挖矿的小羊

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币安Alpha讨论

$BTC $ETH $BNB #币安HODLer空投C #山寨币突破 #ETH突破3600

$ZEC Today fell from $435 to $406, a drop of 6.7%.

MACD has already crossed down, and RSI is hovering in the overbought zone. Such technical indicators make the problems obvious even to beginners. Yet, some people are still going all-in at this level.

More interestingly, while whales are aggressively accumulating, their holdings have increased tenfold, regulatory crackdowns are tightening—Dubai has outright banned privacy coins. This contrast is like someone at the poker table signaling you to fold, while another is tempting you to call.

I've seen this scenario countless times before. In 2021, it was the same—technical indicators were all green, big influencers were shouting that privacy coins were about to soar. What happened? Retail investors who followed got burned, losing everything.

Now the community is buzzing again with talk of ZEC reaching $700–$1000 by 2026. Sounds great, right? But I ask you—why? Just because the ECC core team left due to governance disputes is considered a positive development?

The support level at $375–$380 is crucial. If it holds, there might still be hope. If it breaks, the story changes completely. I've seen many people buying at $420, catching the falling knife—most are now trapped.

ZEC is currently in a downtrend. Any rebound could be a trap.

Trump's move against the Venezuelan president has sparked an interesting market reaction. A quick recovery after the initial shock indicates that capital still wants to move upward. Such a significant geopolitical event couldn't suppress the market, which indeed suggests the main players are still aiming to push prices higher.

$BTC Bitcoin and Ethereum are the core holdings, Doge $DOGE and Pepe are the leading meme coins, and $SUI is relatively stable among new blockchains. Low-leverage long positions are indeed safer; in this choppy market, high leverage is essentially throwing money away.

A sharp drop would actually present an opportunity. Keep a close eye on the 13th and the end of the month—these time windows often bring significant moves.

Right now, the market tests your mindset the most. You might say you're not greedy, but when the price actually starts rising, can you really resist adding more? That's the real challenge. After all, human nature is such that when prices rise, we always think they can go even higher.

Now, $BTC is indeed not a bear market, nor is it a bull market—it's just a "dead time" of consolidation. It's like a basketball game where the outcome has already been decided, but the clock hasn't run out yet, and everyone is just going through the motions.

High-net-worth investors are still increasing their holdings, while small retail investors chase gains or panic-sell at the slightest fluctuation. This divergence is actually quite normal. It's similar to how institutions are accumulating positions in the stock market, while retail investors are doing day trading—essentially reflecting different understandings of the time dimension.

Everyone is watching and waiting, and no one dares to go all-in on a direction. This kind of calm is often a prelude to a breakout, but which direction it will take ultimately depends on the Federal Reserve's mood.

The situation in Venezuela will eventually come back to U.S. inflation and monetary policy. If the expectation of rate cuts doesn't change substantially, BTC's consolidation may continue for some time.

Right now, patience matters more than capital—those who rush to buy the bottom are easily shaken out.

Bro, I'm off to Alpha first. There's no such thing as a forever gathering—the feast has reached its final moment. The delicacies and fine dishes have long been consumed, leaving only leftovers and a scene of chaos.

The wise have already eaten their fill and quietly left. You, slow to realize, still refuse to depart, banging your chopsticks against the bowl, hoping for another sumptuous main course. But in the end, you're handed the hefty bill. Someone always has to pay for the feast, and this time, it's you. $CAI

The meme profit effect of BSC attracts retail investors, who bring liquidity, pushing prices higher. But the real players have already offloaded at high prices.

It's always the same script: retail investors enter only after seeing others make money, then they open leverage, hoping for quick riches. The smartest part of the market is making you buy at the peak and sell at the bottom.

What's called "weakening momentum" is actually smart money pulling out, leaving behind a group of leveraged gamblers trampling each other. This cyclical harvesting is basically an iron law of financial markets, whether in stocks or the crypto space.

True veterans know: when your mom starts asking you how to buy $我踏马来了 , it's time to run.

In 2018, 99% of the projects that loudly claimed 'blockchain will change the world' died on the beach.
But one project quietly survived for 6 years.

While others were hyping concepts, DUSK obtained licenses in the Netherlands. While others were drawing grand plans, DUSK secured 300 million euros in real money with the licensed exchange NPEX.

