krypton_bit
О криптовалюте - простыми словами! Трейдер, инвестор 24/7 в CRYPTO. Стримы и аналитика .Графики, метрики, мысли о рынке.
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BTC AGAINST GOLD AT HISTORICAL LOW. LTH BROKEN. MARKET IN LOSS MODE
Several metrics indicate a deep phase of pressure.
📉 1️⃣ BTC / Gold — historical weakness
The weekly RSI of the BTC to gold pair has fallen to an all-time low.
Lower than:
— the FTX collapse
— the crash of 2020
— the bear market of 2018
This indicates a record relative weakness of BTC to the safe asset.
📉 1️⃣ BTC / Gold — historical weakness
The weekly RSI of the BTC to gold pair has fallen to an all-time low.
Lower than:
— the FTX collapse
— the crash of 2020
— the bear market of 2018
This indicates a record relative weakness of BTC to the safe asset.
America yesterday transitioned to a phase of smooth selling from these values, wait for the opening of the American market very soon. I closed the Long earlier, possibly partially secure the profit✅ #bitcoin #americatrends $BTC
INSTITUTIONS SOLD RECORD AMOUNTS. BUT LTH ARE ACCUMULATING AGAIN
#stbinancepretge 🚨
The BTC market is in a contradictory phase: aggressive selling by funds and simultaneous strengthening of long-term accumulation.
📉 1️⃣ The most aggressive institutional sell-off
According to Charles Edwards, last week saw the largest net sale of BTC by institutions in the entire observation history.
The BTC market is in a contradictory phase: aggressive selling by funds and simultaneous strengthening of long-term accumulation.
📉 1️⃣ The most aggressive institutional sell-off
According to Charles Edwards, last week saw the largest net sale of BTC by institutions in the entire observation history.
The thesis is tough but logical: the token complicates the business model.
Why does this happen?
1️⃣ The focus shifts from the product to the token price.
2️⃣ The team starts thinking about listings and pump instead of scaling.
3️⃣ The token creates additional pressure from investors.
At the same time, protocols without "excess tokenomics" often live longer — because their goal is simple: product and users.
❗️Main conclusion:
A utility token makes sense only when it is technologically necessary.
A token for the sake of attracting money is a short-term hype, not a foundation.
#криптовалюта #crypto $BTC #bnb
Why does this happen?
1️⃣ The focus shifts from the product to the token price.
2️⃣ The team starts thinking about listings and pump instead of scaling.
3️⃣ The token creates additional pressure from investors.
At the same time, protocols without "excess tokenomics" often live longer — because their goal is simple: product and users.
❗️Main conclusion:
A utility token makes sense only when it is technologically necessary.
A token for the sake of attracting money is a short-term hype, not a foundation.
#криптовалюта #crypto $BTC #bnb
🚨Investors continue to withdraw money from spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs
Crypto ETF capital flows for yesterday:
▫️#BTC = -$203,820,000.
▫️#ETH = -$49,480,000.
▫️#SOL = +$7,990,000.
▫️#LINK = +$1,850,000.
▫️#AVAX = +$2,580,000.
▫️#XRP , #LTC , #HBAR , #DOGE = $0.
BlackRock today transferred 1184 BTC ($114.4m) and 24,472 ETH ($44.5m) to the Coinbase Prime exchange
XRP and LTC technologies in all their ETF beauty😄
$XRP #ltc
Crypto ETF capital flows for yesterday:
▫️#BTC = -$203,820,000.
▫️#ETH = -$49,480,000.
▫️#SOL = +$7,990,000.
▫️#LINK = +$1,850,000.
▫️#AVAX = +$2,580,000.
▫️#XRP , #LTC , #HBAR , #DOGE = $0.
BlackRock today transferred 1184 BTC ($114.4m) and 24,472 ETH ($44.5m) to the Coinbase Prime exchange
XRP and LTC technologies in all their ETF beauty😄
$XRP #ltc
«A simple way to reduce the influence of emotions is in the description.»
This is not financial advice.
Emotions arise where there is no system.
What helps:
• a clear trading plan
• fixed risk
• pauses after losing trades
👉 A calm trader earns more than the “genius”.
#trading #cryptocurrency #инвестиции
This is not financial advice.
Emotions arise where there is no system.
What helps:
• a clear trading plan
• fixed risk
• pauses after losing trades
👉 A calm trader earns more than the “genius”.
#trading #cryptocurrency #инвестиции
THIS HAS NOT HAPPENED IN 11 YEARS: WHALES ON EXCHANGE, FUNDS REDUCE RISK, SPECULATORS IN LONG
The market #BTC enters a zone of structural pressure, where on-chain and institutional signals converge.
📉 1️⃣ Large players increase inflow to exchanges
According to #CryptoQuant :
The exchange ratio of large players reached 0.64 — the maximum since 2015.
This means that the 10 largest wallets account for 64% of BTC inflow to exchanges.
📉 1️⃣ Large players increase inflow to exchanges
According to #CryptoQuant :
The exchange ratio of large players reached 0.64 — the maximum since 2015.
This means that the 10 largest wallets account for 64% of BTC inflow to exchanges.
BTC AT THE EDGE: LTH LEVEL, 60K AND THE 'DEATH CROSS'
The market has approached a zone where several critical metrics converge.
📊 1️⃣ Realized price of long-term holders — $65,680
The average cost basis for those holding BTC for 155+ days is now about $65,680.
This is the so-called Realized Price LTH — historically a strong balance level.
When the price is above → long-term holders are in profit.
📊 1️⃣ Realized price of long-term holders — $65,680
The average cost basis for those holding BTC for 155+ days is now about $65,680.
This is the so-called Realized Price LTH — historically a strong balance level.
