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Is the ETH crash a collapse of faith or the last "golden pit"? Recently, ETH's performance has made everyone question life. Should we cut losses and exit, or hold on until the end? Let's see what the top influencers in the foreign crypto community have to say:
1. Technical Warning: Peter Brandt warns $1,700
Legendary trader Peter Brandt directly threw out a few charts that sent chills down people's spines. He pointed out that ETH has broken below a key triangular formation, and the "breakdown" on the technical side is very obvious. In his view, if the support is not quickly reclaimed, ETH is likely to test $1,725.
📢Core: Charts don't lie, the current trend is indeed weakening, and blindly being bullish carries significant risks.
2. Institutional Reflection: Novogratz talks about "De-leveraging"
Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, provided an answer from the market structure perspective. He believes this downturn is not due to a single negative factor but rather the fading of the speculative era in the crypto space. The market is undergoing a painful de-leveraging process, with funds shifting from purely speculative assets to real value discovery.
📢Core: This is a restructuring of market structure; although painful, it is a necessary reshuffle before the second half of the bull market begins.
3. Macro Belief: Raoul Pal's "Last Bottom" theory
Unlike the previous two, macro master Raoul Pal remains steadfast. He believes that the trend of a global liquidity explosion in 2026 is irreversible, and the current volatility is merely "nauseating noise." He even boldly predicts that this could be the last "golden pit" before this bull market.
📢Core: Focus on the liquidity cycle in 2026, don’t get washed out before dawn.
🟡Summary and Reflection:
Currently, ETH is at an extremely awkward crossroads: the technicals are "bleeding," institutions are "reshuffling," and the macro players are "recharging faith." • If you are a short-term player, you must heed Peter Brandt's warning; preserving capital is the top priority. • If you are a long-term investor, Raoul Pal's macro logic might help you sleep well!#ETH Trend Analysis
#Ethereum
#CryptoTwitte
#PeterBrandt
#Crypto Analysis
Is the ETH crash a collapse of faith or the last "golden pit"? Recently, ETH's performance has made everyone question life. Should we cut losses and exit, or hold on until the end? Let's see what the top influencers in the foreign crypto community have to say:
1. Technical Warning: Peter Brandt warns $1,700
Legendary trader Peter Brandt directly threw out a few charts that sent chills down people's spines. He pointed out that ETH has broken below a key triangular formation, and the "breakdown" on the technical side is very obvious. In his view, if the support is not quickly reclaimed, ETH is likely to test $1,725.
📢Core: Charts don't lie, the current trend is indeed weakening, and blindly being bullish carries significant risks.
2. Institutional Reflection: Novogratz talks about "De-leveraging"
Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, provided an answer from the market structure perspective. He believes this downturn is not due to a single negative factor but rather the fading of the speculative era in the crypto space. The market is undergoing a painful de-leveraging process, with funds shifting from purely speculative assets to real value discovery.
📢Core: This is a restructuring of market structure; although painful, it is a necessary reshuffle before the second half of the bull market begins.
3. Macro Belief: Raoul Pal's "Last Bottom" theory
Unlike the previous two, macro master Raoul Pal remains steadfast. He believes that the trend of a global liquidity explosion in 2026 is irreversible, and the current volatility is merely "nauseating noise." He even boldly predicts that this could be the last "golden pit" before this bull market.
📢Core: Focus on the liquidity cycle in 2026, don’t get washed out before dawn.
