions (Major Smooth): But I must remind everyone, if the market weakens directly here or breaks through the aforementioned support, it is very likely to enter a 'major smooth' market, directly attacking the abyss below: 2824 ➔ 2785 ➔ 2680 ➔ 2620.

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Day 25 Market Analysis

Market Status: Holiday Consolidation The market is currently in holiday mode, with a high probability of oscillating within the 3147-3092 range.

Turning Point Scenario: Finding a Smooth Opportunity

🔴 Bullish Scenario (Breakout) For the bulls to continue their upward momentum, a breakout with significant volume is necessary.

Key Observation: A valid breakout above 3147.

Upside Path: After the breakout, the first target is the 3205-3165 consolidation zone. If it holds, the next target is 3245.

🟢 Bearish Scenario (Smooth Slippery Warning) Special attention is needed here. If the support below fails, a sharp decline may occur.

First Barrier: A valid break below 3092.

Short-Term Support: First, watch the 3047-3010 consolidation zone, then move down to 2977.

⚠️ Extreme Market Conditions (Extremely Smooth): However, I must remind everyone that if the market weakens directly here, or breaks through the aforementioned support, there is a high possibility of a very smooth upward trend, directly attacking the lower support levels: 2824 ➔ 2785 ➔ 2680 ➔ 2620.


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Day 24 Market Analysis
Today’s perspective remains unchanged from yesterday; apologies for the brief post Zzz

Current Market Status: Overall, it is still in a consolidation structure. The current consolidation range is 3010 ~ 2921. Although the current trend structure is not yet perfect, since the main players have changed the battleground, we will follow the adjustments and patiently look for opportunities in this new range.

🔴 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Upwards) If the bulls want to continue their momentum, the primary task is to stand back above the resistance level of the range.

Key Switch: Must effectively break through 3010.

Attack Path: After the breakout, the first target is 3030 and 3076.

Final Target: If momentum continues, the target remains unchanged, directly aiming for the upper red line range of 3106 ~ 3165.

🟢 Bearish Scenario (Continuation Downwards) If the current consolidation is merely a buildup for the next wave of decline, there is still plenty of downside potential.

Key Switch: Pay close attention to 2955; once it breaks down effectively, it will weaken.

First Stage: Look down at 2921 and 2891.

Consolidation After Decline: After breaking down, there is a high probability of undergoing a buffer consolidation at 2855 ~ 2875.

Ultimate Target: If the bearish trend is established, we hope to see deeper position tests at 2680 ➔ 2620 ➔ 2550.

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Day 23 Market Analysis

Current Market Situation: The overall market remains in a consolidation structure. The current consolidation range is 3010 ~ 2921. Although the current trend structure is not perfect, since the main forces have changed their battleground, we will follow the adjustments and patiently look for opportunities in this new range.

🔴 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Upwards) If the bulls want to continue their offensive, the primary task is to return above the resistance level of the range.

Key Switch: Must effectively break through 3010.

Attack Path: After breaking through, the first targets to watch are 3030 and 3076.

Final Target: If momentum continues, the target remains unchanged, aiming directly at the upper red line range of 3106 ~ 3165.

🟢 Bearish Scenario (Continuation Downwards) If the current consolidation is merely to gather strength for the next wave of decline, there is still plenty of room below.

Key Switch: Focus on 2955; once it effectively breaks down, it will turn weak.

First Stage: Looking down at 2921 and 2891.

Continuation Consolidation: After breaking down, there is a very high probability of buffering consolidation in the range of 2855 ~ 2875.

Ultimate Target: If the bearish trend is established, we hope to see deeper position tests at 2680 ➔ 2620 ➔ 2550.

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Day 22 Market Analysis | Zone Change Continues

Current Market Situation: Zone consolidation. The market has slightly moved from yesterday's position, but it is still fluctuating. The current consolidation range has moved up to 3010 ~ 2921. Although the structure is not yet perfect, since the main force has changed hands, we will adjust accordingly and patiently look for opportunities in this new range.