When the price is above → long-term holders are in profit.
Recently talked about the interest in retesting this zone during one of the streams. There is a first reaction, they even drew a return to the channel, but the confirmation of the breakout is still not there. Any long position for the long term now is counter-trend trading (make sure to take profits or move your stop to break even).☝️
Unfortunately, I was asleep and haven't locked in part of my hedge short yet...
#bitcoin $BTC
Unfortunately, I was asleep and haven't locked in part of my hedge short yet...
#bitcoin $BTC
DCA BELOW $100,000, CREDIT STRESS GROWS, MONEY SUPPLY ACCELERATES
The market looks depressed. But the numbers give a more complex picture.
📉 DCA is again below $100,000
It seems that everyone who invested in BTC using the dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy daily is now below the $100,000 mark.
Even those who started at the historical peak.
What does this mean?
If BTC returns above $100,000 — the entire cohort of DCA investors will be profitable again.
📉 DCA is again below $100,000
It seems that everyone who invested in BTC using the dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy daily is now below the $100,000 mark.
Even those who started at the historical peak.
What does this mean?
If BTC returns above $100,000 — the entire cohort of DCA investors will be profitable again.
Live broadcast: real-time cryptocurrency market analysis
February 28, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Broadcast time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум
February 28, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks. (Broadcast time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум
Live broadcast: cryptocurrency market analysis in real time
February 26, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks.
(Air time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум
February 26, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks.
(Air time at 20:00 Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум
Live broadcast: real-time cryptocurrency market analysis
February 24, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks.
(Air time at 8:00 PM Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум
February 24, 2026, on air — detailed analysis of BTC, altcoins, charts, and forecasts for the coming weeks.
(Air time at 8:00 PM Kyiv time)
📊 We will discuss key levels, liquidity zones, and market scenarios.
👥 Suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
💬 Live communication, answers to your questions, and honest thoughts without unnecessary fluff.
Not just a review — live analysis with real market ideas.
Онлайн стрим тут
🔔 Subscribe so you don't miss the broadcast and stay updated on market events.
#криптовалюта $BTC $ETH #биткоин #эфириум
Open interest shows the number of active positions.
What to watch for:
• price rises + OI sharply rises → possible overheating
• price falls + OI rises → panic
• OI falls → the market is 'cleaning up'
👉 The strongest movements often start after overload.
‼️This is not a financial recommendation‼️
#cryptotrading #крипта #обучениекриптовалюта $BTC $ETH $BNB
What to watch for:
• price rises + OI sharply rises → possible overheating
• price falls + OI rises → panic
• OI falls → the market is 'cleaning up'
👉 The strongest movements often start after overload.
‼️This is not a financial recommendation‼️
#cryptotrading #крипта #обучениекриптовалюта $BTC $ETH $BNB
🔥 INFLATION IS TURNING UP AGAIN? PCE ABOVE FORECAST, GDP HAS SLOWED SHARPLY
Core PCE (y/y): 3.0%
Forecast: 2.9% | Previous: 2.8%
Core PCE (m/m): 0.4%
Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.2%
Total PCE (y/y): 2.9%
Forecast: 2.8% | Previous: 2.8%
Total PCE (m/m): 0.4%
Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.2%
👉 Inflation is accelerating for the second month in a row.
For the Fed, PCE is the main benchmark. A rise above the forecast increases the risk of a more hawkish rhetoric
📌 Economy - sharp cooling
GDP (Q4, q/q): 1.4%
Forecast: 2.8% | Previous: 4.4%
The economy has slowed down nearly 3 times.
GDP Deflator: 3.7%
Forecast: 2.8% | Previous: 3.7%
👉 We have an unpleasant combination:
slowing growth + persistent inflationary pressure.
These are already elements of a stagflation scenario.
📌 PMI - business activity is holding, but weakening
Manufacturing PMI: 51.2 (forecast 52.4)
Composite PMI: 52.3 (previous 53.0)
Services PMI: 52.3 (forecast 53.0)
Values above 50 indicate the economy is still growing, but the pace is slowing.
1️⃣ GDP decline - an argument for future policy easing.
2️⃣ Rising PCE - an argument against rate cuts.
If the Fed strengthens its hawkish rhetoric - pressure on risk assets will remain.
If the economic slowdown deepens - the market will start to price in a policy reversal.
#FOMC $BTC
Core PCE (y/y): 3.0%
Forecast: 2.9% | Previous: 2.8%
Core PCE (m/m): 0.4%
Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.2%
Total PCE (y/y): 2.9%
Forecast: 2.8% | Previous: 2.8%
Total PCE (m/m): 0.4%
Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: 0.2%
👉 Inflation is accelerating for the second month in a row.
For the Fed, PCE is the main benchmark. A rise above the forecast increases the risk of a more hawkish rhetoric
📌 Economy - sharp cooling
GDP (Q4, q/q): 1.4%
Forecast: 2.8% | Previous: 4.4%
The economy has slowed down nearly 3 times.
GDP Deflator: 3.7%
Forecast: 2.8% | Previous: 3.7%
👉 We have an unpleasant combination:
slowing growth + persistent inflationary pressure.
These are already elements of a stagflation scenario.
📌 PMI - business activity is holding, but weakening
Manufacturing PMI: 51.2 (forecast 52.4)
Composite PMI: 52.3 (previous 53.0)
Services PMI: 52.3 (forecast 53.0)
Values above 50 indicate the economy is still growing, but the pace is slowing.
1️⃣ GDP decline - an argument for future policy easing.
2️⃣ Rising PCE - an argument against rate cuts.
If the Fed strengthens its hawkish rhetoric - pressure on risk assets will remain.
If the economic slowdown deepens - the market will start to price in a policy reversal.
#FOMC $BTC
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