AIphaz
CDAA Level I 香港首批持证数字资产分析师，软件开发者 / 个人量化交易者专注低频、规则化的数字资产量化交易系统设计，强调风险控制、回撤管理与长期稳定性。坚持长期投资主义，只做可复现的交易逻辑。
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📉 Crypto Market Weekly Report:
1️⃣ Institutional Cost Line: MicroStrategy Holding Is Underwater
MicroStrategy Average Holding Cost Approximately $76,000
Current $BTC Market Price Approximately $69,000
2️⃣ Valuation Range: Rainbow Model Is In The Undervalued Zone
Data Status
BTC Currently Located At The Bottom Area Of The Rainbow Model (Fire Sale Zone).
This Model Is Based On Long-Term Logarithmic Regression Trends, Current Price Deviates From The Lower Band Of Historical Trend.
3️⃣ ETF Fund Flow: Outflow Slows, Single Day Net Inflow Appears
February 13 ETF Net Inflow Approximately +$25.3 Million
BTC: +$15 Million
ETH: +$10 Million
4️⃣ Sentiment Indicator: Extreme Fear
Fear Index: 13 (Extreme Fear) Has Recovered Compared To Last Week
MicroStrategy Average Holding Cost Approximately $76,000
Current $BTC Market Price Approximately $69,000
2️⃣ Valuation Range: Rainbow Model Is In The Undervalued Zone
Data Status
BTC Currently Located At The Bottom Area Of The Rainbow Model (Fire Sale Zone).
This Model Is Based On Long-Term Logarithmic Regression Trends, Current Price Deviates From The Lower Band Of Historical Trend.
3️⃣ ETF Fund Flow: Outflow Slows, Single Day Net Inflow Appears
February 13 ETF Net Inflow Approximately +$25.3 Million
BTC: +$15 Million
ETH: +$10 Million
4️⃣ Sentiment Indicator: Extreme Fear
Fear Index: 13 (Extreme Fear) Has Recovered Compared To Last Week
Saturday Report: The 'golden pit' signal under extreme panic?
🚨Smart money is buying, retail investors are panicking
Data Date: February 6, 2026 | Core Signal: Institutions buying the dip against the market
1. Capital Situation: Institutions are aggressively buying the dip (ETF data, the most important signal) 🔥
Current Status: Daily net inflow +$312 million, achieving a strong reversal.
Details:
$BTC Crazy Buying: Bitcoin ETF attracted +$330 million inflow (BlackRock IBIT leading).
Altcoin Differentiation: $ETH (-$21.3 million) and $SOL (-$11.9 million) were sold off, but XRP saw buying (+$15.16 million).
Interpretation: Although there was an overall outflow over the past 5 days, there was a sudden large inflow of funds back into BTC on the latest day. Institutions are taking advantage of the current 'low prices' to accumulate, which is a typical right-side buying signal.
Data Date: February 6, 2026 | Core Signal: Institutions buying the dip against the market
1. Capital Situation: Institutions are aggressively buying the dip (ETF data, the most important signal) 🔥
Current Status: Daily net inflow +$312 million, achieving a strong reversal.
Details:
$BTC Crazy Buying: Bitcoin ETF attracted +$330 million inflow (BlackRock IBIT leading).
Altcoin Differentiation: $ETH (-$21.3 million) and $SOL (-$11.9 million) were sold off, but XRP saw buying (+$15.16 million).
Interpretation: Although there was an overall outflow over the past 5 days, there was a sudden large inflow of funds back into BTC on the latest day. Institutions are taking advantage of the current 'low prices' to accumulate, which is a typical right-side buying signal.
#BTC何时反弹？
A graphical interpretation of $eth historical trends
A graphical interpretation of $eth historical trends
History is always surprisingly similar$ETH is a bit closer to history again🤏？
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
🧭 Emotional Report｜Plunging into Extreme Fear
CMC Fear and Greed Index dropped to 15 (Extreme Fear), sentiment rapidly deteriorating, and risk appetite significantly contracting.
