๐ Analista tรฉcnico de criptomonedas๐ Publico seรฑales, anรกlisis y estrategias todos los dรญas๐ ๐ง XRP | BTC ETH Y MUCHAS MAS. cuenta de x CRYPTOVISION___
๐จ Tension between the Pentagon and Anthropic$DCR
According to circulating reports, Pete Hegseth allegedly summoned the CEO of Anthropic, Dario Amodei, to the United States Department of Defense for a critical meeting related to the use of AI in classified systems.
It is claimed that the Claude model is currently one of the few AI systems authorized to operate in sensitive military environments.$SAPIEN
Key points from the report: โข The Pentagon allegedly wants fewer operational restrictions โข Anthropic is said to have refused to participate in domestic mass surveillance โข It also reportedly rejected applications in autonomous weapons$ATM
โข The possibility of designating the company as a โsupply chain riskโ is mentioned If this were true and formalized, it would imply: โข Cancellation of contracts โข Exclusion of defense contractors โข Reconfiguration of the military AI ecosystem
๐จ $100,000,000,000 BORRADOS DEL MERCADO CRIPTO$BTC
The market loses ~ $100B in capitalization in a single session. Bitcoin falls below $64,000 and marks its lowest daily close in ~500 days.
Sentiment changes quickly. The flow dictates. What usually triggers movements like this? โข Cascade liquidations โข Excess leverage โข Break of key technical supports โข Macroeconomic or geopolitical news โข ETF exits / institutional sales
When an important level is lost, stops accelerate the movement.$DOGE
โ When does the selling stop? Historically, the market tends to stabilize when: 1๏ธโฃ Over-leveraged positions are cleaned up 2๏ธโฃ Panic volume starts to decrease 3๏ธโฃ Strong absorption appears in support areas 4๏ธโฃ Funding returns to neutral or extreme negative
Bottoms are not announced. They are built amid fear. What matters now: โข Are there divergences in RSI / momentum? โข How is the open interest? โข Are there entries in spot or only derivatives? โข Is the macro worsening or is it just a technical flush?$DOLO
In real capitulations, volatility is violentโฆ but it also creates opportunities.
For those who don't know, ZachXBT is an OG in crypto and is dedicated to investigating cases of corruption in the environment.
Today, after being 4 months without tweeting, he announced that he is investigating "one of the most profitable businesses" in crypto and how employees used internal data for insider trading.$GUN
Despite the fact that there are many profitable businesses in crypto where insider trading can occur (CEX, PumpFun, PolyMarket, etc.), people panicked regarding HyperLiquid and in theory, this is the reason for the drop.$DL
Anyway, in yesterday's live stream, I left the yellow path as the support was too obvious and this tends to break.
My entry in SPOT is at $23.8 protected at the entry price.
๐บ๐ธ Democratic senators move to block the extension of tariffs proposed by President Donald Trump.
What is at stake? If the Senate tries to halt the measure, the debate centers around: โข Executive authority vs. Congressional power โข Impact on international trade โข Inflationary pressure โข Risk of trade retaliation
Tariffs act as a tax on imports.$DCR
Blocking their extension could: Reduce pressure on prices of imported goods
Improve sentiment in markets sensitive to global trade But it could also intensify the political battle in Washington.
For markets and $BTC : โข Less trade tension โ improvement in risk assets โข More political conflict โ volatility โข Legislative uncertainty โ rapid intraday movements The market does not react solely to politics. It reacts to the likelihood of real change.
๐จ THE RETIREMENT CRISIS THAT FEW WANT TO FACE $BTC
The Social Security Administration system faces structural pressure.
According to the annual report of the trustees, the trust fund is projected to be exhausted around 2033 if there are no legislative changes.
And here is the key point: When the fund is exhausted, it does not mean that the system disappears, but that incoming revenues would only cover a portion of the scheduled benefits. $TAG
Current estimates suggest payments close to 75%โ80% of the promised benefits.
