KaiZXBT

BITCOIN’S 4-YEAR CYCLE ISN’T DEAD — IT’S PLAYING OUT EXACTLY ON TIME.

Zoom out, ignore the noise, and look at the roadmap Bitcoin has followed for over a decade.

The long-term chart gives one of the cleanest signals in crypto:

Cycle Peak Timing:

→ 2012

→ 2017

→ 2021

→ 2025 loading…

Every top has landed roughly 1,420–1,450 days apart — almost like clockwork.

And after every peak, one brutal truth repeats:

2012 top → -79% crash

2017 top → -81% crash

2021 top → -75% crash

Same structure. Same timing. Same macro psychology.

So when people say “This time is different,” the chart says:

No — this time is the same. And the next major peak is lining up for 2025.

If history repeats, we’re entering the final acceleration phase.

Stay focused. Stay strategic.

The real move hasn’t even started yet.

#CYCLE

$XRP Technical Analysis

Bulls are trying to keep XRP price above the moving averages, however selling pressure remains high

If the price falls below the moving averages, the XRP/USDT pair could continue moving within a descending channel pattern. The $1.61 level is a key support zone to watch. A break and close below this level would increase the risk of a sharp decline to the October 10th low of $1.25.

To signal a short-term trend reversal, bulls need to push the XRP price above the descending trend line. This could lead to a strong surge to $2.70, and then to $3.10.

$ETH Technical Analysis

Ether (ETH) has bounced back from the 20-day EMA ($3,088), indicating that the bulls are attempting to regain control.

If the closing price is above the resistance line, the advantage will shift to the buyers. In that case, the ETH/USDT pair could rise to $3,569, and further to the psychological $4,000 mark.

Conversely, if the price reverses from the resistance line and breaks through the moving averages, ETH is likely to continue fluctuating within the triangle pattern for a few more days. Bears will prevail if the price breaks through the support line, causing ETH to fall sharply to $2,623.

$BTC Technical Analysis

The correction in BTC from the $94,789 resistance zone has found support at the moving averages, indicating that buying pressure emerged during the price decline.

The bulls will seek to consolidate their position by pushing the price of Bitcoin above $94,789. If successful, the BTC/USDT pair could surge to $100,000, then to $107,500. This development would indicate that the correction phase may have ended.

Conversely, if the price reverses and falls from $94,789 and breaks through the moving averages, it would suggest that the bears are still actively trading at higher price levels. In that case, BTC could continue to trade sideways in the $84,000 – $94,789 range.

$XMR Analysis : Monero Heads Towards $500

Monero recorded a slight increase of approximately 1% at the time of writing on Friday, continuing its 3% gain from the previous session. This privacy-focused coin is maintaining a steady recovery trend, amidst Zcash's governance uncertainties, which is temporarily helping Monero expand its market share.

Technically, the area around the psychological $500 mark — coinciding with the peak set on December 20th at $498 and the R1 Pivot point at $501 — is emerging as a key short-term resistance zone.

The RSI indicator is currently at 59, above the neutral threshold, indicating that buying pressure is dominant and there is still room for further price increases. Simultaneously, the MACD continues to rise and is approaching the signal line, reflecting a clear weakening of bearish momentum. A MACD crossing above the signal line would confirm the return of an uptrend and trigger a buy signal.

In a negative scenario, if Monero loses the $450 support level, the price could reverse to test the 50-day EMA around $418.

Chiliz Whales (CHZ) are accumulating strongly – Will a sharp rally follow?

During the 2022 World Cup, the simultaneous launch of official Fan Tokens and NFTs significantly expanded the Chiliz ecosystem and provided substantial impetus to the value of CHZ. Entering a new phase, this specialized sports blockchain is gradually regaining its growth momentum as the FIFA World Cup 2026 is expected to return to the US in June. This global event is anticipated to spark interest and increase participation from US investors in the Chiliz ecosystem in the near future.

From an on-chain data perspective, "whales" continue to quietly accumulate CHZ, despite the token's 48% drop over the past year – marking its fourth consecutive year of decline. Specifically, the group of investors holding between 100 million and 1 billion CHZ has increased their holdings to 5.23% of the total on-chain supply, a significant increase from the 3.84% recorded on January 1st. Meanwhile, the group holding over 1 billion CHZ maintains a stable holding at 65.12% – a quiet but positive sign indicating continued long-term confidence.

