ltb1002

🚨 Is Bitcoin repeating the old cycle?
Many people believe that
is following the “script” that appeared after the halving periods of 2012, 2016, and 2020. However, instead of just looking at the price, this approach is based on two main factors: Time + Price.
1️⃣ TIME Axis – A factor that few pay attention to
The distance from the ATH peak to the bottom of the cycle after halving:
2012 → 406 days
2016 → 363 days
2020 → 376 days
2024 → is forming
The cycles are quite uniform. If history continues to repeat, the area with a high probability for the next major bottom could fall in October – November 2026.
The idea here is not to predict each candle accurately, but to identify the “time window” where the probability of long-term reversal is highest.
2️⃣ PRICE Axis – Strategic price area
The price strategy is built as follows:
Below 60,000 USD → strong buying zone
If it coincides with the historical time frame → buy more aggressively
This viewpoint goes against the crowd's psychology. When the market is in panic, it is often where prices reflect more risk than reality. And when everyone believes that “the price will never return to level X,” the market usually does the opposite.
3️⃣ NUPL – Cycle bottom signal
The on-chain indicator NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) has previously marked major bottoms:
2018
COVID Crash
2022
Currently, this indicator has not entered the “extreme capitulation” zone. This indicates that the down cycle may not be complete when viewed through the historical model.
The scenario is set
The 45,000 – 50,000 USD range by the end of 2026 is a strong accumulation target if the market follows the model.
If the price drops significantly in 2025–2026 but has not yet reached the historical time window, the strategy remains to buy in parts rather than going all-in at once.

Scalp Long Bet $ZEC (M15) – trade according to the rebound rhythm within the accumulation zone
Currently, it is sideway after a strong drop from 270 - 210.
On the 4H chart, the price is still below MA25 and MA99 → the main trend is still downward. However, the area of 220–225 is forming a short-term accumulation base, suitable for technical rebounds on M15.
Current structure:
218–222 is the nearest demand zone (short-term low).
233–238 is a short-term resistance cluster + MA25 H4.
Volume is gradually decreasing → the market is tightening, easy to have a short bounce.
Entry: 221 – 228
→ Prioritize entering near 221–224 for better RR.
→ If entering at 227–228, a confirming candle bouncing from support is needed.
SL: 218
→ Breaking below 218 loses the accumulation zone, with a possibility of returning to 210.
TP1: 233
→ The nearest resistance zone, should close 40–50% as this is a scalp.
TP2: 238
→ Strong resistance, likely to be rejected.
TP3: 242+
→ Only hold when there is increased volume and a decisive break above 238.
Order management strategy:
When reaching TP1 → move SL to entry.
If the price rises to 233 but volume is weak → prioritize early closure.
Should not hold too long as the larger trend is still downward.

$XRP Current price is around 1.36 after a strong bottom was formed at 1.11 and a recovery occurred. However, overall it is still below MA25 and MA99 → the medium-term trend remains down, while the short-term trend is sideways accumulation.
The range of 1.21–1.36 is an important demand zone:
1.21x is the previous bottom, a zone that absorbs strong selling pressure.
1.33–1.36 is the current accumulation zone, with prices compressing in a narrow range.
If it can hold above 1.33 and volume increases again, the possibility of bouncing up to test 1.39–1.42 is quite high.
Entry: 1.213 – 1.36
→ Can be divided into 2 zones:
• Enter deeply at 1.21–1.25 (better RR)
• Or enter around 1.34–1.36 when there is a candle confirming support
SL: 1.199
→ Breaking below 1.20 would mean losing the gradually higher bottom structure, making it easy to revert to a downtrend.
TP1: 1.399
→ Horizontal resistance zone + near short-term MA, so take profit at 30–40%.
TP2: 1.421
→ Strong supply zone from before, where the price was previously rejected.
TP3: 1.489+
→ If it breaks 1.42 with high volume, it may open a wave of recovery up to 1.48–1.50.

