Investing in cryptocurrencies is essentially a process of seeking relative certainty amid high uncertainty. Successful investors are not prophets predicting the future, but **probability managers, risk controllers, and mindset adjusters**.
The ultimate competition is not a competition of information, nor a competition of technology, but a competition of **cognitive depth and emotional stability**. In this 24/7 operating market, the greatest advantage often lies not in how much time you spend looking at the screen, but in the courage to step away from the screen and think.
Remember: Making money in a bull market is a gift from the market, while learning in a bear market is a gift you give yourself. When the tide goes out, what remains are not only the naked swimmers but also those who quietly build ships during the downturn.$BTC
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On July 29, 2021, Musk admitted that Tesla held nearly 42,069 bitcoins. This also made it the fifth largest bitcoin holder among publicly traded companies in the U.S.
Musk almost hit every opportunity to buy the dip in cryptocurrency. Of course, this is related to his ability to leverage his position as the world's richest person and his influence.
In February 2021, Tesla announced it had purchased $1.5 billion worth of bitcoin, at a time when the price of bitcoin was above $30,000, causing bitcoin to rise nearly 20%.
On March 14, 2022, Musk publicly stated, "I still own and will not sell my bitcoin, ethereum, or dogecoin."
Will Musk really not sell? Does he truly believe that cryptocurrency has investment value? Not necessarily, but speculation is certain.
The latest holdings data from 2026 shows that Tesla holds approximately 10,000 bitcoins, having sold 70% from its peak. It can be said that Tesla is one of the most adept giants in playing bitcoin. Meanwhile, Strategy, a publicly traded company in the U.S. holding over 710,000 bitcoins, and its founder Michael Saylor can only stubbornly continue to accumulate. Because he does not possess Musk's kind of super intelligence and rare ability to gauge market trends.
Bitcoin began a three-month decline starting in October 2025, breaking through $110,000, $100,000, and $90,000 levels. It recently touched a low of $81,000 again.
In other words, Musk became the only top player to cash out at high levels. Perhaps, the moment Trump robbed $15 billion in bitcoin from the Crown Prince Group was the beginning of Musk selling his bitcoins.
No one would have expected that entering 2026, the accelerated crash of bitcoin would become the backdrop for Musk's successful cash-out.
$BTC has another 20 times of decline space, without the support of altcoin bull market it is just a bubble, just like real estate, high prices in first-tier cities, while second, third, and fourth-tier cities continue to decline, ultimately first-tier cities will also be halved or less, and continue to fall, down to 20,000 USDT per Bitcoin for some stabilization.
It takes 5-10 years to earn from mainstream coins.
大森论趋势
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That day, suddenly there were 820,000 U in the account. I didn't click on withdrawal, but instead stared at the screen blankly for half an hour. This string of numbers didn't make me ecstatic; instead, it pulled me back to my rented apartment in 2018. Back then, I entered the crypto world with 4,300 U, with no guidance, no insider information, relying solely on stubbornness to grind for eight years, rolling up to over 50 million. It wasn't luck; it was the 'stupid method' honed through over 2,000 days and nights: treating the market as a battlefield, viewing liquidation as a remedy, and doing only three things every day - recording data, reviewing mistakes, and controlling my hands. Today, I’m sharing six profitable notes with you. Understanding one can help avoid a major pitfall; achieving three can allow you to outperform 90% of retail investors. #币圈生存法则
1. Volume is the heartbeat of the market Price increases are like climbing stairs slowly, while price decreases are like sliding down a slide quickly. Don’t rush to escape; it's likely that the operators are secretly accumulating; a rapid rise followed by a slow decline requires calmness. The real peak is always accompanied by a volume waterfall; that's the sound of the sickle falling. $SENT
2. A flash crash is a knife not a red envelope The steeper the drop, the slower the rebound, indicating that the operators are withdrawing while fighting; don't deceive yourself thinking 'it's dropped so deep, it should be at the bottom.' In the crypto world, there are often eighteen layers beneath the abyss.
3. High points are most fearful of silence A volume spike doesn’t necessarily mean a peak, but zero volume at a high point is definitely a warning; it's like a KTV suddenly going silent at midnight; the next moment is likely the uproar of a crash. $ARPA
4. The bottom requires waiting for 'sustained signals' A single volume spike may be a trap; only after continuous low volume followed by a spike can it be considered that the operators are building their positions with real money; whether to follow or not depends on your resolve.
5. K-line is a corpse, volume is body temperature The K-line only records results; the trading volume is the real-time thermometer; when volume shrinks to suffocation, the market is left with retail investors cutting each other; when volume suddenly surges, the funds are like sharks smelling blood.
6. The ultimate mindset: 'Three No's' No attachment, able to decisively turn off the screen when it's time to exit; no greed, hands can go into pockets when chasing high; no fear, able to rationally average down during a sharp drop.
This is not about being Zen; it’s a survival instinct honed from countless liquidations. The crypto world never lacks opportunities; it lacks those who can remain calm and wait for opportunities. #币圈
Follow Daisen, no boasting no empty promises, just sharing practical experiences that can help survive in the industry. Brother Sen will guide you through the investment fog and help you land safely! For those who want to turn their fortunes around, let's get on board and work together.