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🐻LOWER HIGH CONFIRMED: BEAR SEASON ENTERS PHASE 3!
I predicted a lower high in Bitcoin and it formed near $98,527.49 as expected, with timing nailed to the point. After the peak the first lower high has appeared, so we have entered the third phase of the bear season.
In phase 3 the speed of decline typically accelerates and this is the stage that hurts bulls the most. My advice to bulls is to trade with extreme caution and tighten risk controls. I have a detailed analysis of where and when Bitcoin may bottom, and I will share it immediately if there is strong interest from you. Hint: study the chart more closely.
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
$BTC
I predicted a lower high in Bitcoin and it formed near $98,527.49 as expected, with timing nailed to the point. After the peak the first lower high has appeared, so we have entered the third phase of the bear season.
In phase 3 the speed of decline typically accelerates and this is the stage that hurts bulls the most. My advice to bulls is to trade with extreme caution and tighten risk controls. I have a detailed analysis of where and when Bitcoin may bottom, and I will share it immediately if there is strong interest from you. Hint: study the chart more closely.
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
$BTC
PINNED
💥RATE CUTS TRIGGER BTC DUMP!
Since the start of 2025 the Fed has cut rates twice, and both times Bitcoin reacted with an immediate decline. Read carefully.
After the September 17, 2025 rate cut Bitcoin fell and a downtrend began that lasted nine days starting from the cut. After the October 29, 2025 cut Bitcoin again dropped and a six day downtrend followed.
The probability of a rate cut on December 10, 2025 is now above 87% while Bitcoin’s uptrend is still intact. If a cut happens on December 10, I expect a same-day drop and the start of an estimated seven day downtrend.
In short, rate cuts so far have triggered short term selling in Bitcoin, and I expect another similar reaction. That said, a falling wedge pattern targets $101,151.93, but it must first clear the $99,692.03 resistance to reach that level.
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
#CryptoRally #FedRateCut #FedRateDecisions #FedWatch #RateCutExpectations $BTC
Since the start of 2025 the Fed has cut rates twice, and both times Bitcoin reacted with an immediate decline. Read carefully.
After the September 17, 2025 rate cut Bitcoin fell and a downtrend began that lasted nine days starting from the cut. After the October 29, 2025 cut Bitcoin again dropped and a six day downtrend followed.
The probability of a rate cut on December 10, 2025 is now above 87% while Bitcoin’s uptrend is still intact. If a cut happens on December 10, I expect a same-day drop and the start of an estimated seven day downtrend.
In short, rate cuts so far have triggered short term selling in Bitcoin, and I expect another similar reaction. That said, a falling wedge pattern targets $101,151.93, but it must first clear the $99,692.03 resistance to reach that level.
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
#CryptoRally #FedRateCut #FedRateDecisions #FedWatch #RateCutExpectations $BTC
See translation
爽死了
Pancakes and Ethereum fluctuated for 15 minutes
Did the market maker system have issues? Haha
I made a $5000 spread in five minutes
Unfortunately, I saw it a bit too late, damn
Unfortunately, the fluctuations are in spot, if it were on contracts it would be more comfortable
This must be arranged with a big one 🧧
Did the market maker system have issues? Haha
I made a $5000 spread in five minutes
Unfortunately, I saw it a bit too late, damn
Unfortunately, the fluctuations are in spot, if it were on contracts it would be more comfortable
This must be arranged with a big one 🧧
yes
Xuhao Sailing, Year of the Horse Begins, Working Together for a Win-Win Future
【Xuhao Media's First Year of the Horse Carnival】
🌏12-18: Free Communication Time
🌏18-24: Talent Show Time
Time flows, everything renews; the golden snake bids farewell to the old, and the spirited horse welcomes the new. On the occasion of bidding farewell to the old and welcoming the new, Xuhao Media grandly holds the first Year of the Horse Carnival, gathering with enthusiasm, walking together under the stars, adding brilliant vitality to Binance Square, and celebrating the New Year with all creators and community partners, embarking on a new journey together.
The Year of the Horse symbolizes progress, galloping, and glory; it is indeed a golden year for seizing opportunities and achieving new successes. Looking back on the road, we have walked hand in hand in the Web3 wave, adhering to our original intention in content creation; looking forward to the future, we will continue with the spirit of the dragon horse, bravely move forward, and explore a new pattern. This gala is not only a wonderful New Year's feast at Binance Square but also a display of Xuhao Media's original intention to empower creators and build a quality ecosystem together.
