挖矿的小羊

Today Binance Alpha is blocked, I know a way to unlock it

Several brothers who used this method have successfully unlocked it!!

Follow me, then click the yellow text below to jump into the fan group to see!!

币安Alpha讨论

$BTC $ETH $BNB #币安HODLer空投C #山寨币突破 #ETH突破3600

Last night, another so-called "short-term trading master" sent me a profit screenshot:
"Bro, I've been holding this coin for 6 months, it's doubled today, no overtime needed tonight."
The accompanying image shows a K-line chart of some altcoin rising from 0.01 to 0.02, with a profit display of 300,000.
I glanced at it and laughed.
I've seen so many of these screenshots before—just like those beautiful female streamers you stumble upon at night. You know they're fake, yet the instant urge to "want it too" still surges.
What's most painful?
It's not how fake their screenshots are, but that you know they're fake, yet still can't help but stare a little longer.
Like how you know "one-time group fee paid back instantly" is a scam, but when you see someone boasting "300k profit from one move in the group," your mind still whispers: "What if it's real?"
Real winners never post screenshots.
Those who post screenshots daily are selling courses.
You think you're chasing financial freedom, but in reality, you're just paying for someone else's.
Those late-night profit screenshots that make your heart race and the glamorous female streamers that trigger impulse spending? They're essentially the same—
Grassroots investors keep coming, not because they're stupid, but because deep down, everyone has a gambler inside.
When everyone's showing off their gains, the loss statements are already on their way.

🔥 Current Market Guide (2026 Lazy Profits Edition)
$BTC : Dropped all day yesterday, only stabilized after the US stock market opened at night. 2026 will be a bear market year—reduce positions at highs!
$BNB : After every TGE, if the overall market is weak, it becomes even weaker. Selling above 900 is a very wise move!
$ETH : From 3300 to 3100, the drop has already exceeded 6 points. The good news is that质押 withdrawals have nearly stopped.

Key news from yesterday:
1. Expectation of accelerated Fed rate cuts in 2026 is bullish for Bitcoin, with January possibly marking a turning point in the downtrend.
2. ZEC dropped over 18% in a day; previously, the ECC team supporting Zcash collectively resigned.
3. Chen Zhi, founder of Prince Group, was extradited back to China, suspected of running casinos, fraud, and other crimes.

Back to today's daily BTC technical analysis: On the chart, the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes show uptrends, the 12-hour timeframe shows a downtrend, and the daily chart shows weakening momentum. Daily resistance at $94,500, support at $88,000.

Disclaimer: Personal trading journal, not investment advice! This article comes with a 50% anti-irony buff—get whiplashed by the market, don't blame me.

Last night, I was watching the K-line of $DOGE when suddenly I remembered the old guys who bought in at $0.7 back in 2021.

Back then, one tweet from Musk could push DOGE up 30%. Now Musk posts every day, yet DOGE is stuck lifelessly around $0.14. It's like your ex-girlfriend—once, just a glance from you made her blush. Now, even if you beg on your knees for a second chance, she won't even turn to look at you.

Current situation: Technically, it's a clear downtrend. Price has broken below all moving averages, and the MACD histogram is greener than my mood. RSI has dropped to 33, oversold, while trading volume has shrunk as if everyone has gone home for the Lunar New Year.

DOGE is now just a tool manipulated by institutions. Look at the fund flow data—millions of dollars net outflow in the past 24 hours, big players dumping. Retail investors still scream "diamond hands," unaware they've already been harvested like韭菜 (scallions) by the pros.

Community sentiment survey shows: 50% still hope for a rebound, 30% have given up and are lying flat, only 20% are cutting their losses. This ratio tells us a truth: most people never learn to cut their losses. They'd rather dream with losing positions than face reality.

But here's the but.

$0.138 is a strong support level. It used to be paradise for many, now it might be the gateway to hell. If this level breaks, the next target is $0.12—then it'll truly be a bloodbath.

Overbought assets always rebound eventually—this is market law. The question is, where will it rebound to? $0.144? Or straight to $0.15, making you think the bull market is back?

My advice: If you're still in the red, don't dream about breaking even. The market owes you nothing—losing money is your tuition. If you want to bottom-fish, wait until $0.138 shows real stabilization. Don't catch a falling knife.