🟡Summary and Reflection:
Currently, ETH is at an extremely awkward crossroads: the technicals are "bleeding," institutions are "reshuffling," and the macro players are "recharging faith." • If you are a short-term player, you must heed Peter Brandt's warning; preserving capital is the top priority. • If you are a long-term investor, Raoul Pal's macro logic might help you sleep well!#ETH Trend Analysis
#Ethereum
#CryptoTwitte
#PeterBrandt
#Crypto Analysis
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$USDC Core Conclusion: Investing 60,000-70,000 USD to buy Bitcoin at a large scale is illogical; it essentially involves gambling on the bottom while catching a falling knife, which goes against investment rationality and risk control common sense. Below is a clear breakdown and feasible plan 👇
1. Core Contradiction: Three Major Logical Mismatches in Bottom Fishing
1. The bottom is unpredictable and lacks fundamental support: Low prices are often a continuation of a decline, as history has repeatedly proven that after a 50% drop, prices can still fall another 50%; currently, the confrontation between the US and Iran, along with the sell-off of tech stocks, poses risks to risk assets, making it easier to form a cycle of "decline—liquidation—further decline" under panic; bottom fishing without fundamental support is just catching a falling knife.
2. Violating Trend Confirmation and Staggered Investment Principles: Professional investors only confirm trends and do not predict bottoms; Buffett's "greed" is always accompanied by staggered investments and risk reserves; entering the market on a large scale at 60,000-70,000 USD is a gambler's mentality, not investment rationality.
3. Lack of Valuation Anchoring, Overlooking Liquidity and Time Costs: Bottom fishing without a true value anchor is self-comforting under anchoring effects; in a panic, funds accelerate losses, and prolonged waiting devours capital efficiency.
2. Correct Bottom Fishing: Three Major Principles + Practical Strategies
• Principles: ① Do not guess the bottom, only confirm trends (consecutive daily positive lines, stabilizing at key positions); ② Staggered investments, reserve bullets (avoid full positions); ③ Anchor valuations and safety margins (e.g., ahr999 ≤ 0.45, institutional cost lines, etc.).
• Practical Operation (Market in February 2026):
1. Observe First: 60,000-70,000 USD is not a safety margin; wait for daily stabilization, ETF turning to net buying, on-chain whales accumulating signals, etc.
2. Gradual Positioning: Trial position (total capital 10%-15%, 55,000-60,000 USD + ahr999 ≤ 0.45) → Add position (cumulative ≤ 40%, stabilize at 55,000 + reversal signal) → Increase position (≤ 80%, reclaim 65,000 + hash rate recovery).
3. Ironclad Risk Control: Single risk ≤ 1%-2%, strict stop-loss; stay away from leverage (10x leverage with a 10% fluctuation means zero out). #何时抄底？ #BTC何时反弹？ #黄金白银反弹
1. Core Contradiction: Three Major Logical Mismatches in Bottom Fishing
1. The bottom is unpredictable and lacks fundamental support: Low prices are often a continuation of a decline, as history has repeatedly proven that after a 50% drop, prices can still fall another 50%; currently, the confrontation between the US and Iran, along with the sell-off of tech stocks, poses risks to risk assets, making it easier to form a cycle of "decline—liquidation—further decline" under panic; bottom fishing without fundamental support is just catching a falling knife.
2. Violating Trend Confirmation and Staggered Investment Principles: Professional investors only confirm trends and do not predict bottoms; Buffett's "greed" is always accompanied by staggered investments and risk reserves; entering the market on a large scale at 60,000-70,000 USD is a gambler's mentality, not investment rationality.
3. Lack of Valuation Anchoring, Overlooking Liquidity and Time Costs: Bottom fishing without a true value anchor is self-comforting under anchoring effects; in a panic, funds accelerate losses, and prolonged waiting devours capital efficiency.
2. Correct Bottom Fishing: Three Major Principles + Practical Strategies
• Principles: ① Do not guess the bottom, only confirm trends (consecutive daily positive lines, stabilizing at key positions); ② Staggered investments, reserve bullets (avoid full positions); ③ Anchor valuations and safety margins (e.g., ahr999 ≤ 0.45, institutional cost lines, etc.).
• Practical Operation (Market in February 2026):
1. Observe First: 60,000-70,000 USD is not a safety margin; wait for daily stabilization, ETF turning to net buying, on-chain whales accumulating signals, etc.