This implies automatic cuts if Congress does not act.
What does it mean in numbers? If someone expects $2,000 a month, they could receive approximately $1,500โ$1,600 under that scenario. $POL
That means: โข Less annual income โข Greater pressure on housing โข Greater pressure on health โข More vulnerability to inflation And this occurs in an environment where purchasing power has been eroded in recent years.
For those who are currently 35โ45 years old: โข They have contributed for decades โข But face adverse demographics (fewer workers per retiree) โข Higher public debt โข Increasing fiscal pressure The challenge is not ideological. It is mathematical.
According to NBC News, at least half a dozen senior officials from the Donald Trump administration appear in the files linked to Jeffrey Epstein.
Key point:$GUN "Appearing in files" does not automatically imply: โข Formal accusation โข Guilt โข Active investigation
In previous cases related to Epstein, multiple names have emerged in flight logs, contacts, or agendas without constituting a crime.
What the market might watch:$JUP โข If official investigations are opened โข If there are legal consequences โข If it escalates to a political crisis โข Impact on institutional stability Markets react more to systemic risk than to individual headlines.
๐บ๐ธ The Federal Reserve will inject $14.685 BILLION in liquidity this week.
What does such an injection mean? It usually occurs through: โข Repo operations โข Adjustments in liquidity facilities โข Management of bank reserves
The goal is usually:$TAO โ๏ธ Stabilize money markets โ๏ธ Keep short-term rates under control โ๏ธ Avoid tensions in the financial system
Potential impact on markets:$BANK More short-term liquidity can translate into: โข Greater risk appetite โข Relief in pressured assets โข Technical support in equities and crypto But important:
Temporary liquidity โ structural change in monetary policy.
๐จ WARNING: JAPAN WILL FALL INTO DISPLACEMENTS TOMORROW!$DCR
The Bank of Japan is raising interest rates againโฆ while selling 600 billion dollars in U.S. stocks and ETFs. Rate hikes + asset sales = global liquidity collapse. This is a recipe for disaster. And most people are still unaware of the TRUTH: Japan is preparing to sell 620 billion dollars in U.S. stocks and ETFs to protect the yen. Yes, stocks.
Not just bonds. Not just currencies. This is a large-scale liquidity maneuver. And the markets are NOT taking it into account. The yen has been under constant pressure. Authorities have warned. They have hinted.
They have delayed. Now the message has changed. Japan can no longer defend the yen with words. They need real actions. That means selling dollar-denominated assets. And a large portion of those assets are in U.S. markets.
So this is no longer a problem exclusive to Japan. It becomes a global risk event. This is the domino effect that almost nobody is noticing: โ Japan sells U.S. stocks and ETFs โ Dollar liquidity is drained โ Volatility spikes across all indices โ Risk assets are rapidly repriced โ Forced liquidations begin And once volatility appears, it spreads.$SAPIEN
Stocks fall. ETFs dismantle. Cryptocurrencies react instantly. This is how calm markets fall into chaos. Whatโs most concerning? All of this happens before the sale is officially confirmed. Markets remain relaxed. Positioning remains saturated. $BTC
That will not hold. And hereโs the accelerator that nobody wants to discount: Japan is expected to raise interest rates again next month. That changes everything. Higher rates strengthen the yen.
$BTC Sincerely, I can't believe that people are not buying as much Bitcoin as possible at $67,000. $DCR
How much lower do you think it can go? The fair value compared to gold already exceeds 180,000 dollars; we have never been so undervalued compared to precious metals.$SAPIEN
The CEO of Ripple Labs, Brad Garlinghouse, reaffirms that $XRP is not a security, pointing out that the courts have already provided regulatory clarity following the lawsuit against the company. "It is not a security. The courts clearly ruled."
What does this really mean?$DCR The legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission was one of the most significant cases for the crypto industry in the U.S.
