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XRP har været i et kraftigt fald siden toppen den 6. januar og er faldet næsten 15% på bare seks dage. Flere støttezoner er allerede brudt, og momentum er fortsat svagt. Men under salget sker der noget usædvanligt. Stærke købere træder ind med en styrke, vi ikke har set siden 7. september.

Vigtige XRP kursområder holder stadig stand, og efterspørgslen vokser i stilhed under pres. Det skaber en sjælden divergens mellem kursudviklingen og aktiviteten på blockchainen.

XRP’s fald afhænger af én vigtig trendlinje

Salget tog fart efter, at XRP ikke formåede at genvinde sin 200-dages EMA ved toppen den 6. januar. En EMA, eller eksponentiel glidende gennemsnitskurs, lægger mere vægt på de seneste kurser og bruges ofte til at vurdere styrken af den korte og lange trend. Når kursen forbliver under vigtige EMA’er, har sælgerne som regel kontrollen.

Fra toppen mistede XRP først 100-dages EMA, derefter 50-dages EMA. Prisen ligger nu tæt på 20-dages EMA, som er den sidste støtte for den kortsigtede trend.

Dette niveau er vigtigt, fordi det ofte adskiller kontrollerede tilbagefald fra dybere fald.

Vigtig XRP støtte: TradingView

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En lignende situation opstod i starten af december. Da XRP mistede 20-dages EMA den 4. december, faldt kursen omkring 15% i dagene efter. Den historik forklarer, hvorfor niveauet nu er så afgørende.

Et hold her holder strukturen intakt, men et klart brud (dagligt luk) kan forlænge faldet yderligere.

Faldkøb er på det højeste siden september — men fra udvalgte ejere

På trods af det tekniske pres er køb i faldet, fra langsigtede investorer, eller stærke købere, taget til.

Det ses i HODLer nettosaldoændring, en måling der viser, om langsigtede wallets øger eller sænker deres beholdning af coins. Når tallet er positivt, akkumulerer ejerne. Når det er negativt, sælger de ud.

Den stærkeste akkumulering kommer fra investorer med stor overbevisning, ikke brede hvalgrupper. HODLer nettosaldoændring viser, at wallets tilføjede omkring 62 millioner XRP den 9. januar og næsten fire gange så meget på hver af de følgende to dage.

Den 10. og 11. januar opsugede holderne omkring 239 millioner XRP og 243 millioner XRP, samtidig med at prisen fortsatte med at falde. Det er den stærkeste to-dages køb-i-faldet-periode siden 7. september.

HODLers køber hurtigt: Glassnode

Hvaler, til gengæld, forholder sig forsigtige. Kun mindre hvaler med mellem 1 og 10 millioner XRP har vist aktivitet. Deres samlede beholdning steg fra 3,52 milliarder til 3,53 milliarder XRP, altså cirka 10 millioner ekstra XRP. Til den aktuelle kurs svarer det omtrent til køb for $20,5 millioner.

Det er ikke bred akkumulering, men målrettede, forsigtige køb. Mindre hvaler træder til nær vigtige niveauer, mens de større stadig venter. Denne ubalance forklarer, hvorfor XRP finder støtte men har svært ved at skabe et stærkt opsving.

Udbudsklynger og XRP kursniveauer forklarer overbevisningen

Den tro på markedet hænger sammen med XRP’s cost-basis-struktur.

Udbudsklynger dannes der, hvor store mængder coins tidligere er blevet købt til samme niveau. Disse zoner fungerer ofte som forsvar, fordi investorer tæt på break-even har tendens til at købe op ved fald – for at beskytte deres position – frem for at sælge med tab.

To store udbudsklynger ligger lige under den nuværende kurs. Den første er mellem $2,00 og $2,01, hvor cirka 1,9 milliarder XRP blev akkumuleret.