To assist every creator in quickly breaking through barriers, steadily growing their IP, and continuously enhancing their influence, we have carefully crafted this event, using entertainment as a bridge, traffic as support, and resources as backing, allowing passion to shine and persistence to blossom. We believe that every little star gathering into a torch can illuminate the industry's path; creators thriving upward can build a prosperous ecosystem at Binance Square together.
The new year is unsealed, and the future is promising. In the new year, Xuhao Media will continue to delve into the Web3 field, uphold media responsibility, gather quality resources, empower IP growth, accompany every partner side by side, and walk hand in hand with every quality community. May we ride our dreams, not waste our youth; may we gallop together and compose a splendid chapter!
The lights are on, the feast will begin; good times accompany, joy walks together. We welcome everyone to attend the 【Xuhao Media's First Year of the Horse Carnival】, to enjoy the wonderful moments, celebrate the New Year, and embark on brilliance together! Wishing everyone in the Year of the Horse to take the lead and have everything go smoothly, with IP flourishing and popularity soaring, shining with their own dazzling brilliance at Binance Square!
📅 【Time】February 11, 2026 18:00 (UTC+8)
🎤 Special Host (Host)
🎙Host👉🏻Xuhao Media
@xuhaomedia
🎙 Co-host👉🏻Li Qian Grace
@liqiangrace520
【Xuhao Media's First Year of the Horse Carnival】
🌏12-18: Free Communication Time
🌏18-24: Talent Show Time
Time flows, everything renews; the golden snake bids farewell to the old, and the spirited horse welcomes the new. On the occasion of bidding farewell to the old and welcoming the new, Xuhao Media grandly holds the first Year of the Horse Carnival, gathering with enthusiasm, walking together under the stars, adding brilliant vitality to Binance Square, and celebrating the New Year with all creators and community partners, embarking on a new journey together.
The Year of the Horse symbolizes progress, galloping, and glory; it is indeed a golden year for seizing opportunities and achieving new successes. Looking back on the road, we have walked hand in hand in the Web3 wave, adhering to our original intention in content creation; looking forward to the future, we will continue with the spirit of the dragon horse, bravely move forward, and explore a new pattern. This gala is not only a wonderful New Year's feast at Binance Square but also a display of Xuhao Media's original intention to empower creators and build a quality ecosystem together.
To assist every creator in quickly breaking through barriers, steadily growing their IP, and continuously enhancing their influence, we have carefully crafted this event, using entertainment as a bridge, traffic as support, and resources as backing, allowing passion to shine and persistence to blossom. We believe that every little star gathering into a torch can illuminate the industry's path; creators thriving upward can build a prosperous ecosystem at Binance Square together.
The new year is unsealed, and the future is promising. In the new year, Xuhao Media will continue to delve into the Web3 field, uphold media responsibility, gather quality resources, empower IP growth, accompany every partner side by side, and walk hand in hand with every quality community. May we ride our dreams, not waste our youth; may we gallop together and compose a splendid chapter!
The lights are on, the feast will begin; good times accompany, joy walks together. We welcome everyone to attend the 【Xuhao Media's First Year of the Horse Carnival】, to enjoy the wonderful moments, celebrate the New Year, and embark on brilliance together! Wishing everyone in the Year of the Horse to take the lead and have everything go smoothly, with IP flourishing and popularity soaring, shining with their own dazzling brilliance at Binance Square!
📅 【Time】February 11, 2026 18:00 (UTC+8)
🎤 Special Host (Host)
🎙Host👉🏻Xuhao Media
@xuhaomedia
🎙 Co-host👉🏻Li Qian Grace
@liqiangrace520
yes
Xuhao Sailing, Year of the Horse Begins, Working Together for a Win-Win Future
【Xuhao Media's First Year of the Horse Carnival】
🌏12-18: Free Communication Time
🌏18-24: Talent Show Time
Time flows, everything renews; the golden snake bids farewell to the old, and the spirited horse welcomes the new. On the occasion of bidding farewell to the old and welcoming the new, Xuhao Media grandly holds the first Year of the Horse Carnival, gathering with enthusiasm, walking together under the stars, adding brilliant vitality to Binance Square, and celebrating the New Year with all creators and community partners, embarking on a new journey together.