What you think is still in PowerPoint, DUSK has already queued up its RWA on the blockchain.

DuskTrade will launch next year. This is not just another DEX—it's the first truly compliant on-chain securities trading platform. What does this mean? Traditional finance can finally stop pretending and enter the market openly.

January: DuskEVM mainnet launch. EVM compatibility means all applications on Ethereum can seamlessly migrate over. But here, there's privacy protection and compliance auditing.

DUSK technical analysis: 7-day moving average crossing above 25-day and 99-day lines, MACD histogram expanding positively, RSI reaching 73.38. What's the signal? Money is already flowing in.

Six years of refinement, all leading to this moment.

While everyone is still debating whether RWA is a fake demand, DUSK has already delivered.
#Dusk @Dusk $DUSK #dusk

From my observation, at this level, $BTC more often undergoes a period of consolidation before choosing a direction, rather than a direct stabilization and rebound. It's like driving through a curve—you need to slow down, probe the path, and only then dare to accelerate once you're confident.

Secondly, regarding Fibonacci retracement, I generally pay more attention to the 61.8% level, around 90k. This is indeed a key support level, but the market sometimes deliberately breaks through these 'textbook-level' supports to wash out weak hands before reversing. Therefore, the 88k level might actually be safer.

There's also a detail: the 200-day MA is at 80k, which is indeed a solid support concept. However, there's still a 10% gap to reach it, and for BTC, 10% is essentially just two large bearish candles. So we can't rely too heavily on this psychological comfort.

Personally, I tend to believe that next week is more likely to see continued consolidation, with the real directional choice possibly waiting until the end of the month or early next month. After all, overall market liquidity remains tight, with no clear signs of new capital inflows.

The real pros have already been quietly making big money with LISTA.
Here's how they do it:
Using 100,000 BTCB as collateral, they borrow USD1 with an annual interest rate of only 1%. Then they put the borrowed USD1 into Binance Wealth Management, earning an annual return of 20%.
Net profit: 19%.
What does this mean?

With a principal of 100,000, theoretically earning 19,000 in a year, with almost zero risk.
Even more impressive, savvy whales are playing the "double fish" strategy:
抵押ing USDe staking tokens to borrow USD1. They earn returns from USDe while also getting the 20% return on the borrowed USD1. The dual returns stack, easily pushing annual yields above 30%.

Meanwhile, retail investors still obsess over whether LISTA went up a few points today.
Their mindset is simply on a completely different level.
Lista DAO's TVL peaked at $4.3 billion, and the veLISTA governance mining annual yield of 38% is no exaggeration.

The opportunity is right in front of everyone, yet 90% of people choose to ignore it.

Stop staring at the K-line charts. Study how Lista DAO can make your assets work for you.
The true wealth code is never in price—it's in understanding.

@ListaDAO #USD1理财最佳策略ListaDAO $LISTA

If Alpha can't continue operations, just close it early. It's definitely a reverse suck-up.

What kind of people are these? They come in and start pouring abuse🤬🤬🤬

A friend asked me yesterday what WAL is, and it looks like a storage project.

I said, you're mistaken.

This is not just simple storage; it's the most underestimated sector in Web3.

What WAL does on Sui is truly decentralize data. Using erasure coding, it splits a file into N parts and distributes them across global nodes. Even if half the nodes go offline, the data remains intact.

The key is cost.

Traditional cloud storage costs hundreds of dollars per year for 1TB. WAL's decentralized storage reduces costs to one-tenth.

Now everyone is hyped about AI and RWA, but they're overlooking a fact: without decentralized storage, these concepts are all empty promises.

AI models need storage, RWA assets need storage, and Web3 applications' data needs storage even more.

WAL isn't in the storage business; it's in the infrastructure business for Web3.

WAL's market cap is still small, but when Web3 truly takes off, you'll realize that data storage is actually the biggest business.

#Walrus @Walrus 🦭/acc $WAL #walrus

Trump's recent series of moves over the weekend actually fit his usual style: first making tough statements to test the waters, then shifting attention elsewhere when criticized.

The idea of lowering credit card interest rates to 10% is essentially a political show. If truly implemented, it would cause chaos in the banking industry, so he quickly turned his focus to Iran. Venezuela hasn't been fully resolved yet, and now a new front is being opened. It feels like he's playing a big strategic game.