⚠️ ZAMA is in the short-term decision zone.
Current trend: Clearly down (4H)
Price is below MA7 and MA25.
Selling volume has surged in the most recent drop.
Latest low: 0.01660
Current price: 0.01731
The structure is still in a downtrend.
Current rebound is just a weak technical retracement.
🎯 Only scenario: Wait for a rebound to SHORT (following the trend)
Nearby resistance zone: 0.0182 – 0.0190
(Converges with MA + previous breakdown zone)
If the price rebounds here and reacts weakly → this is a good entry point.
ET: 0.01785 – 0.01850
SL: 0.0202
TP1: 0.0166
TP2: 0.0158
📌 Why choose this scenario?
• The main trend is still down
• Price is below MA
• No signals of a reversal yet
• Volume has not confirmed strong buying power
Trading with the trend is always safer than catching the bottom.
It is not a prediction.
This is a position calculation.
In a downtrend:
A rebound is an opportunity.
It's not about hope.
#Zama #Marketstructure #BinanceSquare

⚠️ SOL is currently at a decisive trend zone for the medium term.
No longer just a simple technical rebound.
The real question is: will this bottom zone be defended?
Currently, the price is fluctuating around the range of $75 – $85.
This is a zone that has previously created strong reactions (the nearest bottom ~76.6).
Current structure:
• Price is below the medium and long-term MA
• The main trend is still down
• Weak recovery, volume has not confirmed a strong reversal
🔎 Two clear scenarios:
1️⃣ Maintain the range of $75 – $80
If the weekly frame continues to close candles above this range → the recent decline may just be a shakeout.
Just need to reclaim back to $95 – $105 with good momentum:
→ SOL could accelerate to $120 – $130.
Altcoins, once their structure stabilizes, won't move slowly.
They bounce back very quickly when the money flows return.
2️⃣ Losing $75
If the weekly close is clearly below $75:
The story changes completely.
Large liquidity is around:
$60 – $65
Further down is $50.
And the interesting thing is — that may not necessarily be a bad scenario.
Deep resets are often where large capital accumulates before entering a stronger expansion phase of the cycle.
🎯 Important structure:
• Holding $75 = creating a medium-term bottom
• Losing $75 = expanding correction phase
Large areas always create large reactions.
And when one side is broken... the market will not move lightly.
Which scenario do you lean towards?
$60 first or $120 first? 👀
#Solana⁩ #solana #Marketstructure #CryptoCycle #BinanceSquare

⚠️ ETH is at a decisive structural cycle zone.
The market is no longer a short-term technical bounce story.
The real question is: is this zone protected or not?
Currently, ETH is fluctuating around the large support area of $1,800–$2,000.
This is not a support level to scalp a few dozen dollars.
This is the decisive zone to see if ETH maintains its medium-term structure or enters a deeper reaccumulation phase.
🔎 Two clear scenarios:
1️⃣ Holding $1,800–$2,000
If the weekly frame continues to close candles above this zone, the recent drop may just be a shakeout.
Just reclaiming $2,300–$2,500 with good volume → ETH could accelerate quickly towards $3,000–$3,400.
Crypto does not climb slowly when the structure has stabilized.
It breaks out.
And when ETH starts to outperform BTC, altcoin funds will return very quickly.
2️⃣ Losing the support zone
If there is a clear weekly close below $1,800, the story changes.
Large liquidity is around $1,500–$1,600.
Further out is the $1,300 zone.
But the interesting thing is — that might not necessarily be a bad scenario.
Deep resets are often where large funds accumulate before entering the next expansion phase of the cycle (long-term target $4,000+).
📌 This is not a prediction problem.
This is a positioning problem.
We are at a macro crossroads:
• Holding = continuation of the trend
• Losing = redistribution & deep accumulation
Large zones always create large reactions.
And when one side is broken… the market will not move gently.
Which scenario do you lean towards?
$1,500 first or $3,000 first? 👀
#ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
#Ethereum #CryptoCycles #MarketStruc #BinanceSquare