The Year of the Horse symbolizes progress, galloping, and glory; it is indeed a golden year for seizing opportunities and achieving new successes. Looking back on the road, we have walked hand in hand in the Web3 wave, adhering to our original intention in content creation; looking forward to the future, we will continue with the spirit of the dragon horse, bravely move forward, and explore a new pattern. This gala is not only a wonderful New Year's feast at Binance Square but also a display of Xuhao Media's original intention to empower creators and build a quality ecosystem together.
To assist every creator in quickly breaking through barriers, steadily growing their IP, and continuously enhancing their influence, we have carefully crafted this event, using entertainment as a bridge, traffic as support, and resources as backing, allowing passion to shine and persistence to blossom. We believe that every little star gathering into a torch can illuminate the industry's path; creators thriving upward can build a prosperous ecosystem at Binance Square together.
The new year is unsealed, and the future is promising. In the new year, Xuhao Media will continue to delve into the Web3 field, uphold media responsibility, gather quality resources, empower IP growth, accompany every partner side by side, and walk hand in hand with every quality community. May we ride our dreams, not waste our youth; may we gallop together and compose a splendid chapter!
The lights are on, the feast will begin; good times accompany, joy walks together. We welcome everyone to attend the 【Xuhao Media's First Year of the Horse Carnival】, to enjoy the wonderful moments, celebrate the New Year, and embark on brilliance together! Wishing everyone in the Year of the Horse to take the lead and have everything go smoothly, with IP flourishing and popularity soaring, shining with their own dazzling brilliance at Binance Square!
📅 【Time】February 11, 2026 18:00 (UTC+8)
🎤 Special Host (Host)
🎙Host👉🏻Xuhao Media
@xuhaomedia
🎙 Co-host👉🏻Li Qian Grace
@liqiangrace520
【Xuhao Media's First Year of the Horse Carnival】
🌏12-18: Free Communication Time
🌏18-24: Talent Show Time
Time flows, everything renews; the golden snake bids farewell to the old, and the spirited horse welcomes the new. On the occasion of bidding farewell to the old and welcoming the new, Xuhao Media grandly holds the first Year of the Horse Carnival, gathering with enthusiasm, walking together under the stars, adding brilliant vitality to Binance Square, and celebrating the New Year with all creators and community partners, embarking on a new journey together.
The Year of the Horse symbolizes progress, galloping, and glory; it is indeed a golden year for seizing opportunities and achieving new successes. Looking back on the road, we have walked hand in hand in the Web3 wave, adhering to our original intention in content creation; looking forward to the future, we will continue with the spirit of the dragon horse, bravely move forward, and explore a new pattern. This gala is not only a wonderful New Year's feast at Binance Square but also a display of Xuhao Media's original intention to empower creators and build a quality ecosystem together.
To assist every creator in quickly breaking through barriers, steadily growing their IP, and continuously enhancing their influence, we have carefully crafted this event, using entertainment as a bridge, traffic as support, and resources as backing, allowing passion to shine and persistence to blossom. We believe that every little star gathering into a torch can illuminate the industry's path; creators thriving upward can build a prosperous ecosystem at Binance Square together.
The new year is unsealed, and the future is promising. In the new year, Xuhao Media will continue to delve into the Web3 field, uphold media responsibility, gather quality resources, empower IP growth, accompany every partner side by side, and walk hand in hand with every quality community. May we ride our dreams, not waste our youth; may we gallop together and compose a splendid chapter!
The lights are on, the feast will begin; good times accompany, joy walks together. We welcome everyone to attend the 【Xuhao Media's First Year of the Horse Carnival】, to enjoy the wonderful moments, celebrate the New Year, and embark on brilliance together! Wishing everyone in the Year of the Horse to take the lead and have everything go smoothly, with IP flourishing and popularity soaring, shining with their own dazzling brilliance at Binance Square!