Ethereum 2025: DeFi surpasses $99 billion, L2 fees below $0.01, ecosystem experiencing strong growth.

Ethereum has just officially released its 2025 ecosystem summary report, highlighting several important milestones. The total value locked (TVL) in Ethereum's DeFi has surpassed $99 billion, reflecting continued strong demand and liquidity growth. Stablecoin payment volume reached $18.8 trillion, reinforcing Ethereum's central role in the on-chain financial infrastructure.

Notably, transaction fees on Layer 2 networks have fallen below $0.01, while the average throughput of Rollups has exceeded 5,600 TPS for the first time, demonstrating significantly improved scalability. ETFs and strategic reserves now hold over $35 billion worth of ETH. The on-chain real asset sector (RWA) has also recorded a total issuance value exceeding $12 billion.

To date, Ethereum has deployed over 88 million smart contracts, peaking at 1.74 million transactions per day and maintaining approximately 32,000 active developers.

$BTC Technical Analysis

Bitcoin closed above the 50-day SMA at $89,231 on Friday and continued to rise toward the upper resistance zone at $94,589.

Moving averages are approaching a bullish crossover, while the RSI is in positive territory, indicating that bulls are in control. If buyers break above $94,589, Bitcoin could surge to the psychological $100,000 mark and potentially even $107,500.

Conversely, if the price reverses sharply from the resistance zone and breaks below the moving averages, the BTC/USDT pair could continue to fluctuate within the $84,000 – $94,589 range for some time.

$WIF Dogwifat halts breakout at $0.40

Dogwifat (WIF) is trading firmly above $0.40 at the time of writing on Monday, marking a four-session winning streak with an impressive recovery of nearly 50%. On Sunday alone, this meme coin surged 20%, not only surpassing the 50-day EMA at $0.377 but also breaking through the resistance trendline formed from the peaks of October 13th and 27th — a technical signal confirming the trend.

If the upward momentum continues, WIF could potentially extend its gains towards the $0.472 region, corresponding to the key low established on October 17th.

In terms of indicators, the MACD still maintains a buy signal after Saturday's bullish crossover, while the RSI reached 61, reflecting significantly improving demand and remaining upside potential before entering the overbought zone.

However, in a negative scenario, if the price reverses and loses the 50-day EMA at $0.377, the current breakout attempt could be invalidated, thereby increasing the risk of a deeper correction to the psychological $0.300 mark.

$BONK pauses four-day rally after Sunday's 28% jump

Bonk corrected slightly by nearly 1% at the time of writing on Monday, following a strong 28% breakout in the previous session, successfully conquering the psychological $0.00001000 mark.

Bonk's four-day rally showed clear signs of breaking out of the descending wedge pattern, opening up new upside potential, with the bulls' next target being the 200-day EMA around $0.00001514.

Similar to BRETT, momentum indicators on the daily timeframe are sending very positive bullish signals. The RSI has surged to 73, officially entering the overbought zone, while the MACD lines have crossed the 0 threshold and the histogram is continuously expanding with green bars, reflecting the strengthening upward momentum.

In a correction scenario, BONK's nearest support zone is at the psychological level of $0.0000100. If selling pressure increases, the price could retreat to test the 50-day EMA around $0.00000976.

$BRETT is heading toward a breakout above key resistance with the potential for over 50% upside.

Brett is maintaining a firm position above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $0.01786, following a strong bounce from the key support zone of $0.01289 — the low formed on November 22nd. As of the time of writing, BRETT has recorded a gain of over 3% in Monday's session, approaching the peak established on December 2nd around $0.02210.

In the scenario of a successful breakout above this resistance level, BRETT's price could extend its gains to the 200-day EMA at $0.03412, representing over 50% upside potential from the current level.

The recovery, lasting for five consecutive sessions, has propelled BRETT up by over 50%, indicating a clear strengthening of upward momentum. The RSI has reached the 70 mark – the overbought zone – but continues to trend upwards, reflecting strong demand. The sideways consolidation within the overbought zone could provide a foundation for BRETT to continue its climb.

