Crypto_心诚

1.12

US December CPI will be released on January 13 at 21:30;

The US Senate Banking Committee has scheduled the review date for the cryptocurrency market structure bill to January 15

BTC
The market has remained stable over the weekend. The previous strategy we shared has been centered around the 89,000 to 90,000 range. As long as it doesn't break below this level, a rebound is expected. Currently, the price is consolidating within this range, with minor timeframes gradually showing a sideways-upward movement, consistent with our market forecast. At this stage, we should pay attention to whether the daily chart can generate volume to drive a broader market rally. At the same time, we need to monitor whether the hourly chart can sustain an upward consolidation. As long as the price holds above 92,000, it may test a high of 94,500. In summary, as long as 90,900 is not broken today, the market will continue to move upward within a range. Support levels: 90,900–90,000; Resistance levels: 92,000–94,500

ETH
The outlook for Ethereum is similar to Bitcoin. The daily chart is currently in a narrow consolidation phase, and we should monitor whether volume can trigger a market rally. In the short term, there is still room on the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes. Therefore, as long as 3,100 is not broken today, the market will continue to move upward within a range. Support levels: 3,100–3,065; Resistance levels: 3,170–3,280

#美国非农数据低于预期 $BTC $ETH

$BNB
The bottom of the BNB/BTC exchange rate has been very solid, which also determines BNB's steady performance in 2026. The monthly chart has been forming a bottom for over two years, and the MACD will gradually rise above the zero axis, signaling the start of a major rebound.

BNB/USDT
Has consistently remained in the bullish territory. Even when dragged down to around 600 this year along with BTC, it's still a good time to enter, and even if it drops further, it can rebound above 1500.

#bnb #我踏马来了

Starknet $STRK

Number of tokens unlocked this time: 126 million

Unlocked amount this time: approximately $10.41 million

Starknet is a Layer2 solution for Ethereum, utilizing zk-STARKs technology to make Ethereum transactions faster and reduce fees. StarkWare, the parent company of Starknet, was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Israel. Its main products include Starknet and StarkEx. By using STARKs, Starknet verifies transactions and computations without requiring every network node to validate each operation. This significantly reduces computational load and increases the throughput of the blockchain network.

Detailed release schedule as follows:

This week, on January 18, the large-scale unlock of $ONDO will occur, and the 58% unlock volume may crash the secondary market.

Unlock quantity this time: 1.939 billion tokens

Unlock value this time: approximately $780 million

Ondo Finance was founded in 2021, initially focusing on the Laas (liquidity services) sector. However, as the market entered a bear phase, the DeFi market cap and on-chain liquidity declined, causing the project to hit a development bottleneck. Consequently, in January 2023, it transitioned into the RWA sector.

Before the transformation, Ondo Finance issued the ONDO token, which was publicly sold on Coinlist. The tokens were locked for one year after purchase and released monthly thereafter. The token can be used as governance voting power on Flux Finance.

The secondary market performance has been very weak; those holding the asset should consider avoiding exposure.

#RWA $ONDO

Gold has recently seen a rapid rise in price. Is it worth holding or buying gold tokens?
Here's a summary of the pros and cons of the top five gold token projects:

#XAUT #PAXG $PAXG

#Solana涨势分析
$SOL The rise is about to exceed $BTC

SOL/BTC
Looking at the SOL to Bitcoin exchange rate, a double bottom is gradually forming on the weekly chart, consolidating around the previous left shoulder. As long as the exchange rate maintains consolidation and bottoming out here, it could surpass $300 by 2026. A strengthening exchange rate will drive funds into the spot market, making all spot prices below 130 cheap positions.

SOL/USDT
The monthly MACD is returning to the zero line, the weekly chart is consolidating around the previous area of dense holdings near 120, and the daily MACD has already crossed above the signal line, building momentum on smaller timeframes. From all timeframes, it's the right time to enter the spot market in batches. For long-term investors, consider dollar-cost averaging; for short-term traders, focus on buying on pullbacks. Be mindful of the short-term resistance at 143—breaking above it will open up an upward trend.

#加密市场观察

The U.S. Senate Banking Committee has set the review date for the Digital Asset Market Structure Act at January 15, 2026.

The U.S. cryptocurrency legislative landscape has reached a critical turning point, with the Senate Banking Committee officially scheduling the review of the Digital Asset Market Transparency Act (commonly known as the CLARITY Act, or the Digital Market Structure Act) for Thursday, January 15, 2026. Committee Chair Senator Tim Scott, a Republican from South Carolina, announced this decision following a series of intense closed-door meetings in early January. Senator Scott emphasized that, regardless of any challenges, the committee would proceed with formal voting. The Republican leadership views this deadline as a strategic necessity, as they are racing to complete the legislation before the federal government's critical spending deadline on January 30, to avoid a potential new government shutdown. The committee aims to submit the bill to the full Senate for debate during next Thursday's vote, capitalizing on the current administration's proactive support for cryptocurrency.