2. Gradual Positioning: Trial position (total capital 10%-15%, 55,000-60,000 USD + ahr999 ≤ 0.45) → Add position (cumulative ≤ 40%, stabilize at 55,000 + reversal signal) → Increase position (≤ 80%, reclaim 65,000 + hash rate recovery).
3. Ironclad Risk Control: Single risk ≤ 1%-2%, strict stop-loss; stay away from leverage (10x leverage with a 10% fluctuation means zero out). #何时抄底？ #BTC何时反弹？ #黄金白银反弹
168
$BTC I really am:
A kitchen novice, I can't quite figure out how to stir-fry tomatoes and eggs;
But when it comes to talking about the market, I can certainly chat with you about various "stir-frying" methods～
But to be honest, I can't even keep the dishes stable in the pan, let alone the waves in the market.
No matter what you stir-fry, you must first stabilize your mindset and protect your capital!
#黄金白银反弹
A kitchen novice, I can't quite figure out how to stir-fry tomatoes and eggs;
But when it comes to talking about the market, I can certainly chat with you about various "stir-frying" methods～
But to be honest, I can't even keep the dishes stable in the pan, let alone the waves in the market.
No matter what you stir-fry, you must first stabilize your mindset and protect your capital!
#黄金白银反弹
168
$XAU Gold and silver plummet, the market fluctuates, and many lament the difficulty in finding returns? At this moment, the unique value of S S S becomes even more prominent!
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It is recommended to match 50/50, especially to become a shareholder by providing liquidity! Permanent dividends allow you to hold your position more securely and stand firm amidst volatility. It operates across the entire chain, with no app or dapp, and 99% of LPs can make money, making it a truly worthwhile long-term investment choice.
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S S S has two types of returns: becoming a shareholder by providing liquidity (LP), joining in market-making, and receiving permanent dividends in BNB, Cake, and S S S; purchasing spot assets and holding coins for potential appreciation is quite promising.
It is recommended to match 50/50, especially to become a shareholder by providing liquidity! Permanent dividends allow you to hold your position more securely and stand firm amidst volatility. It operates across the entire chain, with no app or dapp, and 99% of LPs can make money, making it a truly worthwhile long-term investment choice.
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#BTC The world is changing, and so is the logic of wealth. Gold has reached a consensus after thousands of years, while Bitcoin has only taken a little over a decade. It is a tool for ordinary people to combat inflation and gain control over their assets. What you believe in, you will possess.
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The market’s most famous “reverse beacon” — Brother Maji — just opened a SHORT on ETH at 2100–2200 USD, and contract traders instantly went wild. Why?
Because history says one thing:
👉 When he goes long, the market dumps
👉 When he goes short… nobody dares to follow
This isn’t just another trade.
This is a top-tier traffic event.
Let’s be real:
Brother Maji has been liquidated 280+ times, losing over $26M, yet he’s still here — louder than ever. That’s because what he’s really trading isn’t ETH.
It’s attention.
Behind him is a three-layer capital flywheel:
• Early crypto principal
• Capital rotating out of traditional industries
• Continuous NFT & IP monetization
For most people, liquidation = exit.
For him, liquidation = plot twist.
This ETH short?
Highly likely not a pure bearish bet, but a hedging + performance move — closing longs, opening shorts, and exchanging extreme risk for maximum visibility.
At this point, Brother Maji isn’t a trader.
He’s a market sentiment amplifier.
The stronger the “reverse consensus,”
the more violent short-term volatility becomes.
📌 One sentence takeaway:
Don’t guess his direction — he’s doing capital performance art.
He has a perpetual motion machine.
You only have real money.
So the real question 👇
🔥 Is this ETH short a genuine bearish signal… or just another master-level performance?
Drop your view in the comments ⬇️
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USNFPBlowout #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned #USRetailSalesMissForecast #USTechFundFlows
$UNI $BERA $ETH
The market’s most famous “reverse beacon” — Brother Maji — just opened a SHORT on ETH at 2100–2200 USD, and contract traders instantly went wild. Why?
