$BTC , which started to decline, gained fake momentum with DCB after the halving and rose to around 65k. I think that with a little more increase, the manipulators will suddenly reduce the price to around 60k and then 57k-58k with fake news. ytd.
TL;DR Bitcoin is in a post-halving consolidation phase, with macro pressure temporarily overshadowing long-term supply constraints. Short-term: high volatility, neutral-to-bearish bias Medium-term: accumulation phase forming Long-term (2026+): still structurally bullish if institutional adoption continues.
Below is a structured view of how is $BTC behaving, what drives its price, and what scenarios may unfold next.
1. Current Market Context Bitcoin is currently trading around $91,506, with high volatility and wide intraday ranges. The broader crypto market is in a risk-off environment, influenced by macroeconomic uncertainty and declining risk appetite.
Several high-impact factors are shaping BTC behaviour: Institutional demand remains present but has slowed. Macro conditions (rates, liquidity, USD strength) are applying pressure. Halving supply reduction is in effect but not fully priced in. On-chain indicators are showing stress but not collapse. 2. Key Drivers of $BTC BTC Price Behaviour 🔹 A. Supply Shock Dynamics (Halving after-effects) Bitcoin’s supply issuance decreased after the 2024 halving. Historically, halvings create delayed bull cycles, but the 2025 cycle is lagging, likely due to macroeconomic tightening. Supply is fixed, and long-term holders continue to accumulate—this helps price resilience but doesn’t guarantee short-term upside.
🔹 B. Institutional & Whale Activity Large holders ("whales") and institutions continue to accumulate on dips, signaling long-term confidence. However, overall inflows into crypto ETFs have softened, making short-term rallies harder to sustain.
🔹 C. Macroeconomic Environment High interest rates and global risk aversion have triggered sell pressure. Liquidity tightening has historically correlated with bitcoin weakness.
🔹 D. Market Sentiment & Liquidity Crypto remains a high-volatility asset. Liquidity pockets on exchanges are thin, meaning moves are sharper and more dramatic in both directions. Short-term sentiment is cautious, but long-term sentiment remains structurally bullish.
3. On-Chain & Technical Structure Recent on-chain metrics highlight stress but not capitulation: NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) has fallen to ~0.47 — a level historically associated with medium-term bottoms. BTC failed to hold support near $100k–$102k, indicating weakening bullish momentum. If macro tightening continues, BTC may revisit deeper support zones. If accumulation continues, BTC could trigger a recovery wave.
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$BTC I think it will close today in minus. It's like the whole world is waiting for a war. Bitcoiners are praying for a war. Especially whales and those from a certain race 😔👎
If you are still trading instead of saving, you are on the wrong track. Start saving now and follow the new coins that will be released. One of them will be the biggest winner of the new bull season. I repeat: Don't buy or sell! Start saving instead. #MarketDownturn #lowcapcoins #BullRunAhead
#Megadrop Do not be deceived by those who present it as if it is something wonderful, if you will need your money at any time. If you say you will stake $BNB or #BB and forget about it, enter. Be careful, there are crashes after such events and inexperienced people withdraw from the stake and break it immediately. As I said, enter if you're going to forget it or if you're going to break it at the slightest movement, don't get involved. You will be really sad. ytd.
As I mentioned in my post 10 days ago, $BTC first dropped to 60k and then to the 57k-59k band. Instead of the fake news I mentioned, they announced the sentence of CZ, whose sentence has been known for 3 months, and provided a catalyst effect in the decline. Since the longs are liq, they will stop here for a while and then if there is not enough money flow, the decline will continue. A small purchase can be made for now or one can wait in dollars. Times like these are the worst times to enter futures. Since the money flow is low, price fluctuations are very easy. ytd
If you do not know which coins you should buy and do not want to miss the opportunities, you should consider your portfolio. 20% $BTC , 15% $ETH , 15% $BNB , 30% #FDUSDT , 10% #SOL , 5% #LAUNCHPOOLTOKEN , 5% #MEMETOKEN You can set it as . ytd
It was listed after #OmniNetwork launchpool and increased by 55 times. Due to global instability and less than 60 hours until the $BTC halving, I think the price of $OMNI will decline rapidly. Short-term buyers should not get their hopes up and buy at this price. Instead, wait for new launchpools to arrive. ytd
FED left the interest rate decision constant at 5.50. Are we surprised? Of course no. #btc 38 opened the door to move towards a thousand. First they will clear these shorts at 47-48 thousand. It will oscillate for up to 1 month. Let's get the kids from the track. ytd. #Write2Earn #TradeNTell
$XRP Was it robbed or did they take over from inside? I guess no one asks the question. Someone senior leaves and bam! You funny kids. ytd #Write2Earn #TradeNTell
When it reaches the $BNB 270-280 band, I will start purchasing in parts. If it drops to around 250, I will sell everything I have and buy a BNB. Abayo minna. I will be waiting for you at goblin town. ytd