Those who bought at the peak in 2021 and are still waiting to get out? Their money has long since become someone else's profit.

January 7, the ETF of $XRP experienced its first net outflow, amounting to 40.8 million USD, instantly ending its consecutive 36-day net inflow record.

Even more painful is that WisdomTree has withdrawn its XRP ETF application, and Ripple has confirmed it will not go public.

However, there's a very strange phenomenon here.

The price is dropping, yet whales are aggressively buying. In the past 24 hours, there were 2,802 large transactions exceeding 100,000 USD. What are these smart money players thinking?

After carefully reviewing the data, I discovered a harsh truth: retail investors are panic selling, institutions are rationally retreating, but the real big players are quietly accumulating.

It's like a poker game—when everyone else is folding, there are always a few who go all-in.

Technically, the chart indeed looks grim, breaking below all key moving averages, RSI entering oversold territory, and MACD turning entirely green.

Right now, XRP is being used by Dubai Land Department for real estate on XRPL, AWS is exploring XRPL upgrades, and Japan's business operations are expanding—these practical developments seem to have been selectively ignored by the market.

My trading strategy: I'll gradually build a position at the support level of 2.07–2.10 USD. Not because I believe in a short-term rebound, but because I trust that when everyone is criticizing XRP, it might actually be the best time to buy.

Of course, if it breaks below 2.00 USD, I'll cut my losses decisively. After all, in this market, survival matters more than anything else.

$SUI dropped another 4.8%, widespread despair, "It's over, I'm trapped again."

On January 1st, SUI unlocked $65 million worth of tokens at once. Normally, this should have caused a massive sell-off, right? Yet, on that day, trading volume surged to $967 million, effortlessly absorbing the selling pressure.

It's like someone eating ten buns in one go—didn't choke, and even said, "Give me ten more."

Everyone is focused on the price drop, but on-chain data tells a different story: DEX trading volume reached $316 million, derivatives volume $249 million—ecosystem activity is booming.

This reminds me of a joke: when stock prices fall, business operations actually thrive—just like "sitting at home, but the pot falls from the sky."

Technically, the chart does look weak—RSI is only 41, having broken below all moving averages.

But when everyone is panicking, that's often the best opportunity. SUI right now is like a top student overlooked by the teacher—excellent performance, yet unnoticed.

Short-term technicals aren't promising, but in the medium to long term, a project that can absorb a $65 million unlock while keeping its ecosystem vibrant isn't as fragile as it seems.

$1.74 is a key support level—if it holds, it's an opportunity; if it breaks, we should wait and see. Honestly, though, I'm more focused on the full unlock in May 2026—the real test.

Two days ago, I saw someone sharing a screenshot on their social media circle showing explosive gains from $ZEC , but today when I woke up, the entire development team had vanished.

This is the crypto world—overnight from heaven to hell.

To be honest, after all these years of trading, I've seen all kinds of black swan events, but a complete team exodus is something I've never encountered before. It's like you're driving on a highway and suddenly the driver jumps out—no one's steering the wheel.

ZEC dropped 18.5% in one day. I carefully reviewed the technical charts, and RSI has fallen below 30, clearly oversold. Normally, a rebound should follow, but the problem is: who's willing to take the risk now? The development team has fled—does this coin even have a future?

ZEC has fallen from over $500 to $397 today. Those who chased in at the top are probably wishing they could die. I saw someone say, "I just wanted to buy a privacy coin, how did I end up with an orphan coin?"

That said, this sharp drop actually reminds me of an old saying: crisis is opportunity.

If you ask me if now is a good time to buy the bottom, I can only say it's like dancing on a knife's edge. The support level is at $381. If that breaks, it's true free fall. But if it holds, a rebound to $415 isn't impossible.

The key point is that the privacy coin sector itself is solid, and ZEC's technology is genuinely impressive. The real issue is governance—basically, a people problem. Human issues are often harder to solve than technical ones, but they're also more prone to market overreaction.

If you're risk-tolerant, you might consider a small position around $400, with a stop-loss at $381. If you're conservative, just keep watching and wait for the panic to subside.