📅 【Time】February 11, 2026 18:00 (UTC+8)
🎤 Special Host (Host)
🎙Host👉🏻Xuhao Media
@xuhaomedia
🎙 Co-host👉🏻Li Qian Grace
@liqiangrace520
See translation
发财财
首席操盘手
·
--
I just remembered that I haven't given everyone red envelopes for the Little New Year yet🧧😁
While discussing matters with the big shots, I'm also watching the market
Turning my head, it's already 12 o'clock, time to send out the red envelopes🧧
While discussing matters with the big shots, I'm also watching the market
Turning my head, it's already 12 o'clock, time to send out the red envelopes🧧
100
🌏 Xuhao Media's First Year of the Horse Carnival 🌏
⭐️ Preview Special Exposure Exceeds 100K ⭐️
"With the spring breeze, the horse's hooves are swift; in one day, one can see all the flowers of Chang'an." When this ancient saying meets the digital wave of Web3, Xuhao Media's first Year of the Horse Carnival has surged with great momentum, launching a New Year's celebration in the Binance Square live broadcast room.
Yesterday, the live broadcast room ranked second in Binance Square, with live exposure exceeding 102.0K+, and total viewers reaching 12.0K+. This is a warm response from the Web3 community to the integration of traditional culture and digital innovation.
"The spirit of the dragon and horse opens a new journey, and digital intelligence empowers new wonders." At this gala, traditional customs and cutting-edge technology collide to create wonderful sparks.
"A new year begins with beautiful mountains and rivers; everything is renewed in splendid spring." Tomorrow at 12 o'clock, we will be live on Xuhao Media's account, everyone remember to come! Xuhao Media is tirelessly writing a brand new chapter of Web3 in the prelude to the New Year in the digital age.
#旭好传媒
#红包 #红包大派送
⭐️ Preview Special Exposure Exceeds 100K ⭐️
"With the spring breeze, the horse's hooves are swift; in one day, one can see all the flowers of Chang'an." When this ancient saying meets the digital wave of Web3, Xuhao Media's first Year of the Horse Carnival has surged with great momentum, launching a New Year's celebration in the Binance Square live broadcast room.
Yesterday, the live broadcast room ranked second in Binance Square, with live exposure exceeding 102.0K+, and total viewers reaching 12.0K+. This is a warm response from the Web3 community to the integration of traditional culture and digital innovation.
"The spirit of the dragon and horse opens a new journey, and digital intelligence empowers new wonders." At this gala, traditional customs and cutting-edge technology collide to create wonderful sparks.
"A new year begins with beautiful mountains and rivers; everything is renewed in splendid spring." Tomorrow at 12 o'clock, we will be live on Xuhao Media's account, everyone remember to come! Xuhao Media is tirelessly writing a brand new chapter of Web3 in the prelude to the New Year in the digital age.
#旭好传媒
#红包 #红包大派送
yes
🌏Xuhao Media's First Year of the Horse New Year Countdown Gala🌏
⭐️Registration Deadline: 12:00 noon, January 10
⭐️Event Warm-up: 12:00 noon, January 11
⭐️Talent Show Time: 18:00, January 11
We sincerely invite every family and friend to join this grand feast. If you have talents, feel free to showcase them—singing, dancing, instruments, talk shows, and creative performances are all welcome. Even if you have no talent, you are still invited to come and cheer, celebrating together as we ring in the new year.
This is our stage, welcoming the Year of the Horse with passion and charm. Thank you for your continuous support and companionship. We look forward to your active registration and enthusiastic participation. Please pay attention to and support this event warmly. Let’s create a warm and lively New Year’s Eve party together!
⭐️Registration Deadline: 12:00 noon, January 10
⭐️Event Warm-up: 12:00 noon, January 11
⭐️Talent Show Time: 18:00, January 11
We sincerely invite every family and friend to join this grand feast. If you have talents, feel free to showcase them—singing, dancing, instruments, talk shows, and creative performances are all welcome. Even if you have no talent, you are still invited to come and cheer, celebrating together as we ring in the new year.
This is our stage, welcoming the Year of the Horse with passion and charm. Thank you for your continuous support and companionship. We look forward to your active registration and enthusiastic participation. Please pay attention to and support this event warmly. Let’s create a warm and lively New Year’s Eve party together!
yes
Xuhao Media 1st Year of the Horse Countdown Gala · Registration Open
Stars never fail those who strive, and time rewards the devoted. Xuhao Media 1st Year of the Horse Countdown Gala is officially open for registration!
