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REALITY CHECK: THE −37% DROP OF BITCOIN IS NOT A BOTTOM SIGNAL
Bitcoin has already dropped ~37% from its all-time high — and while the pain feels extreme, history shows that this is not the place where bear markets typically end. According to long-term retracement data, this movement is still in the early phase of contraction, not in the final washout.
Look at previous cycles:
• 2011: −93%
• 2013–2015: −85%
• 2017–2018: −84%
• 2021–2022: −75%
Yes, Bitcoin is maturing — and yes, the retracements have become less brutal over time. But they never disappear. Volatility is the entry fee. Statistically, the zone where cycles have really found their base tends to be much deeper.
📌 Most likely bottom range: −60% to −70% from ATH
That doesn’t mean the price has to drop straight there. It means that time, pain, and exhaustion usually come first.$BTC
Markets don’t bottom when fear starts - they bottom when fear is fully accepted.
Is this just another violent downward move… or the slow march towards the zone where the true opportunity forms?
#Bitcoin #Crypto #MarketCycles #cryptovison
REALITY CHECK: THE −37% DROP OF BITCOIN IS NOT A BOTTOM SIGNAL
Bitcoin has already dropped ~37% from its all-time high — and while the pain feels extreme, history shows that this is not the place where bear markets typically end. According to long-term retracement data, this movement is still in the early phase of contraction, not in the final washout.
Look at previous cycles:
• 2011: −93%
• 2013–2015: −85%
• 2017–2018: −84%
• 2021–2022: −75%
Yes, Bitcoin is maturing — and yes, the retracements have become less brutal over time. But they never disappear. Volatility is the entry fee. Statistically, the zone where cycles have really found their base tends to be much deeper.
📌 Most likely bottom range: −60% to −70% from ATH
That doesn’t mean the price has to drop straight there. It means that time, pain, and exhaustion usually come first.$BTC
Markets don’t bottom when fear starts - they bottom when fear is fully accepted.
Is this just another violent downward move… or the slow march towards the zone where the true opportunity forms?
#Bitcoin #Crypto #MarketCycles #cryptovison
I will follow the live broadcast "2025 EOY AMA with @CZ CZ" on Binance Square, let's watch it together!
https://app.generallink.top/uni-qr/cspa/33837306673345?r=M7IIMDXU&l=ar&uc=app_square_share_link&us=copylink
$BNB
#cryptovison
https://app.generallink.top/uni-qr/cspa/33837306673345?r=M7IIMDXU&l=ar&uc=app_square_share_link&us=copylink
$BNB
#cryptovison
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