Chainlink (LINK) is one of those coins that almost feels forgotten in this market. The LINK price is sitting around $8, moving quietly, with most traders chasing louder narratives elsewhere. 
But Crypto Patel just dropped a very different take. He believes LINK is sitting inside a major long-term accumulation zone, and the next expansion could shock people who stopped paying attention. His chart points to a setup that looks bigger than a normal bounce.
What The Chainlink Chart Is Showing
Patel highlights a bullish order block on the two-week chart between $5.60 and $7.64. That’s the range where buyers have consistently stepped in before.
He also points to the 0.786 Fibonacci support near $7.22, calling it one of the strongest entry levels on the LINK chart.
In simple terms, this is the kind of zone where markets often build a base before the next major move.
Source: X/CryptoPatel
Another key detail is the long-term descending channel from 2021. Patel says the LINK price has already broken out of that structure and is now retesting it. That breakout-and-retest pattern is often where big trend reversals begin.
It’s not about short-term noise. It’s about LINK shifting structure after years of grinding lower.
ETF Timing Adds More Fuel to the Setup
Patel also mentions that spot ETF launches could be closer than many expect, with around $70 million already accumulated in related exposure.
Chainlink sits at the center of the oracle narrative, which still powers a huge part of DeFi infrastructure. If institutions start treating LINK as more than a retail token, demand could look very different.
Read Also: Ethereum Holds the TVL… But Solana Owns the Action
Price Levels That Matter Next For LINK
Patel’s bullish thesis stays intact as long as LINK holds above $5. A weekly close below $4.84 would break the setup and invalidate the idea.
But if support holds, he maps out upside targets at $12, then $31, then $52, with $100+ as the full expansion level. That’s where the 17x forecast comes from.

🔥 BTC Facing a Macro Inflection Point — Expansion or Reset?
⚠️ BTC is at a point where every decision carries weight.
The market is as tense as a guitar string.
The question is not where BTC will go, but rather: is this area truly protected?
Currently, the price is in the demand zone of $60K–$67K — this is not short-term support for scalping. This is the structural area that determines the cycle.
🔎 Two clear scenarios:
1️⃣ Hold $60K–$67K
If the larger frame continues to close candles above this area, the recent decline could just be a typical “shakeout” of the cycle.
At that point, simply reclaiming $72K–$75K with good momentum → the market could accelerate quickly to $90K+.
Crypto does not climb slowly when the structure has stabilized — it breaks out.
2️⃣ Lose the demand zone
If there is a clear weekly close below $60K, the story changes.
Large liquidity is around $45K–$50K.
And interestingly — that may not necessarily be a bad scenario.
Deep “resets” are often where large capital accumulates before entering the next expansion phase of the cycle (100K+ in the future).

📌 This is not a prediction problem.
This is a positioning problem.
We are at a macro crossroads:
• Holding = continuing the trend
• Losing = re-distribution & deep accumulation
Large areas always create significant reactions.

And when one side is broken… the market will not move lightly.
Which scenario do you lean towards? 45K first or 90K first? 👀

#BTC #Bitcoin❗ #CryptoNewss #BinanceSquare

When an asset drops below its realized price, most casual traders ignore it. Experienced on-chain observers do not. Recently, $XRP moved below its realized price, a level that historically appears during late-stage corrections or early accumulation phases.
But before turning this into a “bottom is in” narrative, let’s slow down and understand what this actually means—and more importantly, what you should do in environments like this.
Realized price represents the average acquisition cost of all coins currently in circulation. When the market price falls below that level, it means most holders are sitting at unrealized losses. Psychologically, this shifts behavior. Weak hands typically capitulate earlier in the drawdown. Long-term holders tend to stay. Over time, selling pressure can exhaust itself.