In the crypto world, just surviving is already winning half the battle. Those who successfully bottom-fished during panic aren't necessarily smarter—they're just fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.

But no matter what, never go all-in.

When I felt like taking a nap at noon, I saw ZEC plummet by 18.5% from $ZEC , and instantly snapped awake.

This isn't just a normal correction—it's a complete crisis of trust.

The entire core development team at Electric Coin Company collectively resigned, just like all the engineers at a company handing in their resignations on the same day. Can you still see a future for this coin?

But the most surreal part is that while everyone is panicking and selling off, Grayscale is still applying for a spot ETF for ZEC. It's like the house is on fire, yet firefighters are lining up at the door to buy the property.

I took a close look at the technicals—RSI has dropped into the deep oversold zone, and the 30-minute chart shows a bottom divergence and a bullish engulfing pattern. Such an extreme oversold condition is either a golden opportunity to buy the bottom, or it's just the prelude to an even bigger bomb going off.

Right now, ZEC is like those star projects from 2018—fundamentals are in serious trouble, yet technical indicators are hinting at a rebound. $381 is the last support level; break below that, and it might head straight for $200.

Let me be brutally honest: the privacy coin sector has never been won by technology—it's always been decided by regulatory mood. The development team has fled, and regulations are tightening. Why would institutions come in?

Either they see something we can't, or they're playing a much bigger game.

The real question isn't whether ZEC will rise—it's whether it can survive. In this market, just staying alive is already winning half the battle.

The CME gap phenomenon is actually similar to a gap in the stock market, always having a kind of 'magnetic' pull that draws prices back to fill the gap.

This time, the gap at $BTC was filled from Monday to Thursday, with timing that was fairly standard—neither too fast nor too slow. A characteristic of a weak market is that after a gap is filled, prices rarely reverse immediately, but instead continue to oscillate and digest the situation.

$ETH currently has no real independence at all; it's basically a 0.8x leveraged version of BTC. Despite the vast Ethereum ecosystem, its price movement is even more follower-like than altcoins, indicating that market positioning of Ethereum remains quite unclear.

$SOL is actually interesting: although on-chain MEME rotations happen quickly, there's still some liquidity and momentum. However, caution is needed—most of these on-chain projects have very short lifespans, like a whack-a-mole game, where profits require quick entry and exit.

At this point, I still think it's best to stay on the sidelines and wait for a clearer directional signal before taking action.

Seeing the news about the sharp rise in Japanese government bond yields, it actually reminded me of a classic analogy:

It's like someone who's been used to free lunches suddenly realizing the restaurant is starting to charge. For decades, the Japanese government has been borrowing at nearly zero cost, thanks to the central bank's backing. Now, the market is demanding "normal pricing."

From a trading perspective, this shift was actually foreseeable. I've previously observed the relationship between the yen exchange rate and the U.S.-Japan interest rate differential. When the spread widens to a certain extent, arbitrage trades begin to pose systemic risks.

The current situation presents the Bank of Japan with a classic "impossible trinity": either continue printing money to suppress yields but worsen inflation, allow yields to rise but cause a massive spike in government debt costs, or let the yen continue depreciating but face even more severe imported inflation.

The impact on the crypto market shouldn't be underestimated. The yen carry trade has long been a major source of capital for global risk assets, and if this tap is turned off, liquidity contraction will be evident.

On the other hand, if this Japanese debt crisis were to truly erupt, it might actually drive more capital toward hard assets like Bitcoin $$BTC . After all, when fiat currency credibility falters, the value of decentralized assets becomes more apparent.

The range of 905-895 for the large pancake indeed represents a key support zone. As long as it isn't broken below, technically, the probability of a continued rebound is greater than a pullback. It's like a spring compressed to the bottom zone but not fully失效, so the rebound strength is often quite significant.

Following my usual practice, I'd set the defensive line around 890, leaving myself more buffer space, as intraday fluctuations often include some false breakout noise.

Target range is 9.6-9.9. But when approaching 9.6, I might reduce position size slightly, as resistance becomes quite evident above this level. If a reversal truly occurs near 9.85, the success rate should be quite good. $BTC

After breaking below 893, the levels at 869 and 845 should be watched. I believe 845 is particularly worth focusing on, as it could present a more valuable opportunity to buy the dip.