Første stærke klynge: Glassnode

Den næste ligger mellem $1,96 og $1,97, hvor yderligere 1,8 milliarder XRP blev købt. Disse niveauer forklarer, hvorfor salgspresset er aftaget, selvom momentum stadig er svagt.

Vigtig XRP klynge: Glassnode

Så længe disse klynger holder, kan XRP-kursen danne lange, lave viksler og forsøge at stabilisere sig. En generobring af 20-dages EMA nær $2,04 ville være det første signal om, at forsvaret fungerer.

På opsiden skal XRP generobre $2,21 og derefter $2,41, som var toppen den 6. januar. Bliver $2,41 ryddet, kan $2,69 igen komme i spil, og strukturen vil igen blive bullish.

XRP kursanalyse: TradingView

Der er stadig nedadgående risiko. Et klart fald under $2,01 åbner for et kursfald til $1,97 (næste udbudsklynge), efterfulgt af $1,77. Bemærk, hvordan on-chain udbudsklyngen også har aktive støttelinjer i XRP-diagrammet.

XRP’s overbevisning kommer ikke fra momentum eller store kryptohvaler. Styrken ligger i strukturen. 20-dages trendlinje er ikke brudt, og tætte udbudsklynger ligger lige under kursen. Så længe begge dele holder, er dipkøbere klar til at træde til.

Strategy (tidligere MicroStrategy) oplyste i mandags, at selskabet har brugt 1,25 milliarder dollars på at købe 13.627 Bitcoin, hvilket er den største handel de seneste seks måneder. Med flere nylige opkøb i kurszonen mellem 88.000 og 92.000 dollars betragtes området i stigende grad som en vigtig psykologisk støttezone for investorernes stemning.

Hvis Bitcoin falder klart under det område, står MSTR over for øget kortsigtet nedadgående risiko, når stemningen svækkes og værdiansættelsespræmien falder.

Købsmønster sætter markedsbenchmark for MSTR?

Efter MicroStrategys seneste køb er virksomhedens Bitcoin-reserver steget til 687.410 BTC. Efter offentliggørelsen var selskabets aktie stort set uændret. I øjeblikket handles MSTR omkring kurs 162 dollars.

Siden december har Strategy foretaget syv separate Bitcoin-opkøb. Den gennemsnitlige købspris pr. Bitcoin har svinget en smule mellem handlerne, fra 88.210 på de laveste til 92.098 dollars på de højeste.

Strategys seneste Bitcoin-opkøb. Kilde: Strategy.

Disse vedvarende opkøb omkring samme kurs har skabt et anker for handlende. De små kursforskelle fungerer nu som et pejlemærke for fremtidige handler.

Derfor vil investorer sikkert holde øje med, om Strategy fortsætter opkøbene i dette område. Et klart brud under kursbåndet kan forringe stemningen og holde svingningerne i MSTR-aktien høje på kort sigt.

Præmiekompression udfordrer investorernes overbevisning

Strategys aktie forstærker ofte Bitcoins bevægelser, fordi investorer ser den som en gearet eksponering mod BTC frem for et traditionelt softwarefirma. Selskabets finansieringsmetode understøtter denne dynamik.

MSTR-aktien steg i dag efter det største Bitcoin-opkøb siden juli 2025. Kilde: Google Finance

Strategy fortsætter med at udstede værdipapirer for at finansiere ny Bitcoin-akkumulering. Denne metode fungerer godt, når aktien handles til en præmie. Men skulle præmien falde, bliver det mere udfordrende.

Tidligere har virksomheden foretaget opkøb under kursen 88.000 dollars, hvor de nu holder sig. Selvom et vedvarende fald under dette niveau ikke øjeblikkeligt vil presse Strategy til at sælge ud af beholdningen, kan det ændre markedsfortællingen.

Aktionærer kan begynde at se de seneste opkøb mindre som disciplineret akkumulering og mere som køb nær et område, handlende opfatter som svært for Bitcoin at bryde op over. Dette kan forringe stemningen og øge presset på aktiens præmie i forhold til Bitcoin-beholdningen.