Many people believe this is just a “dead cat bounce,” but looking at the 4H frame, the structure is signaling otherwise.
Although the Daily trend is still declining, short-term momentum is improving. The price shows signs of creating a higher low on the 4H, and the small frame RSI still has room before entering the overbought zone.
📌 Trading Plan – LONG
🔹 Entry: 5.0937 – 5.1303

🔹 SL: 5.0022

🔹 TP1: 5.2218

🔹 TP2: 5.2584

🔹 TP3: 5.3316
Invalid if it breaks below 5.00 (an important psychological level).

R:R is attractive if the price maintains the structure and pushes above 5.22.
🔎 Reasons to enter:
• 4H shows signs of a short-term reversal

• Momentum is improving

• RSI is not too hot yet

• Clear stop loss, low risk
If the price holds above 5.22 → the probability of extending to 5.33 is higher.

If it loses 5.00 → the LONG thesis is broken.

💬 Do you think this is the beginning of a counter-trend bounce

or just a bull trap before further decline?

#AUCTİON #Crypto #TradingCommunity #BinanceSquare

BERA just had a strong increase from the range of 0.33 to nearly 1.0 with an unusual volume. However, looking closely at the chart structure:

🔎 1️⃣ The major trend is still downtrend

Long-term MA (MA99) is still sloping down
The price is just retracing to the strong resistance zone of 1.0 – 1.1
No clear higher high structure on the larger frame
🔎 2️⃣ Pump accompanied by large volume
Unusual volume spikes often come with distribution phases
After a vertical upward candle, there is usually a technical correction
🔎 3️⃣ Important zones
Resistance: 1.0 – 1.1
Near support: 0.75
Strong support: 0.65
If it breaks 0.65 → the possibility of returning to 0.5x
🎯 Trading scenario (Short bias):
Entry: 0.90 – 1.00 (waiting for price rejection signal)
TP1: 0.75
TP2: 0.65
TP3: 0.55
SL: 1.12
R:R is relatively good if entering near the 1.0 zone.
⚠️ Note: If the price closes strongly above 1.1 with high volume maintained → short scenario invalid, may switch to following the trend.
Do you think this is distribution or the beginning of a new uptrend? 👀
#BERA #altcoins #FutureTarding #BinanceSquareTalks #TradingPost

Short $MOODENG .. The buyer is currently exhausted .. the seller will take control now .. I will also short # now
Entry point 0.05139 to 0.04921
Stop loss 0.05404
Target
0.04675
0.04468
0.04261
0.04077
Short 👇

$PUFFER short 📉🚩‼️
Enter: 0.03581 to 0.03502
Stop loss: 0.03707
Target
0.03318
0.03241
0.03178
0.03027
Short here 👇👇👇

$ZBT A bullish signal has formed, and the market is entering a recovery phase.
Buy ZBT
Entry: 0.069 - 0.071
SL: 0.065
TP: 0.075 - 0.08 - 0.085

Everyone is watching the explosion, but $HYPE /USDT is quietly setting a trap.
$HYPE - SHORT
Trading Plan:
Entry: 28.90504 – 29.141784
SL: 29.733646
TP1: 28.313178
TP2: 28.076434
TP3: 27.602945
Why is this setup?
The 4H chart shows a perfect rejection at the high of the range. RSI on lower time frames has started to cool off from being overbought, indicating that the rally is losing momentum. The entry area has been defined, with a tight stop above the recent high.
The Debate:
Is this the final shake before a real drop, or will the range hold again?
Click here to Trade 👇️

$FIGHT FIGHTUSDT in the 4H frame is showing signs of recovery after a strong downward trend from the area of 0.025 to the bottom of 0.0049. Currently, the trading price is around 0.0076 and is holding above EMA(7) and EMA(25), indicating that short-term buying pressure is still present.
RSI(6) around 69, RSI(12) above 60 indicates that the recovery momentum is dominant but not too hot yet. The volume has increased well during the recovery phase, confirming that the money flow is returning.
The preferred scenario is to continue trading according to the recovery trend.
LONG: 0.0074 – 0.0077
SL: 0.0068
TP: 0.0084 – 0.0096 – 0.0129
In case the price cannot hold above EMA(25) and closes the 4H candle below 0.0068, the recovery trend will be broken, and it is advisable to limit holding the position.
Manage capital tightly, do not FOMO when the price rises sharply.
This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.