We sincerely invite all friends to join this grand feast. Singing, dancing, instruments, talk shows, and creative performances are all welcome on stage.
Even without a talent, you are invited to cheer and celebrate together.
This is our stage, lighted by passion and decorated by charm, welcoming the Year of the Horse.
Thank you for your constant support. We look forward to your active participation,
and let’s build a warm, exciting and unforgettable countdown gala together!
Stars never fail those who strive, and time rewards the devoted. Xuhao Media 1st Year of the Horse Countdown Gala is officially open for registration!
We sincerely invite all friends to join this grand feast. Singing, dancing, instruments, talk shows, and creative performances are all welcome on stage.
Even without a talent, you are invited to cheer and celebrate together.
This is our stage, lighted by passion and decorated by charm, welcoming the Year of the Horse.
Thank you for your constant support. We look forward to your active participation,
and let’s build a warm, exciting and unforgettable countdown gala together!
See translation
不负热爱
首席操盘手
·
--
This like seems to be from a true fan who has carefully read all my articles ❤️
This reminds me of a few months ago when a fan said they were going to enlist and were afraid that when they returned from military service, I would have retired and they wouldn't be able to find me. They liked all my articles from the past three years and left a comment on one of my articles from two years ago.
The general content was: Chief, I am going to enlist, so before joining, I read all your articles. Your writing has greatly helped my life, and I really like your posts. But I’m worried that during my military service, you will become financially free and retire, and I won’t be able to see your articles anymore. So I want to ask, will you still be updating a few years later? Can I have a way to reach you?
At that time, there were some urgent matters at home, and I stopped updating for those two months. When I saw that comment, I really wanted to write an article to chat with that fan, but then I got busy with family matters and forgot about it. By the time I returned to look for that comment, it had already been buried, and I didn’t know which article it was in.
I can only say that I will try my best to create good content, to speak the truth and to say things that are useful for the industry and everyone, to live up to these fans.
This reminds me of a few months ago when a fan said they were going to enlist and were afraid that when they returned from military service, I would have retired and they wouldn't be able to find me. They liked all my articles from the past three years and left a comment on one of my articles from two years ago.
The general content was: Chief, I am going to enlist, so before joining, I read all your articles. Your writing has greatly helped my life, and I really like your posts. But I’m worried that during my military service, you will become financially free and retire, and I won’t be able to see your articles anymore. So I want to ask, will you still be updating a few years later? Can I have a way to reach you?
At that time, there were some urgent matters at home, and I stopped updating for those two months. When I saw that comment, I really wanted to write an article to chat with that fan, but then I got busy with family matters and forgot about it. By the time I returned to look for that comment, it had already been buried, and I didn’t know which article it was in.
I can only say that I will try my best to create good content, to speak the truth and to say things that are useful for the industry and everyone, to live up to these fans.
If you have a good strategy, continue investing patiently; the crypto market will reward you.
Binance Angels
·
--
We’re 150K+ strong. Now we want to hear from you.
Tell us What wisdom would you pass on to new traders? 💛 and win your share of $500 in USDC.
🔸 Follow @BinanceAngel square account
🔸 Like this post and repost
🔸 Comment What wisdom would you pass on to new traders? 💛
🔸 Fill out the survey: Fill in survey
Top 50 responses win. Creativity counts. Let your voice lead the celebration. 😇 #Binance
$BNB
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
Tell us What wisdom would you pass on to new traders? 💛 and win your share of $500 in USDC.
🔸 Follow @BinanceAngel square account
🔸 Like this post and repost
🔸 Comment What wisdom would you pass on to new traders? 💛
🔸 Fill out the survey: Fill in survey
Top 50 responses win. Creativity counts. Let your voice lead the celebration. 😇 #Binance
$BNB
{spot}(BNBUSDT)
💥BITCOIN'S TRAP AT $98,527!
Bitcoin is in a long-term downtrend, and based on my spot-price analysis the $98,527.49 level plays a critical role for the lower high I expect. I conducted this analysis on the weekly chart, so consider it a long-term view.
In the short term, Bitcoin’s uptrend remains intact.
In short, Bitcoin will offer investors one last selling opportunity and only a few will be able to sell at high prices, because the short-term rise leads delusional bulls to interpret this as the start of a “rally” and they refuse to sell; their disappointment will be inevitable.