Simultaneously, the MACD indicator has crossed above the zero line, completing a bullish crossover with the signal line. The expanding green histogram bars suggest a significant increase in upward momentum.

Conversely, the 50-day EMA at $0.01786 and the November 22nd low around $0.01289 continue to act as important support levels, helping to limit the risk of a deep correction in the short term.

Stablecoin transactions on Ethereum reached a record $8 trillion in Q4

Stablecoin activity on Ethereum has set a new record as the transaction volume surpassed $8 trillion in Q4, the highest ever recorded for a quarter, according to data from Token Terminal. The chart shows a marked acceleration in the second half of 2025, with Q4 breaking out significantly compared to the entire preceding period.

Before 2025, the transaction volume of stablecoins on Ethereum typically ranged between $1–3 trillion each quarter, only spiking in line with market cycles. However, starting in 2025, this trend has changed. By Q3, the volume had exceeded previous peaks and in Q4, it recorded an almost vertical increase.

This scale indicates that Ethereum is increasingly being used as a global payment infrastructure for USD-denominated liquidity, serving both institutional capital flows and treasury management. The milestone of $8 trillion reflects a structural shift, reinforcing Ethereum's role as a core digital financial platform.

Chainlink vs. Filecoin: Which token has greater growth potential for Q1 2026?

Filecoin (FIL) is currently leading the group of tokens related to AI and big data in terms of development activity, according to data released by Santiment on platform X. Following closely is Chainlink (LINK), while Internet Computer (ICP) ranks third. Santiment suggests that projects maintaining high development intensity often have a long-term advantage in attracting users and building sustainable token demand.

On the opposite side of the market, data from on-chain checking tools shows that LINK is experiencing significant buying power from large wallets. Notably, a reserve wallet of Chainlink has added over 94,000 LINK, reflecting an increasing level of confidence from the large-scale investor group, despite the still volatile altcoin landscape.

With Filecoin, short-term recovery is attracting attention as FIL has risen nearly 20% in just one week. Some analysts note that FIL tends to increase significantly in Q1 every year, raising expectations for a similar rebound as we move into 2026. However, on a larger time frame, the long-term trend for FIL in 2025 remains downwards, with the $3 region continuing to serve as a key resistance level.

Meanwhile, LINK maintains a more stable price structure on the weekly frame, although volume indicators show that the selling side still dominates. In comparative terms, Chainlink is currently regarded as the safer technical choice compared to Filecoin. Nevertheless, with the AI token group, investors still need to be cautious, manage risks tightly, and avoid making overly large bets on short-term recovery scenarios.

Vitalik Buterin: Ethereum is getting closer to breaking the "impossible trinity" with ZK-EVM and PeerDAS

Vitalik Buterin stated that Ethereum is getting closer to breaking the impossible trinity of blockchain by effectively combining high bandwidth, consensus mechanisms, and decentralization. According to Vitalik, the ZK-EVMs have now achieved practical deployment-level performance (alpha), while PeerDAS has officially gone live on the Ethereum mainnet, significantly enhancing the network's data processing capabilities.

Vitalik expects the gas limits for non-ZK-EVMs to continue to be raised, and ZK-EVM nodes will begin to appear starting in 2026. Furthermore, in the period from 2027 to 2030, ZK-EVM is likely to become the dominant block validation method for Ethereum.

Additionally, Vitalik emphasized that building distributed blocks remains a long-term goal, aiming to reduce the risk of centralization and improve geographical fairness across the entire Ethereum network.

Vitalik Buterin: Ethereum is close to breaking the “impossible trinity” with ZK-EVM and PeerDAS.

Vitalik Buterin stated that Ethereum is nearing the "impossible trinity" of blockchain technology by effectively combining high bandwidth, consensus mechanisms, and decentralization. According to him, ZK-EVMs have now achieved alpha-level performance, while PeerDAS is officially live on the Ethereum mainnet, significantly expanding the network's data processing capabilities.

