According to PANews, crypto analyst Willy Woo has expressed optimism about Bitcoin's performance from late January to February, while maintaining a bearish outlook for 2026.
Woo stated that an internal investor capital flow model predicts Bitcoin hit its bottom on December 24 and has been steadily strengthening since. Typically, it takes 2-3 weeks for such trends to reflect in prices, which appears to be happening now, albeit restrained by short-term technical indicators showing overbought conditions. Another positive factor is the recovery of fiat liquidity in the futures market after months of stagnation, similar to mid-2021, which led to the second peak of the previous cycle. Therefore, the resistance level of $98,000 to $100,000 needs to hold. If this resistance is breached, attention should turn to the resistance at the all-time high (ATH).
However, Woo remains bearish for 2026, citing a broader perspective where liquidity relative to price momentum has been weakening since January 2025. Currently, the market is in a hotspot phase lacking sufficient liquidity support for momentum. Woo's outlook would change only if substantial spot (long-term) liquidity enters the market in the coming months, breaking the downward trend. It is noteworthy that a bear market has not yet been confirmed, which would be indicated by sustained outflows of Bitcoin funds, a lagging indicator of a cycle peak.