Denne præmie har betydning, da den påvirker, hvordan investorer vurderer mulig udvanding af aktien.

Hvis MSTR svækkes i forhold til Bitcoin, kan fremtidige kapitalrejsninger blive mindre attraktive for nuværende aktionærer. I så fald vil markedet sikkert revurdere tempoet i Strategys opkøbsplan og dens følsomhed over for Bitcoins kursniveauer.

I praksis kan det resultere i større udsving i MSTR. Denne risiko er størst, når Bitcoin tester nylige bunde eller passerer vigtige tekniske niveauer.

Machi Big Brother er vendt tilbage til Ethereum-markedet med en af sine mest aggressive handler til dato. I fredags åbnede den højtprofilerede kryptohval en ETH long med gearing på $34 millioner på Hyperliquid.

Positionen gik straks imod ham, hvilket gav et tab på cirka $325.000 inden for få timer. Men det samlede billede ser værre ud. Hans Hyperliquid-konto har nu et samlet tab på $22,5 millioner og ligger mere end $67 millioner under dens højeste egenkapital, ifølge on-chain tracking.

Et mønster af stærk gearing og overbevisning

Det er Machis første større genindtræden siden en række tvungne afviklinger i december slettede flere af hans Ethereum long-positioner.

Machi Big Brother er det krypto-pseudonym, som Jeffrey (Jeff) Huang bruger. Han er en velkendt handler, on-chain hval og en kontroversiel aktør i kryptomiljøet.

Machis seneste satsning følger måneder med ekstreme risikotagninger. I november og december byggede han store ETH-longs op fra $20 millioner til mere end $25 millioner i nominelt eksponeret beløb, ofte med 15x til 25x gearing.

Disse positioner kollapsede under ETH’s fald fra $3.300-niveauet.

Ethereum-kursen ligger på et kritisk niveau

Machis timing kommer, mens Ethereum handles i et sårbart område.

ETH bevæger sig i øjeblikket omkring $3.000–$3.100, efter det tidligere på måneden ikke lykkedes at bryde modstanden ved $3.300.

De seneste uger har kursen bevæget sig sidelæns, mens ETF-udstrømninger og svindende forventninger om amerikanske rentenedsættelser har tynget kryptomarkedet.

I øjeblikket ligger ETH-udbuddet på børser fortsat tæt på det laveste i flere år, og staking blokerer stadig store mængder coins.

Det skaber en stram markedsstruktur, hvor store udsving hurtigt kan opstå i begge retninger.

Stemningen er dog stadig præget af forsigtighed. Futures-finansieringsraten har været negativ indimellem, og on-chain data afslører at handlende afdækker risiko frem for at opbygge nye longs.

Hvad Machi i virkeligheden satser på

Machis nye position signalerer et stærkt håb om, at Ethereum holder sig over $3.000 og får et opsving mod $3.300–$3.500-niveauet.

Men hans gearing efterlader minimal plads til fejl. Med under $2 millioner som sikkerhed for en position på $34 millioner kan et fald på få procent i ETH føre til endnu en afvikling.

For markedet fungerer hans handel mindre som et bullish signal og mere som en stresstest af Ethereums aktuelle kursbund.

In the past month, analysts have increasingly placed Bitcoin in an ongoing bear market, but five key metrics show the market is undergoing a mid-cycle reset following the sharp rise to record highs at the end of 2025.

On-chain and ETF data now show the selling wave is losing strength. Instead of long-term investors leaving the market, the data indicate that late buyers are being pushed out while stronger investors are absorbing the supply.

It is important because mid-cycle resets often mark the transition from panic selling to accumulation.

Polymarket users placed 27 bets on the outcome of the Golden Globe Awards, with 26 proving to be correct. As the largest prediction platform grows in popularity, concerns about insider trading are also increasing.