📌 Meaning: The market enters a "defensive zone", but mid-term opportunities often gradually emerge in extreme fear. Buffett's theory…
CMC Fear and Greed Index dropped to 15 (Extreme Fear), sentiment rapidly deteriorating, and risk appetite significantly contracting.
📌 Meaning: The market enters a "defensive zone", but mid-term opportunities often gradually emerge in extreme fear. Buffett's theory…
Historical Reenactment? Just astonishingly similar? What do you all say? $ETH
History is always surprisingly similar, don't you think? $ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(BNBUSDT)
{future}(SOLUSDT)
{future}(ETHUSDT)
{future}(BNBUSDT)
{future}(SOLUSDT)
🧭 Emotion Indicator Interpretation｜Fear is Rising, Pay Attention to Risk Management
CMC Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 28 (Fear Zone), the mood has clearly turned cold, but it has not yet entered extreme panic.
Buffett's Theory: When others are fearful...
CMC Fear and Greed Index has dropped to 28 (Fear Zone), the mood has clearly turned cold, but it has not yet entered extreme panic.
Buffett's Theory: When others are fearful...
🧭 Stablecoin Data｜Tonight, let's understand what is happening in the liquidity market?
One-sentence conclusion (first, the direction)
The total market value of stablecoins has started to decline, with funds being passively or actively destroyed, and the trend of stablecoins is increasingly resembling the continuous outflow seen at the beginning of the previous bear cycle. 😂
Now not only is USDC dropping, but USDT has also started to fall. Isn't everyone buying interest-bearing coins to prepare for winter? This time, everyone is running to buy real gold and silver instead?
Now it seems that safe-haven assets are even higher than risk assets. 😂
One-sentence conclusion (first, the direction)
The total market value of stablecoins has started to decline, with funds being passively or actively destroyed, and the trend of stablecoins is increasingly resembling the continuous outflow seen at the beginning of the previous bear cycle. 😂
Now not only is USDC dropping, but USDT has also started to fall. Isn't everyone buying interest-bearing coins to prepare for winter? This time, everyone is running to buy real gold and silver instead?
Now it seems that safe-haven assets are even higher than risk assets. 😂
📊 Insights: According to CryptoQuant, the long-term supply of Bitcoin will reach an all-time high in 2024-2025, marking a shift in ownership from early holders to new holders. $BTC
$SOL
$XRP
$SOL
$XRP
Hello! Everyone, I am the first batch of CDAA compliant certificate holders in Hong Kong and also a Uweb student: Liang Zebo AiphaZ Liang
Today I will share with you the most concerning altcoin season!
📊 The altcoin season index is rising
Current status:
Altcoin season index: 30 / 100
Still in: Bitcoin Season
But - the index is (slowly rising from a low point)
---
🔍 Let’s talk about three important things
**① The index is recovering from a low point, not falling from a high point**
* Last month’s lowest was close to **12–17**
* Now back to **30**
👉 This is not an altcoin peak
👉 But rather **altcoins beginning to “stop the decline and recover”**
---
**② Bitcoin is still the main line, but funds are starting to test altcoins**
Index < 50 = BTC still outperforms most altcoins
But the upward index indicates:
* More and more altcoins **are starting to outperform BTC**
* Risk appetite is **slowly recovering**
---
**③ This is not a “full altcoin season,” but a “prelude period”**
The current index position means:
* ❌ Not buying altcoins with your eyes closed
* ❌ Not a main upward wave
* ✅ There are **structural opportunities beginning to appear**
Typical characteristics are:
* A few strong altcoins move first
* Fast rotation
* Significant differentiation
---
## 🧠 Summary in one sentence
> **The altcoin season index is rising from a low point,
> indicating that funds are starting to test the risk side.
> Now is the stage of “selecting coins,”
> not the stage of “random buying.”**
Please pay attention to 👀 the altcoins you like or are optimistic about
Today I will share with you the most concerning altcoin season!
