By the end of 2025, three major signals are supporting the market:
• M2 continues to expand → Global liquidity remains strong • RUT (Russell 2000) breakout → Risk-on sentiment is returning aggressively • Total3 recovery & accumulation → The foundation for an Altcoin Season is still intact. But patience is required, and the focus should be on Top 100 coins, especially those tied to real-world assets.
📌 2026 Quarterly Outlook
• Q1/2026: BTC in accumulation phase – strong macro volatility while the market prepares to form a trend January: $84,000 – $98,000 February: $92,000 – $110,000 March: $108,000 – $118,000
• Q2/2026: High probability of a strong BTC breakout – this is when Altcoins may start accelerating → Details will be updated in the comments
• Q3/2026: If liquidity continues to flow → Altcoin Season confirmation, capital rotates from BTC to Altcoins → Details will be updated in the comments
• Q4/2026: Either continuation of the rally or an adjustment phase – depending on liquidity strength & monetary policy → BTC officially reaches $200,000
🔥 Is Altcoin Season still possible? → Yes. But ONLY if: 1️⃣ BTC maintains a sustainable uptrend 2️⃣ BTC dominance declines 3️⃣ Liquidity (M2) continues expanding 4️⃣ RUT remains strongly “risk-on”
👉 2026 may not just be a Bitcoin story – it could be a year of smart capital allocation into Altcoins at the right time. 👉 And no, the scenario of BTC falling back to $70,000 is no longer on the table.
note : $SEI Blockchain on Moblie app web3 on phone android.
BTC Dominance rising is not bearish for alts. It’s a liquidity warning
BTC Dominance Is Not a Threat — It’s a Warning Most traders misunderstand BTC Dominance.They see it rising and assume: “Altcoins are dead.” That’s not what the market is saying. BTC Dominance rises when liquidity is defensive, not when opportunity disappears. This is a late-cycle market, not an expansion phase In late-cycle conditions: Geopolitical risk increasesMonetary policy becomes reactiveLiquidity tightens unevenlyVolatility is suppressed, then released violently Capital does not seek growth first. It seeks survival. That is why Bitcoin absorbs flows. BTC here is not a risk asset. It is a liquidity shelter. Why Altcoin Season Hasn’t Started (Yet) Altcoin season is not triggered by: HopeGood newsNarrativesSocial engagement*Altcoin season starts with excess liquidity.Right now:Liquidity is concentrated, not distributedRisk appetite is selectiveCapital prefers reversibility That’s why most alt rallies feel: ShallowShort-livedEasy to fade* These are not trends - They are liquidity tests. The Rotation Everyone Misses Market cycles don’t rotate randomly. They follow a strict hierarchy: BTC absorbs uncertaintyBTC Dominance peaksInfrastructure (Infra) leads rotationApplications followMemes mark the emotional top Retail waits for step 4. Institutions position at step 2–3. Right now, we are still between step 1 and 2. Why Infrastructure Matters Now Infrastructure does not outperform during BTC dominance. It accumulates quietly. Infra matters because it: Benefits from future liquidity, not current hypeRepresents system-level convictionSurvives multiple cycles Infra is not a trade - It’s a position. Capital moves into infra before narratives turn bullish — never after. The Image Tells the Same Story The chaos in the image — politics, war, machines, money — points to one thing: A world becoming: More complexMore automatedMore fragile In such systems, value concentrates into Neutral money (BTC)Foundational systems (Infra) Not into speculation. The Real Risk Right Now The biggest risk is not missing altseason.The real risk is: Overtrading chopChasing false breakoutsMistaking liquidity noise for trendLate-cycle markets punish impatience. Final Takeaway This is not a market to predict. It’s a market to position. BTC = capital preservationInfra = early rotation exposureAlts = patience, not aggressionWhen BTC Dominance finally turns,structure will move first — not hype.And by then, positioning will matter more than timing.
🚀 Join the Binance Square Vietnam Content Creation Program! 🚀 From January 7th to February 7th, creators, KOLs, and active traders in Vietnam are invited to showcase their creativity and build their personal brands on Binance Square – the leading platform for Web3 creators!
💥How to participate: 1. Create at least 3 original, in-depth posts about Binance Square on external social media platforms such as Twitter, Facebook, Telegram, etc. 2. Ensure at least 1 post is published directly on Binance Square 3. Share about standout features such as Livestream, tips, gifts, trade sharing, and success in earning money. 4. Use the hashtag #BinanceSquareWithYou in all your posts 5. Submit your content via the provided link Bsurvey
💰Prizes The top 30 creators with the most unique, insightful, and impactful content will receive exclusive Binance gift packages. Winners will be contacted within 14 working days after the program ends, so please make sure to provide a valid shipping address. Don't miss this opportunity to elevate your creative journey and become part of the fastest-growing Web3 creator platform! For more details and to submit your entries, join our official Telegram group or contact the Binance Vietnam team. Let's create and grow together!