$SIREN SIRENUSDT in the 4H frame is in a consolidation phase after a strong volatility. The current price is around 0.112, with narrow fluctuations and no clear breakout signal yet.
After a strong rise to 0.388 and a deep drop to 0.051, SIREN has formed a short-term sideways zone. EMA(7) is acting as dynamic support around 0.108, while EMA(25) at 0.114 is the nearest resistance zone. RSI fluctuating around the 50 mark indicates that buying and selling forces are balanced, and the market is waiting for a new signal.
The preferred scenario is to trade in the recovery direction if the price holds above the support zone.
Enter LONG positions around 0.110 – 0.113
Stop loss at 0.103
Take profit respectively at 0.125 – 0.145 – 0.183
In case the price cannot hold the support and a 4H candle closes below 0.105, consider the opposite scenario.
Enter SHORT positions around 0.104 – 0.105
Stop loss at 0.112
Take profit at 0.095 – 0.082 – 0.070
Note not to enter positions when the price is still fluctuating in the range of 0.108 – 0.114 as this is a noise zone. Only enter positions when there is clear confirmation from the candles and volume.
Manage capital tightly, do not FOMO based on strong candles.
This article is for technical analysis purposes, not investment advice.

$YALA Trend
After a strong decline, YALA has created a bottom around 0.0042 and has surged strongly. Currently, the price is in a short-term recovery + reversal phase. However, the medium-term trend has not fully reversed to bullish as the price is still approaching EMA99.
EMA
EMA7 > EMA25 → short-term upward force is good
The price is touching the EMA99 zone (≈ 0.0114) → this is a very strong resistance
EMA99 is still declining → the larger trend is still bearish
Volume
Volume increased significantly during the recent upward phase → there is speculative money flow
But volume began to stagnate when it hit resistance
RSI
RSI(6) ≈ 93 → extremely overbought
RSI(12) > 78 → high adjustment risk
→ Not suitable to chase longs at the current price

Order scenario
Scenario 1 – Priority (Short at resistance)
Order: Short
Entry zone: 0.0112 – 0.0117
TP1: 0.0100
TP2: 0.0092
TP3: 0.0084
SL: above 0.0121
→ This is a favorable order with RSI extremely overbought + touching EMA99

YALA is in a strong recovery phase but has entered the medium-term resistance zone with a high overbought RSI. The reasonable strategy now is to prioritize shorting at resistance, avoiding FOMO long. Long should only be executed when the price pulls back deeply or has a clear breakout with volume.

$GPS GPSUSDT is showing a very strong upward trend on the 4H timeframe. The price has broken out of the previous accumulation zone with a strong bullish candle accompanied by a surge in trading volume, indicating that capital is clearly participating. The current market structure still maintains higher highs and higher lows, confirming the short and medium-term upward trend.
The EMA lines are stacked in increasing order (EMA7 > EMA25 > EMA99), and the price is completely above the EMA, indicating that buyers are in control of the market. However, due to the distance between the price and EMA7 being quite far, there is a high possibility of a correction or short-term accumulation before continuing the main trend.
The RSI indicator is in the overbought zone, reflecting strong buying pressure but also warning of FOMO risk if entering late. Therefore, the reasonable strategy at this time is not to chase the price but to wait for the price to pull back to support levels to participate in the trend.
The main trend currently remains upward. Priority should be given to long positions during corrections, and short positions against the trend should be limited until clear reversal signals appear. Strict capital management is an important factor in periods of high price volatility.

$SIREN my entry dca 2 times it keeps shaking so annoying just close it always, let it be warm already