š Bitcoin Short Plan
š“ Primary Scenario (High-Probability Setup)
Liquidity Sweep ā Reversal Short
⢠Zone of interest: ~$96,000 (marked red box)
⢠Expect a liquidation hunt / stop run above recent highs
⢠Look for:
⢠Long wicks / rejection at the highs
⢠Bearish displacement on LTF (5mā15m)
⢠Market structure shift (lower high after sweep)
Execution:
⢠Enter short after confirmation, not on first touch
⢠Stop-loss: Above sweep high
⢠Targets:
⢠Previous range low
⢠Untapped liquidity below
⢠VWAP / 200 EMA confluence
š§ Logic: Smart money grabs late longs before distributing.
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š” Alternative Scenario
Trend Breakdown ā Fib Retest Short
⢠If price fails to reach $96k
⢠Wait for:
⢠Breakdown of 1H uptrend swing low
⢠Bearish structure confirmation
⢠Draw Fibonacci from:
⢠Last impulsive low ā high
⢠Look for retrace into:
⢠0.618ā0.705 (Golden Zone)
Execution:
⢠Short on rejection from golden zone
⢠Stop-loss: Above fib high
⢠Targets:
⢠Breakdown low
⢠Range midpoint
⢠Major HTF demand below
š§ Logic: Trend failure + corrective pullback = optimal R:R short.
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ā ļø Invalidation Rules (Very Important)
⢠No short bias if:
⢠1H closes strongly above 96k with volume
⢠Structure continues making higher highs & higher lows
⢠In that case ā stand aside or flip bias
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š§® Risk Management
⢠Risk per trade: ā¤1ā2%
⢠Avoid overtrading both scenarios
⢠Take only one clean setup, not both
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š Final Thought
This is a smart moneyāaligned plan:
⢠Liquidity first
⢠Structure second
⢠Entry last
If you want, I can:
⢠Convert this into a clean Instagram/X post
⢠Add exact entry/SL/TP numbers
⢠Review your chart screenshot and fine-tune levels
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