BTC Dominance is rising 📈 When dominance moves up, liquidity flows back to BTC — Altcoins tend to bleed.
⚠️ For Altcoin traders: • Stay defensive, avoid over-leverage • Only take high-conviction setups with strong volume & narrative • Be careful with short-term pumps
💡 A real Altseason usually starts when BTC.D tops and weakens.
Capital preservation > profits. Opportunities never disappear — capital does. $BTC
$BERA Everyone should not follow the call bet on this artist's horse, beware of encountering a Daoist. If you want to bet on this horse, bet quickly and then dodge. I've timed the BTC quite accurately
Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a clear range between $90.2K and $91.3K after being strongly rejected from $92.5K. This price action suggests distribution rather than accumulation at this stage.
On the 4H timeframe, BTC remains below the MA50, indicating that the broader momentum is still weak. Moving averages are compressed, showing a lack of directional conviction. RSI is hovering below neutral, leaving room for further downside liquidity grabs.
On 1H and 15M, multiple attempts to reclaim the top of the range have failed with declining volume, a classic sign of buyer exhaustion. The sharp rejection from $92.5K reinforces the idea that higher prices are currently being sold into by larger players.
Key takeaway: BTC is not ready for a clean breakout yet. A real breakout only becomes valid with: • A strong 1H close above $91.3K • Noticeable volume expansion • Successful retest holding above the range
Until then, this remains a market maker range, where liquidity is hunted on both sides. Expect fake breakouts and stop hunts before any decisive move.
Bitcoin is currently consolidating inside a clear range between $90.2K and $91.3K after being strongly rejected from $92.5K. This price action suggests distribution rather than accumulation at this stage.
On the 4H timeframe, BTC remains below the MA50, indicating that the broader momentum is still weak. Moving averages are compressed, showing a lack of directional conviction. RSI is hovering below neutral, leaving room for further downside liquidity grabs.
On 1H and 15M, multiple attempts to reclaim the top of the range have failed with declining volume, a classic sign of buyer exhaustion. The sharp rejection from $92.5K reinforces the idea that higher prices are currently being sold into by larger players.
Key takeaway: BTC is not ready for a clean breakout yet. A real breakout only becomes valid with: • A strong 1H close above $91.3K • Noticeable volume expansion • Successful retest holding above the range
Until then, this remains a market maker range, where liquidity is hunted on both sides. Expect fake breakouts and stop hunts before any decisive move.
📌 Patience beats prediction in a boxed market.$BTC
Bitcoin isn’t moving higher because of hype — it’s moving because of liquidity.
Bitcoin Outlook: Why the Market Structure Still Favors Further Upside Despite growing short-term skepticism, current market structure suggests that Bitcoin remains positioned for further upside rather than a deep retracement. 1. Liquidity Distribution Favors Higher Prices Recent liquidation data shows a clear imbalance in liquidity placement. Downside liquidity below current price has thinned considerably, particularly around previously attractive levels near the high-80k range. This indicates that weak longs have largely been flushed, reducing the incentive for market makers to push price significantly lower. In contrast, short-side liquidity is stacking aggressively above current levels. Large clusters of short liquidation are visible from the mid-90k range extending above 100k, creating a strong liquidity magnet to the upside. In markets driven by leverage, price typically seeks the path of maximum liquidity extraction — and that path currently points higher. 2. Absence of Panic Selling Confirms Structural Strength Despite macro uncertainty and heightened news sensitivity, Bitcoin has not experienced panic-driven sell pressure. Volatility remains controlled, and price behavior suggests absorption rather than distribution This type of price action is characteristic of accumulation phases, where stronger hands quietly absorb supply while leverage is repositioned on the wrong side of the market.
3. Failed Bearish Follow-Through Repeated attempts to push Bitcoin lower have resulted in shallow pullbacks rather than sustained breakdowns. Each downside move has been met with immediate buying interest, signaling that sellers lack conviction and that downside momentum is weakening. When bearish narratives fail to translate into lower prices, it often precedes continuation to the upside. 4. Market Maker Incentives Align with a Higher Expansion From a market microstructure perspective, the current environment favors an upside expansion: Downside liquidity is limitedUpside liquidation rewards are significantly largerA short squeeze scenario offers higher efficiency for capital deployment This makes higher prices a more rational outcome in the near term. Conclusion Bitcoin does not currently exhibit the conditions required for a sustained correction. With downside liquidity largely exhausted and short positioning building above price, the market remains structurally biased toward further upside. Any short-term pullbacks should be viewed as tactical liquidity resets rather than trend reversals. In leveraged markets, price does not move to where traders expect — it moves to where liquidity is. And for now, liquidity is above.$BTC