Because history says one thing:
👉 When he goes long, the market dumps
👉 When he goes short… nobody dares to follow
This isn’t just another trade.
This is a top-tier traffic event.
Let’s be real:
Brother Maji has been liquidated 280+ times, losing over $26M, yet he’s still here — louder than ever. That’s because what he’s really trading isn’t ETH.
It’s attention.
Behind him is a three-layer capital flywheel:
• Early crypto principal
• Capital rotating out of traditional industries
• Continuous NFT & IP monetization
For most people, liquidation = exit.
For him, liquidation = plot twist.
This ETH short?
Highly likely not a pure bearish bet, but a hedging + performance move — closing longs, opening shorts, and exchanging extreme risk for maximum visibility.
At this point, Brother Maji isn’t a trader.
He’s a market sentiment amplifier.
The stronger the “reverse consensus,”
the more violent short-term volatility becomes.
📌 One sentence takeaway:
Don’t guess his direction — he’s doing capital performance art.
He has a perpetual motion machine.
You only have real money.
So the real question 👇
🔥 Is this ETH short a genuine bearish signal… or just another master-level performance?
Drop your view in the comments ⬇️
#CZAMAonBinanceSquare #USNFPBlowout #TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned #USRetailSalesMissForecast #USTechFundFlows
666
Cousin CZ is coming to the square to see everyone again tonight.
Everyone, get ready with topics and small stools.
Did you seize the wealth opportunities from years ago?
🎁🎁🎁BTC🧧🧧🧧🧧worth $500
Everyone, get ready with topics and small stools.
Did you seize the wealth opportunities from years ago?
🎁🎁🎁BTC🧧🧧🧧🧧worth $500
168
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The fear index has hit a historical low of only '5'
Aren't you going to buy the dip now? Wait until it rises to 100,000 to buy the dip??? Wake up, history keeps repeating itself, it will skyrocket!!
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{future}(BTCUSDT)
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$BTC $ETH
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A little bit of heart, wishing you continuous good luck and may all your wishes come true.
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The relationship between Bitcoin and MicroStrategy stock prices
The price of Bitcoin and MSTR (MicroStrategy) shares has formed a highly convergent leveraged proxy relationship. MSTR is no longer essentially a software company, but rather a 'Bitcoin leveraged ETF': its beta value reaches 1.77, showing greater elasticity when the coin price rises, and significantly magnified declines when it falls.
The latest holdings show that MSTR holds over 714,000 bitcoins, with an average cost of about $76,056. As the price of Bitcoin fell to $69,000, the unrealized losses expanded to between $4.8 billion and $6.5 billion, and MSTR's stock price has plummeted nearly 80% from its peak.
In terms of market capitalization, the key indicator is the premium rate (mNAV). When the premium is above 1, the company can issue shares at low prices to finance and buy coins at high prices to create a positive feedback loop; however, the current premium has compressed to 1.09 and even briefly fell below 1, resulting in stagnant financing and interrupting the traditional 'issue shares to buy coins' cycle. Market focus has shifted from 'whether to sell coins' to 'whether to refinance at low cost', which will determine whether this highly leveraged model can survive a bear market.
The latest holdings show that MSTR holds over 714,000 bitcoins, with an average cost of about $76,056. As the price of Bitcoin fell to $69,000, the unrealized losses expanded to between $4.8 billion and $6.5 billion, and MSTR's stock price has plummeted nearly 80% from its peak.
In terms of market capitalization, the key indicator is the premium rate (mNAV). When the premium is above 1, the company can issue shares at low prices to finance and buy coins at high prices to create a positive feedback loop; however, the current premium has compressed to 1.09 and even briefly fell below 1, resulting in stagnant financing and interrupting the traditional 'issue shares to buy coins' cycle. Market focus has shifted from 'whether to sell coins' to 'whether to refinance at low cost', which will determine whether this highly leveraged model can survive a bear market.
168
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