By the way, would you like me to share my 2026 EXIT PLAN with you?
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
#BearishAlert #bearmarket #BearMarketOpportunity #bitcoin #CryptoBearMarket $BTC
Bitcoin is in a long-term downtrend, and based on my spot-price analysis the $98,527.49 level plays a critical role for the lower high I expect. I conducted this analysis on the weekly chart, so consider it a long-term view.
In the short term, Bitcoin’s uptrend remains intact.
In short, Bitcoin will offer investors one last selling opportunity and only a few will be able to sell at high prices, because the short-term rise leads delusional bulls to interpret this as the start of a “rally” and they refuse to sell; their disappointment will be inevitable.
By the way, would you like me to share my 2026 EXIT PLAN with you?
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
#BearishAlert #bearmarket #BearMarketOpportunity #bitcoin #CryptoBearMarket $BTC
💥BITCOIN KICKS OFF 2026 BULL TREND!
Bitcoin entered 2026 in an uptrend and the momentum remains intact. The key resistance to watch is $90,373.40; if Bitcoin breaks above that level, the falling wedge target of $101,109.50 becomes attainable.
I expect altcoins to join the rally and, overall, for many altcoins to outperform Bitcoin in January.
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
#BTC90kChristmas #StrategyBTCPurchase #BTCVSGOLD $BTC
Bitcoin entered 2026 in an uptrend and the momentum remains intact. The key resistance to watch is $90,373.40; if Bitcoin breaks above that level, the falling wedge target of $101,109.50 becomes attainable.
I expect altcoins to join the rally and, overall, for many altcoins to outperform Bitcoin in January.
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
#BTC90kChristmas #StrategyBTCPurchase #BTCVSGOLD $BTC
🔥BITCOIN TRUMPS TOKENIZED GOLD!
In my view the debate between Bitcoin and tokenized gold is a choice between two different security promises. Tokenized gold is tied to a physical asset and offers tangibility and long-term inflation protection. However tokenized gold carries custody, custodial and audit risks because tracking the real metal depends on audit reports and intermediaries.
Bitcoin on the other hand delivers software scarcity, an open protocol and censorship resistance. Its supply is predetermined and distribution is decentralized. I support Bitcoin because it provides a unique combination of network security, liquidity and global accessibility; it is a programmable and portable store of value that eliminates many physical custody risks.
Conclusion: if you want concrete backing, claims on gold are appropriate. If you want true digital scarcity and independence, I prefer Bitcoin.
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
#BinanceBlockchainWeek #BTCVSGOLD $BTC
In my view the debate between Bitcoin and tokenized gold is a choice between two different security promises. Tokenized gold is tied to a physical asset and offers tangibility and long-term inflation protection. However tokenized gold carries custody, custodial and audit risks because tracking the real metal depends on audit reports and intermediaries.
Bitcoin on the other hand delivers software scarcity, an open protocol and censorship resistance. Its supply is predetermined and distribution is decentralized. I support Bitcoin because it provides a unique combination of network security, liquidity and global accessibility; it is a programmable and portable store of value that eliminates many physical custody risks.
Conclusion: if you want concrete backing, claims on gold are appropriate. If you want true digital scarcity and independence, I prefer Bitcoin.
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
#BinanceBlockchainWeek #BTCVSGOLD $BTC
💥DEATH-CAT BOUNCE ALERT!
A death-cat bounce is a short-lived and typically weak recovery that follows a large, rapid price collapse. Temporary buying can come from short-covering, bargain hunters, oversold technical signals or the market digesting news, but this bounce usually does not mark a durable reversal if the underlying problems persist; prices can resume falling afterward.
According to the 41-week simple moving average I follow, the probability that the bull season has ended is high. When Bitcoin posts a weekly close below the price indicated by the 41-week MA, the bull season is considered over and a bear season begins. The striking part is that after that confirmation, a death-cat bounce has historically occurred.
In the last two cycles the death-cat bounce produced nearly the same percentage jump. Applying the same rule to this cycle, Bitcoin could first spike to about $118,514.33 and then resume its decline, re-entering the downtrend after the temporary bounce.