Market Change Script: Choices After Range Shift

🔴 Bullish Scenario (Attempting Upwards) If the bullish trend is to continue, it must stay above the resistance.

Key Switch: Effective Breakthrough 3010.

Upper Path: After breaking through, first look at 3030 and 3076. If momentum continues,

the final target remains unchanged, aiming for 3106 ~ 3165.

🟢 Bearish Scenario If this is just a downward continuation, there is a lot of space below.

Key Switch: Effective Breakdown 2955.

First Stage: First look at 2921 and 2891.

Intermediate Fluctuation: After the drop, there is a very high probability of consolidation between 2855 ~ 2875.

Ultimate Target: If the bearish trend is established, we hope to see deeper levels 2680 ➔ 2620 ➔ 2550.

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Day 21 Chart: Chip accumulation is complete! This is not a fluctuation; this is a precursor to a 'big market'⚠️

Current market situation: The big market is gaining momentum. The chart seems to be the same as yesterday, firmly holding between 2977 ~ 2891. But please note, time is the catalyst for a trend change. Continuous days of chip accumulation indicate that the main force has completed most of the handover. The next breakthrough or breakdown will be significantly stronger than in the past few days.

Trend change script: Lock in the ignition point. In the face of this imminent big market, we don’t guess the direction but focus on the exit:

🟢 Bearish script (downward release) If the accumulation of the past few days is for distribution, the decline will be waterfall-like.

Key ignition point: Effective breakdown of 2891.

Lower path: Once it fails to hold, the first stop looks at 2855 ~ 2785 for fluctuation. If momentum continues, it will open a deeper downward test.

🔴 Bullish script: If the past few days have been for accumulation, the surge after the breakthrough will be very rapid.

Key ignition point: Effective breakthrough of 2977.

Upper path: After the breakthrough, it is expected to first fluctuate and hand over between 3010 ~ 3076. After stabilizing, the target will aim directly at 3106 ~ 3165.

The waiting of these days is just for this final shiver. The chip accumulation has reached this level, and the market could erupt at any time.

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Day 20 Market: Monday's main force returns! Farewell to volatility, will the 2977-2891 range be broken soon?

Current Market Status: Monday's market change warning After two days of dull fluctuations over the weekend, the market remains compressed between 2977 ~ 2891. But remember, Mondays are often days where false moves and real breakthroughs coexist. After the main force returns, volatility will increase, and we must strictly execute our script.

This Week's Script: Direction Selection
🟢 Bearish Script (Hunting Down) My view remains unchanged, still leaning bearish, waiting to capture liquidity downward.

Key Switch: As long as it effectively breaks below 2891.

Lower Path: After breaking down, there is a high probability of testing the range of 2855 ~ 2785. If the bearish momentum is strong, this will be the main battlefield of the week.

🔴 Bullish Script (Defensive Counterattack) Preventing the occurrence of “false breakdowns and real rallies” on Monday.

Key Switch: If it strongly stands above and breaks 2977.

Upper Path: Bulls will have the opportunity to challenge the 3010 ~ 3076 fluctuation zone. After stabilizing, we will then look at 3106 ~ 3165.

A new week has begun, and the market is about to move.

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Day 19 Market: Don't Be Fooled by Sideways Movement! Be Cautious of 'Main Force Surprise' Tomorrow, Sunday

Current Market Situation: The Calm Before the Weekend Although today's candlestick looks similar to yesterday's, it remains stuck in the range of 2977 ~ 2891. But everyone must not let their guard down; experience tells us that low liquidity over the weekend often accompanies 'one-sided extreme markets.' This fluctuation can be broken at any time.

Sunday Trend Change Script: Locking in Key Levels

🟢 Bearish Scenario (Downward Test) If the main force sells off on Sunday, the speed of breaking the support will be very fast.

Key Switch: Valid Break Below 2891.

Lower Target: Once breached, there is a chance for a rapid drop to 2855 ~ 2785 for fluctuation. If momentum does not decrease, it will initiate a deeper downward test.

