Mar se耄烎

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Happy New Year, may all your wishes come true

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2026 Year of the Heavenly Official Bestowing Blessings, Prosperity, Longevity, Happiness, and Wealth
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Happy New Year

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Happy New Year
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In an environment where systemic risks are continuously accumulating,
opportunities no longer come from "increased participation," but from "concentrated selection after continuous validation."
This is also why I research information across the entire market;
yet I have only been voicing on a structure that has been validated over a long period and possesses the ability to transcend cycles for four years—ATM.network

Bitcoin may "halve" to $31,000

If history can serve as a guide, the "pain" facing Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, is far from over. Strategists at the renowned independent macro and market strategy research firm Ned Davis Research recently stated in a report to clients that despite significant sell-offs in recent months, there remains potential downside for Bitcoin. The firm's chief thematic strategist Pat Tschosik and analyst Philippe Mouls indicated that if this bear market evolves into a full-blown Bitcoin winter, the price of this cryptocurrency could drop to $31,000. The current trading price of Bitcoin is close to $69,000, having fallen about 45% from last year's peak (which was $126,199). A further drop to the level of $31,000 would mean a decline of about 55% from the current level.

Tschosik and Mouls stated that their analysis of Bitcoin's historical downtrends leads them to anticipate that if this sell-off escalates into a winter, the price of this cryptocurrency could see a decline of 70% to 75% from peak to trough. NDR noted that in past Bitcoin winters dating back to 2011, the average decline for this cryptocurrency reached 84%. Tschosik and Mouls added that winters typically last an average of 225 days; however, in this current downturn, it has only been 129 days since Bitcoin peaked in early October of last year. Nevertheless, they also mentioned that it cannot be definitively concluded that a Bitcoin winter will occur, as compared to the past, Bitcoin now has more institutional buyers, which could make its price more stable.

"It can be seen that the declines in past winters/major bear markets are gradually decreasing, and we believe this trend will continue," they stated. Bearish expectations have been rising in recent weeks as Bitcoin's downward momentum has intensified, with market expectations for further declines increasing. Standard Chartered's head of digital asset research, Geoffrey Kendrick, said on Thursday that he believes digital asset prices will experience more pain in the coming months. He estimates that if selling pressure continues, Bitcoin could drop to $50,000 or even lower. Zacks Investment Research's chief strategist John Blank recently speculated that given the average duration of a crypto winter exceeds one year, Bitcoin could drop to $40,000. Stifel predicted last week that this downturn could drive Bitcoin's price down to around $38,000. $BTC

🎊 The ATM New Year Celebration is coming soon! 🎊
Get ready to welcome the New Year! Our annual celebration will start today (February 13) at 12:00 UTC (UTC+20:00 8), and you definitely don't want to miss it!

Join the party:
Why you must be there:
🔥 Exclusive ATM recap and live Q&A – Get insider information!
✨ Mysterious activities.
🎁 New Year giveaway – We will be giving prizes to the most active viewers!

How to win the contest? It's simple: Watch carefully, actively participate in the chat, and answer our live questions. Your enthusiasm equals your chance to win! 🏆

Set your reminders, bring your most pressing questions, and let's celebrate together! The countdown begins! ⏳🔥

Investment is not gambling; one should not have illusions.
Investment is a prediction of probabilities.

2026 Hong Kong Consensus Conference concluded, bidding farewell to speculation, with compliance, institutionalization, and the integration of the real economy becoming the core tone. Hong Kong's regulation has been upgraded again, with clear regulations on virtual asset financing and derivatives, consolidating its position as a global compliance hub for digital assets. RWA (Real World Assets) tokenization has topped the annual main line, opening up a trillion-dollar incremental market for on-chain physical assets. AI and Web3 are deeply integrated, with intelligent agents and on-chain automation becoming new technological trends. Traditional financial giants like BlackRock have fully entered the market, deeply connecting TradFi and Web3, with institutionalization becoming mainstream. Bitcoin is moving towards macro allocation assets, with Asia becoming the core of global digital financial growth. The industry has officially entered a new stage of high-quality development, where compliance is king and implementation is fundamental.