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
#BTCRebound90kNext? $BTC
A death-cat bounce is a short-lived and typically weak recovery that follows a large, rapid price collapse. Temporary buying can come from short-covering, bargain hunters, oversold technical signals or the market digesting news, but this bounce usually does not mark a durable reversal if the underlying problems persist; prices can resume falling afterward.
According to the 41-week simple moving average I follow, the probability that the bull season has ended is high. When Bitcoin posts a weekly close below the price indicated by the 41-week MA, the bull season is considered over and a bear season begins. The striking part is that after that confirmation, a death-cat bounce has historically occurred.
In the last two cycles the death-cat bounce produced nearly the same percentage jump. Applying the same rule to this cycle, Bitcoin could first spike to about $118,514.33 and then resume its decline, re-entering the downtrend after the temporary bounce.
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
#BTCRebound90kNext? $BTC
💥BITCOIN TO PLUMMET TO $89K OR $84K!
I analyzed all pullbacks Bitcoin made during its bull seasons. According to this analysis, the next pullback is expected to be -29.1%, which would put Bitcoin’s bottom at $89,475.54.
In a worst-case scenario the pullback could be -33.58%, which would place the bottom at $83,821.79.
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
#marketpullback $BTC
I analyzed all pullbacks Bitcoin made during its bull seasons. According to this analysis, the next pullback is expected to be -29.1%, which would put Bitcoin’s bottom at $89,475.54.
In a worst-case scenario the pullback could be -33.58%, which would place the bottom at $83,821.79.
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
#marketpullback $BTC
💥BITCOIN CRASH WARNING!
The weekly Bitcoin chart shows both a rising wedge and a head and shoulders pattern, signaling that the downside is likely to continue. Based on these structures, Bitcoin may fall to $97,324.42. Do not let FOMO drive your trades; avoid impulsive buy or sell decisions. The downtrend on the charts remains intact, and the trend is your friend.
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#BitcoinAnalysis $BTC
The weekly Bitcoin chart shows both a rising wedge and a head and shoulders pattern, signaling that the downside is likely to continue. Based on these structures, Bitcoin may fall to $97,324.42. Do not let FOMO drive your trades; avoid impulsive buy or sell decisions. The downtrend on the charts remains intact, and the trend is your friend.
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#BitcoinAnalysis $BTC
💥2,086% RALLY WILL NOT REPEAT!
The 2,086.13% surge in the previous cycle is extremely unlikely to repeat. A 2,086.13% rise means roughly a 21.8613x increase from the starting price, and with today’s vastly larger market capitalization, matching the same percentage would require exponentially more fresh capital, which is impractical from both operational and liquidity perspectives.
Spot liquidity and market depth have grown, so large buy orders are absorbed faster; sellers, OTC channels and arbitrage mechanisms work to balance prices, making sudden extreme spikes harder to produce. Increased institutional participation also changes the game—capital from pension funds, corporate treasuries and ETFs tends to be longer term and less prone to fueling short, speculative pumps. Stricter regulation in many regions, including tax and compliance requirements, further constrains rapid in-and-out flows and reduces the intensity of speculative rallies.
Maturation of market structure and derivatives markets (futures, options, professional market makers) improves risk transfer and lowers the probability of extreme spot moves. Faster information flow and algorithmic arbitrage mean news and on-chain data are priced in almost instantly, which makes sustained bubbles harder to form. Each bull cycle has unique triggers, and past macro conditions, liquidity injections or product launches may not repeat. Finally, investor profiles and psychology have evolved; retail FOMO has waned relative to before, and more professional trading and risk management act as stabilizing forces.
For all these reasons, while the same percentage gain is technically possible, its probability is very low.
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#BitcoinCycles $BTC
The 2,086.13% surge in the previous cycle is extremely unlikely to repeat. A 2,086.13% rise means roughly a 21.8613x increase from the starting price, and with today’s vastly larger market capitalization, matching the same percentage would require exponentially more fresh capital, which is impractical from both operational and liquidity perspectives.
Spot liquidity and market depth have grown, so large buy orders are absorbed faster; sellers, OTC channels and arbitrage mechanisms work to balance prices, making sudden extreme spikes harder to produce. Increased institutional participation also changes the game—capital from pension funds, corporate treasuries and ETFs tends to be longer term and less prone to fueling short, speculative pumps. Stricter regulation in many regions, including tax and compliance requirements, further constrains rapid in-and-out flows and reduces the intensity of speculative rallies.