The collaboration between Polymarket and the Golden Globes has also raised questions about whether this will become the new norm for future prize distributions.

Polymarket rammer 96% accuracy rate at Golden Globes

On Friday, the Golden Globes announced in a press release that they had entered a partnership with the world's largest prediction platform for the annual show.

The crypto market is showing early signs of rotation after a volatile start to the year. While several assets continue to trade in a range, select setups are quietly tightening below key resistance levels. With this in mind, BeInCrypto has selected altcoins that could hit new all-time highs if momentum gathers.

Each analysis combines a strong price structure, clear triggers for further increases, and well-defined invalidation levels that are worth following closely this week.

Monero (XMR)

Meme coin market sends mixed signals. Even though the category is still down over 5% this week, prices have risen about 5% in the past 24 hours, indicating renewed interest. On this basis, three meme coins stand out for very different reasons.

One rises despite selling pressure from crypto whales, another experiences strong accumulation during a decline, and a third attracts increasing volume around a key technical reversal.

Pump.fun (PUMP)

Among meme coins you should follow this week, Pump.fun (PUMP) stands out for another reason. Many meme tokens are losing momentum, but PUMP continues to show relative strength. The token has risen about 6% in the past 24 hours and nearly 9% over the last seven days, securing its place on short-term traders' watchlists.

Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing – your essential overview of the most important events in crypto for the day.

Grab a cup of coffee for today's reading, as Standard Chartered adjusts its structure, focuses on how it positions its exposure, where it places the risk, and which assets the bank believes will be most significant when the next institutional wave hits.

Crypto news today: Standard Chartered's crypto initiative may surpass Basel III capital requirements

Standard Chartered's reported plans to establish a crypto prime brokerage may indicate more than just a renewed focus on digital assets.

The altcoin market enters the second week of January with unclear signals. Some tokens have set new price records. Others have rebounded under skepticism. Most altcoins are still struggling to recover from the heavy selling pressure that hit in October last year.

In this context, three altcoins are at high risk of significant downturns, as traders may be misjudging the actual demand in the market.

1. Solana (SOL)

The meme-coin wave at the beginning of 2026 is not extremely strong, but it shows that traders are taking more risks. The Solana ecosystem has set several new records. Pump.fun’s DEX volume has reached a new all-time high. The number of new meme-tokens launched each day has also increased.

As the global digital assets industry matures, the conversation is shifting away from speculation and toward structure, compliance, and long-term infrastructure. Few companies exemplify this evolution as clearly as Bitpanda. Originally founded in Europe, the platform has gradually evolved into a regulated, multi-asset investment universe with a growing global footprint.

In a recent conversation with Vishal Sacheendran, Vice President for Global Markets Strategy & Operations at Bitpanda, a recurring theme emerged: regulation does not hinder the company—it actually drives its expansion.

The Monero price has risen by more than 35% over the past seven days, and in the last 24 hours, there has been an additional strong upward movement. This surge pushed XMR to a new all-time high near $598 before sellers stepped in, leaving the price just below the area of new price discovery.

Although the upward trend still appears strong on the surface, several underlying signals suggest the rise may be entering a vulnerable phase. The key question now is whether Monero will consolidate before another upward push, or if the growing imbalance beneath the surface is paving the way for a more significant correction.

The crypto market is preparing for a major week with token unlocks. Over the next seven days, new tokens valued at over $1.69 billion will enter circulation. Particularly three major ecosystems, Ondo (ONDO), Official Trump (TRUMP), and Arbitrum (ARB), are releasing new tokens to the market.

These unlocks add extra liquidity, but can also lead to short-term price fluctuations and increased volatility. Below, we go through what to watch for with each project.

1. Ondo (ONDO)

Unlock date: January 18

India's Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) has introduced stricter compliance requirements for crypto platforms, significantly strengthening user identity verification across the entire country.

Under the new rules, regulated crypto exchanges must verify users through live selfie confirmation and geographic data during the onboarding process.