#加密市场观察 $BTC

BSC Mainnet Fermi hard fork upgrade is expected to activate on January 14, 2026, at 10:30. This upgrade will reduce the block interval from 750 milliseconds to 450 milliseconds, enhancing network throughput and transaction processing efficiency.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics officially announced that the U.S. December Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released at 21:30 Beijing time on January 13, including data such as the year-over-year unadjusted CPI for December, the seasonally adjusted monthly CPI, the seasonally adjusted monthly core CPI, and the year-over-year unadjusted core CPI.

#CPI数据 $BTC

This Week's Federal Reserve Updates:

January 13 (Tuesday) 01:30, speaking by Bostic, President of the Atlanta Fed and 2027 FOMC voter;

January 13 (Tuesday) 01:45, speaking by Barrick, President of the Richmond Fed and 2027 FOMC voter;

January 13 (Tuesday) 07:00, speaking by Williams, President of the New York Fed and permanent FOMC voter;

January 13 (Tuesday) 23:00, speaking by Musalem, President of the St. Louis Fed and 2028 FOMC voter;

January 14 (Wednesday) 05:00, speaking by Barrick, President of the Richmond Fed and 2027 FOMC voter;

January 14 (Wednesday) 22:50, speaking by Paulson, President of the Philadelphia Fed and 2026 FOMC voter, on economic outlook;

January 14 (Wednesday) 23:00, speaking by Milan, Federal Reserve Board member, in Athens;

January 15 (Thursday) 01:00, speaking by Kashkari, President of the Minneapolis Fed and 2026 FOMC voter; speaking by Bostic, President of the Atlanta Fed and 2027 FOMC voter;

January 15 (Thursday) 03:00, Federal Reserve releases the Beige Book on economic conditions;

January 15 (Thursday) 03:10, opening remarks by Williams, President of the New York Fed and permanent FOMC voter, at an event;

January 15 (Thursday) 21:35, speaking by Bostic, President of the Atlanta Fed and 2027 FOMC voter;

January 16 (Friday) 01:40, speaking by Barrick, President of the Richmond Fed and 2027 FOMC voter, on Virginia's economic outlook;

#美联储何时降息？
$BTC
$ETH

#解锁
These altcoins will unlock large amounts this week, including:

①Official Trump ($TRUMP ) will unlock approximately 50 million tokens on January 18 at 8:00 AM (UTC+8), accounting for 11.95% of the circulating supply, valued at approximately $271 million;

②Connex (CONX) will unlock approximately 1.32 million tokens on January 15 at 8:00 AM (UTC+8), accounting for 1.59% of the circulating supply, valued at approximately $20.4 million;

③Arbitrum ($ARB ) will unlock approximately 92.65 million tokens on January 16 at 9:00 PM (UTC+8), accounting for 1.86% of the circulating supply, valued at approximately $19.2 million;

④Cheelee (CHEEL) will unlock approximately 20.81 million tokens on January 13 at 8:00 AM (UTC+8), accounting for 2.78% of the circulating supply, valued at approximately $11.6 million;

⑤deBridge (DBR) will unlock approximately 618 million tokens on January 17 at 8:00 AM (UTC+8), accounting for 14.81% of the circulating supply, valued at approximately $11.6 million;

⑥Starknet ($STRK ) will unlock approximately 127 million tokens on January 15 at 8:00 AM (UTC+8), accounting for 4.83% of the circulating supply, valued at approximately $10.4 million;

⑦SEI (sei) will unlock approximately 55.56 million tokens on January 15 at 8:00 PM (UTC+8), accounting for 1.05% of the circulating supply, valued at approximately $6.7 million;

⑧ZKsync (ZK) will unlock approximately 173 million tokens on January 17 at 4:00 PM (UTC+8), accounting for 3.16% of the circulating supply, valued at approximately $5.9 million.

#BinanceListingsBinanceLife

1.10

The latest non-farm data released yesterday showed the unemployment rate dropping from last month's 4.5% to 4.4%, which is a slight positive for the economy, but also reduces the expected number of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026. Of course, this does not take into account Trump and the new Federal Reserve Chair.

Then, the number of employed people decreased from 56,000 last month to 50,000, falling short of the expected 60,000, which is slightly bearish, but not a major issue. After the Federal Reserve Chair change in 2026, the market has not yet priced in the shift, and the coordination within the Fed remains to be seen. The June monetary policy meeting may be the most important one this year. However, the market already expects only two rate cuts by the Fed in 2026, so today's data is not bearish; on the contrary, it adds to the strength of the U.S. economy.

Additionally, the main event today was supposed to be the Supreme Court's ruling on Trump's tariffs, but it has been postponed to January 14th. It is highly likely that the Supreme Court will not support Trump's tariffs, but the Trump team has already prepared a backup plan. Overall, the market remains relatively normal.