The ruling established that:$SAPIEN โข Programmatic sales on exchanges do not constitute securities. โข Classification may depend on the context of the sale. This is not just about XRP. It sets a precedent for the market.
Potential impact: If the market perceives greater regulatory clarity: โข More institutional confidence โข Lower perceived legal risk โข Possible expansion of liquidity But be careful: Regulation in the U.S. is still evolving. And each case may have different nuances.
The Prime Minister of Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, announces the formation of a new strategic alliance against what he describes as the โShia and Sunni radical axis.โ
According to the announcement, it would include: โข India โข Greece โข Cyprus โข African states โข Arab states โข Asian states
What does this really mean? It's not just a military alliance. It's an attempt to reconfigure geopolitical blocks.
Possible objectives:$SIREN โข Regional containment โข Energy security โข Coordination in defense and technology โข Protection of trade routes
Implications for markets: If regional tension escalates: โข Oil โ โข Gold โ โข Volatility in equities โ โข Risk assets under pressure$ARC
If perceived as strategic stabilization: โข Geopolitical risk โ โข Energy moderates โข Improvement in global sentiment
๐จ LAST MINUTE$BTC A trader nicknamed "the Trump informant" has just opened: ๐ป $125 MILLION short Before a possible escalation in Iran. This is his first move since the collapse in October, where he reportedly made $168M. And now he is positioning himself again.$ETH
But pause. In markets, there are three possibilities when you see something like this: 1๏ธโฃ Real conviction based on public information + analysis 2๏ธโฃ Risk hedging that seems directional 3๏ธโฃ Amplified narrative to generate reaction The size is impressive. But size โ insider information.
๐ If you are betting on geopolitical escalation, the market could discount:$BNB โข Oil up โข Risk assets under pressure โข Volatility in crypto โข Dollar and bonds as safe haven But remember: Large positions can also be liquidated. And the market loves to punish overconfidence.
๐ฅ The question is not "Does he know something?" The real question is: Will the market follow himโฆ or squeeze him?
Somaliland offers to the U.S.: โข Exclusive access to strategic minerals โข Possibility of building U.S. military bases
Key location: next to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, one of the most critical chokepoints on the planet.
Approximately:$BEL ๐ 10%โ12% of global trade ๐ข๏ธ Relevant flows of oil and energy
Why does this matter? Control or influence in that area means: โข Geostrategic advantage โข Security in maritime routes โข Influence over supply chains โข Indirect pressure on global competitors It's not just Africa. It's global trade.
Potential implications: โข Increased military presence in the Horn of Africa โข Tensions with powers already operating in the region โข Impact on maritime transport risk premiums โข Sensitivity in energy prices if there is friction
๐ก In market terms: If stability increases โ relief in logistics premiums.
If tension increases โ oil and maritime insurance on the rise.$OPN Choke points are not valuedโฆ until they become unstable.
If the Supreme Court of the United States declares the tariffs pushed by Donald Trump illegal, this is not just politics.$SPK
It is a fiscal + commercial + expectations shock. ๐ฐ It is said to be ~$600B in revenue linked to tariffs.$SPX
If those funds must be refunded or cease to be collected: โข Hit to federal revenues โข Pressure on the deficit โข Budget uncertainty โข Possible massive legal disputes The market does not discount headlines. It discounts consequences.
What could come: Refund battles New โrenamedโ mechanisms (quotas, emergency fees, national security) Renewed trade tensions Simultaneous volatility in bonds, dollar, and stocks The label may change.$ESP Trade friction may continue.
Where would the real risk be? Not in the ruling itself. But in: โข How the Executive responds โข If Congress intervenes โข If other countries react If it escalates โ global volatility. If it moderates โ relief rally.
The key is not the political drama. It's whether this becomes: 1๏ธโฃ Isolated event o 2๏ธโฃ New structural phase of trade war Markets quickly revalue when structural rules change.