According to Cointelegraph, the crypto markets are poised for potential growth in 2026, but must overcome three significant hurdles to reach new peaks, as outlined by Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan. Hougan emphasized the importance of the U.S. Senate passing a crucial crypto bill, the CLARITY Act, as one of these checkpoints. He noted that while the year has started positively for crypto, with markets gaining 5.6% since the beginning of the year, there are still obstacles to achieving new all-time highs.
The crypto market experienced a significant downturn on October 10, which resulted in a $19 billion loss in futures positions in a single day. This event caused investor concerns about potential sales from major market makers or hedge funds, which Hougan described as a "heavy fog" over the market, hindering a rally in late 2025. However, the market has shown signs of recovery, shedding over $1.2 trillion following the crash but rebounding in January.
The CLARITY Act, currently progressing through Congress, is a pivotal element for the future of crypto in the U.S. The Senate aims to mark up the bill by January 15, aligning drafts in the Senate Banking and Agriculture committees before pushing it to a vote. Hougan believes that the passage of this act is crucial for establishing core principles into law and providing a foundation for future growth in the crypto sector.
Another critical factor is the stability of the broader equity market. Although crypto is not highly correlated with stocks, a sharp decline in the equity market could negatively impact all risk assets, including crypto, in the short term. Hougan expressed optimism that if these milestones are achieved, the momentum seen at the start of 2026 could continue strongly.
While Hougan did not specifically address U.S. central bank monetary policy, other experts have highlighted its potential impact on crypto markets. Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity, suggested that a combination of fiscal policy and a dovish Federal Reserve could benefit long-term gains. However, the Federal Reserve has indicated no immediate rate cuts ahead of its next meeting on January 28. Nick Ruck, director of LVRG Research, noted that the current environment supports a risk-on sentiment for crypto markets but also underscores the sensitivity to inflation risks and potential policy pauses that could limit digital asset growth. CME futures markets currently show an 89% probability that rates will remain unchanged at the end of the month.