India's tightened verification requirements target deepfakes and static images

The latest FIU rules take user verification a step further than just document checks. Exchanges must use live selfie verification, requiring dynamic movements such as blinking or head turns to confirm that the user is present. This measure aims to prevent static images or deepfakes from bypassing identity checks.

A trader turned $321 into $2.18 million in just 11 days using the Chinese memecoin 114514, showcasing the intense speculation driving the market at the beginning of 2026.

This surge is linked to targeted investments from the BNB Chain Foundation and the cultural significance of the Year of the Horse. Analysts believe these trends could drive Chinese memecoins through the first quarter.

Binance listing boosts Binance Life to a value of 153 million dollars

Binance Life (币安人生) reached a market value of $153 million after its Binance listing on January 7. The token had a price of $0.1519 on January 12, a 16.9% increase over the past 24 hours. Daily trading volume hit $66.1 million, primarily $47.9 million on Binance with additional activity on KCEX and LBank.

Crypto funds experienced a significant shift last week with outflows of $454 million, nearly erasing the year's early inflows of $1.5 billion.

The selling appears to be linked to declining expectations that the U.S. central bank will cut rates in March, following recent macroeconomic data suggesting the central bank may maintain its current policy.

Crypto funds shed $454 million as hopes for a central bank rate cut fade

According to the latest CoinShares data, last week's crypto outflows followed four consecutive days of total losses amounting to $1.3 billion.

The first month of the new year will undoubtedly lay the groundwork for significant network and protocol upgrades. Altcoins are likely to capitalize on this momentum, with some already demonstrating this trend over the past few days.

BeInCrypto has analyzed three altcoins that investors should keep an eye on during the second week of January.

Mantle (MNT)

Mantle is approaching its first major network upgrade of the year, with the mainnet update set to support all features from Ethereum's Fusaka upgrade. The upgrade is scheduled to go live this week and could improve both functionality and scalability, potentially attracting new users and increasing chain activity.

Ethereum's long-term development is entering a critical phase, as Vitalik Buterin promotes the idea of "ossification"—the concept that the network can be "frozen" without losing functionality, even if the core team disappears.

The vision, first presented in 2024 as part of the walkaway test, elevates Ethereum from merely being a platform for decentralized applications (dApps) to a trustless foundation capable of functioning independently for decades.

Vitalik Buterin's Ethereum ossifiability roadmap: What all users should know

Bitcoin's breakout history is on track, but the necessary upward move is not frictionless. Bitcoin's price has regained a key trend support, the history suggests continuation, and the short-term selling has dried up.

But every lift meets supply. The reason is not immediately visible on the chart alone. One owner group continues selling in line with the rises, which could delay the next major upward move.

The breakout structure remains intact

Bitcoin is trading in a cup-and-handle pattern on the daily chart. The price briefly reached the handle breakout near $92,400 before falling back, but the structure remains valid as long as key support holds.

Ethereum price is rising again, up over 2% within the last 24 hours, and remains positive for the month. The rally looks promising, but the foundation beneath the surface remains fragile.

A bearish pattern is still active, and unless key levels are defended, this rally risks turning into a deeper decline.

Ethereum price is rising within a fragile bearish structure

Despite the rally, Ethereum is still trading within a head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart. The peak on January 6 formed the right shoulder, and the price is now attempting to stabilize without resolving the structure.

Several members of the cryptocurrency community have accused Nikita Bier, X's product chief and Solana advisor, of deliberately suppressing content related to crypto on X (formerly Twitter).

The allegations emerged after several users reported a significant drop in cryptocurrency-related posts in their feeds.

Crypto visibility on X: Why users express concern

X has long served as an important source for the crypto community to follow crypto news, monitor market developments, discover new opportunities, and uncover new projects and trends. But recently, users have expressed growing concern over changes in their feeds, where they are seeing more posts that do not relate to cryptocurrency.