📊 The altcoin season index is rising
Current status:
Altcoin season index: 30 / 100
Still in: Bitcoin Season
But - the index is (slowly rising from a low point)
---
🔍 Let’s talk about three important things
**① The index is recovering from a low point, not falling from a high point**
* Last month’s lowest was close to **12–17**
* Now back to **30**
👉 This is not an altcoin peak
👉 But rather **altcoins beginning to “stop the decline and recover”**
---
**② Bitcoin is still the main line, but funds are starting to test altcoins**
Index < 50 = BTC still outperforms most altcoins
But the upward index indicates:
* More and more altcoins **are starting to outperform BTC**
* Risk appetite is **slowly recovering**
---
**③ This is not a “full altcoin season,” but a “prelude period”**
The current index position means:
* ❌ Not buying altcoins with your eyes closed
* ❌ Not a main upward wave
* ✅ There are **structural opportunities beginning to appear**
Typical characteristics are:
* A few strong altcoins move first
* Fast rotation
* Significant differentiation
---
## 🧠 Summary in one sentence
> **The altcoin season index is rising from a low point,
> indicating that funds are starting to test the risk side.
> Now is the stage of “selecting coins,”
> not the stage of “random buying.”**
Please pay attention to 👀 the altcoins you like or are optimistic about
🚨 The sell-off storm sweeps the market! Cryptocurrency ETF outflows exceed $700 million in a single day on the 20th! 🚨
🔥 Hot news: Institutions are fleeing! Daily outflows hit a record high!
**Breaking News! 😱
Daily net outflows reached **$709.7 million**! What are institutions doing?
Bitcoin $BTC ETF outflow **$480 million**,
Ethereum $ETH ETF outflow **$230 million**.
Both major cryptocurrencies are under pressure, and market panic is at an all-time high! 🤯
## 📊 Market Overview: Alarm sounded! Huge short-term selling pressure!
Market sentiment has shifted from euphoria to pessimism.
$710 million in capital outflows directly indicates significant downward pressure in the short term.
📈 Technical Analysis: Capital flow reversal, beware of risks!
The capital flow histogram shows that the outflow volume is one of the largest single-day outflows in recent times.
This marks a drastic reversal in capital flows, with strong selling pressure.
Although last week still had a cumulative **+$883.8 million** net inflow, this single-day outflow has swallowed most of the short-term gains. The “support” from the capital front may be crumbling! 📉
---
## ⚠️ Risk Warning:
Market volatility is severe, and cryptocurrency investment risks are extremely high, please be sure to control your positions and make independent judgments!
——————————
📢 Follow for more real-time analysis
#BinanceSquare #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptocurrencyTrading
🔥 Hot news: Institutions are fleeing! Daily outflows hit a record high!
**Breaking News! 😱
Daily net outflows reached **$709.7 million**! What are institutions doing?
Bitcoin $BTC ETF outflow **$480 million**,
Ethereum $ETH ETF outflow **$230 million**.
Both major cryptocurrencies are under pressure, and market panic is at an all-time high! 🤯
## 📊 Market Overview: Alarm sounded! Huge short-term selling pressure!
Market sentiment has shifted from euphoria to pessimism.
$710 million in capital outflows directly indicates significant downward pressure in the short term.
📈 Technical Analysis: Capital flow reversal, beware of risks!
The capital flow histogram shows that the outflow volume is one of the largest single-day outflows in recent times.
This marks a drastic reversal in capital flows, with strong selling pressure.
Although last week still had a cumulative **+$883.8 million** net inflow, this single-day outflow has swallowed most of the short-term gains. The “support” from the capital front may be crumbling! 📉
---
## ⚠️ Risk Warning:
Market volatility is severe, and cryptocurrency investment risks are extremely high, please be sure to control your positions and make independent judgments!
——————————
📢 Follow for more real-time analysis
#BinanceSquare #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptocurrencyTrading
GM ☝️ family — BIG ANNOUNCEMENT! Watch what our co‑founder @DonaldJTrumpJr has to say about the World Liberty Forum.$WLFI #wlfi
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