Maturation of market structure and derivatives markets (futures, options, professional market makers) improves risk transfer and lowers the probability of extreme spot moves. Faster information flow and algorithmic arbitrage mean news and on-chain data are priced in almost instantly, which makes sustained bubbles harder to form. Each bull cycle has unique triggers, and past macro conditions, liquidity injections or product launches may not repeat. Finally, investor profiles and psychology have evolved; retail FOMO has waned relative to before, and more professional trading and risk management act as stabilizing forces.
For all these reasons, while the same percentage gain is technically possible, its probability is very low.
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#BitcoinCycles $BTC
💥BITCOIN HAS ALREADY PEAKED!
According to this chart, Bitcoin’s bull season lasts 35 months. In the previous cycle it took 35 months to move from bottom to peak, and in this cycle the 35-month point from the bottom falls in October 2025. Coincidentally, Bitcoin reached its all-time high in October 2025 and has not made a new ATH since.
Because of this timing alignment, Bitcoin may well have already made its top and the crypto market could have entered a bear season.
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$BTC
According to this chart, Bitcoin’s bull season lasts 35 months. In the previous cycle it took 35 months to move from bottom to peak, and in this cycle the 35-month point from the bottom falls in October 2025. Coincidentally, Bitcoin reached its all-time high in October 2025 and has not made a new ATH since.
Because of this timing alignment, Bitcoin may well have already made its top and the crypto market could have entered a bear season.
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$BTC
💥THE TRUTH ABOUT ALTCOIN SEASONS!
If your altcoins underperformed and you’re losing hope, stop and read this carefully. Altcoin season refers to periods when most altcoins gain value against Bitcoin. Since 2014 these seasons have occurred repeatedly, and the two strongest were April 2014 and January 2021.
What triggered those runs? In April 2014 the Mt. Gox collapse and liquidation shattered investor trust and reshaped market structure, ultimately redirecting capital to new projects and exchanges. In January 2021 massive new liquidity into Bitcoin combined with the rise of the DeFi/ETH2 narrative and retail meme hype pushed profits out of BTC into higher-return altcoins.
So why didn’t the third major altcoin season happen yet? Because a common misconception is that altcoin cycles automatically follow Bitcoin. In reality altcoins still depend on Bitcoin; strong BTC performance does not guarantee altcoin gains. Measuring past altcoin seasons shows no consistent timing pattern.
For 2025 we need clear triggers. Possible catalysts include macro liquidity increases or central bank easing that funnel fresh capital into crypto while BTC remains relatively flat, shifting risk capital into altcoins. Alternatively, a major exchange or infrastructure crisis could cause short-term panic but give relative advantage to fundamentally stronger altcoin projects in the medium term.
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#altcoinmarketrecovery $BTC
If your altcoins underperformed and you’re losing hope, stop and read this carefully. Altcoin season refers to periods when most altcoins gain value against Bitcoin. Since 2014 these seasons have occurred repeatedly, and the two strongest were April 2014 and January 2021.
What triggered those runs? In April 2014 the Mt. Gox collapse and liquidation shattered investor trust and reshaped market structure, ultimately redirecting capital to new projects and exchanges. In January 2021 massive new liquidity into Bitcoin combined with the rise of the DeFi/ETH2 narrative and retail meme hype pushed profits out of BTC into higher-return altcoins.
So why didn’t the third major altcoin season happen yet? Because a common misconception is that altcoin cycles automatically follow Bitcoin. In reality altcoins still depend on Bitcoin; strong BTC performance does not guarantee altcoin gains. Measuring past altcoin seasons shows no consistent timing pattern.
For 2025 we need clear triggers. Possible catalysts include macro liquidity increases or central bank easing that funnel fresh capital into crypto while BTC remains relatively flat, shifting risk capital into altcoins. Alternatively, a major exchange or infrastructure crisis could cause short-term panic but give relative advantage to fundamentally stronger altcoin projects in the medium term.
Don’t forget to like this post and leave your thoughts in the comments. Make sure you’re following me so you don’t miss my upcoming posts.
#altcoinmarketrecovery $BTC
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