BTC
These past days, our guidance has been focused on whether the 90,000 level can be broken. The market has followed our expectations, continuously oscillating above 90,000. At this point, we need to pay attention to the daily and hourly charts. The hourly chart is gradually forming a bottom at this level. As long as 90,000 is not broken, we still expect a small upward rebound. Meanwhile, on the daily chart, the fast and slow lines must not cross below the zero line to sustain the trend. Support: 90,000–88,500; Resistance: 92,500–94,300

ETH
Ethereum continues to follow Bitcoin. At the current level, on the daily chart, we should monitor the 3,050 level. As long as this level is not broken, it will likely move higher again. For intraday trading, if 3,050 is not broken, watch for a rebound on the hourly chart. Support: 3,050–3,000; Resistance: 3,160–3,290

#ETH巨鲸动向 #Solana涨势分析 #美国非农数据低于预期 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH

Four token unlocks account for nearly $2 billion of January's total issuance. The four largest token unlocks this month are Ondo, Bitget Token, Hyperliquid, and Official Trump.

These four unlocks will collectively introduce approximately $1.94 billion in new token supply, accounting for about 35% of January's total $5.5 billion unlock volume.

$ONDO will unlock 1.9 billion tokens on January 19, valued at over $840 million at current market prices. Data from Tokenomist shows these tokens are released to the founding team, members, community, and private investors.

BGB will unlock 140 million tokens on January 26, with a total value approaching $500 million. Of these, 80 million are allocated to the team, and the remaining 60 million are for brand and marketing initiatives.

$HYPE Hyperliquid will unlock 12.4 million tokens for core contributors this Tuesday, valued at $327 million, making it the most recent major unlock this month and the third-largest release of the month. As of this article's publication, HYPE is trading at $26.41, up 5.7% over the past 24 hours.

$TRUMP The official memecoin of U.S. President Trump will unlock 50 million tokens for founders and team members on January 18, valued at $270 million.

#美国非农数据低于预期

#币安上线币安人生

From the perspective of Binance ecosystem development: Binance Life listing helps enhance the activity and market position of the BNB Chain. The success of Binance Life has triggered a wave of Chinese Meme coins on the BNB Chain, creating a sector effect that drives growth in DEX trading volume on the BNB Chain, bringing substantial gas fees revenue and user engagement. It has also attracted attention from funds and users originally from other ecosystems, complementing long-term initiatives such as the BNB Ecosystem Development Fund, collectively promoting the prosperity of the ecosystem.

$BNB $BTC

#美国贸易逆差

The U.S. trade deficit is a complex economic phenomenon, resulting from the combined influence of various factors, and has had significant impacts on both the United States and the global economy:

① Impact on the United States: On the positive side, the trade deficit has significantly reduced living costs for residents, allowing American consumers to enjoy low-priced goods. Meanwhile, the trade deficit has served as a major channel for the U.S. to absorb global capital, lowering financing costs and supporting economic expansion, while also enabling the U.S. to focus on high-value-added segments and capture global profits. On the negative side, long-term reliance on imports has accelerated the hollowing out of U.S. manufacturing, leading to the decline of 'Rust Belt' regions, disruptions in industrial chains, and a decline in innovation capabilities. Additionally, the trade deficit and fiscal deficit are mutually reinforcing, exacerbating macroeconomic imbalances, and worsening income inequality.
② Global impact: For U.S. trading partners, the U.S. trade deficit has meant significant development of their export industries, promoting employment and economic growth. However, it may also lead to excessive dependence on the U.S. market, making these countries vulnerable to economic shocks if U.S. trade policies change. From the perspective of the global economic structure, the U.S. trade deficit has, to some extent, affected the stability of the international monetary system. To offset the deficit, the U.S. needs to issue large amounts of Treasury bonds, which could trigger volatility in global financial markets.
③ Response measures: The U.S. government has previously adopted measures such as imposing tariffs in an attempt to reduce the trade deficit. For example, the Trump administration implemented an 'equal tariff' policy in 2025, aiming to shrink the trade deficit by increasing import costs and reducing import volumes. However, such measures often have limited effectiveness and may trigger trade retaliation, disrupt global supply chains, and increase economic uncertainty.

Overall, the U.S. trade deficit is the result of the interplay of three factors—'currency privilege, industrial division of labor, and policy choices'—under the dominance of the U.S. dollar, exhibiting deep-seated institutional and structural characteristics. Relying solely on unilateral measures like tariffs cannot fundamentally solve the issue. A comprehensive approach considering various factors—such as adjusting domestic economic structures and improving global trade rules—is needed to achieve trade balance and sustainable economic development.

$BTC

#Solana涨势分析

After SOL ETF approval, SOL did not rise as expected but instead experienced a significant pullback, becoming the worst-performing project among the top three. MEME activity within the SOL ecosystem has already started to show signs of movement, which is favorable for SOL.

Based on the trend of $BTC $ETH , $SOL just needs one positive development

Break above 300 to reach 1000

#Solana涨势分析

The U.S. Supreme Court will rule on the legality of Trump's tariffs.

If found unconstitutional, it could trigger refunds of over $100 billion in import duties, injecting new funds into the market, while lower tariffs may ease inflationary pressures and reduce corporate costs. However, it could also widen the deficit, forcing the Federal Reserve to continue printing money, which would be bullish for BTC and gold.
60% probability that an unconstitutional ruling would bring positive effects

#美国贸易逆差 #ETH巨鲸动向 #美联储降息预期升温 $BTC $ETH