However, from a trading perspective, this political noise has limited impact on $BTC . The 90k level does have strong attraction, but I believe it's more of a technical equilibrium point rather than being driven by these political messages.

Low turnover indicates that major players are still waiting and watching. Short-term investors' turnover is actually beneficial, as it helps clean out speculative positions. If the shareholding structure remains healthy, this consolidation phase may continue for some time, but at least the overall direction is correct.

Market reaction on Monday is unlikely to be intense unless Trump takes any substantive actions; otherwise, it will just continue grinding within this range.

16:00 PM 40 CAI tokens airdrop.
252 Binance Alpha points, first come, first served, automatically reduced by 5 points every five minutes.

$LINK as the leader in the oracle sector, the ETF approval signifies an increasing recognition of Web3 infrastructure by traditional finance, moving beyond viewing cryptocurrencies solely as speculative assets.

However, from a trading perspective, positive news often follows the classic pattern of 'good news is bad news'—just like the price movements before and after the approval of $ETH ETF, where aggressive gains during the speculation phase were followed by a potential peak upon actual implementation.

More importantly, we should focus on the LINK/BTC exchange rate performance—if it merely follows the overall market, the impact is limited. True alpha should be reflected in outperformance relative to $BTC .

Market sensitivity to such ETF announcements is actually decreasing, given the precedents set by BTC and ETH, where the marginal effect is weakening.

I will pay closer attention to the ripple effects on the entire DeFi infrastructure sector and the sustainability of subsequent capital inflows.

If X really implements in-app transactions, the potential for traffic entry points is significantly larger than that of ETFs.

ETFs are more like traditional financial institutions "opening the floodgates," but users still need to open accounts with brokers and go through the process—barriers and procedures remain. In contrast, X enables trading directly within the app, much like how Alipay evolved from a transfer tool into a financial entry point, resulting in much higher user stickiness and conversion rates.

However, the key lies in execution—how to pass regulatory scrutiny and whether the user experience can be made truly seamless. If the trading feature is simply bolted on in a crude way, the impact may be limited.

But if it integrates social elements—such as one-click buying after seeing a KOL's coin analysis or real-time sharing of portfolio gains within a group—this could indeed change many people's trading habits.

What the current crypto market really lacks isn't money, but a sufficiently simple on-ramp. If X gets this right, its impact could be far greater than we imagine. $BTC

Powell's statement this time that there will be no rate cut in January is essentially consistent with my previous judgment.

From a technical perspective, the recent trend of U.S. Treasury yields has already priced in this expectation. The 10-year Treasury yield has been hovering around 4.5%, with the market having already digested the possibility of "no rate cut".

It's like driving—you slow down when you see a red light ahead, rather than slamming the brakes when the light turns red. Smart money started adjusting their positions weeks ago.

For crypto$BTC , there might be short-term volatility, but I believe the impact is limited. Right now, BTC is more following its own rhythm, especially with the ETF inflow logic still intact; macro factors are just short-term noise.

On the contrary, when bad news is fully priced in, it often presents a better opportunity to build positions. After all, expectations management matters more than actual outcomes. Now that the uncertainty has been resolved, we have one less unknown.

Looking at the capital flow, this wave indeed seems to be following the "slowly cooling down" path seen in 2018. Although the traditional finance ETF $BTC is still sucking up funds, retail investors' FOMO sentiment has largely disappeared.

From my observation, if there's no substantial market movement before year-end, the first half of next year might actually be a good window for bottom-fishing. After all, a key characteristic of the end of a bear market is when everyone starts saying "wait a few more years," which often means the turning point is near.

Of course, the prerequisite is surviving until then. Right now, the most important thing is controlling position size—don't go all-in.

From the perspective of correlation, the beta coefficient of $BTC with U.S. stocks is indeed not fixed, and decoupling often occurs in the later stages of a bull market. Recall the second half of 2021, when the Nasdaq was still setting new highs, BTC had already entered a period of sideways consolidation. In the end, everyone knows who crashed first.

I believe we should pay more attention to the fact that if we wait until the U.S. stocks show a clear decline before buying BTC, the tightening of liquidity might be more severe than expected.

After all, at this stage, BTC not rising might just reflect capital rotation, but when it actually drops, it's often indiscriminate selling.