Actually, everyone who trades will at some point say they'll never trade again, including myself. The key isn't avoiding these emotions, but maintaining rational position management amidst them.

I've analyzed my own trading records, and trades opened when saying "this time is different" had a win rate of only about 30%. In contrast, trades executed mechanically according to a fixed strategy maintained a win rate above 52%.

The most dangerous mindset is "I'll quit once I break even," because this usually means you're trading with money you shouldn't be using. A true trader should treat every loss as tuition, not a debt to be repaid.

Just like driving, you wouldn't press the accelerator to the floor today just because you took a wrong turn yesterday. Trading is the same—each trade is an independent probabilistic game. $BTC

$GIGGLE and $币安人生 are like products from two different tracks. One is purely meme-driven, requiring viral spread and community consensus; the other is a platform ecosystem concept, needing real-world applications and user engagement.

From my observation over the past year and a half, the actual success rate of such concept coins is less than 15%. Most fade away quickly. The key isn't how grand the concept is, but whether it can maintain liquidity and attention over a sufficiently long period.

It's human nature for retail investors to dream, but more dangerous is their unwillingness to cut losses when they realize their judgment was wrong. The market never changes direction because of your faith—survival is the top priority.

To be honest, after CZ came out, things have indeed changed a bit.

Back when he was at Binance, his words were relatively restrained, after all, he represented the image of the world's largest exchange. Now that he's independent, he seems to have let loose, daring to promote any coin and say anything.

The price movements of these coins really illustrate the point. I've also been watching TST and Broccoli; they basically surge right after he posts a tweet, only to quickly crash afterward. This pattern is quite similar to the early days of Justin Sun, using personal influence for short-term speculation, but lacking real substance.

Now CZ has no more constraints, no need to maintain any image, and is purely acting as an individual investor. But the problem is, his influence remains strong, and every move of his gets amplified. This irresponsible shouting of coins can easily harm retail investors who follow blindly.

I think coins related to CZ now are more seen as short-term speculative bets rather than value investments. The fact that his words trigger crashes actually reflects the market's lack of trust in his current approach. $Broccoli

Binance Alpha will launch DeepNode (DN) on January 9, a streamlined version for research and investment!

DeepNode (DN) is a decentralized AI network where anyone can contribute models, data, or computing power to earn DN rewards. The PoWR consensus rewards real value rather than pure computing power. In simple terms: transforming AI from a monopoly held by large companies into a public resource built and earned by everyone!

Funding: 5 million USD
Time: January 9, 2026, around 18:00 Beijing time
Value: Estimated 30-60 USD, single coin price 0.8-2 USD
Threshold: Estimated 246 points, first come first served, reduced by 5 points every 5 minutes

Tokenomics
Token Name: DN
Total Supply: 100 million (fixed cap)
Initial Circulation: Approximately 22.5 million (22.5%)

Distribution Structure (rough estimate, not fully disclosed by the official)
Community & Ecosystem Incentives: ~50% gradually released, used for rewards and airdrops
Team & Advisors: ~15-20% long lock + linear release
Investors & Seed: ~15% locked + linear release
Liquidity & Treasury: ~10% TGE partial unlock
Marketing & Partners: ~5-10% TGE portion, used for promotion

BSC Contract: 0x9b6a1d4fa5d90e5f2d34130053978d14cd301d58

Actually, the biggest issue with this round of the altcoin season isn't the lack of hot topics, but rather that the hot topics are too scattered.

Categories like AI, Meme, RWA, and DePIN each have their own mini-booms, but none have formed a unified narrative like DeFi did in 2021. It's as if every small group in a classroom is playing their own game, with no one able to get the entire class excited together.

$BTC Now at this level of over 90,000, there's still enough room left for altcoins, but what's really needed is a super-hot topic that triggers FOMO across all retail investors. Right now, with everyone operating independently, capital is being sprinkled like pepper—each coin gets a little, but not enough to trigger massive rallies.

I think we might have to wait until BTC firmly breaks above $100,000, igniting market sentiment fully, before altcoins experience that kind of frenzy where even the worst coins can double. Right now, picking the right coins matters more than timing.