🔴 Bullish Scenario (Upward Attack) If these few days have been for accumulation, Sunday may take the opportunity to rise.

Key Switch: Valid Break Above 2977.

First Target Area: After the breakout, it is expected to fluctuate between 3010 ~ 3076.

Final Target Area: Only after stabilizing will there be a chance to push up to 3106 ~ 3165. After enduring so many days of fluctuation, do not collapse at the last moment before the trend change. This wave of profits is reserved for those who are prepared.

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Day 18 Market: The situation is extremely compressed! This is not boredom; it is a precursor to explosive rises and falls.

Changeover Script: Spring Effect
Current Market Status: Energy is building up. The market has been tightly constrained in the narrow range of 2977 ~ 2891 for two consecutive days. This is called 'energy compression' in technical analysis. The longer the consolidation lasts, the stronger the force of the breakout. Now is not the time to be dazed; it is time to closely monitor where this spring will jump.

🟢 Bearish Script (Downward Release) If the spring is compressed downward, the bearish momentum will be strong.

Key Trigger Point: Effective breakdown of 2891.

Lower Path: Once lost, the price will quickly seek to buffer and fluctuate between 2855 ~ 2785. If it can't stop, it will continue to test lower.

🔴 Bullish Script (Upward Explosion) If the bulls can break through the lid, this rebound will be very decisive.

Key Trigger Point: Effective breakthrough of 2977.

First Checkpoint: After the breakthrough, first look at the turnover zone of 3010 ~ 3076.

Final Goal: As long as the momentum is sufficient, this buildup has the chance to directly attack 3106 ~ 3165.

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Day 17 Market Analysis
Are market conditions copying and pasting? Don't fall asleep! The script after breaking out of the range 2977-2891 is now public.

Current Market Situation: Range consolidation. Today's trend is very similar to yesterday's, and the market remains compressed within the range of 2977 ~ 2891. We remain patient within the range, but I believe a change is imminent; as soon as we break below or above, there will be a small market movement.

🟢 Bearish Script (Downward Test) If the support cannot hold, we will go with the flow; don't be afraid of making mistakes.

Key Switch: Effective break below 2891.

Lower Target: After breaking, there is a chance to reach 2855 ~ 2785 for consolidation, and if momentum continues, it will continue to test downward.

🔴 Bullish Script (Upward Attack) If the bulls want to exert force, they must first break through the overhead resistance.
Key Switch: Effective break above 2977.

First Target Area: After breaking, it is expected to oscillate between 3010 ~ 3076 for a handover.

Final Target Area: Only after stabilizing is there a chance to attack upward to 3106 ~ 3165.

Remember, the market always rewards those who dare to take risks. Don't be afraid to make mistakes; that is the toll to success.

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Day 16 Market Analysis
While others are celebrating the holiday, the main forces might take the opportunity to stir things up. Currently, the market is stuck between 2977 and 2921; let’s break down today’s Christmas script.

Market Status: The Calm Before the Holiday Currently, the market is quite sticky; I believe it will continue to experience narrow fluctuations between 2921 and 2977 in the short term. However, be aware that trend changes often occur when liquidity worsens.

Christmas Market: Two Major Scenarios

🟢 Bearish Scenario (Green Line Down) If the bears gain strength, this is a "Christmas Scary Gift Package."

Key Switch: Effectively breaking below 2891.

Lower Target Chain: 2855➔2842➔2824➔2813➔2785➔2756➔2720➔2680.

Key Focus Area: After a decline, there is a very high probability of weak fluctuations within the range of 2855 to 2785.

🔴 Bullish Scenario (Red Line Up) If the bulls want to issue red envelopes, they must first break through the encirclement.

Key Switch: Effectively breaking above 3010.

Upper Target Chain: 3030➔3047➔3076➔3092➔3106➔3126➔3147➔3165.

Key Focus Area: During the rising process, it is expected to experience intermediate fluctuations in both ranges of 3030 to 3076 and 3106 to 3165.

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