Vitalik expects the gas limit for non-ZK-EVMs to continue to increase, and ZK-EVM nodes to begin appearing from 2026. Furthermore, between 2027 and 2030, ZK-EVM is likely to become Ethereum's primary block validation method.

In addition, he emphasized that building a distributed block remains a long-term goal, aiming to reduce the risks of centralization and improve geographical fairness across the entire Ethereum network.

Daily transactions on Ethereum reached an all-time high, surpassing even the NFT craze of 2021.

On-chain data shows that the Ethereum network is closing out 2025 with record-high activity levels, despite the less-than-positive ETH price trend. According to The Block, the 7-day moving average of Ethereum transactions reached 1.87 million on December 31st, surpassing the historical peak of 1.61 million in May 2021 and the most recent high recorded in August 2025.

Simultaneously, the number of active addresses also surged, reaching nearly 729,000 — the highest since the NFT and DeFi boom of 2021. Notably, Ethereum recorded over 270,000 new addresses in a single day, the highest level since 2018, indicating a return of new users to the network.

Technical upgrades are driving usage growth.

According to analysts, the main driver comes from a series of upgrades in 2025, particularly Pectra and Fusaka. These upgrades help reduce transaction costs, improve scalability, optimize wallet experience, and strengthen Ethereum's rollup-centric roadmap. Increased gas limits and advancements in zkEVM also contribute to expanding processing capacity without putting pressure on node infrastructure.

Outlook for 2026

In 2026, Ethereum is expected to continue implementing major upgrades such as Glamsterdam and Hegota, focusing on performance and long-term sustainability. Despite increasing competition among blockchains, much of the activity related to stablecoins, RWAs, staking, and DeFi still revolves around Ethereum and the EVM ecosystem. According to experts, the discrepancy between current usage levels and price movements may be quietly laying the groundwork for a future breakout.

USD1 season officially kicks off: WLFI activates strategic fund to boost ecosystem.

The USD1 season has officially begun, and the growth momentum is undeniable. Market capitalization is steadily rising, trading volume on exchanges is surging, and more and more meme projects and new projects are choosing USD1 as their underlying liquidity layer. This is a significant milestone for the entire ecosystem.

To celebrate this milestone, WLFI will activate a portion of its strategic reserve fund with a clear objective: to support developers, creators, and innovative tokens that are directly strengthening and expanding the USD1 ecosystem. This resource will be used to drive development, increase reach, and unlock sustainable growth opportunities.

Beyond financial support, WLFI also provides well-deserved recognition, bringing outstanding individuals and projects to global attention. Together, we will show the world the true power, creativity, and potential of the USD1 community.

$ZEC Technical Analysis

Zcash (ZEC) bounced back above the 50-day SMA ($474) on Saturday, but higher price levels are attracting selling pressure.

The area between the moving averages and the ascending trendline is a crucial support zone to watch. If the price bounces strongly from this support zone, the bulls will attempt to break through the resistance at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $574. If successful, the ZEC/USDT pair could surge to $648.

This bullish scenario will be invalidated in the short term if the Zcash price continues to fall and breaks below the ascending trendline. In that case, the pair could fall to $371.

$DOGE Technical Analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) fell below the $0.12 mark on Wednesday, but the bears were unable to sustain the decline.

Bulls pushed the price back above the $0.13 breakout zone on Thursday, but are struggling to hold higher levels. If the price reverses and breaks below $0.12, it would indicate that bears have turned the $0.13 mark into resistance. In that case, DOGE/USDT could slide back to the October 10th low around $0.10.

Conversely, if the price bounces and breaks above the 50-day SMA at $0.14, it would suggest the market has rejected the previous bearish breakout. Dogecoin could then advance towards the $0.16 region.

$SOL Technical Analysis

Solana (SOL) has risen to the 50-day SMA at $131. However, the long wick of the candle suggests that the bears are defending this area very aggressively.

However, the positive divergence on the RSI suggests that selling pressure is weakening. Bulls will continue their efforts to push the price above the 50-day SMA. If successful, the SOL/USDT pair could rise to $147.

Conversely, if the price reverses downwards from the moving averages and breaks below $116, it indicates that bears are still in control of the market. In that case, SOL could fall to $108 and then to $95.